It's infuriating that all the worlds supposed experts are calculating the death rate wrong.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/Recovered compared to infected. A 56% recovery rate. So a 44% mortality rate. And that is
just as valid as what they are doing.
The correct calculation remains deaths/(deaths+cured). This is important.
Most of the people who got cured were never tested or diagnosed, so there is little value to worldometers stats. Everybody notices a death.
Nobodies notices or will ever know about the likely 100s of thousands of people who caught it, never had a symptom or just thought they had a cold, and were cured without any medical help. The immune system is the greatest doctor anyone has.
Or the people who die at home and are not counted, in china especially, or the people who are counted as dying from a hundred other issues, or, or and so on.
As long as the official stats are what everyone is quoting, then we should at least calculate those numbers correctly.
We have enough samples outside of China where we can be more certain the dead are counted properly. We only have one sample in the entire globe where an entire population was tested and we know what their mortality rate is. Thats the Diamond Princess. We know the rate of death for the 700 infected was .85 percent, and we know that this population was about 20 years older than a normal population of people bc cruise passengers skew much older.
This is the best evidence on the planet for a true mortality rate ceiling. Meaning the true mortality rate is no higher than .85, and almost certainly much lower in a normal aged group of people.
Until an entire town or village is tested, regardless of symptoms, or just a very large random population sample is tested, the Diamond Princess will remain the scientific gold (Bitcoin
) standard for a true mortality estimate.
Hopefully the money printers dont read WO and figure these secrets out or they will stop panicking and turn off the money printers.
Again, a country is different from a ship. Besides nobody is talking about the "critical" category yet. What is their death rate? Things have yet to play out long enough to get a clear picture.
We know the rate of death for the 700 infected was .85 percent,
No. You are
doing it wrong. It's about 3%, even in the artificial conditions of a ship where people can be controlled and are getting the best care their deep wallets can buy.
Again, SK is likely the best actual country to look at at the moment. Their death rate is over 28% at the moment.
And this is just the beginning stages, before the system gets completely overwhelmed. It's almost certain to get much worse.
Your death rate calculations are useless bc you dont know about the vast numbers of uncounted infected. You wont know this till they take a very large random sample of the population and test it, or test an entire village or town.
Whats the point of your incomplete stats. They tell us practically nothing except how likely you are to die if you get really sick and go to the hospital.
The Diamond Princess had 6 deaths out of 700. Highly unlikely anyone else dies out of that 700 bc the time of infection has been too long. .85 percent mortality is the ceiling based on best available evidence. The stats from countries who just test a few sick people are inferior and borderline useless for finding a true mortality rate or "death rate".
Its a cool way to spin it and try an trick low iq people into thinking this is super deadly though, so I guess its not totally useless.
The more people get tricked, the more hysteria and money printing we get so I encourage you to continue. I doubt many here will be fooled though.