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Topic: Well, it's settling down. Where will it go from here? (Read 4317 times)

member
Activity: 112
Merit: 10
Sweet spot @ 6 it looks like...

I'm buying at 6.20 ATM...

I don't mind losing a little skin to gain an arm and a leg.
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 4738
diamond-handed zealot
We won't have to wait long.



could be several days yet
legendary
Activity: 1050
Merit: 1000
I didn't say who was wrong  Cool

it's alright, my statement deserved explanation anyway
full member
Activity: 181
Merit: 100
I didn't say who was wrong  Cool
legendary
Activity: 1050
Merit: 1000
this is just the beginning. triple, quadruple, top. we're going down from here. there isn't enough faith in bitcoin to sustain prices over $7, remember the summer bubble was just this year. doubt prevented the 'obvious' rally to $8, and nothing's changed except a MASSIVE long squeeze reminding everyone just how risky their positions are. the slopes on each side up, then down from $7 demonstrate that what we saw was an echo bubble. expect a correction to the 'true' value of bitcoin (it will be above $2, that was an overcorrection). but we're going down from here.

bull market is over, for now.


HUGE RALLY ON THE WAY.  you'll be dreaming to get at $7 when it doubles

Someone is wrong.

anything's possible.

i was wrong on occasion of Bitcoinica providing fair balance to crazy market until someone decided to rock that boat.

after all what happened last night we're still at $6 not $1, $2, $3 or even $4.
there is no sentiment or signals indicating that movement that started in November is in reversal.  We are moving up and forward. If we continue to grow slowly like we have been so far, we'll be very fine. i say good luck waiting for price to drop below $1 or even $2
full member
Activity: 181
Merit: 100
this is just the beginning. triple, quadruple, top. we're going down from here. there isn't enough faith in bitcoin to sustain prices over $7, remember the summer bubble was just this year. doubt prevented the 'obvious' rally to $8, and nothing's changed except a MASSIVE long squeeze reminding everyone just how risky their positions are. the slopes on each side up, then down from $7 demonstrate that what we saw was an echo bubble. expect a correction to the 'true' value of bitcoin (it will be above $2, that was an overcorrection). but we're going down from here.

bull market is over, for now.


HUGE RALLY ON THE WAY.  you'll be dreaming to get at $7 when it doubles

Someone is wrong.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
this is just the beginning. triple, quadruple, top. we're going down from here. there isn't enough faith in bitcoin to sustain prices over $7, remember the summer bubble was just this year. doubt prevented the 'obvious' rally to $8, and nothing's changed except a MASSIVE long squeeze reminding everyone just how risky their positions are. the slopes on each side up, then down from $7 demonstrate that what we saw was an echo bubble. expect a correction to the 'true' value of bitcoin (it will be above $2, that was an overcorrection). but we're going down from here.

bull market is over, for now.


What about the long term trend line?

no trend, echo bubble. take a look at the daily-scale oscillators:

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg60zigDailyztgSzm1g10zm2g25zxzi1gMACDzi2gMFIzi3gRSIzi4gWilliamRzv

MACD crossed awhile ago. MFI, RSI, and William's have all been in overbought zone for months and are now starting to zig-zag down.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
this is just the beginning. triple, quadruple, top. we're going down from here. there isn't enough faith in bitcoin to sustain prices over $7, remember the summer bubble was just this year. doubt prevented the 'obvious' rally to $8, and nothing's changed except a MASSIVE long squeeze reminding everyone just how risky their positions are. the slopes on each side up, then down from $7 demonstrate that what we saw was an echo bubble. expect a correction to the 'true' value of bitcoin (it will be above $2, that was an overcorrection). but we're going down from here.

bull market is over, for now.


Please put your money where your mouth is:
www.bitcoinica.com

i don't trade on bitcoinica because i don't need leverage to achieve the maximum risk i am willing to take. my money 'is where my mouth is' right now, i pulled out of my long position right before the crash, took my 50+% returns, and have bids set at $4-5 so i can catch the next serrated edge of the...

fall
ling
kn
i
f
e

im all in usd and you should be too
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 4738
diamond-handed zealot
I want to see some confirmation and volume

this could go either way

this is exactly the psychology that will keep you out and eventually force you to chase the rise.

the shake out damages everyone's confidence and thats precisely when the market makes its move.

listen to the silence here on the Spec Forum.  most everyone is dead.

