Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 7733. (Read 26720681 times)

legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"

Made a mistake once years ago selling early, hoping for 'The Dip'.

Never made that mistake again.

Sometimes it takes a few times to learn from those kinds of mistakes, but sometimes certain mistakes will resonate a lot harder than others.

There are many posters in this here thread who have demonstrated similar levels of gut wrenching anxiety when the sell any significant amounts of their BTC ....  In those cases, we invest into bitcoin for "reasons", and accordingly, it is like many of us prefer sleeping in BTC rather than sleeping in fiat.

Of course, comfort-levels in being able to sleep in BTC remains a matter of making sure that none of us overinvest in BTC... at least make sure that we have our regular and emergency expenses covered... otherwise a bit of "overinvesting" may be tolerable risk(s).

So, for example, if you have all of your expenses covered and projected out for 6-18 months, and then you have figured out how much of a budget that you have coming in from cashflow and other sources on a weekly or monthly basis, then sometimes these kinds of planners can take relatively larger portions of their extra money and put that into BTC... It should not be missed money because it has been properly and prudently calculated or even that such BTC investors might need that money some day because of an emergency.. because these proper planners have figured out their separate fund (or other resources) that they could dip into in the event of an emergency... one of the common mistakes is when guys do not adequately plan far enough in advance, and then they are trying to let the BTC proportion of their investment ride for too damned long, and then they get into a pickle in such a way to have to cash out some BTC to cover some of their expenses that they have not adequately planned for (and should have reasonably been able to foresee - especially with prudent rather than gambling-style planning)

Accordingly, any of us can become somewhat jittery when the BTC price falls (and the BTC price is going to fall at some point, even in our current seemingly ongoing bullish situation)..... Look at the post from exstasie from earlier today.  Yeah, I know that sometimes BTC price moves can stay really irrational in either direction for a decent-ass amount of time.. but reversals can come quickly and violently too.  In our current BTC price momentum situation, we also have not had any significant, deep or lasting correction since $3,850, either... that is getting close to two months without a correction...... yeah.. we could keep going up.. and many of us remember April to June of 2019... that was a 3-month upward price move without any meaningful correction.. until the end of June.. remember $13,880 in the end of June 2019?  ... anyhow, if you are getting uncomfortable sleeping in BTC, including sleeping through any 20% to 50% dip that could come, then that would be a sign of being overinvested... and yeah there is no magical price point in which such 20% to 50% price correction could end up starting to happen.

Surely, how much is overinvested or the right amount or even a significant level of known risk of being "overinvested" remains a balance that is likely going to play out a bit differently for each peep, and part of the balance comes from both having accounted for other cashflow and expenses for a reasonable time into the future and also could partly come from the fact that overinvestment had come from not really being part of the initial investment amount but merely through riding ongoing profits from those earlier investment that has appreciated with the passage of time... whether those initial investments were various lump sums or they were DCA investments that merely average out to decently lower costs per BTC in comparison to our current floating BTC price.

Personally, I believe that it is way more acceptable to be willing to take higher levels of risk on profits from earlier investments versus taking risks with the amounts of your initial investments.  There are a lot of financial advisors who seem to want to equate the two categories, and personally, I believe that those kinds of assessments are full of shit and they are inhibiting bitcoin investors from significantly and sufficiently profiting from an ongoing likely to be better than average performing asset class, namely bitcoin.  So, in my thinking, there remain times to allow your winners to ride way the fuck more than what traditional investment advisors might be pushing you towards unreasonable reallocations that cause your portfolio to way underperform what reasonable risk-taking would otherwise allow.
In any event....  dyor, don't invest more than you can afford to lose, mf (dimtycatl-mf), ymmv, dca, HODL, btmfd, etc etc
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 4197
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 2540
<>
legendary
Activity: 2688
Merit: 2470
$120000 in 2024 Confirmed
$100,000 BTC In one hour  Grin

settle down bitcoinPsycho....

Don't do anything too rash....


Breath........ breath.....




