What are we expecting between now and Bitcoin halving? - page 2.

Jegileman

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Quote from: JamesDaniel90 on December 19, 2023, 05:12:40 AM

First bull run coming up for me and after seeing the price of Bitcoin rally in the last few months particularly it is getting me somewhat excited for what is to come over the next few years.

I am just wondering what we are all expecting between now and the Bitcoin halving in April next year. Is it going to be a steady climb till then or is there usually a crash of some kind?

Up until now I have just been buying throughout the bear market and not sold anything , my portfolio is currently 26% in profit which I am happy with but wondering if I should keep holding till past the bull run or take some profits now.

No one can tell you exactly what will happen between now till halving by next year. But with all indications, there’s going to be a major change in the market that will either make people excited for a while or for a whole. With that in mind, just expect anything to happen and be ready to face the market changes.

Waiting till after halving before you sell your hodling is better but waiting till after bull run is the best. You just need to make up your mind as you’ve been doing till date that you won’t touch your funds for any reason and will accumulate more until the bull run so that you can benefit and gain plenty profit at bull run.

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Quote from: JamesDaniel90 on December 19, 2023, 05:12:40 AM

First bull run coming up for me and after seeing the price of Bitcoin rally in the last few months particularly it is getting me somewhat excited for what is to come over the next few years.

I am just wondering what we are all expecting between now and the Bitcoin halving in April next year. Is it going to be a steady climb till then or is there usually a crash of some kind?

Up until now I have just been buying throughout the bear market and not sold anything , my portfolio is currently 26% in profit which I am happy with but wondering if I should keep holding till past the bull run or take some profits now.

Who knows?

The truth is that nobody really knows and there are enough memes about people who claim to know while they say "it could go up, but it could also go down". Well, interesting analysis if you ask me.

What's hard to predict here is when events are priced in. As you said, will it a steady climb or will there be another jump? Is the halving already priced in due to the recent price increase?

Do big players want to make moves and ride the Bitcoin halving wave by buying and more and get retail investors excited?

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Quote from: cakravothy on December 22, 2023, 02:57:24 AM

Quote from: riantolie on December 19, 2023, 06:00:49 AM

I'm waiting for the ETF. I believe that BTC will pump there a lot, not sure about hitting a new ATH. But I'm not planning to sell it yet anyway.

i think bitcoin pump not about ETF.
in history bitcoin price every halving bitcoin price will rise very high and always reach its latest ATH price. ETF have little or to no impact on the overall BTC price.

What I really see there before the halving is possibly around 100k per bitcoin, or maybe after 1 week after the halving. This is just my guess based on my opinion. Because the ETF cannot play a part in the rise of Bitcoin.

Of course, no matter what others say, the etf still has a contribution to raise the price value of Bitcoin in the market. But even so, no one knows what will actually happen on that very day of the main event of the halving.

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Quote from: bitgolden on December 22, 2023, 10:16:32 PM

Quote from: Nrcewker on December 22, 2023, 07:55:21 AM

Quote from: riantolie on December 19, 2023, 06:00:49 AM

I'm waiting for the ETF. I believe that BTC will pump there a lot, not sure about hitting a new ATH. But I'm not planning to sell it yet anyway.

Yes don’t sell away these valuable coins in cheap price. We all know that how much valuable Bitcoins are and what are its capabilities. If there is no emergency of money, then don’t send these coins. Hold these coins as long as you can. A time will come when there will be scarcity of the coins and you will make the most profit at that time by selling it in high price. Let’s hope in this bull market Bitcoins cross atleast 70k usd.

That's the most important word, "scarcity". Bitcoin will become something rare and in that case we will all be needing something that will benefit us all and we should be considering the situation all that much better. I hope that it gets to a point where it is going to end up with a greater return, and we need to make sure that it is going to end up with a higher price, and scarcity only makes that better.

Every single year, between lost ones and long term holding ones, there are less and less bitcoins left at each market, which means that buyers who are looking to buy more, have fewer sellers, so they end up paying more to make that happen, and that's the most important part of it, we should be careful about it, and we will go higher thanks to this.

In fact, so far, the bitcoin scarcity has not been felt much, despite the fact that there is only 10% of the total amount left to be mined. You can still buy any number of coins now. It will probably take a few more cycles for the scarcity to become real.

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Quote from: Lucius on December 22, 2023, 09:52:57 AM

Quote from: cakravothy on December 22, 2023, 02:57:24 AM

i think bitcoin pump not about ETF.
in history bitcoin price every halving bitcoin price will rise very high and always reach its latest ATH price. ETF have little or to no impact on the overall BTC price.

You obviously don't know the difference between futures and spot BTC ETF, because then you would certainly think differently about the impact on the price if such an ETF (spot) were approved in the US. The very news of such an approval can have a positive effect on the price, and all those funds that will buy BTC after that will definitely affect the price.

