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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 8088. (Read 26713602 times)

legendary
Activity: 1932
Merit: 1610
Self made HODLER ✓
Can't go outside after 8 PM, no alcohol, this virus is brutal.
Try not to listen the media much. There are few YT videos which make sense and spending some times to watch them may give you some peace and of-course to learn some truth.

Do they explain how to get liquor in a liquor ban?

I'm not worried about getting sick, I'm worried about maintaining one of my longest running hobbies.

We should have never stopped making our own liquor.

Have you tried contacting some drug dealer? I think they have their own independent supply chains and probably have access to anything their clients could need even if not their usual product line.

Also I can't believe only a few days into the lockdown and you have already run down all your reserves?  Shocked
copper member
Activity: 630
Merit: 2614
If you don’t do PGP, you don’t do crypto!
It’s time to start drinking!

Do they explain how to get liquor in a liquor ban?

I'm not worried about getting sick, I'm worried about maintaining one of my longest running hobbies.
You f*cking alcoholic 😘
May be you can ask this question. That young doctor seems very knowledgeable.

Quoted wildly out of context for the sake of humour:
I haven't seen a doctor in years - even though I probably should - but thanks for your concern.

Don’t panic, nutildah.  All Oceana will soon be flooded with the needed fuel for a perpetual war against Eurasia Eastasia Eurasia Eastasia Eurasia (why, yes: my crystal ball says that tensions between America and China are a feint, and the real risk of war is in Eurasia).

There's now talk of universal basic income. This means that very soon we will be a leading exporter of poorly made tractors, sour cabbage and Victory Gin.



Dry Ice

I think that is now the canonical expression of true love:  You will risk contracting coronavirus so that you can come closer than officially mandated social-distancing distance.

Either that, or an expression of the fact that you think with the little head.



Anybody notice how it is now considered healthy to be isolated from other human beings?

 I don't believe any of us doubt your ability to compose a lengthy disquisition on the differences between healthy and prudent.  Are you trolling us, Nullius?

If by “trolling”, you mean a “using ambiguously sarcastic,* ‘Hah, hah—only serious!’ style of observations to incite people to think,” then yes.  Politically dangerous satirists have done not dissimilarly throughout history.  There is no harm in observing this openly:  The shepherds are not as stupid as the sheep, anyway.

No matter what I do, 99% of people will miss 99% of the deeper substance in my posts.  I may as well make the form entertaining!  Those who can get it, will get it, nevertheless.  E.g., this is one of the top-ten most serious observations that I have ever made on this forum:

All Oceana will soon be flooded with the needed fuel for a perpetual war against Eurasia Eastasia Eurasia Eastasia Eurasia (why, yes: my crystal ball says that tensions between America and China are a feint, and the real risk of war is in Eurasia).

99% of people will simply chuckle, and scroll on.


* Ambiguously sarcastic, only in the sense that you must think hard about which direction my sarcasm is aimed in.  Many of my posts could be read both ways—including the one that you quoted.  —  Unambiguously sarcastic, in the sense that many of my most dangerously serious observations are undoubtedly packed for delivery on dry-ice sarcasm.


On Socially Distant Networking:  “Too Sober, Didn’t Read”

Anybody notice how it is now considered healthy to be isolated from other human beings?

What? How about 2 thumbs on a cellphone? Isn't that "social"?

🛑 Stop, citizen!  You are too sober:  You look like you’ve had a bit too much to think.  For the sake of your mental health, a peace officer from the Ministry of Love Social-Distancing “Social” Networking will soon enroll you in re-education about the virtues of being an isolated individual atom, ever alone in a crowd, a self-esteemed snowflake adrift in a blizzard—i.e., the perfectly docile and powerless slave.

