Bitcoin should never be put in the same category as stocks. Stocks are an IOU that you own a share in a company. Bitcoin is like having something physically valuable in digital form, which can be easily divided then transacted or traded.
In my mind Bitcoin's price is either going to moon like crazy and eventually become the global reserve currency & digital gold or die a horrible death. You could say the risk of the investment is binary (1 or 0).
In a Bitcoiner's eyes, the chance of it succeeding far outweighs it's death. Bitcoin has been designed to be extremely robust on the internet (Distributed, Decentralized, Neutral, Censorship resistant etc). It has an 11 year track record of being extremely bullish. It's overall growth of development, infrastructure, adoption etc is not slowing down.
I personally think after you've done a certain amount of research, your decision will become very easy to make.
You will eventually come to the conclusion of BUY, HODL & continue to stack sats (DCA - Dollar cost averaging).
Short term price movements are a distraction to shake you out.
Exactly. Bitcoin was never meant to be a dependent currency from the world's monetary system. It was created to be largely independent from the centralized infrastructure that's prone to corruption and fraud. People have used Fiat as a unit of account to measure Bitcoin's value. Prices go up and down in a blink of an eye as they're the ones who determine its value instead of a central authority. Since there's no company, central operator, or middleman behind it, the pioneer cryptocurrency can never be compared to the likes of traditional stocks in the mainstream world. Comparing Bitcoin vs stocks is like comparing apples vs oranges. Stocks cannot be used as money for daily payments unlike Bitcoin. The pioneer cryptocurrency allows you to use it as both a store of value and a currency for daily payments. It's like combining the best of both worlds.
Saying that Bitcoin will never reach a new ATH, is a pessimistic attitude. Given that Bitcoin was designed to be a deflationary cryptocurrency, it's supposed to rise in price over time. The rules of supply and demand tells us it should be this way. While Bitcoin is still speculative, its use cases in the mainstream world are expanding far beyond reach. With the Lightning Network, it's now possible to use Bitcoin for daily payments just as you would with cash. Instant transactions and low fees will make Bitcoin highly attractive to the masses. As a result, demand for Bitcoin will increase alongside its price across the crypto market. If you believe in Bitcoin's core Blockchain technology to change our world for the better, you'd "hodl" it no matter what. Otherwise, Bitcoin is not for you.
What's important is not how much Bitcoin is worth in terms of USD (Fiat), but how useful it is for censorship-resistant payments worldwide. So far, Bitcoin has done an excellent job in preserving decentralization/censorship-resistance where no one has been able to disrupt the chain in its entirety. This gives us freedom to transact with anyone in the world without the fear of getting our funds confiscated or our account frozen by a third-party. In a world where the banking system is about to collapse in its entirety, Bitcoin serves as a "safe-haven" asset which operates 24/7 regardless of negative events in the mainstream world. It's unstoppable unlike any other currency worldwide. With good patience, you'll be able to see great results in the future. Let's hope that with the upcoming halving, prices start to rise across the crypto market at a fast pace. Just my thoughts