Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 7671. (Read 26709367 times)

STT
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 1454
To be fair they could be passing that supply onto people who cannot leave their house, elderly relatives or something.    Lexus is one of the finest brand cars, thats like Japanese Cadillac so yea Cheesy  Love Volvo and Jeep also, even Police cutting in :p


The ironic thing with that big sell off is I got a merit for pointing out that in the extremes the best source would be to look at people who've seen it all happen before; big peaks then sells after is not news very long term.  The giant swings is not a new phenomena and I think I mentioned this thread for gauge of sentiment, ie. not outright panic just observation etc.    But yea unfortunately theres the theory and the practise and the volatility is bonkers and can force anyones hand, theres definite worth in experience.
     Theres often shenanigans around 10k I reckon, both false expectations in either direction and we'll test and trick shorts and longs especially on leverage before choosing a direction and I'd guess that occurs mostly after the half reward event as that kinda pins us till then.
Quote
Quote

Dollar index fell quite consistently for most of 2017 and we had a good year for BTC but it looks that DXY has recovered back to similar levels and not put too much pressure on BTC.  DXY is of course in reference to other FIAT standards.
legendary
Activity: 3990
Merit: 4597
This is a food distribution center (bread line) in Las Vegas.

https://arc-anglerfish-washpost-prod-washpost.s3.amazonaws.com/public/UNIIHBEQUAI6VEZCUKPHL374SM.jpg

I have to note that every single car there is much nicer and newer than anything I own.

Hm.

Well, at least they are helping to stabilize the oil price...
To take a car to a line to get $5 in bread is actually a bit strange.
Some people just like freebies, I guess.
One time when I volunteered at a food bank, I saw a couple of guys in Mercedez coming by and getting a box (with food items).
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
We are now at 80 RSI on the daily.  Overbought.  



I just looked at a chart with the daily RSI between April 2019 and June 2019...

Remember that time period?  The BTC price went from $4,200 to $13,880, yet the RSI had largely stayed in relatively high levels, and reaching levels that are very similar to current levels throughout that whole April to June 2019 period.  

So, even if we might possibly be a wee bit overheated currently in terms of daily RSI, I doubt that the we could be getting that possible "overheatedness" merely from the daily RSI...  There would have to be some other factors, too... like for example, some people do not want us to go above $10k?  or maybe there is too much bullshit going on with other macro-economic figuring out how to deal with the virus and other related shenanigans, etc.

  But what is stopping us from pretty much just going straight to $17,250 in the coming weeks and bouncing around in that area for a few weeks and figuring out if BTC prices are ready to continue to go up?  I really have hard times thinking that BTC is ready to start challenging ATHs in the current environment, but there is no real need that BTC has to go down before it goes up... remember we have been bouncing around in sub $10k prices for a couple of years.. so it is quite possible that support is largely catching up... even if there is no real need to shoot up from here either.. except maybe the bullishness of the money printer go bbbbbbrrrrr dynamics which seem to be quite opposite of bitcoin's money policy and more people seem to be internalizing those differentiating ideas... bullish, no?  Maybe?  Any rich people wondering where they might prefer to place parts of their capital and still be mobile and secure?  Where you going to put your Billion?  How much do you want wrapped up in various dollar (and oil) denominations?

I am not saying anything about having to go anywhere.. but even rich people may be wondering about how to diversify out of some traditional asset class risks, perhaps?  And, they might not give too many shits about what the RSI says, including the fact that they could be a market mover on their own, if they were to chose to do that.
legendary
Activity: 3220
Merit: 2334
I fix broken miners. And make holes in teeth :-)
This is a food distribution center (bread line) in Las Vegas.



I have to note that every single car there is much nicer and newer than anything I own.

Hm.
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"



It is my pleasure and honor to give you your 2000th Merit  Grin

It would be better if they were 2000+2000 activity.

Thanks! Cool


Gotta keep you in your place (and a humble bumble) somehow.....     


