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Topic: What will the state do? - page 4. (Read 7455 times)

legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1005
September 19, 2012, 02:17:23 PM
#21
Another interesting thing to think about is what would happen to consumer-level debts denominated in USD if the USD did indeed collapse?  If USD was worthless, then I could buy it up by the bucketloads and pay off my house quickly.  Or, would the banks attempt to convert the loans into something else (even though I don't think that would be contractually possible)?

Great question. In essence, as your post alludes, hyperinflation ($$$ collapse) is debt default by the back door.
Exactly.  And I'm looking forward to it, because I've got a house that is worth less than I owe on it, plus some nice-sized student loans.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
Annuit cœptis humanae libertas
September 19, 2012, 02:13:30 PM
#20
Another interesting thing to think about is what would happen to consumer-level debts denominated in USD if the USD did indeed collapse?  If USD was worthless, then I could buy it up by the bucketloads and pay off my house quickly.  Or, would the banks attempt to convert the loans into something else (even though I don't think that would be contractually possible)?

Great question. In essence, as your post alludes, hyperinflation ($$$ collapse) is debt default by the back door.
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1005
September 19, 2012, 01:42:19 PM
#19
Another interesting thing to think about is what would happen to consumer-level debts denominated in USD if the USD did indeed collapse?  If USD was worthless, then I could buy it up by the bucketloads and pay off my house quickly.  Or, would the banks attempt to convert the loans into something else (even though I don't think that would be contractually possible)?
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1003
September 19, 2012, 01:35:44 PM
#18
Just federal debt alone, is 16T, 1.1T is just what 7%? yeah that's what I consider tiny. Not to mention we have state and municipal debts, that has already cause a number of municipality to declare bankruptcy. This is just government debt. US companies have another 40T of corporate debt.

It's >25% of foreign-owned debt. The Fed and other US agencies own something like >20% of the total debt, which is fairly meaningless. Any money the fed makes on interest is transferred to the treasury. What do local and corporate debts have to do with this thread?

I was responding to someone's claim that "China owns most of US". Which is inaccurate since China owns just 7% of federal debt, which is tiny. Plus, federal debt itself is tiny when compared to state+municipal+corporate debt.
newbie
Activity: 14
Merit: 0
September 19, 2012, 11:11:42 AM
#17
Just federal debt alone, is 16T, 1.1T is just what 7%? yeah that's what I consider tiny. Not to mention we have state and municipal debts, that has already cause a number of municipality to declare bankruptcy. This is just government debt. US companies have another 40T of corporate debt.

It's >25% of foreign-owned debt. The Fed and other US agencies own something like >20% of the total debt, which is fairly meaningless. Any money the fed makes on interest is transferred to the treasury. What do local and corporate debts have to do with this thread?

the state built bridges for the homeless and fema camps for those who "occupy" and guantanamos for those who cried for "change"
yes we can ! but first lets bomb Iran
you elect Ron Paul or your empire is gone
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
September 19, 2012, 10:55:10 AM
#16
Just federal debt alone, is 16T, 1.1T is just what 7%? yeah that's what I consider tiny. Not to mention we have state and municipal debts, that has already cause a number of municipality to declare bankruptcy. This is just government debt. US companies have another 40T of corporate debt.

It's >25% of foreign-owned debt. The Fed and other US agencies own something like >20% of the total debt, which is fairly meaningless. Any money the fed makes on interest is transferred to the treasury. What do local and corporate debts have to do with this thread?
newbie
Activity: 14
Merit: 0
September 19, 2012, 10:49:13 AM
#15
China owns tiny portion of US debt, and almost no US asset.

I'm not sure how $1.1T can be considered tiny.

http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/mfh.txt

Just federal debt alone, is 16T, 1.1T is just what 7%? yeah that's what I consider tiny. Not to mention we have state and municipal debts, that has already cause a number of municipality to declare bankruptcy. This is just government debt. US companies have another 40T of corporate debt.

peanuts compared to the shaddow banking systems quadrillion ponzified derivatives....are you american?  trying to start counting?
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1003
September 19, 2012, 10:38:57 AM
#14
China owns tiny portion of US debt, and almost no US asset.

I'm not sure how $1.1T can be considered tiny.

http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/mfh.txt

Just federal debt alone, is 16T, 1.1T is just what 7%? yeah that's what I consider tiny. Not to mention we have state and municipal debts, that has already cause a number of municipality to declare bankruptcy. This is just government debt. US companies have another 40T of corporate debt.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
September 19, 2012, 10:31:53 AM
#13
The last thing the feds want to do is highlight fear and weakness in the dollar by labeling bitcoin as a threat.  Additionally, all they would do is create iterative competitors. Their only recourse is to embrace and regulate it, or go after it covertly. 

