The thing is on one side it is hard to digest this as we have seen a long bear phase and a lot of fake ICOs shit which has almost lifted the trust of people from this cryptocurrency market as whole.
I dont think the various ICO scams have really had an effect on the price or perception of bitcoin. Those people who have gotten scammed by ICOs basically know bitcoin is safe. Their misfortune was to gamble on extremely risky ventures.
Dont know about that chart but there is no doubt in my mind that bitcoin will eventually reach $22k and beyond. The last dip we had was merely a hiccup in a trend that is overall upward in my opinion. Only question in my head is when its going to get there. I have my hopes up for sometime next year.
the question is, would the history repeat itself?
I think it will but it doesn't necessarily have to. Enthusiasm for bitcoin will shoot up again after the weak hands have been shaken out of the market. Those are the ones who caused the price to slide to below $8000.
Actually the thing is market works on the basis of investor's confidence. After the ICO scams the common folks realized that cryptocurrencies are risky shit and not all of them will go up. Moreover this thing has also created clouds of doubts around the utility of cryptocurrency in first place. Moreover the thing is that without government backing investors are still not going to gain confidence regarding this.
Are we excited to see that? It probably yes, but the market seems to be in the hard ways to soar high at this time. We are still not leaving at $10k and $22k is very far enough to reach, it somehow to think it within 1-2years or it is just a dream.
How it was optimistic but the market reality seems not looking that great. If Bitcoin price may pump but not actually it will go far, and $15k is much achievable.
I would have agreed with you if this was any other market but in the btc market we have evidenced such exponential growth in a short period of time once before. Even in 2017 no one would have ever thought that BTC would go to 20k from 5k in matter of just a couple of months. Moreover no one thought market would fall from 19k to 3k again. But this is how crypto market works. These things do happen.