This is the very first impact of EFT(spot). Then the next would be the likelihood of widespread global adoption. But not sure how this is going to happen that is if more people will buy the actual Bitcoin or ETF (spot). I say that nobody will be able to predict what direction it would go.

Quote

Of course, what is unknown is how much interest investors will actually have in such a way of trading, because futures BTC ETF that have been around for some time are not very popular.

What happens to the ones that have been around since they haven't been popular. Will investors interest be tilted towards those companies or the new companies like BlackRock after its approval?

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Quote from: Nrcewker on December 22, 2023, 07:55:21 AM

Quote from: riantolie on December 19, 2023, 06:00:49 AM

I'm waiting for the ETF. I believe that BTC will pump there a lot, not sure about hitting a new ATH. But I'm not planning to sell it yet anyway.

Yes don’t sell away these valuable coins in cheap price. We all know that how much valuable Bitcoins are and what are its capabilities. If there is no emergency of money, then don’t send these coins. Hold these coins as long as you can. A time will come when there will be scarcity of the coins and you will make the most profit at that time by selling it in high price. Let’s hope in this bull market Bitcoins cross atleast 70k usd.

That's the most important word, "scarcity". Bitcoin will become something rare and in that case we will all be needing something that will benefit us all and we should be considering the situation all that much better. I hope that it gets to a point where it is going to end up with a greater return, and we need to make sure that it is going to end up with a higher price, and scarcity only makes that better.

Every single year, between lost ones and long term holding ones, there are less and less bitcoins left at each market, which means that buyers who are looking to buy more, have fewer sellers, so they end up paying more to make that happen, and that's the most important part of it, we should be careful about it, and we will go higher thanks to this.

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Quote from: JamesDaniel90 on December 19, 2023, 05:12:40 AM

First bull run coming up for me and after seeing the price of Bitcoin rally in the last few months particularly it is getting me somewhat excited for what is to come over the next few years.

I am just wondering what we are all expecting between now and the Bitcoin halving in April next year. Is it going to be a steady climb till then or is there usually a crash of some kind?

Up until now I have just been buying throughout the bear market and not sold anything , my portfolio is currently 26% in profit which I am happy with but wondering if I should keep holding till past the bull run or take some profits now.

From the previous halvings, the price usually rising before the halving and it will go down again after the halving.
Then from 6 to 18 months later, we will see a new ATH.

You can withdraw the 26% profit and enjoy the holiday, or keep holding for a long term investment.
There will be many fuds and hype, keep hodl rest and enjoy the ride.

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Quote from: cakravothy on December 22, 2023, 02:57:24 AM

i think bitcoin pump not about ETF.
in history bitcoin price every halving bitcoin price will rise very high and always reach its latest ATH price. ETF have little or to no impact on the overall BTC price.

You obviously don't know the difference between futures and spot BTC ETF, because then you would certainly think differently about the impact on the price if such an ETF (spot) were approved in the US. The very news of such an approval can have a positive effect on the price, and all those funds that will buy BTC after that will definitely affect the price.

Of course, what is unknown is how much interest investors will actually have in such a way of trading, because futures BTC ETF that have been around for some time are not very popular.

Nrcewker

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Quote from: riantolie on December 19, 2023, 06:00:49 AM

I'm waiting for the ETF. I believe that BTC will pump there a lot, not sure about hitting a new ATH. But I'm not planning to sell it yet anyway.

Yes don’t sell away these valuable coins in cheap price. We all know that how much valuable Bitcoins are and what are its capabilities. If there is no emergency of money, then don’t send these coins. Hold these coins as long as you can. A time will come when there will be scarcity of the coins and you will make the most profit at that time by selling it in high price. Let’s hope in this bull market Bitcoins cross atleast 70k usd.

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Quote from: riantolie on December 19, 2023, 06:00:49 AM

I'm waiting for the ETF. I believe that BTC will pump there a lot, not sure about hitting a new ATH. But I'm not planning to sell it yet anyway.

i think bitcoin pump not about ETF.
in history bitcoin price every halving bitcoin price will rise very high and always reach its latest ATH price. ETF have little or to no impact on the overall BTC price.

AnonBitCoiner

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Bitcoin increase will be steady until halving and it does not means that we will not see decline upto halving but that decline will end soon as halving is taking place for enhancement of price. As bitcoin show higher price today like that of 43k$ so there is an excitement about halving that how much surge we will examine at that time because it is assumed that we will see 70k$ of bitcoin worth.

Halving is an event that is assumed to be a part of crypto market after every four years so be a participant of bitcoin investment if you want to take benefit from coming Bull run. Literally these are all divination but truth is unspecified and we don't know that the price will go ahead from 70k$ or will stop there so taking profit on time is necessary.

