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Topic: What is going to happened to the lost bitcoins?? (Read 4405 times)

sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
Bytecoin: 8VofSsbQvTd8YwAcxiCcxrqZ9MnGPjaAQm
November 14, 2013, 08:21:35 PM
#43
there is nothing wrong with 21 mil coins being out there in total and that putting lost coins into miners blocks is a good thing actually

You are free to do so, but I will always transact on a network that doesn't do this.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
Bytecoin: 8VofSsbQvTd8YwAcxiCcxrqZ9MnGPjaAQm
noone doesn't ever "not touch" their money in 50 years. give me 1 example.

If you lose a $100 bill, you won't touch it for 50+ years.
You sir have just won the thread.

how so? makes no sense- someone picks that $100 up - point lost....

Actually, I was originally going to say if you burn a $100 bill.
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2965
Terminated.
It wouldn't ruin the deflationary system.  The money supply hasn't changed,  there will never be more than 21M BTC.  Nobody says purchasing power can't decline even in a deflaitonary system.  Gold prices for example have both risen and fallen over large periods of time.

As far as random people getting a large number of coins well that has already happened.  They are called early adopters.  The system doesn't care, the initial distribution is just that INTIIAL.  Unless people want to die poor with lots of coins they will spend them on goods and services creating a secondary distribution.
You make a good point. Thank you for the constructive post. It has definitely made an effect on my view on the matter, in a positive way.
yvv
legendary
Activity: 1344
Merit: 1000
.
Quote
What is going to happened to the lost bitcoins??

They rise to Walhalla into wallets of those killed in battles with honor. The great warriors can then buy vodka and hookers for these bitcoins. Smiley

[joke mode off]
Actually, some demurrage would be very useful for bitcoin. Something like 5% of wallet balance plus 1mBTC per year. This would cost nearly no loss for hoarders, since bitcoins appreciate in value by 1000% per year, but it would return lost bitcoins back to miners with time.
[/joke mode on]

donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
I think that would be a horribly bad idea.   Bitcoins are fungible.  1 Bitcoin = 1 Bitcoin.  All functional currency must be fungible.   Blacklists generally are nothing but fail and this is no exception.
I'm not suggesting it as an idea. I'm asking if there was a way of prevent those coins from being used.
I'd rather have that bad blacklisting system, then to ruin the deflation system and random people getting tons of coins.

It wouldn't ruin the deflationary system.  The money supply hasn't changed,  there will never be more than 21M BTC.  Nobody says purchasing power can't decline even in a deflaitonary system.  Gold prices for example have both risen and fallen over large periods of time.

As far as random people getting a large number of coins well that has already happened.  They are called early adopters.  The system doesn't care, the initial distribution is just that INTIIAL.  Unless people want to die poor with lots of coins they will spend them on goods and services creating a secondary distribution.
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
putting lost coins into miners blocks is a good thing actually
It's good for the miners, but not anyone else.

#1, you can't identify lost coins.  All you know is that they're not yours.
#2, even if you did know that they're lost, they're still not yours.


miners are good for the bitcoin protocol - without them your bitcoins would be worth close to 0

coins that' haven't moved for say 50 years ARE lost coins. by nature.

Not on "my Bitcoin network" and you need a consensus of users to make a hard fork.  It is a bad idea, and it will never happen, but that doesn't mean someone discovers it as a "new" idea every other week.

please tell me why recirculating coins that haven't been moved in 50 years is a bad idea? logically please.

Bitcoin is a social contract. People value it because they trust it.  People adopted it knowing the "rules".   One of those rules is that transactions are irreversible and stealing the output of a transaction AFTER THE FACT is theft.  Pure and simple.   You can justify it, you can rationalize it but it is theft.   If the Bitcoin social contract is broken, people won't trust it and when they don't trust it the value or utility will fails.   

Furthermore even if it WAS a good idea 50 years (artificially chosen by you to make the idea more paletable) is just silly.  If Bitcoin can exist and even thrive without redistribution for 50 years why would it suddenly need it after 51 years.  The reality is it won't.  So the 50 years will probably someday become 30 years or 20 years, or 10 years.   The more people start changing the rules after the fact the more confidence that will be lost in Bitcoin.  If you can change the "transactions are irreversible rule" why not also change the number of coins that are minted rule, or maybe help the governments of the world and change the nobody can stop/prevent/block transactions rule or the users are psuedo anonymous rule.

For this reason it doesn't matter how wonder you believe the idea is many people will never accept it and many who may be neuatral on it will never support a hard fork with anything less than near unanimous support for the massive chaos and value destruction such an event would cause.

Now if you start an altcoin which has a x year use it or lose it provision I still think it is a dubious idea but you have created it up front.  If users adopt that currency they know (or should know) the rules up front and there is no ex post facto change.
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2965
Terminated.
I think that would be a horribly bad idea.   Bitcoins are fungible.  1 Bitcoin = 1 Bitcoin.  All functional currency must be fungible.   Blacklists generally are nothing but fail and this is no exception.
I'm not suggesting it as an idea. I'm asking if there was a way of prevent those coins from being used.
I'd rather have that bad blacklisting system, then to ruin the deflation system and random people getting tons of coins.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
putting lost coins into miners blocks is a good thing actually
It's good for the miners, but not anyone else.

#1, you can't identify lost coins.  All you know is that they're not yours.
#2, even if you did know that they're lost, they're still not yours.


miners are good for the bitcoin protocol - without them your bitcoins would be worth close to 0

coins that' haven't moved for say 50 years ARE lost coins. by nature.

