Bitcoin likely can't survive another extended bear market. Those of you who want cheap coins be careful what you wish for.
So it can startup from nothing, gain global attention, but if the price drops for a long time, then it will burn to nothing, not the first time, but the second time?
Yeah, seems likely....
![Roll Eyes](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/rolleyes.gif)
I'm not saying that bitcoin is dead. But if Bitcoin drops to <$30 again, it's going to take a lot longer to recover to >$100 (years perhaps) if it ever does.
Why? Do you have empirical proof or analysis to share or its just a "gut feeling"?
There are no empirical proofs or analyses and anything who tells you otherwise is simply bullshitting you.
There are no fundamentals for bitcoin. You can't analyze is that way!
Bitcoin right now is almost entirely speculatory That means it is only worth what people think it is worth. A drop in price is VERY BAD for bitcoin's acceptance. People wll begin to worry and pull out. And people who have lost a significant amount of money in bitcoin will turn away and near look back. That is just more potential bitcoin users that will never be on our side again. And since bitcoin was once at $266, if it goes back to $30 that will mean there will a lot of people that will have been burnt. And most of them will never come back.
What is best for bitcoin now is for more and more people to get involved and the price to rise. What is worst for bitcoin now is for people to lose faith, flee, and let the price drop. Bitcoin dropping is basically undoing all the work that has been done in the last 6 months getting us to this point.
Inflating the bubble a third time will be even harder. Bitcoin in the news won't be enough anymore. People are already tiring of hearing about bitcoin in the paper but never seeing anything real come from it.
THis isn't a simple dip either. Bitcoin has lost 10% of it's value in the past 24 hours. I know this is that unusual, but we've have a period of slow and steady decline for over a month now and pretty much nothing good happen when it comes to price.
BS. Bitcoin already lost 1/16th of its value in 2011, and raised stronger shortly after. Bitcoin is not only a penny-stock market, a commodity prone to speculation, it's a revolutionary concept that empowers people and that has huge appeal because it solves real, day by day problems, being a trust free and decentralized system to transfer value.
Plus, it has his own exclusive applications, for example Silk Road, that couldn't exist without a Bitcoin-like crypto currency. Bitcoin is the most perfect way to transfer value without relying on a trusted third party that has been created until today. That remains, regardless of boom and bust cycles.
Bitcoin potential is not related to exchange rate swings. BTC is nw in a bear, just because it is a commodity-like asset and after a bubble you get despair and capitulation, but this is just the very beginning of this game.
People has short memory. All those that now turn their backs to BTC, will be replaced by bigger investors in the next hype cycle. Do not underestimate the need for freedom.