On the 14th please traders dump for minimal profit and watch whales wallets go untouched. Then in a year or two get angry while the price has increased 10x-50x. Side with the money, don't be a manipulated little fish. Ethereum back in 2014 was exactly the same, and many people shorted when ETH hit exchanges.. Having said this I will be trying to day trade in order to get more Waves - I'm sure many will be, but I highly doubt we will ever see below ICO prices ever again.
I've seen this way too many times.
I bet we hit sub ico prices the first week... before the attacks let me explain:
1st: btc pump. Investors in ico automatically have 50% Fiat gain if solld @ ico price
2nd: Bonus coins. These extra coins are distributed already and most likely will be dumped.
3rd: Mainnet and wallet features dont exist and wont for quite some time. Its still in the "big master plan" stage, and because this means higher risk and speculation, Large potential buyers may hang out on the sidelines.
4th: No hype, no excitement. Only people who seem excited for launch are these High school kids pumped to dump there bounties to get a free bag of weed.
I have btc ready for launch.... as i expect the prices wont interest me to sell my ico stash.
1st: 50%?
2nd: I completely agree all of the traders that only have bounties will be dumped for any BTC straight away although I don't think this will have a dramatic effect on the price.
3rd: That is exactly what will happen, little fish dump complaining Waves hasn't got many features, not willing to hold as they need the money for whatever reason. Once the weak hands are gone after the first few weeks I'm sure we will see a bullish trend. Larger fish hold on for higher profits while holding onto Waves long term to see all of the features implemented and with the price increase that comes with it - Provided the developers are dedicated and remain working hard on Waves (Which I have faith in as they have done fairly well so far).
4th: As for hype, most whales have no need to post random hype comments as they know it is only a matter of time. Massive whales manipulate the markets constantly and you can be sure they will protect their investments via market manipulation, what was the highest invested amount of BTC in one transaction, 800 BTC? Most people that spend a majority of their time hyping a coin on BCT are the ones that want the price of Waves to be high when first hitting an exchange to dump for as much as possible, they are the traders that won't hold their Waves, they short and move onto the next crypto investment - They just want to increase their BTC holdings and give zero fucks about long term profit.