Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 7654. (Read 26709945 times)

Iceland has extremely aggressive testing so its data is among the best in the world.  

Iceland has 10 deaths, 18 active cases and a total case load of 1,801.  None of the 18 active cases are critical, so let us assume all recover.  

That gives us a case fatality rate of 0.55% with no load on the health system.

Iceland has a population of 364,000.  If half catch C19, a 0.55% fatality rate would be 2,000 deaths.  

New York has a population of 18,800,000.  If half of NY catch C19 with a CFR of 0.55%, then the death rate would be 103,000 people, which is four times the current deaths of 26,000.  Working backwards from a CFR of 0.55% suggests that, at most, 4.7 million New Yorkers have caught C19 which is nowhere near enough for herd immunity.  It’s probably significantly less due to excess deaths from hospital overloading and poor care in nursing homes.   

Applied to the US population of 384 million, a CFR of 0.55% yields a death rate of just over a million people if only half the US population catches C19.  In reality, many US hospitals will collapse if we get close to those numbers, pushing the CFR up.  

Please note that the CFR rate says nothing about people who are permanently crippled by C19 even if they live. I have not seen good numbers on this, so this is just speculation based on papers written by Wuhan doctors.  

The Imperial College model is quickly becoming less important now that we are starting to get real world data to work with.    

For those of you arguing about CV19 "severity", take a look at Iceland. You now have a full set of statistics there in terms of recovery vs non-recovery since they've reached the end of their bell curve quicker than everywhere else.

Conclusion: 98.5% recovery and in fact looks like ending up over 99% once all cases are concluded.

Also this is only looking at actual infections, not the population as a whole. For population as a whole the death rate is 0.004 of one percent (0.004%) with a relaxed lockdown policy, stricter than Sweden's but not as strict as UK.

Also bear in mind that UK policy is largely based on Imperial college "model" which is currently being shredded as we speak by the online "nerd" community.

It's so sad to see that guy still has followers who actually believe what he says...

Flat earth, anyone?

I will merit when I have replenished again

looks like the bears working on it.

observing just north of $8.8k USD

bleh. but blehs are (usually) pretty temporary. so there is that.

At this point, I encourage tourists not to visit Greece this year.
Stay home and wash your hands.

We cannot afford your stupidity.

Huh?


Total.bullshit.

Hot spot? Since for ever.
Tourists? WTF is that?

Yeah, for you and me Dude, not for Joe though.

Families ripped apart, it's not about the port staff and truck drivers.



Fuck this man, now it's the fault of the asymptomatic?
What's next, selling the BG platform to the Australian government?

edit: economies have always prospered when opening up the borders, not closing them.

I'm losing the plot over here, and would like to have merited most of these if had any. Please look through and do it if ou agree

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.54384932
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.54387870
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.54388762
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.54390574
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.54369627
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.54391066
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.54391757
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.54392288
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.54394162
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.54397260
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.54398607
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.54400134

gosh wow  thanks guys and gals

^^
And indeed.... we always know when they went wrong with there shorts.... they will not post in here anymore when they get rekt  

This measures arent quarantines though - you just dont let people come in contact or have people wearing PPE.

If you start to quarantine transportation workers delivery of goods will break down.

Couldn’t be said better .... exactly what happens to all the traders and certainly shorters

In my RL some guys also just seen the recently swings 400 up 400 down few days in a row... thinking its an easy game and earning some money every day ... lol .... everyone end up f*** up

Port staff don’t need to come within 20 meters of ship crew to unload a boat.  Air crew never touch their cargo. It’s loaded by airport ground staff at one end and unloaded by airport ground staff at the other end.  

You need pilots to board a ship to get the ship into harbour, but you could just use proper PPE and isolate the ship pilots.  

I’m not making this shit up, it’s official Australian government policy. 

The bigger risk is we are not on top of the virus and get a second wave due to asymptomatic community transmission.   

And all this machines and ships are operated by humans

Like trucks, trains and airplanes.

On a boat like that the journey could be the quarantine time

and there are some very poor countries that could be a tinder box if they had a single case.

They say "over 3000 tests" on the ship by the end of February. I assume they eventually tested everybody before letting them out:

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00885-w