* nullius hands Jimbo the bottle of Victory Gin—and yes, I just took a swig straight out of it—and I think that if you share drinks with strangers, you should generally be more worried about herpes simplex than about coronavirus.  No, I don’t want the bottle back.  Keep it, with my compliments.  You said that you are old and wise, which means that you were once young and foolish—and that means you are at high risk of having been a 60s hippie—and that would mean a high risk that you carry oral herpes.  No offense.  Keep the bottle; it’s almost empty, anyway.
legendary
Activity: 3990
Merit: 4597
Still, 10year and 30 year notes/treasuries are going in the WRONG direction.
I talked about it before, and here is planB on twitter with graphs:

https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD

This inhibits potential re-fi activities.
legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
A BTC-pump would be so nice to witness in these times  Grin

If BTC just holds its own or goes up slightly or gradually (especially during these ongoing stock market plummeting times), then that is going to be bullish as fuck for bitcoin and the likely non-correlated theoretical assertion that is shown in practice... which would likely continue to cause more gravitation of value into bitcoin, without even a need for any kind of exponential pumpening....

Of course, there are still likely going to be future periods of outrageous BTC pumpenings, but I doubt that right now would be the time to expect such.. and it might not even be good if such pumpening is too outrageously out of line with overall macro market dynamics.
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13647
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
[edited out]

Well we can't have the whales thinking they beat us. Thanks for the good luck wishes. You win some you lose some I guess.

From what I have been trying to gather about how successful leveraged and margin players operate is that they bank on a certain number of losses, but that the wins are going to statistically out-number the losses, but I suppose if you have a series of down streaks, then you might find out that your theory is not working out too well in practice.. It is kind of like the Martingale betting method, such martingale method can work for a long-ass time and be very profitable, until it is not... and then all of a sudden, all or most of the principle is gone, so it is very difficult to build back principle, once it is gone.

Surely, I am NOT proclaiming my own system to be fool proof because a policy and practice that continues to accumulate bitcoin, by DCA'ing, buying on dips and even stacking profits in terms of BTC rather than dollars is going to presume that at some point the BTC is going to go up in value.. whether that is a long term play or at least for a long enough period to be able to get out (all or some).

Accordingly, so far, bitcoin has shown a largely upwards trajectory, yet I also presume that anyone getting into bitcoin as a newbie can employ such similar practice as I am advocating, because the overall presumption and fundamentals of bitcoin seem to be strong enough, and surely these days, I am recommending at least a 4 year investment time horizon, and surely newbies who do not have a lot of capital (or maybe even those who have gambled away their principle) should be able to profit with a consistent DCA, buying on dips and stacking wealth in bitcoins practice(s) that goes out for a long enough time horizon that bitcoin remains quite likely to continue on some kind of upwards trajectory.

So, let's hypothesize that there is some undermining of the current BTC price prediction models**, and this particular negative or flat trend lasts for longer than 4 years, and it takes us until 2024 or 2028 halvening to get back to a new ATH.  Accordingly, I am not sure if bitcoin would be dead, but it would then end up causing some people to have to have a longer investment timeline before they are able to begin to cash out some or all of their bitcoin.. so even if they are plodding away at $100 per month or some other relatively small amount of cash injected into bitcoin, they still should be able to be in a decent position down the road, but maybe just on a longer time horizon.... but don't get me wrong, there is still not any kind of convincing evidence that our current BTC price prediction models are either invalid or are going to be undermined or challenged in any kind of substantive and meaningful way. 

So, even if this next BTC price rise does not end up being as high as expected or it is drug out a bit longer than expected, the most convincing evidence remains that we are still largely on track with our current BTC price prediction models.

**current BTC price prediction models = repetitively, I have been referring to: 1) stock to flow, 2) four-year fractal and 3) s-curve exponential adoption based on networking/Metcalfe principles
legendary
Activity: 3990
Merit: 4597
OT: Yeah sure, let's bailout the airlines again... ugh  Roll Eyes

Where is the public outrage??  Angry

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-16/u-s-airlines-spent-96-of-free-cash-flow-on-buybacks-chart

I wonder if times such as these will eventually lead to stricter rules about public companies - such as after-the-fact voiding of manager bonuses, forced state repossession of nonconforming companies and similar draconian laws. Seeing what is being imposed on the general population in the name of the common good, which is quite close to enforcing police state rules, I'd say it wouldn't be too far fetched.