Oh, I get that, and I respect your analysis

I have no problem taking my haircut to get on the train, I tend to trade pretty close to the current price anyway, I'm just not sure it has steam up just yet.



I see it break this? I'm on it like flies on dung
legendary
Activity: 1050
Merit: 1000
this is just the beginning. triple, quadruple, top. we're going down from here. there isn't enough faith in bitcoin to sustain prices over $7, remember the summer bubble was just this year. doubt prevented the 'obvious' rally to $8, and nothing's changed except a MASSIVE long squeeze reminding everyone just how risky their positions are. the slopes on each side up, then down from $7 demonstrate that what we saw was an echo bubble. expect a correction to the 'true' value of bitcoin (it will be above $2, that was an overcorrection). but we're going down from here.

bull market is over, for now.


HUGE RALLY ON THE WAY.  you'll be dreaming to get at $7 when it doubles
legendary
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
this is just the beginning. triple, quadruple, top. we're going down from here. there isn't enough faith in bitcoin to sustain prices over $7, remember the summer bubble was just this year. doubt prevented the 'obvious' rally to $8, and nothing's changed except a MASSIVE long squeeze reminding everyone just how risky their positions are. the slopes on each side up, then down from $7 demonstrate that what we saw was an echo bubble. expect a correction to the 'true' value of bitcoin (it will be above $2, that was an overcorrection). but we're going down from here.

bull market is over, for now.


What about the long term trend line?
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
this is just the beginning. triple, quadruple, top. we're going down from here. there isn't enough faith in bitcoin to sustain prices over $7, remember the summer bubble was just this year. doubt prevented the 'obvious' rally to $8, and nothing's changed except a MASSIVE long squeeze reminding everyone just how risky their positions are. the slopes on each side up, then down from $7 demonstrate that what we saw was an echo bubble. expect a correction to the 'true' value of bitcoin (it will be above $2, that was an overcorrection). but we're going down from here.

bull market is over, for now.


Please put your money where your mouth is:
www.bitcoinica.com
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
this is just the beginning. triple, quadruple, top. we're going down from here. there isn't enough faith in bitcoin to sustain prices over $7, remember the summer bubble was just this year. doubt prevented the 'obvious' rally to $8, and nothing's changed except a MASSIVE long squeeze reminding everyone just how risky their positions are. the slopes on each side up, then down from $7 demonstrate that what we saw was an echo bubble. expect a correction to the 'true' value of bitcoin (it will be above $2, that was an overcorrection). but we're going down from here.

bull market is over, for now.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
I want to see some confirmation and volume

this could go either way

this is exactly the psychology that will keep you out and eventually force you to chase the rise.

the shake out damages everyone's confidence and thats precisely when the market makes its move.

listen to the silence here on the Spec Forum.  most everyone is dead.
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 4738
diamond-handed zealot
I want to see some confirmation and volume

this could go either way
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
bitcoin hundred-aire
a strange thing is happening.. it's maintaining a level of >5.8 and going UP despite a huge imbalance in the orderbook. 

Again with the order book?

The truth is, depth does matter in situations with little to no depth.  A spike could easily wipe us out, for example, all the way down to 5.5, and we would probably end up lower. 
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 4738
diamond-handed zealot
And eventually it stops.

in a big volume spike of profit taking
legendary
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
There also seems to be what I call 'I want a rally bot' happening. I've seen it before. Someone or their bot constantly places buys at the current price of 150 - 200 - 300 btc, forcing people to either sell to remove the wall, and encourages people to keep pushing the price up. Often when sold into it will disappear before coming back later. And eventually it stops.

Edit: When there is a couple BTC difference between the buys and sells, it seems that it will slowly go up a couple BTC, gradually pushing the price up if the market is responding.
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 4738
diamond-handed zealot
we shall see
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
"Yes I am a pirate, 200 years too late."
*Grrrrrrrrr's*
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