 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Thanks, theymos.   Wink
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 889
Masterluc/PentarhUdi just commmented his latest TA.

Quote
In a case of new higher high (higher than 13 Feb 2020 ~ $10500) any bearish scenario will be invalidated.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/iNSP9waV-Historical-IV-almost-completed/
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 2540
<>



It is my pleasure and honor to give you your 2000th Merit  Grin

It would be better if they were 2000+2000 activity.

Thanks! Cool
copper member
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1465
Clueless!
Sorry you had to go Joe007 ! That 6800$ Bitcoin short was painful but I'm sure your still in the money...
Enjoy the ride playa  Shocked Shocked Shocked Cool
https://cointelegraph.com/news/new-bull-market-signal-bitcoin-bearwhale-vanishes-as-btc-hits-10k

in the article it states this however

From September 2019 to April 2020, Joe007 realized $61 million in profit. In the same period, all other whales on Bitfinex realized a $25 million loss. Joe007 outperformed all traders listed on the leaderboard combined by $86 million

it also states

His departure came after a short contract he placed when Bitcoin was hovering at $6,800 hit $20 million in unrealized loss, resulting in a $15 million loss on paper for the whale. Joe007 realized a $5 million gain in April, reducing the total figure by 25%.

So he still came away with at least 50 million on his bets/profits before the last bet at $6,800.00

sh*t....Why can't I be wrong, yet still right?

Any corrections welcome...but this is what I got from the above article.
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"

Made a mistake once years ago selling early, hoping for 'The Dip'.

Never made that mistake again.

Sometimes it takes a few times to learn from those kinds of mistakes, but sometimes certain mistakes will resonate a lot harder than others.

There are many posters in this here thread who have demonstrated similar levels of gut wrenching anxiety when the sell any significant amounts of their BTC ....  In those cases, we invest into bitcoin for "reasons", and accordingly, it is like many of us prefer sleeping in BTC rather than sleeping in fiat.

Of course, comfort-levels in being able to sleep in BTC remains a matter of making sure that none of us overinvest in BTC... at least make sure that we have our regular and emergency expenses covered... otherwise a bit of "overinvesting" may be tolerable risk(s).

So, for example, if you have all of your expenses covered and projected out for 6-18 months, and then you have figured out how much of a budget that you have coming in from cashflow and other sources on a weekly or monthly basis, then sometimes these kinds of planners can take relatively larger portions of their extra money and put that into BTC... It should not be missed money because it has been properly and prudently calculated or even that such BTC investors might need that money some day because of an emergency.. because these proper planners have figured out their separate fund (or other resources) that they could dip into in the event of an emergency... one of the common mistakes is when guys do not adequately plan far enough in advance, and then they are trying to let the BTC proportion of their investment ride for too damned long, and then they get into a pickle in such a way to have to cash out some BTC to cover some of their expenses that they have not adequately planned for (and should have reasonably been able to foresee - especially with prudent rather than gambling-style planning)

Accordingly, any of us can become somewhat jittery when the BTC price falls (and the BTC price is going to fall at some point, even in our current seemingly ongoing bullish situation)..... Look at the post from exstasie from earlier today.  Yeah, I know that sometimes BTC price moves can stay really irrational in either direction for a decent-ass amount of time.. but reversals can come quickly and violently too.  In our current BTC price momentum situation, we also have not had any significant, deep or lasting correction since $3,850, either... that is getting close to two months without a correction...... yeah.. we could keep going up.. and many of us remember April to June of 2019... that was a 3-month upward price move without any meaningful correction.. until the end of June.. remember $13,880 in the end of June 2019?  ... anyhow, if you are getting uncomfortable sleeping in BTC, including sleeping through any 20% to 50% dip that could come, then that would be a sign of being overinvested... and yeah there is no magical price point in which such 20% to 50% price correction could end up starting to happen.