It's a sure bet that a majority of the people working in the Federal system have no idea how bitcoin works, assuming they've even heard of it. Bitcoin's strength is that it's an idea first and foremost and a currency/commodity second. Ideas aren't valued in the upper realms of American "culture" anymore since only the $$ signs matter.

Of the small percentage that work on the Fed Farm that do understand bitcoin, I'd also bet that at least some of them actually LIKE the idea. If you're smart enough to grasp how bitcoin works, you're also smart enough to know why the current economic system won't work anymore.
hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 500
September 19, 2012, 10:16:40 AM
#12
Bitcoin would be completely disconnected from the mainstream.


But what if the mainstream had already adopted it?
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
September 19, 2012, 10:13:39 AM
#11
2) China owns most of US

LOLZ.  US owns most of US debt.  Try reading more than the headline next time.

The Fed != Us Gov, Private banks got the US (and most others) to bend over and spread wide ...

I'm tempted to agree that china is the biggest holder, why ? The fed is owned by several private institutions, if you could look at owner ship shares and follow the trail I'm sure you can add a few trillion extra on to china's account.

Not to mention that this does not account for all private and/or corperate owned depth inside the US!
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/biggest-holders-of-us-gov-t-debt.html


As for state, they will do what they always do: if you can't beat it, join it and change it from the inside ... (co-opt)
newbie
Activity: 14
Merit: 0
September 19, 2012, 10:03:34 AM
#10
China owns tiny portion of US debt, and almost no US asset.

I'm not sure how $1.1T can be considered tiny.

http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/mfh.txt

cause unfunded obligations of the USA $ ponzi scheme are 1 quadrillion $
as that countrys inhabitants decline to be able to count on three........reconciliation will require even more popcorn as in the second world war.....
cause this time it´ll take place on the ignorants own soil
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
September 19, 2012, 08:18:05 AM
#9
China owns tiny portion of US debt, and almost no US asset.

I'm not sure how $1.1T can be considered tiny.

http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/mfh.txt
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1003
September 19, 2012, 08:11:40 AM
#8
1) the world is not run by dollars
2) China owns most of US
3) the euro is pretty much borked
4) other stuff

China owns tiny portion of US debt, and almost no US asset.
newbie
Activity: 14
Merit: 0
September 19, 2012, 07:59:38 AM
#7
When a state reaches peak extortion and begins to lose the ability to function the people who have control of government-owned resources usually start looting whatever they can get their hands on. This is followed by a dissolution of the existing government and the formation of a new one that doesn't recognize the financial obligations of the previous one (too bad about those pensions...).

I expect the government to spend more time using Bitcoin to to launder misappropriated funds than it spends trying to outlaw it.

+++1
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
September 19, 2012, 07:43:35 AM
#6
2) China owns most of US

LOLZ.  US owns most of US debt.  Try reading more than the headline next time.
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1013
September 19, 2012, 07:39:28 AM
#5
When a state reaches peak extortion and begins to lose the ability to function the people who have control of government-owned resources usually start looting whatever they can get their hands on. This is followed by a dissolution of the existing government and the formation of a new one that doesn't recognize the financial obligations of the previous one (too bad about those pensions...).

I expect the government to spend more time using Bitcoin to to launder misappropriated funds than it spends trying to outlaw it.
newbie
Activity: 57
Merit: 0
September 19, 2012, 05:24:34 AM
#4
Right now, Bitcoin doesn't really pose a risk to the establishment. They're probably not allocating a lot of resources to investigating or cracking it at the moment. If an economic collapse happens (thing Wiemar Republic style) then they will throw everything they have at it. Will that work? Probably not. We can assume the NSA is already working on it and they haven't (to our knowledge) cracked it yet.

So what does that leave?

Laws.  If a collapse happens, gold, silver, other precious metals and Bitcoin will likely flourish. A call on gold would probably happen and Bitcoins would be outlawed. We'd see a sudden rash of terrorists using Bitcoins to finance extremist activities and general fearmongering.  When you have a public obedient enough to hand over their gold and silver voluntarily, they will run from this spooky new Internet currency in droves. Bitcoin would be completely disconnected from the mainstream.

But on the fringes... :-)
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Wat
September 19, 2012, 03:43:48 AM
#3
If bitcoin takes hold how are they going to able to fund their police state or military industrial complex to go after bitcoin ?

If they were really all powerful the silk road wouldnt be out there giving them the finger right now  Smiley
hero member
Activity: 792
Merit: 1000
Bite me
September 19, 2012, 03:37:45 AM
#2
1) the world is not run by dollars
2) China owns most of US
3) the euro is pretty much borked
4) other stuff
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