It's not going to play like in 2008.

the Pound is tanking.  Shocked

GBP/USD ATL from 2016 is broken.

maybe because UK money managers were discussing closing the markets.
legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino

Rumours we are set to go into forced isolation for 2 weeks starting on Friday. I’m going to pay all our bills tomorrow & then go & get a load of food, booze & some cocaine Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13647
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13647
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
legendary
Activity: 3794
Merit: 5474
QE is like the McRib. It's back for a "limited" time and not good for you.

legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 2057
A Bitcoiner chooses. A slave obeys.
legendary
Activity: 2145
Merit: 1660
We choose to go to the moon
The money printing doesn't matter. It's the confidence in the currency and the country that backs it that matters.

Yep, exactly.

Also, lack of confidence in the alternatives.
Which is why having a Moron in Chief at the helm is a very bad thing. If money is backed by confidence and confidence is zero then money is zero.

Figurehead in the White House... doesn't matter either.
legendary
Activity: 2604
Merit: 3056
Welt Am Draht
This is the one that resonated more with me...
https://twitter.com/oneunderscore__/status/1240069022038753280?s=20
Quote
Anybody else getting waves of dread that don't really go away, but just get temporarily patted down by slightly noisier stimuli (a loud thing on the TV, a particularly funny tweet, a phone call)?

The tweeter is a reporter which isn't going to raise your spirits.

I feel zero dread. I'm in full control of my circumstances and they're fine and will be fine. I feel for anyone in a situation where they don't have that option. I don't for anyone who's done nothing and is going out licking door handles. They can kiss my arse (with a dental dam).
copper member
Activity: 2338
Merit: 4543
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
Breaking news:
Symptoms of Covid-19 expanded to include making stupid people even more stupid.




Edit: Public Service Announcement:
Please remember to watch wash her tits your hands.  Here's a great video tutorial on the proper meathod:

sr. member
Activity: 1197
Merit: 482
One other tweet that made a lot of sense:



This is the one that resonated more with me...
https://twitter.com/oneunderscore__/status/1240069022038753280?s=20
Quote
Anybody else getting waves of dread that don't really go away, but just get temporarily patted down by slightly noisier stimuli (a loud thing on the TV, a particularly funny tweet, a phone call)?
legendary
Activity: 3794
Merit: 5474
I wonder if times such as these will eventually lead to stricter rules about public companies - such as after-the-fact voiding of manager bonuses, forced state repossession of nonconforming companies and similar draconian laws. Seeing what is being imposed on the general population in the name of the common good, which is quite close to enforcing police state rules, I'd say it wouldn't be too far fetched.

Talk of strings attached here - https://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/1240012636013592581

I doubt that pinko faggot shit will pass though.

There's no way it will pass. The people who will shoot it down it are in bed with the corporations and CEOs that would suffer from it.
full member
Activity: 308
Merit: 146
Cable going down is good for UK exports.
They export a lot of things, like....
like...
Fish and Chips
Warm Beer
Cricket

That's about it.

I'm always surprised that people outside UK think we drink warm beer. Can't say I've ever had a warm beer in my life. Beer which isn't kept in a fridge is mostly of the real ale variety, which are generally hand pumped from a barrel in a bar's cellar. British cellars are pretty cold.

They forgot to add warm and flatTongue

I think I prefer the beer in the UK to the stuff I drank in the US.
legendary
Activity: 3794
Merit: 5474
The money printing doesn't matter. It's the confidence in the currency and the country that backs it that matters.

Yep, exactly.

Also, lack of confidence in the alternatives.

That may be true in the short term during a market rout. But not in the long term...2+ years from now you will see stocks, PMs, Bitcoin, real estate, cars, oil, (everything other than food prices) soar again to nosebleed levels, while Mainstreet struggles with employment and benefits, overload of debt, salaries stagnate, and the economy continues to go nowhere. Because all the free fiat money is truly worthless, no one wants to hold it. It is simply a means to an end for them.
legendary
Activity: 3010
Merit: 8114
This is no time for moralizing. Even Peter Todd says so.




Fuck that todd guy. Is he a bitcoiner?

Lol.
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