If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?
The home/away is generally called
home advantage and it is a very significant factor in soccer. It is like when someone comes to fight you in your house, there is this level of confidence and moral justification you will have to beat up the person in order to save your reputation. Teams playing at home enjoys this confidence, huge support from their fans and in most leagues, the officiation tends to be in favour of the home team. There are several leagues in which the home team mostly win the match, and this could also be linked to how advanced or serious the league is.
However, there are some teams that do not really care about the home advantage. For example, teams like Manchester City, Real Madrid, Bayern Munic, PSG and others do not really care if their opponents are at home, the win anywhere.