Topic: What are your expectations for the few weeks after the halving period? - page 4. (Read 733 times)

I don't believe it's possible to predict the price movement with such accuracy. The price can be somewhat up or somewhat down, it doesn't matter. What matters is the long-term trend, and whether we'll see Bitcoin recovering to its previous ATH point over the months after halving. I think that we will, but perhaps I'm wrong and 2024 will be just another year of pretty slow upward trend (like 2023).
Halving certainly doesn't discourage people from investing in Bitcoin. It's a time when Bitcoin gets a lot of attention, and attention can translate into a higher demand. Then there are also people who believe that Bitcoin is bound to rise because mining must remain profitable (I don't think that's how it works), which also brings additional interest in Bitcoin around that time.

Well, we can't know when exactly the bull run will come. I'm sure many holders and investors are expecting this phenomenal event, but the thing is, there is no exact time when the big event will come. What we should do is anticipate the upcoming event by joining the halving event so that we will be ready and be rewarded. I am too waiting for the event because I want to ride this next bull run as I missed the past bull run, which caused a big change in the lives of the other investors in bitcoin. I also introduced bitcoin to some of my colleagues, as I also want them to have something that they can earn and so that they could also ride the bull run. I know bitcoin is risky, but I'm going to make sure that they will be guided by me and experience the reward that the bull run will give.

Of course, what we can do today is just pure speculation. And because of the positive vibes surrounding this market, we are predicting it to increase.
We can all speculate what's gonna happen but the real action will be on us, how are we going to act on this upcoming event.
It is understandable if people have high expectations, but I think, one should still be conservative with estimates particularly if you have financial constraints.
We can be bullish with what we are thinking but carefully consider your financial capabilities before jumping on this bandwagon.

If we would base from previous price charts, then it is obvious that market price increase did not happen during and few weeks after halving. High market price volatility occured before halving and almost a year after the event.Well, logically that's the right thing but people are here wanting to maximize the profit in every price movement. Some sort of short term and long term investors; however most of the time those who are in profit are those who invest and just hold for a long period of time than those who are doing swing trades simply because it won't always be a winning trade given how unpredictable the market price of Bitcoin is. Speculations are only guidance but will never promote certainty of price movements; there'll be instances that these assumptions will be followed by the market itself and also instances that it'll go the other way around. Problem is with people who pushes things too much. No matter how good you are as a trader or investor, with Bitcoin's market price movement, no one has the guarantee of it given that there are numerous factors affecting its market price movement under demand.

From the history of Bitcoin prices and past halving, the bull market usually starts the year after halving. Last year, there was so much speculation about the price being able to reach $60k+ before the end of 2023 or even before the halving year. Time flies, and we are already in 2024. Three months from now, the fourth Bitcoin halving will happen, but there has not been a huge pump according to the predictions of last year.

That's to say that despite people's predictions and price expectations, they cannot be very accurate with speculation. I expect that Bitcoin might be around $50k to $55k before or after the Bitcoin halving, and possibly the closing price for this year could be around $60k.

So many stories have been told. Some say it’s the months leading to the Halving that will be the bull run, some say it is going to be the halving, some also say that it will come later after the halving. What I see that all opinions have is that it will come anyways. So why not just make your investments and sit back with a pack of popcorn? It’s okay to speculate but don’t get too attached to these assumptions.

Nothing. CZ best explained this in a tweet that he made last year where he basically summed up what goes on before, during, and after the halving.

The first few months before the halving, people are going bonkers and excited over it. A lot of speculations happening on just how high bitcoin could go this period, how fast the bull run will arrive, and all that stuff. After the first few months comes the halving itself, where people celebrate and shit, we're going to experience a price pump during this period and it's expected, but since there's nothing to really go for besides the halving, the price will immediately correct itself, and people are gonna go crazy cause they thought the halving's going to solve the price crash or whatever.

A few months after, that's when the real bull run starts. It's either because the people anchored to another amazing and profitable technology that they could make millions out of, or a support from a prominent crypto personality which will drive attention and engagement from the people outside inwards. After a year or so the price will crash cause of issues, scandals, or just the hype dying down eventually. This is usually the time where people post shit like "bitcoin is dead" or whatever the fuck. And the cycle continues for another 4 years.

This has been the case since 2012. And this has been graphed by a lot of data scientists in this industry. At this point I'm just gonna put a foot on the door and watch as the whole thing pans out. I'm not gonna be affected by any hype or whatever.

Historically, the bull run was in full swing only many months after the halvening, and on the day of the halvening nothing interested happened. Maybe some minor price drop as some traders like to "sell the news", although halvening can hardly be called "news" because it's seen from miles away.

But I'm a believer that sooner or later Bitcoin will stop repeating  the old patterns because conditions are changing. In the past the market was small and not many people knew about it, today the largest companies in the world are entering this market, in the past 50 coins were produced every 10 minutes, today t's just a small fraction of that amount and most of the coins have been mined, so miners have less selling pressure and instead the focus is shifted towards traders and long-term investors.

