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Topic: We exited the bear market earler than expected - page 7. (Read 1096 times)

legendary
Activity: 3528
Merit: 7005
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I'm reluctant to quote BrianH's post for fear that it'll get deleted, but he could be right that this is a so-called "dead cat bounce".

And whether or not it is a case of that, it's way too early to know if there's a trend forming, nor has there been enough of a recovery to state with confidence that bitcoin is out of the woods yet--it's only at $37k right now, and that's quite a ways away from its ATH of $65k.  Maybe traders got a little too excited; maybe there was too much stimulus money; maybe people had far too much time on their hands and started dabbling in the crypto market--those are all reasons why bitcoin shot up as high and as quick as it did.  Perhaps $37k is where it should have been all along.

Not to mention that bitcoin was at $9k just one year ago.  That should give you some perspective, and if you keep that in mind then where it's at now isn't too bad.  Hopefully it won't drop back to $9k; if it did, then you could confidently call a bear market.
hero member
Activity: 2814
Merit: 576
We exited the bear market earlier than everyone expected.

The prices might only start to surge from here. Many people said that the Korea FUD, the Elon FUD, and the China FUD will kill Bitcoin. But what it actually did was speed up a 3 year bear market into a 3 week bear market. Cool
Let's just hope that you're right that we are already out from the bear market and it only took 3 weeks instead of a long time hibernation.
If this is really the end of a season theen should we expect another ATH record for this  year?
I don't think that we are already out of the bear market since bitcoin price continues to drop at $34k but still this is nothing compared to 2017 bear season. T he price is still high but definitely a good time to start buying bitcoin.

We cannot control the market if bitcoin continues to drop but isn't it's a good opportunity for newly investors to see bitcoin reaches another dip? The more bitcoin will go down, the higher the chances it will surge into a new ATH once this bear season is over.
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 501
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We exited the bear market earlier than everyone expected.

The prices might only start to surge from here. Many people said that the Korea FUD, the Elon FUD, and the China FUD will kill Bitcoin. But what it actually did was speed up a 3 year bear market into a 3 week bear market. Cool
Let's just hope that you're right that we are already out from the bear market and it only took 3 weeks instead of a long time hibernation.
If this is really the end of Bear season then should we expect another ATH record for this year?
legendary
Activity: 3318
Merit: 1128
It is hard to say what is going to happen this year. The bear market happened very suddenly and was unexpected to many of us, the same could happen to recovery. But usually after a bear market we saw some time of constant prices in the bitcoin market with only low volatility. I would be very surprised if it just rises back to the ATH now.
I feel like we are going down on volume and that may mean that we are getting closer to higher volatility in a daily move but less in the grand scheme of things. Like for example bitcoin moving between 30k and 35k in a day or moving from 35k to 40k in a day but it is not going above 50k and it is not going under 20k which let's be honest could have been expected the way we moved previously.

This is why I think it is quite good to realize we are doing fine but realize those daily huge movements we may have in the end is not because of any movement to any direction as a set movement but more like about low volume and that's it there is really nothing to worry about the daily changes for now.
full member
Activity: 1498
Merit: 146
If we actually entered into the bear market then we are still a long way to go, all the FUDs brought the bear market earlier than expected in my opinion. If we look at the daily candles then there is clearly a decline in the market for the past 3 or 4 weeks which represents the downtrend but the bear market can be only recognized in the long term and precisely only after it happened.
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1823
I'm sorry to say this but another Elon's tweet helped a small recovery recently. This isn't good, the market needs to forget about following influencers, this doesn't help on the long run.
For what it's worth I'd have expected a lower price right now and I could have been happy about it: I'm stacking furiously at these levels.


Elon Musk’s influence over the market, and its participants, will slowly go in due time. There was John McAfee before him, and before McAfee, there was Roger Ver. If in doubt, ZOOM OUT. No one truly had an influence over Bitcoin’s price. It’s simply on its own in a path of price discovery.
member
Activity: 1120
Merit: 68
I'm sorry to say this but another Elon's tweet helped a small recovery recently. This isn't good, the market needs to forget about following influencers, this doesn't help on the long run.
For what it's worth I'd have expected a lower price right now and I could have been happy about it: I'm stacking furiously at these levels.
The market will have a hard time forgetting influnecers, they have the user base that follows what ever they say so we can't do much about that. Also, instead of getting rid of them, I think the best thing that we can do is to use it to our advantage.
full member
Activity: 452
Merit: 101
I personally think that this bear market is good chance for me to buy more bitcoin. I am not sure that I can use forecasting technique for this time because this situation itself is unpredictable. But my instinct said that bitcoin price can go down lower than 30k. There are some little bounce but bitcoin price still tend to go down. Now I have to give extra attention to the price chart.
hero member
Activity: 2562
Merit: 577
We exited the bear market earlier than everyone expected.

The prices might only start to surge from here. Many people said that the Korea FUD, the Elon FUD, and the China FUD will kill Bitcoin. But what it actually did was speed up a 3 year bear market into a 3 week bear market. Cool

So it seem, the Elon Fud helps hasten the bear market faster than the expected time, and to me has the most impacts than even the China fud, we are already use to China banning and unbanned crypto almost every year, but Elon tweet about btc mining sure hit a nerve and made many people panic sell, it wasn't the familiar kind of fud that's it shook the market.
hero member
Activity: 2520
Merit: 783
I'm sorry to say this but another Elon's tweet helped a small recovery recently. This isn't good, the market needs to forget about following influencers, this doesn't help on the long run.
For what it's worth I'd have expected a lower price right now and I could have been happy about it: I'm stacking furiously at these levels.

If people will continuously follow what he do for sure we will have no healthy market movement, its time to forget Elon Musk by now since his intentions has been exposed already and he doesn't care on adopting bitcoins, his main intention is only to gain from it and to boost up the popularity of tesla. We already done with Mcafee so hopefully it will be the same with Musk to.
legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 1422
I'm sorry to say this but another Elon's tweet helped a small recovery recently. This isn't good, the market needs to forget about following influencers, this doesn't help on the long run.
For what it's worth I'd have expected a lower price right now and I could have been happy about it: I'm stacking furiously at these levels.
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1100
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We exited the bear market earlier than everyone expected.

Not sure about exited - I don't even think we entered it.

There has been a huge price surge since the end of last year. I think that the price drops over the last week or so are simply the inevitable correction. Sentiment overall is not bearish, it's just that the higher the prices go, the more people start to get a bit twitchy, and eager to sell at the first sign of trouble... which of course has a snowball effect.

But look at the charts over a long time frame, switch to log scale to get more perspective... and it doesn't look bearish at all.
I agree with your point. This drop is huge enough for others to believe that it is a sign of reversal. However, bitcoin quickly recover from the crash and now it is heading to $40000 again. There is no sign of bearish in a long term and soon bitcoin will meet the big resistance.

According to old data, bitcoin will probably hit $100k before joining the bearish cycle
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1823
We exited the bear market earlier than everyone expected.

Not sure about exited - I don't even think we entered it.


It happened so fast that you didn’t feel it. Hahaha.

Because Bitcoin did three years worth of a bear cycle in three weeks. It’s less if you don’t count the first two weeks because everyone was still “bullish”.



 Cool
full member
Activity: 1274
Merit: 115
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I am still in doubt here we have seen this before what if it is like what happen in 2018?
Were it has been dropping and bouncing back a little until it reach so low?
But I don't want to ruined the celebration and enjoy the moment so cheers to all of us.
hero member
Activity: 2702
Merit: 672
I don't request loans~
Wouldn't expect much from the sudden increase tbh. It's most likely just traders who took advantage of the dump to buy since the price dropped, and then resell again shortly after the market goes up. It's a kind of a short window but can still be taken advantage of nonetheless. If we were out of the market, as others have said, a lot of people would have honestly bought and rose the price to at least $40k, since it'd been quite obvious by then that more people started buying instead of selling.
hero member
Activity: 2282
Merit: 659
Looking for gigs
Probably a dead cat bounce or a bull trap for me. I believe that we are in a consolidation period for a while and may trade sideways between $32k to $40k range. I also believe that $32k will be the new strong support level.

Here's the reason: https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-whales-accumulate-122-5k-btc-amid-latest-market-mayhem

These whales have bought massive BTCs when it reached $32k, so I certainly believe that we have already reached the bottom and now going up again. However, market is unpredictable and we should always acknowledge the risks that we are taking. For those who bought the dip and not during the crash, you are now enjoying your profits.
sr. member
Activity: 966
Merit: 421
Bitcoindata.science
We exited the bear market earlier than everyone expected.
For now we can't say for sure if the bearish trend is over since it hasn't made any attempt to retest back it's altime high and until this position is broken and a new trend begins from there we still have a bear market.

Quote

The prices might only start to surge from here. Many people said that the Korea FUD, the Elon FUD, and the China FUD will kill Bitcoin. But what it actually did was speed up a 3 year bear market into a 3 week bear market. Cool
Irrespective of how strong news affect the trend of every tradeable commodity it can't kill it down completely. Bitcoin still remains a decentralized currency and has such has no central regularly body. Individual and government tweets can only cause either a positive or negative spike in which after such a correction moves sets in and once the correction moves gradually overwhelms the intrusive move a new trend sets in. For now Bitcoin is still bearish
hero member
Activity: 1974
Merit: 534
We exited the bear market earlier than everyone expected.

The prices might only start to surge from here. Many people said that the Korea FUD, the Elon FUD, and the China FUD will kill Bitcoin. But what it actually did was speed up a 3 year bear market into a 3 week bear market. Cool

It is hard to say what is going to happen this year. The bear market happened very suddenly and was unexpected to many of us, the same could happen to recovery. But usually after a bear market we saw some time of constant prices in the bitcoin market with only low volatility. I would be very surprised if it just rises back to the ATH now.
full member
Activity: 1022
Merit: 133
It certainly seems so, I thought there would be a bigger dip, but the prices kinda started to pump up again lmao, well, for good I guess, I have bought a couple of crypto during the dip so I wouldn't regret later I thought, was planning to buy more after it falls a bit more Grin, but that didn't happen (luckily or unluckily) Grin I guess, it was/is a fun ride nonetheless.
hero member
Activity: 2114
Merit: 603
It proves that we were not flogging a dead horse!!!!

People will never understand the grim reality of bitcoin and how it works. Most of the people are into bitcoin are just here to make money in traditional ways. They don’t understand how it works and how it behaves. They are just like panic holders and fomo investors.

Very disturbing to the market and for long term hodler like us.  Roll Eyes
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