Surely, how much is overinvested or the right amount or even a significant level of known risk of being "overinvested" remains a balance that is likely going to play out a bit differently for each peep, and part of the balance comes from both having accounted for other cashflow and expenses for a reasonable time into the future and also could partly come from the fact that overinvestment had come from not really being part of the initial investment amount but merely through riding ongoing profits from those earlier investment that has appreciated with the passage of time... whether those initial investments were various lump sums or they were DCA investments that merely average out to decently lower costs per BTC in comparison to our current floating BTC price.

Personally, I believe that it is way more acceptable to be willing to take higher levels of risk on profits from earlier investments versus taking risks with the amounts of your initial investments.  There are a lot of financial advisors who seem to want to equate the two categories, and personally, I believe that those kinds of assessments are full of shit and they are inhibiting bitcoin investors from significantly and sufficiently profiting from an ongoing likely to be better than average performing asset class, namely bitcoin.  So, in my thinking, there remain times to allow your winners to ride way the fuck more than what traditional investment advisors might be pushing you towards unreasonable reallocations that cause your portfolio to way underperform what reasonable risk-taking would otherwise allow.
In any event....  dyor, don't invest more than you can afford to lose, mf (dimtycatl-mf), ymmv, dca, HODL, btmfd, etc etc
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 4197
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 2540
<>
legendary
Activity: 2688
Merit: 2470
$120000 in 2024 Confirmed
$100,000 BTC In one hour  Grin

settle down bitcoinPsycho....

Don't do anything too rash....


Breath........ breath.....




Breath....
It was in the context of the above post Wink
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
$100,000 BTC In one hour  Grin

settle down bitcoinPsycho....

Don't do anything too rash....


Breath........ breath.....




Breath....
hv_
legendary
Activity: 2548
Merit: 1055
Clean Code and Scale
Everyones shitting on the idea that we will bart down.. that just gives me more confidence that im right

Why? Because many experienced Bitcoiners think you're full of it?

Experienced bitcoiner =/= experienced trader

Note that your (in)equation obeys the reflexive principle.

The trail of the dead in Bitcoindom is populated with many conventional traders that think their previous success in other markets uniquely qualifies them to apply the same principles to Bitcoin.

Why does everyone keep assuming Im a trader who traded traditionals in the past?

In my case, it was the “ Experienced bitcoiner =/= experienced trader” retort.

Congrats - we all are about to grow up.  Some more quickly , some more lucky ...

Happy Bearday!

 Grin
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1688
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
Everyones shitting on the idea that we will bart down.. that just gives me more confidence that im right

Why? Because many experienced Bitcoiners think you're full of it?

Experienced bitcoiner =/= experienced trader

Note that your (in)equation obeys the reflexive principle.

The trail of the dead in Bitcoindom is populated with many conventional traders that think their previous success in other markets uniquely qualifies them to apply the same principles to Bitcoin.

Why does everyone keep assuming Im a trader who traded traditionals in the past?

In my case, it was the “ Experienced bitcoiner =/= experienced trader” retort.
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1688
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
I know that jbreher has a lot of respect and sympathy for members like jonoiv,

Not so much as I have respect for the truth. My support of jonoiv is to the effect that some here were repeatedly attacking not him/her, but a straw man misrepresentation of him/her.

The rest of your post is just too silly to bother responding to.
member
Activity: 371
Merit: 57
So...Google's new algorithm is censoring Bitcoin just as we go into the next uptrend.
This is fine. Tell people they are not supposed to learn about this $100K coin and see how well censoring will work.
legendary
Activity: 2828
Merit: 1497
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!

Yes Elwar, google/Youtube has been doing it for a while now. Just more severe lately against crypto influencers since brad garlinghouse is suing them late last month.
This is their retaliatory measures to try and wipe the crypto space from their platform. 

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5241100.40 https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/another-crypto-youtuber-given-a-ban-for-breach-of-terms-of-service-5242169
legendary
Activity: 2478
Merit: 1220
Privacy Servers. Since 2009.
Jump to: