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Topic: What will happen with the Bitcoin price after the halving on 07-17-2016? (Read 2312 times)

legendary
Activity: 3472
Merit: 10611
the potential for a big rise is there, but the initiative for the rise is not yet created.

this initiative can be a good news like regulation in a big country or block size or it can be another willy bot
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1000
the prices should be rise up after halving as expect many people but we are pretty close day by day to the halving but till today bitcoin prices seems stuck on $415 or below and i wish after halving bitcoin prices will increases $500 above
hero member
Activity: 994
Merit: 500
Most likely it will go to a higher amount although this is not sure of course because the bitcoin is not to predict.
In the most predictions its gonna rise so that is a good sign and I also hope it will so we all can make some profit by the halving.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1000
The price will go up and down as people buy and sell. The market will correct itself after big swings either way. But generally I think the trend will be up weeks to months after the actual halving event.
legendary
Activity: 3178
Merit: 1140
#SWGT CERTIK Audited
With the halving the price gonna increase but the essential question is what is the top? I think near 600$ but i will not be surprised if it broke 1k$  Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 1001
What do you thing will happen with the price,
after the halving of the Bitcoin Block Reward in 185 days from 3,600 BTC per day to 1,800 BTC per day?

The price must increase massively or not?


We can't know for sure what will happen, but if the price does not change then i think that there will be a panic selling time when people didn't see the big jump and will quit, another scenario is a price increase at least $100+
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 1000
You know despite everyone being a nutt on halving and always talking about it what it would do to price.

What would suck is if one of the major exchanges were to shut down that day because of too many buy orders or sell orders to process lol.
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 500
SkyFall
The price will be hyped by incoming halving well before the halving will actually happen. In March-May I think.
After the halving happens the price will not increase and very likely drop.
Of course it will grow again in end of 2016.

I'm thinking the opposite if I'm honest I think the price will rise after the halving but its not to predict these days.
Because maybe it will even go up before the halving, I think it will drop before the halving and than rise to a higher amount.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1002
Since mining decide the lowest possible cost to acquire bitcoin, if the mining cost goes up due to reduced coin generation, then the cost of bitcoin will go up. In that case, those capitals who are using mining to acquire bitcoin today will switch to using exchanges, thus push the exchange rate up until it get close to mining cost, then fall back to mining again. The reason that the mining difficulty continuously shoot up means capitals are still entering mining industry every month, demand is still rising

The effect of reward halving is similar to a sudden 100% jump in difficulty, thus the mining income of all miners are cut by half in one day. Hobby miners and miners with electricity included in rent will not be affected since they don't have any operational cost, but industry miner will be more heavily impacted. Bitfury once stopped their mining operation when the value went below $300. But typically, when they push out a new generation of chips, the mining efficiency can increase 4-8x, so a 2x increase in difficulty is well under their future profit ability

Market wise we will see reduced coin sell pressure every day, but since majority of the coins are hold by the miners, e.g. they sell only hundreds of coins per day, so a reward halving will reduce the sell pressure by a couple of hundred coins, not a lot



This is a pretty good indicator on if the prices after the halving or not if someone wants to trade bitcoin.

If you see the main suppliers of mining increase their price, it should mean the value will be very bullish.
hero member
Activity: 861
Merit: 1001
The price will be hyped by incoming halving well before the halving will actually happen. In March-May I think.
After the halving happens the price will not increase and very likely drop.
Of course it will grow again in end of 2016.

The halving effect has probably been incorporated already.  Wink
Why would anybody wait till March, if they think the price is going to go up around that time.

Because that's how it works Cheesy

You can look at Litecoin last halving if you want to know what will happen.
sr. member
Activity: 303
Merit: 250
The price will be hyped by incoming halving well before the halving will actually happen. In March-May I think.
After the halving happens the price will not increase and very likely drop.
Of course it will grow again in end of 2016.

The halving effect has probably been incorporated already.  Wink
Why would anybody wait till March, if they think the price is going to go up around that time.
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1012
Beyond Imagination
Since mining decide the lowest possible cost to acquire bitcoin, if the mining cost goes up due to reduced coin generation, then the cost of bitcoin will go up. In that case, those capitals who are using mining to acquire bitcoin today will switch to using exchanges, thus push the exchange rate up until it get close to mining cost, then fall back to mining again. The reason that the mining difficulty continuously shoot up means capitals are still entering mining industry every month, demand is still rising

The effect of reward halving is similar to a sudden 100% jump in difficulty, thus the mining income of all miners are cut by half in one day. Hobby miners and miners with electricity included in rent will not be affected since they don't have any operational cost, but industry miner will be more heavily impacted. Bitfury once stopped their mining operation when the value went below $300. But typically, when they push out a new generation of chips, the mining efficiency can increase 4-8x, so a 2x increase in difficulty is well under their future profit ability

Market wise we will see reduced coin sell pressure every day, but since majority of the coins are hold by the miners, e.g. they sell only hundreds of coins per day, so a reward halving will reduce the sell pressure by a couple of hundred coins, not a lot

hero member
Activity: 814
Merit: 1001
The price will be hyped by incoming halving well before the halving will actually happen. In March-May I think.
After the halving happens the price will not increase and very likely drop.
Of course it will grow again in end of 2016.
sr. member
Activity: 322
Merit: 250
What do you thing will happen with the price,
after the halving of the Bitcoin Block Reward in 185 days from 3,600 BTC per day to 1,800 BTC per day?

The price must increase massively or not?


To be honest I don't think it will have much of an effect on the price of bitcoin. It may gradually cause prices to rise leading up to that date, but I don't think it will cause a sudden spike or anything. It's something that every can see is going to happen. It's not taking anybody by surprise or anything.
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 107
It is going to go up a few weeks before the halving based on speculation and then it will go down when it doesn't skyrocket and it will end up not being that big of an overall impact.

But I'm often wrong about these things.
sr. member
Activity: 826
Merit: 250
After the halving of block there must be some huge rises in price.I will say at least 700 $ will be seen because everyone knows production will remain half of Bitcoin so automatic increase is sure.
legendary
Activity: 1876
Merit: 1005
I really don't expect any dramatic increase in price after this date of halving.Price are already reached the level where it should be after halving if we calculate earning/cost of mining.I don't say there will be no increase at all but will not be as many of us are expecting.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
The effect will be minimal at the time of the halving. Any effect will be prices in already and most likely price will even drop once people realize the price isnt moving and they start selling their stack again.

Halving is not some magical moment, supply remains exactly the same, only the inflation slows down a bit.

It shouldn't be some magical moment......but this is trading you are talking about.
 
Traders are generally chomping at the bit for some good story to justify piling into, or out of, a particular asset. I think an impending 'halving' of supply rate is a pretty good excuse for traders to jump into Bitcoin, setting the thing on a powerful upward trend, which then justfify yet more traders trying to catch momentum, thus sending the fucker parabolic.

Be a nightmare when it comes around....won't be able to enjoy, be too busy focussing on when to cash out....and will invariably end up kicking myself at some point....I think $1000 would be a pretty good 'Blind Sell' target come June/July 2016.
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1007
The effect will be minimal at the time of the halving. Any effect will be prices in already and most likely price will even drop once people realize the price isnt moving and they start selling their stack again.

Halving is not some magical moment, supply remains exactly the same, only the inflation slows down a bit.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
What do you thing will happen with the price,
after the halving of the Bitcoin Block Reward in 185 days from 3,600 BTC per day to 1,800 BTC per day?

The price must increase massively or not?


What happens to price after any big ramp based upon over enthiusastic expectations over some fundamental event?
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