What is the role of home/away matches? - page 3.

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Quote from: Julien_Olynpic on June 06, 2024, 09:56:02 PM

Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?

Home/away matches in my estimation serves to balance things up between both teams giving them a competitive advantage in terms of a familiar ground, home based fans, and an opportunity for their fans who were unable to provide support in their away game to do it at home.
The probability for me is 50/50. If the home team is not well prepared they will be beaten by their visitors and vice versa. It is the level of preparation that determines who wins or losses and not the home/away
Playing at home or away is the secondary factor and not the major factor. The primary factors are things like, teams stats, past performances, injuries, etc
Everyone can have their opinion and we do not need to agree. If he thinks it is the primary factor that predicts the outcome of a match that's his opinion. Mine is different from his.

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Quote from: Julien_Olynpic on June 06, 2024, 09:56:02 PM

If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?

Perhaps this is one of the main factors for the victory of a team that plays at home and in its own stadium where it trains. This sets up a more familiar environment in which fans support their favorite team. But on the other hand, I would like to remind you that the size of the field, the goal and the ball are no different, so in the end I would not call this the most important thing, because the most important thing is the professional skills of each player and the morale, teamwork and tactics of all teams . As an example, I can even remember a recent match of my favorite team, which is not strong. So, when the strongest team in the league arrives, my team can lose 5-0 at home Undecided

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Quote from: Julien_Olynpic on June 06, 2024, 09:56:02 PM

One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches?

In general, teams that play at home will gain a home advantage. The support from the crowd and the excitement it creates can be a motivation for the home team. Apart from that, the home team will also tend to have a stamina advantage because the opponents (the away teams) have to travel which will affect their stamina, especially those from far away. The other advantage of the home team is they play on the field that they step on every day, especially if the match takes place in quite bad weather, the home team will gain a sizable advantage because they are used to playing in such conditions.

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Quote from: Julien_Olynpic on June 06, 2024, 09:56:02 PM

If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches.

With newest policies from UEFA in Champions League and other lower leagues Europa and Conference Leagues, there is no advantage from home away goals. We can see this policy change helps knock out matches in Champions League to become more goal productive and more entertaining.

In this season, if home away goals still have advantage, Manchester City will be the winner, not Real Madrid in their knock out pair. I see home away goal advantage is a barrier for clubs' readiness to play more attacking especially when they are guests. They know that the most important is defend, and they can wait for mistakes of the host teams to find only one goal which can bring big advantage for them later.

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Quote from: Julien_Olynpic on June 06, 2024, 09:56:02 PM

If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?

It's one of the things that we look at when we analyst a game, but it's not a single factor in predicting the outcome as there could be upsets or you don't know during the game, a player got injured and so the outcome of the game is not going to favored the home team.

Another is that even if you are playing against a home team, there are still a slim chance that maybe in the last minute or so, the opposing team score a goal and win that game. So for sports bettors, I'm sure this is not the only reasons that they are going to bet, and even at 1.01 odds, there are still chances that you will lost betting on the home team.

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Quote from: Julien_Olynpic on June 06, 2024, 09:56:02 PM

If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?

Well, a good bettor would actually think of this scenario wherein before betting he/she will look if the team he/she want to bet on will be playing away or home, because for me, it's a big factor in a team if they play in a home because they are familiar with the court; it's simply their home court, and they have the spirit and morals to play well in order to win. Unlike away, there will be a lot of pressure on them because the crowd is against them, and they will need to deal with that along with playing with the opponent. Well, there are many more factors that need to be considered before a bettor could actually bet, because if you are just going to bet without analysis, then you are just giving away your money, so it is better to make analysis and measures so that you will have a higher chance of winning a bet. That is the wise decision a bettor could make.

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Quote from: Julien_Olynpic on June 06, 2024, 09:56:02 PM

If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?

I think the role of home/way can be very impactful for teams in the middle or bottom of the standings in a league,these teams usually have much better results when playing their games at home compared with what they achieve playing away matches.The big teams do not really get impacted by such fact as they have really good quality players that make a difference even when playing away so they usually get good results playing everywhere.

The level of odds of course changes when teams playing away being higher when teams playing away games,including both strong teams and weak ones.

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A bettor will usually analyze the game before determining their bet, usually the consideration is whether the team they are betting on is playing at home or away. Because if the team plays at home, it will increase their self-confidence and that can increase their chances of winning. And if the team plays outside, then it could reduce their chances of winning because playing outside puts pressure on the players. However, bettors don't need to completely rely on that, because there are also teams that, even though they play at home, still lose, and there are those that play outside their home but still win. So bettors also need to consider other factors, such as momentum, recent performance, etc.

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Quote from: Porfirii on June 06, 2024, 11:59:10 PM

Home advantage is not the same for all teams. There are some teams that are known to play much better at home and a victory there for the rivals is considered a double victory, but in other cases playing at home or away doesn't make a big difference.

Playing at home makes a big difference. If you want to know this, in a 38 matches or more or less played in a leagues, check the result of home and away win and loss. You will see that clubs win more at home. Even on bookies, the odd for home match is lower than when the club is at away and playing with the same club. Also in Champions League, you can notice home advantage. But there are exceptions. In a season, you can see a club out of many winning more at away matches than home.

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Obviously, home away is a major factor to analysis. I think this is the most important consideration in gambling. All the gamblers I have seen around me consider this first. Playing at a home ground has many advantages. Players have a better idea about their own field, so they are more confident than the opponent players and have a chance to do well. Home ground players have more chances to score goals and very well chance to win. Also, players have a better understanding of the field environment. Above all, you have to take it seriously when it comes to gambling.