I don't think the Bitcoin price would be skyrocketing immediately in the first few weeks after halving, on the contrary we already see some bullish trend right now, and this people who is entering the market at this moment could try to take their profit on the event of halving, people might massively sell their Bitcoin shortly after halving, thus the Bitcoin price might get correction on that time.

The main is that we can't see much difference on the price of Bitcoin after few weeks of halving period. And that is why I have nothing extra expectations from on that time. All past bitcoin halving seasons have seen bitcoin go into a bull market and touch new all-time high prices in the following year after the halving period ends. And yes the sellers will increase after the halving but not after only few weeks of halving, it can be few month or year no one can guarantee . But especially after the start of halving season when miners start selling bitcoins to cover their mining cost then the market gradually moves towards bull season and at the end of the day it touches its all time high price.
Here you can see the past records after the bitcoin halving-     
                                                                                 

If you trace the previous bitcoin halving events, bitcoin price increase does not happen immediately after bitcoin halving. It may only be possible probably 6 months after bitcoin halving, that we can see bitcoin is heading to its new all time high the moment bull run starts to appear. With this, I believe bitcoin investors are mature enough not to sell immediately after bitcoin halving is done, but will be patient enough to wait when the real bull run start to sink in.

I don't think people will start to sell there BTC after few week of the halving because BTC is not going to go up just after the few weeks of halving, if we see at the past halving events, then we will realize that bull run takes up to 6 to 12 months and the same time BTC takes to make a new All-Time High, so you might not see another ATH just after few week of the halving event. But people might sell there BTC any time they prefer a best one.

I don't think even if people will start to sell there BTC there would be any reduction in interest of buying BTC, because if one is selling from one end then another is buying it from the second end, just like the Grayscal sold a hell lot of BTC but at the second hand, BlackRock bought that amount, if BlackRock would not have bought that amount them we would be seeing a big dump in the market. I say the pressure between demand and supply will remain forever but the main thing is there should remain demand and supply forever.

Nothing really. Halving ferver seems to be an emotional response and a good way to milk FOMO's of their lunch money.

Halving is nothing except reducing mining rewards. It is true that less Bitcoin will be added to the supply from the previous halving period. However, I am not expecting too much from the halving. There was a lot of hype before the approval of the Bitcoin ETF, but nothing happened. So significantly, nothing will change right after halving. From the past halvings, we noticed it took some time to get started with the Bitcoin bull run. That would happen for some other reasons as well. But I do not expect any significant bull run after 3/4 months of the halving.

The halving is just few months to go and as it is we are all well prepared for it because we have been hearing the the halving Period since and now we are in the year of the halving. In the halving more investors will hit the market and after the halving everybody will patiently wait for the All Time High and and the All Time High many will sell and make will convert it to fiat to withdraw. Many vendors will not buy because of the price and instead they will also like to sell and after the All Time High they would start again the buying and that is the beauty of business.

You be obs on exchanges that can't keep up with the price oracles during this next bullrun.

Pretend your not colored by the pride that surrounds the old farts on this forum.

It is almost impossible to be certain on what to expect from the Bitcoin halving coming soon. Check out the BTC ETF approval and the expectations that went ahead of it, we are currently seeing the reverse of all that was expected.

It doesn't tell that there is certainty but letting us know that the dynamics in the space still holds strong occurrences. I'm actually bare as to expectations pre and post halving.

You have asked so many questions but the most important question here is does bitcoin price increases after halving, the answer is yes it does increases in price after the halving which have been shown to us by the last three halvings we have had, but we do not know maybe this fourth could follow same trend. Also the price doesn’t significantly increases immediately after the halving because according to past halving trends the bitcoin price increases to beat its current ATH mostly like 12 months after the halving.

The number of buyers and seller after halving actually depends on the time frame, immediately after halving there always significant buys mostly due to FOMO that the price will starts increasing after halving and then months after it when the price might have increased significantly investors begin to sell off after gaining profits that’s why we see bearish period after bitcoin bull run.

Bitcoin adoption or interest rate will continuously increase because many people still believe that it will continue to increase, did you see the number of adopters when it was just $1k to $15k and now when it is significantly around $46k. You can see there is a continuous increase in interest because bitcoin isn’t only about been expensive but also has some other economical advantages that people need like been a store of value

better way to think:
when most people are commonly planning for A, because they seen a pattern...
..smarter people are planning to beat the common pattern, thus breaking the pattern

i dont mind promoting the pattern that halving year does not exceed previous ATH. because to break the pattern means bringing the price above last ATH before the 2025 next ATH session

I expect that whatever most people thinks will happen, won't happen — or at least wrong in terms of timing.

Personally I still think we would pump(as most people do), but it might take longer, or it might need a decent dump first. The markets always has a way of humbling people that thinks they know for sure how the market will move.