By the way, cafetools, if you cash out decent portions of your BTC along the way up to $20k or even $50k, if you get over anxious about cashing out too much too soon, then you may well run out of corns at various higher valuations.
You can avoid that problem by observing a Shannon rebalancing strategy. Rational investing, or speculating, is about sizing your bets. Kelly criterion illustrates the principle.
Then again, if corn hits $200k next year, I'm going to violate my own advice and sell most of my stack.
What you are saying sounds good in theory, because, yeah if the BTC price moves way too much, too fast, then in those circumstances many of us might get nervous about the sustainability of BTC prices.. . but, personally, I would get really nervous about putting too much of my actual corn on any exchange to cash out in BIGLY increments.. especially all of it and fuck even 50% would be a potential problem to either have so much cash on exchanges or even dealing with banks or whatever to get it converted over, in the event that I want to make sure that I have possession of the value instead of it getting locked up for months or even longer.
You might need to explain it a bit more specifically about some of these concepts.. but I believe that I get what you are asserting, in theory. Especially explain what the fuck is Shannon rebalancing strategy or Kelly criterion... at least your interpretation, links and maybe how they might apply to bitcoin... bitcoin is a kind of special beast, if you had not noticed.
By the way, in 2015-ish, when BTC prices were around $250, I had created a decently elaborate plan that involved quite a few specifics of a pretty heavy cashing out of BTC as the price went up, and so I kind of followed a plan for a while, including until BTC prices got to around $2k or $3k, but I found that I was winding up with way too fucking much fiat, so I felt that I needed to tweak my plan in order to lessen the amount of BTC that I was selling./.... because really my more elaborate plan of cashing out of bitcoin was on a longer time horizon.. .such as way further into the future... maybe even like mid 2020s-ish, but the point was that the cashing out plan was not supposed to be taking place in 2017... so I tweaked in order that I would not sell so much.
I might be experiencing some similar dilemmas, this time around (presuming that the BTC price goes shooting up), so I do feel that I am a bit more prepared for larger cashing out of BTC at various strategic locations, I still am NOT really feeling as if I want to cash out BIG proportions of BTC - even if I might end up losing based on some subsequent BTC price corrections that might come after BTC prices go to $200k in less than a year (if that were to happen).
So, maybe, since you brought up those ideas, Millionero, you may want to flesh them out a bit. You do not necessarily give away your specific BTC holdings, but maybe describe in terms of percentages or timeline and how various BTC price performance scenarios (talking in terms of price movement in terms of quantity and time) might cause you to employ different cashing out behaviors.