Will you be satisfied if 2021 ends with an ATH of $70k for Bitcoin. Will it make you more richer or it wouldn't add any value to your intial capital.
Will you regret you joined the trend late or would you be glad you bought when the market did a retracement? Or you are still staring at Bitcoin with some sentiment
I would be satisfied, as someone who accumulated for the past few years, and has taken enough profit to be playing with the house (thanks to shitcoins mainly). But ultimately, given the amount of accumulation in the past 6 months, $70K as a top simply doesn't add upto me. Unless the 4.08 year cycle is to be broken, which so far after 10 years of price history as yet to be seen, it has only proven stronger as a trend.
Now that price has spent 6+ months consolidating between $30K-60K, I'm not that bothered anymore if this is the top either. If we saw a drop from here to find a new low in 6-12 months time, then it would likely be bottom out at the 200 Week MA that would be around $25-35K, and therefore *only* 50-65% drop. Not to mention that we already saw price drop to $28K, so nothing we haven't seen before...
This is ultimately for me why I see the likelihood of price going higher, beyond $100K and have a parabolic blow off top, because otherwise it'll be very difficult to see a 75-80% correction within 6-12 months. As referenced, it'd be more likely for price not to make a new low around find support around $30K if price were to start dropping, which would just give an opportunity for more accumulation at a discount.