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If the regularity of the past were to be repeated, we would see a rise from here to halving, although with dips as well. It is worth remembering that ATHs traditionally do not break until well past halving. That is if the regularity were to repeat, well it doesn't have to but I think the most likely scenario is that the price will rise in the next few months to $50K or $55K and then drop and after halving go up to meet the previous ATH of $69K.

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Quote from: JamesDaniel90 on December 21, 2023, 04:57:16 AM

Quote from: Fundamentals Of on December 20, 2023, 08:08:02 PM

26% in profit is very low. Decide for yourself, but I'm just putting myself on your shoes. That to me is nothing because the potential is way bigger than that. I'm even convinced that 100% growth is very possible less than a year from now.

The sentiment is generally bullish so I guess between now and the Bitcoin halving in April the price would slowly but surely climb higher. And it's not just the halving that is being influential right now. The Bitcoin spot ETF is actually a big factor.

I don't think 26% profit overall for my portfolio at this point is that bad considering we still have bull run to come for next few years.

I have some altcoins that I am up almost 1000% , some 500 % but also have some that I am down on around 30%.

I am looking forward to the next few years and hoping it can be the first step for me towards retiring in the 2028/29 bull run.

My response to you is an answer to your dilemma whether to hodl past the bull run or to take some profits now. I'm not just saying it's low for its sake. I'm saying it is very low for taking profit. The context was whether to take profit or to continue hodling.

Compared to banks, 26% is already very high. Taken on its own, it is also already a decent profit. But to take into consideration the short to medium term potential, that's low indeed. There's more profit to gain so why be contented with just 26%? You can probably have it doubled next year even.

As for your altcoins, I think 1000% and 500% are enough. If I were you, those are the coins I'd consider converting.

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Quote from: JamesDaniel90 on December 19, 2023, 05:12:40 AM

First bull run coming up for me and after seeing the price of Bitcoin rally in the last few months particularly it is getting me somewhat excited for what is to come over the next few years.

I am just wondering what we are all expecting between now and the Bitcoin halving in April next year. Is it going to be a steady climb till then or is there usually a crash of some kind?

Up until now I have just been buying throughout the bear market and not sold anything , my portfolio is currently 26% in profit which I am happy with but wondering if I should keep holding till past the bull run or take some profits now.

Over the next few years, how many years do you have in mind, because I am sure that the majority of us here already know what the extent of our speculations will be, because many of us already allocated a timing for our speculation and just as I expected from the title of the thread, I am sure that you also have a time frame for your speculations and since you mention that the next Bitcoin halving which is around the corner with less than six month to the timing of that great event.

But we are still anticipating the best when that eventually happens because a lot of high hope have been placed on the next Bitcoin market bull, which many believe will happen and it will come some weeks or months after the next Bitcoin block halves.

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Quote from: GigaBit on December 21, 2023, 09:14:39 AM

Quote from: JamesDaniel90 on December 19, 2023, 05:12:40 AM

Up until now I have just been buying throughout the bear market and not sold anything , my portfolio is currently 26% in profit which I am happy with but wondering if I should keep holding till past the bull run or take some profits now.

Next year halving will happen but it is not exactly when the Bitcoin price will be bullish. It may also be that Bitcoin starts to become bullish after the halving event ends or may take more time. But it is certain that the market will go back to a bullish movement. If you are holding Bitcoin then I would say definitely hold it because investing in Bitcoin will definitely give you good returns in due course but if you are holding any cryptocurrency other than Bitcoin then there will be fear. Altcoins can take you from profit to loss at any time. So do market analysis and take appropriate decision. If you invest in Bitcoin, you will definitely have the right way which will be supported by all.

I believe that the best thing to do in regards to something like this would be just making sure that we do have some bitcoin that we are holding. Too many people are missing that point and they are trying to just figure out when would be the best time to buy, but they are not aware that today is the best time to buy and second best day is tomorrow.

You should get in, and you should get as much bitcoin as you possibly can during this period so that it would make sense, but that doesn't mean that we are going to end up with anything better, we need to keep it working. All those people who still hold their money at tether or similar stablecoins, waiting to get in, are making a huge mistake right now and it will be terrible for them.

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Quote from: JamesDaniel90 on December 19, 2023, 05:12:40 AM

First bull run coming up for me and after seeing the price of Bitcoin rally in the last few months particularly it is getting me somewhat excited for what is to come over the next few years.

I am just wondering what we are all expecting between now and the Bitcoin halving in April next year. Is it going to be a steady climb till then or is there usually a crash of some kind?

Up until now I have just been buying throughout the bear market and not sold anything , my portfolio is currently 26% in profit which I am happy with but wondering if I should keep holding till past the bull run or take some profits now.