Breath....
It was in the context of the above post Wink
legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
$100,000 BTC In one hour  Grin

settle down bitcoinPsycho....

Don't do anything too rash....


Breath........ breath.....




Breath....
hv_
legendary
Activity: 2548
Merit: 1055
Clean Code and Scale
Everyones shitting on the idea that we will bart down.. that just gives me more confidence that im right

Why? Because many experienced Bitcoiners think you're full of it?

Experienced bitcoiner =/= experienced trader

Note that your (in)equation obeys the reflexive principle.

The trail of the dead in Bitcoindom is populated with many conventional traders that think their previous success in other markets uniquely qualifies them to apply the same principles to Bitcoin.

Why does everyone keep assuming Im a trader who traded traditionals in the past?

In my case, it was the “ Experienced bitcoiner =/= experienced trader” retort.

Congrats - we all are about to grow up.  Some more quickly , some more lucky ...

Happy Bearday!

 Grin
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1688
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
Everyones shitting on the idea that we will bart down.. that just gives me more confidence that im right

Why? Because many experienced Bitcoiners think you're full of it?

Experienced bitcoiner =/= experienced trader

Note that your (in)equation obeys the reflexive principle.

The trail of the dead in Bitcoindom is populated with many conventional traders that think their previous success in other markets uniquely qualifies them to apply the same principles to Bitcoin.

Why does everyone keep assuming Im a trader who traded traditionals in the past?

In my case, it was the “ Experienced bitcoiner =/= experienced trader” retort.
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1688
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
I know that jbreher has a lot of respect and sympathy for members like jonoiv,

Not so much as I have respect for the truth. My support of jonoiv is to the effect that some here were repeatedly attacking not him/her, but a straw man misrepresentation of him/her.

The rest of your post is just too silly to bother responding to.
member
Activity: 371
Merit: 57
So...Google's new algorithm is censoring Bitcoin just as we go into the next uptrend.
This is fine. Tell people they are not supposed to learn about this $100K coin and see how well censoring will work.
legendary
Activity: 2828
Merit: 1497
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!

Yes Elwar, google/Youtube has been doing it for a while now. Just more severe lately against crypto influencers since brad garlinghouse is suing them late last month.
This is their retaliatory measures to try and wipe the crypto space from their platform. 

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5241100.40 https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/another-crypto-youtuber-given-a-ban-for-breach-of-terms-of-service-5242169
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1230
Privacy Servers. Since 2009.
legendary
Activity: 3620
Merit: 4813
Welcome back $10.000!

The road to $100.000 early retirement is on.

Have a nice weekend WO. Smiley
legendary
Activity: 2828
Merit: 1497
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!

It touched $10,000 last night but didnt have anybody up to notice much. Undecided
But today has all the hallmark signs of staying above it this time! $10020


I have a feeling this time! Cool
legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
legendary
Activity: 2145
Merit: 1660
We choose to go to the moon
legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
@APompilano
Since the last Bitcoin halving:

- Hash rate up 78x
- Exchange volume up 77x
- Miner revenue up 15x
- Market cap up 15x
- Price up 15x

Impressive 4 year run.
https://twitter.com/apompliano/status/1258759269329129472?s=21


I’ll settle for similar results this time!
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 2540
<>
legendary
Activity: 4242
Merit: 5039
You're never too old to think young.
Good morning Bitcoinland.

Nice to see we haven't had too big of a correction after breaching $10k, just the usual minor profit taking... currently $9940USD/$13870CAD (Bitcoinaverage).
_____

3 more days to the halving. Saying the halving is a non-event is like saying pregnancy is a non-event at the moment of conception. There's a gestation period.

The first few months nothing is noticeable. Then the bulge starts to show. Then it gets enormous. Then labor starts. That's when we start posting images of trains, rockets, and violins.

Eventually an ATH is born and there's great joy. Unfortunately that's when it turns to shit... literally. Diapers (nappies?) have to be changed. Sleep patterns are disrupted. Post-partum depression sets in. Bitcoin winter.

Then we do it all again 4 years later.
Jump to: