It's impossible to reach the volume of transactions per second that it would be needed in order to reach mainstream usage of people buying on the street everywhere with bitcoin on-chain, it will be with lightning network or it will not be and Bitcoin will remain as digital gold, simple as that.
agreed, in the context of bitcoin being the "one world order" single currency.
but if you think about it as just another of the 180 real world currencies, used in places that dont have a good currency/banking infrustructure. and not used 43times a month(buying everything) but instead just 5 times a month, (weekly groceries and monthly rent). then it is much more achievable.
also it doesnt need to suddenly explode from 2 milllion users today to 263million users next year. it can grow naturally and usefully.
even stats show that when 4mb blocks are activated (yes even core now likes 4mb after all the cries that 2mb was bad) we can have capacity of 8 million users doing 5 transactions a month happily in the near future, onchain.
(or if you want the greedy fiat lovers pump and dump stats: 1billion users doing 1tx every 2 years to HODL)my point of my last post is that if we imagine it as a natural growth over the next 20-30 years with rational, workable expansion for real usage then trying to get 8million next year, 16mill in a few years and 32mill a few years after that, is natural and healthy and scaling also grows with it
trying to push for 1billion users tomorrow is flawed for many reasons and wont work or make bitcoin stronger in any way shape or form
as for the developed vs developing cultures
but trying to get 32million americans (10% population) to use bitcoin is actually harder than trying to get 32million indians(2.5% population) to use bitcoin, for these reasons:
1. developing coutries are more open to change and open to better financial self-control
2. developing countries need new financial tools, developed countries (blindly) think they already have everything they need
3. if you had a group of people... 2.5% is a less stressful number to convince than 10%
in short
32m population for real world usage as a medium term target is easier than a 1billion speculative background reserve currency target
by concentrating on a useful bitcoin rather than a speculative bitcoin makes bitcoin stronger.
if you disagree and are going to reply about something related to fiat valuations. then sit back and realise you are not a true bitcoiner if your only goal is to eventually hold bags of fiat. and also realise by going the rational route of useful bitcoin, will also positively increase the market cap so even you fiat lovers will profit