What we are seeing in the market right now is quite positive, and we can predict that the price will breach the ATH soon. However, I feel this was a trap that people should be aware of because the retracement has not yet occurred, and I anticipate a large dump will occur shortly. Looking back at Bitcoin's history, there will be a price drop before the halving, followed by an explosion. And now that a lot of people are aware of this, and we know that smart money is here to entice us, we must act differently than most people do.

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Quote from: pinggoki on December 21, 2023, 04:26:39 AM

Quote from: bhadz on December 20, 2023, 01:23:02 PM

Just see to it that even if we're getting some guarantees that the price of Bitcoin will go up, much better to look at it as if it will still have some downtime and correction. There is no other expectations for you to be made when you're like that and what's important is you know that it is not daily pump but there will be some balancing along its way to a new high. So, if you still don't know what to do. Keep on observing and like what others are reminding everyone, buy and HODL.

There's no guarantee that the price will go up after the halving, the price pump happens months if not years before happening so just cool down and not get too excited when the halving happens because there's not a lot of eventful things when halving happens, maybe the price will go up for a little bit and then become steady, and that's how it's been for awhile already. Just do what you've already said in the last part, that's the only thing you can do anyways and all we can do is just wait for things to happen.

If you have been on this market for so long and been through with a few halvings. You'd say that there's a guarantee that it will definitely go up but then, I was saying that don't think of it as if there's a guarantee. As for the event, I think that you're aware of all the Bitcoin ETF waiting to get some approvals. By the time that they've been applied, we've already seen the market up by those news and they're not just rumors at all. That's why if you think that there's not a lot of events that's going to happen after the halving, it's up to you what you think and everyone's opinion is right I guess.

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Quote from: goaldigger on December 21, 2023, 04:46:29 PM

History repeats itself and that’s why many are bullish with Bitcoin right now and they are prepared to see the new ATH with Bitcoin. It’s not too late yet to accumulate and I know Bitcoin will be more expensive as the months goes by. The halving will be the biggest reason for the next bull run and no one can stop it, though right now we are seeing FOMO because of the news about ETF, but corrections are still possible so wait for the right time to buy more.

There is a saying that not all the time do History gets to repeat its self but not with bitcoin. The bitcoin Market is moving gradually towards the the ATH that I think we might even beat that faster than previous bull runs. The reason for this is as you have pointed out which is the FOMO. The ETF approval of gotten next year will inspire the market bullish period and we could beat the ATH next year instead of the past trend of it happening one year after the halving period. But as we look at the positive side of the market let’s also anticipate the bearish trend too, I feel this can only come at this time if the bitcoin market is met with a negative news like hack or collapse of a top exchange. Another could be if the ETF doesn’t get approved then we might definitely see a. Market correction

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Quote from: cakravothy on December 20, 2023, 10:37:41 PM

History shows that every bitcoin halving, the bitcoin price always rises high and always records a new ATH price.
whether 2024 when halving will happen the same thing, my prediction remains the same halving will make bitcoin record its latest ATH price

History repeats itself and that’s why many are bullish with Bitcoin right now and they are prepared to see the new ATH with Bitcoin. It’s not too late yet to accumulate and I know Bitcoin will be more expensive as the months goes by. The halving will be the biggest reason for the next bull run and no one can stop it, though right now we are seeing FOMO because of the news about ETF, but corrections are still possible so wait for the right time to buy more.

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Quote from: GigaBit on December 21, 2023, 09:14:39 AM

Quote from: JamesDaniel90 on December 19, 2023, 05:12:40 AM

Up until now I have just been buying throughout the bear market and not sold anything , my portfolio is currently 26% in profit which I am happy with but wondering if I should keep holding till past the bull run or take some profits now.

Next year halving will happen but it is not exactly when the Bitcoin price will be bullish. It may also be that Bitcoin starts to become bullish after the halving event ends or may take more time. But it is certain that the market will go back to a bullish movement. If you are holding Bitcoin then I would say definitely hold it because investing in Bitcoin will definitely give you good returns in due course but if you are holding any cryptocurrency other than Bitcoin then there will be fear. Altcoins can take you from profit to loss at any time. So do market analysis and take appropriate decision. If you invest in Bitcoin, you will definitely have the right way which will be supported by all.

Base on what we have seen before, right after the halving, we might not see the impact of it. It might take weeks or months before the price will slowly rises. Last halving, this was the case until Elon Musk influence the market and then the price goes to $50k. And then the following year we reaches new all time high at $69k.

So that might be the case here, although different scenario as we have in mind what could be the factor that will push the price for this scheduled block halving. And this is the approval of the Bitcoin spot ETF that majority of us could excited as it will push the price to 6 digits at least making us the winner and giving us huge profit.

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