Please help, with feedback suggestions on a value or could you say a price discovery endeavor for a mathematical model that I have developed that predicted the BTC 2013 and 2017 highs hundreds of days in advance with over 99 percent accuracy.
I am a self taught analyst that has discovered a mathematical model that predicts the price at which BITCOIN'S blow off top high for this current bull move will/should also occur.
A bold claim I know, but the model predicted the last 2 blow off top highs in 2013 and 2017 with an over 99% accuracy years, yes, really years in advance.
The model predicted price high for 2013: $1,239.43. Actual 2013 high Mt Gox $1,241.92, Cryptocompare.com, 99.79% accurate
The model predicted price high for 2017: $20,038.41. Actual 2017 high $20,088.99 Coinmarketcap.com, 99.63% accurate
AS PROOF THE MODEL EXISTS
The model also predicts that at a price of just over $71K, a corrective pullback to AT LEAST the $57K range will happen, a -20% pullback at a minimum.
PRICE PREDICTION FOR INITIAL/INTRUM PULLBACK (please allow a +/- 1% deviation):
BINANCE $71,996
BRAVE NEW COIN BLX $71,924
BITSTAMP $71,777
BITFINEX $71,477
edit: Coinmarketcap.com $73,240*
(edit *an important note, there could be an exchange in USD that I have not analysed that does the interim turning point with a +99% ie for the 2017 ATH Coinmarketcap.com $20088.99 99.74% accurate, not all will be +99% accurate, just ONE needs to be, its not a wiggle out, just how it seemed to work last 2 cycles, though it could surprise me, so I have included coinmarketcap.com also. I cant wait to see what happens, shouldn't be long, complete ATH blow off top should be between 18th-25th of September 2021, that is not the models prediction just some other research has shown me).
The model then predicts a blow off top price high for the CURRENT bull run of: $XXX,XXX, I will not disclose that yet, but I am very interested in the price discovery of that information. What is that price prediction worth? I have my thoughts on that but am very interested on what full disclosure of the mathematical model would be worth to a billion dollar institution, or private individual as Bitcoin holders are a diverse bunch now. Or as my model indicates me to believe, in a very short time Bitcoin will have a multiple trillion dollar market cap. What is that worth?
Reference [1] investing.com Feburary 23 2014 06:30AM ET, Mt Gox all time high of $1241.10
https://www.investing.com/news/forex-news/bitcoin-spikes-almost-200-on-mt.-gox-withdrawal-rumors-267966Quoted. Please delete the quoted posts above because you're just clogging up the thread (and the forum). Also, when replying to multiple people, place the replies into a single post for the same reason.
I've seen many supposed "prediction math models" yet this fails as soon as an unpredictable pattern joins the game. As @Foxpup mentioned, it almost always ends up as a big waste of time - and even when it doesn't, it's just a bit of luck. There are way too many variables for this "predictive" math model to work properly. From adoption to the current economical status (and now even the worldwide pandemic situation) and how people (or governments) see Bitcoin now vs in the next few months/years, there are so many influencing factors an accurate prediction based on a fixed algorithm + the variable (which as you say is just the halving) is almost impossible.