Not on "my Bitcoin network" and you need a consensus of users to make a hard fork.  It is a bad idea, and it will never happen, but that doesn't mean someone discovers it as a "new" idea every other week.

please tell me why recirculating coins that haven't been moved in 50 years is a bad idea? logically please. (i propose a blacklist based solely on time, nothing less and nothing more)
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
I think you are missing the point.  If ECDSA is degraded we likely will see a hard fork which introduces a new "higher security" address.  A lot of users will move their coins, some may not, and those who addresses where the private key is lost can't be moved.  In time the academic vulnerability will become economically viable and the unmoved addresses will be cracked and the coins "recovered".

The timeline might be measured in decades, you might not even see it before you die but never is a long time and it is at least probable that on a long enough timeline it will happen.
I understand your concern. I don't know if there could be a way of identifying such coins/addresses and making the blockchain blacklist them or something in the future?

I think that would be a horribly bad idea.   Bitcoins are fungible.  1 Bitcoin = 1 Bitcoin.  All functional currency must be fungible.   Blacklists generally are nothing but fail and this is no exception.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
noone doesn't ever "not touch" their money in 50 years. give me 1 example.

If you lose a $100 bill, you won't touch it for 50+ years.
You sir have just won the thread.

how so? makes no sense- someone picks that $100 up - point lost....
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2965
Terminated.
I think you are missing the point.  If ECDSA is degraded we likely will see a hard fork which introduces a new "higher security" address.  A lot of users will move their coins, some may not, and those who addresses where the private key is lost can't be moved.  In time the academic vulnerability will become economically viable and the unmoved addresses will be cracked and the coins "recovered".

The timeline might be measured in decades, you might not even see it before you die but never is a long time and it is at least probable that on a long enough timeline it will happen.
I understand your concern. I don't know if there could be a way of identifying such coins/addresses and making the blockchain blacklist them or something in the future?
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
putting lost coins into miners blocks is a good thing actually
It's good for the miners, but not anyone else.

#1, you can't identify lost coins.  All you know is that they're not yours.
#2, even if you did know that they're lost, they're still not yours.


miners are good for the bitcoin protocol - without them your bitcoins would be worth close to 0

coins that' haven't moved for say 50 years ARE lost coins. by nature.

Not on "my Bitcoin network" and you need a consensus of users to make a hard fork.  It is a bad idea, and it will never happen, but that doesn't mean someone discovers it as a "new" idea every other week.
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2965
Terminated.
noone doesn't ever "not touch" their money in 50 years. give me 1 example.

If you lose a $100 bill, you won't touch it for 50+ years.
You sir have just won the thread.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
putting lost coins into miners blocks is a good thing actually
It's good for the miners, but not anyone else.

#1, you can't identify lost coins.  All you know is that they're not yours.
#2, even if you did know that they're lost, they're still not yours.


miners are good for the bitcoin protocol - without them your bitcoins would be worth close to 0

coins that' haven't moved for say 50 years ARE lost coins. by nature.
msc
sr. member
Activity: 284
Merit: 250
putting lost coins into miners blocks is a good thing actually
It's good for the miners, but not anyone else.

#1, you can't identify lost coins.  All you know is that they're not yours.
#2, even if you did know that they're lost, they're still not yours.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
noone doesn't ever "not touch" their money in 50 years. give me 1 example.

If you lose a $100 bill, you won't touch it for 50+ years.

i never said return to owner. the lost $100 bill is either picked up by someone else or printed.
there is nothing wrong with 21 mil coins being out there in total and that putting lost coins into miners blocks is a good thing actually
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
Bytecoin: 8VofSsbQvTd8YwAcxiCcxrqZ9MnGPjaAQm
noone doesn't ever "not touch" their money in 50 years. give me 1 example.

If you lose a $100 bill, you won't touch it for 50+ years.
msc
sr. member
Activity: 284
Merit: 250
Quote
noone doesn't ever "not touch" their money in 50 years. give me 1 example.
Okay:
Quote
this man bought them at his 20s, saved them for a retirement then when he is 70 years old...
Bitcoin is only a few years old - we have no idea what it will be in 50 years or even in 5 years, but the lost coins aren't hurting anyone except the person who lost them.  They actually benefit everyone else by reducing the supply, and thus supporting BTC's value.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
Why, that would just be plain stealing, wouldn't it, Mr. President?

no, if noone touches the coins for 50 years you'd be stealing from a dead person or someone who doesn't care to have them. common sense Wink

Ok then, this man bought them at his 20s, saved them for a retirement then when he is 70 years old you take his coins?

Imagine you have a property you don't use and someone takes it from you, What is this? Comunism!

it would make sense but NOT- one simple reason a 20 year old who has bitcoins and doesn't touch them for 50 years would be the dumbest person in the world
1) all he would have to do is move them to any other wallet. he has 50 years to do so
2) he can begin cashing out to let's say... enjoy life?
3) if he really doesn't move it for 50 years that person has no access to those bitcoins.

noone doesn't ever "not touch" their money in 50 years. give me 1 example.
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
Quantum computers will probably never be able to do that.

Never is a long time.  Still even without quantum computers if a flaw is eventually discovered that degrades the security of ECDSA, coins may eventually be "recovered" with sufficient amount of computing power. 
That's why we have developers. Anything can be prevented/fixed.

I think you are missing the point.  If ECDSA is degraded we likely will see a hard fork which introduces a new "higher security" address.  A lot of users will move their coins, some may not, and those who addresses where the private key is lost can't be moved.  In time the academic vulnerability will become economically viable and the unmoved addresses will be cracked and the coins "recovered".

The timeline might be measured in decades, you might not even see it before you die but never is a long time and it is at least probable that on a long enough timeline it will happen.
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