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Quote from: Julien_Olynpic on June 06, 2024, 09:56:02 PM

If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?

the general mentality is that if you're unable to win an opponent in your home side under the watch of your fans that will serve as the 12th man on the pitch with you giving you the complete home advantage, it's going to be more deficult for you to win your rival when you're away. It works too well for most people and we could count matches upon matches when smaller teams fought there way into victory against her opponents due to the roar and support they received from those fanbase. In some cases, it could be a major distraction that could presurise some teams into trying to impress her fans and might not be as focused as expected but in general, it's best to analyse the teams involved before trying that out cause if your playing against a team like man city or real Madrid, home or away advantage doesn't count in most cases because they will always want to win at all cost and don't give a damn about your home advantage.

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As the proverb says, houses and walls help. And this is very often true for home games. The fields on which the team is used to training and the atmosphere of the stadium also play a big role. I won’t talk about world football because I know that the quality of stadiums there is always at the highest level, but from what I observe in my country, I know that playing at home is perceived as an advantage for the team, and if it loses at home, then this is additional stress.

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Quote from: Julien_Olynpic on June 06, 2024, 09:56:02 PM

(...)I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?

A double-edged sword, but with balanced strength, the team playing at home will receive great spiritual encouragement from the fans.

But in one case that I faced directly when watching the away team win, it was really a sad ending, but this is just a sports game so we should enjoy every emotion we have from happy/sad/disappointed/.... With the spirit of love, I think no matter where we compete, we should choose to feel the emotions that are happening.

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Well home games can be to your advantage, but there are a lot of other factors that might come into play. Let's take rugby players as an example.... when they play away from their home, they tend to concentrate more on the game, because they do not have the distraction of their family being close to them. (Some coaches do not allow the team to sleep at home before matches, because it negatively influence their aggression levels and concentration)

You also need to take in consideration that home games might not draw in the supporters, because the team might have had a losing streak during their away games and they might stay away to punish them or the weather might be bad and the supporters might not come to the game.

The players feed off the energy of the home supporters and if they are not there or if there are not a lot of them, then they have very little advantage over the other team. Roll Eyes

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I also consider home matches because players playing at home are likely to win than their opponent to win. But this is when the home team is very good and not just a team that the away team can win. Example is Manchester City to be playing at home. But there are sometimes that I believe that if the team is strong and playing with home team, that the away team which is far more stronger can win. This is just one of what to consider during analysis but not all. You still have to check other things like h2h, the players that wants to play in the match and their previous performance in the last five matches or so.

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Quote from: Odohu on June 06, 2024, 10:08:23 PM

The home/away is generally called home advantage and it is a very significant factor in soccer. It is like when someone comes to fight you in your house, there is this level of confidence and moral justification you will have to beat up the person in order to save your reputation. Teams playing at home enjoys this confidence, huge support from their fans and in most leagues, the officiation tends to be in favour of the home team. There are several leagues in which the home team mostly win the match, and this could also be linked to how advanced or serious the league is.

However, there are some teams that do not really care about the home advantage. For example, teams like Manchester City, Real Madrid, Bayern Munic, PSG and others do not really care if their opponents are at home, the win anywhere.

You have explain it perfectly but I will add little contribution to your explanation. One thing that contribute to this home advantage that mostly lead to home victory is the play ground. It's a general belief that practice makes perfect, the home team has advantage over the visiting team because they are very familiar with the play ground since it's where they train on a daily basis. If we are to relate this to real life outside sports, it is just like your house where you know every angle and corner of the house and a thief come to attack, you'll definitely know where to hide and launch a counter attack. However, this is not always the case, it depends on the natural strength of the team, a very weak team despite playing on their home ground will possibly lose to a stronger team.

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The role of it is basically what it means, home is for those teams that are playing at their homecourt, for example, Lakers in Los Angeles and then the away teams are those that are playing away from their homecourt. Now regarding the role of them in matches, it's basically just for distinguishing which teams are playing right now but there's a psychological thing behind this which is that there's something called a homecourt advantage, players are most likely to win their homecourt games because it sort of boosts their morale to the point that they dominate the away team, that's why sometimes it can be a good idea to bet on teams that got this homecourt advantage but this isn't enough really, almost always, teams that are really good will easily dominate other teams no matter where in the place they are, be it home or away, if someone's really good, they will win no matter.

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Home advantage is not the same for all teams. There are some teams that are known to play much better at home and a victory there for the rivals is considered a double victory, but in other cases playing at home or away doesn't make a big difference.

So you asked if that difference can be expressed in numbers, and I'm sure that it can, but not in a general formula for all teams since the importance of playing at home should be calculated in a case-by-case basis.

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This being the main factor in deciding a match insane. I don't think anyone with a properly functioning brain would really thing this way. I mean there's no question that it's a large deciding factor when it comes to picking the outcome of a game, and sometimes can be the "deciding factor" but that doesn't make it the largest factor.

I have a feeling that if your buddy thinks this, he's not winning that many games huh? lol

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From how I see it, these home and away matches are one of the ways to give each team the same opportunity of having an advantage which Odohu mentioned as playing at home can play a big role in most sports.

If I have to put a number, it'd be around 5% or more depending on how formidable the team can be in home games. Still, these advantages aren't always enough to overcome most of the team's problems in the other department, and it's why the best team will always rise to the top.

On the other hand, there are still a few sports where home advantage barely exists like baseball because you have different starting pitchers every day.

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