Topic: What would a US recession do to the price of Bitcoin? (Read 221 times)

Nothing is certain when it comes to the future, mate. I appreciate Trump in boosting the economy because he is a businessman, he knows how to boost and develop the economy. But it will all depend on the health of the economy when he takes over, if the economy is in a bad phase or on the brink of recession then he will hardly be able to restore the economy quickly. Not to mention, he is not the only one deciding the fate of the US economy, the Fed is also a very important factor and you need to remember that they do not follow the orders of the president.


We are bitcoin investors so we are definitely biased towards it, but let's be realistic, it is still a highly volatile investment so it would be at a disadvantage if a recession were to occur.

It definitely wouldn’t be a good thing in general but in the foreseeable future, especially with Trump going into office I think it’s safe to say that the US won’t be going into a recession. And even when we do I feel like bitcoin would be the last thing folks let go of easily.

Deep state is likely moving a lot of cash off shore

They printed so much now they are stealing it.

Once Trump and Elon take control it will be lights out

For the old guard of scammers, they ain't getting the House or

Senate back for probably atleast 8 years, could be 20

Price will likely fall back long term, all depends on how

Much Debt the US keeps accuring and the timing of the Ponzi

Real Estate market and Stock Market Collapse

Very well the best time to sell your bitcoin is at an all-time high, and the worst time to buy bitcoin is at an all-time high, when it comes to bitcoin, we. all need to put some smart skills at work in other to remain at profits, this is a very important lesson that any bitcoin investors should have, since bitcoin is valued with it dollar rate, is very important to know how to apply the various bitcoin Dollar 💰 value and applying that to both your buy and sell price.


Buying Bitcoin at an all-time = high losses/waiting for an unpredictable time

Selling bitcoin at an all-time high = profits for those who bought bitcoin at a lower price.

In reality, buying bitcoin at this point will depend on the individual because not everyone has the opportunity to enter the market as early as we do. Many people have only heard about bitcoin in the last few weeks, how can they buy bitcoin from a month or more ago? If they don't buy now, when is the right time to buy and what guarantees that the price of bitcoin will drop to $70k or $50k for them to buy? At current prices, this is not a perfect time to buy bitcoin for old investors but for newbies, it is completely different. So, it depends on each person's decision.

But I also won't give investment advice to anyone at this point but I won't stop them if they want to invest.

Honestly, now is the wrong time to buy Bitcoin. Anyone who is buying now should've bought a month ago.

Although, if you are looking to sell off some of your holdings to get some cash, now is a good time. I just sold about $500 worth of BTC. Zero regrets whatsoever. (And I still have a huge stash.)

It's not a speculation anymore though, US has been experiencing recession for a couple of years now and in that duration we saw that it creates sell pressure on bitcoin preventing its rise. But that was not just US in recession, but most of the world was also in recession which meant the sell pressure was global and it caused the drops which is why bitcoin is still below $100k after all this time.

In the future, more recession which they only would battle by increasing interest rates in the US, would similarly cause sell pressure and can affect the bull run.

The only two other things to consider are:
1) Will it be global? In your arguments, the recession is in US only and as long as it remains that way the impact on bitcoin is not going to be as big as it was before.
2) Will there be inflation as well? All the deportation (firing bulk of US workforce) and the tariff war would create much higher inflation compared to the past couple of years in the US. We already know inflation positively affects bitcoin by increasing its price.

On top of that we have dedollarisation going on and with Trump and his wars against their world (specially now that we have seen some of his cabinet members who are the biggest warmongers in America) we can be sure that dedollarisation will speed up which can lead to US dollar tanking hard.
Obviously that means bitcoin price shooting up automatically.

Warren is fearful when others are greedy, and he is greedy when others are fearful. Simple as that.

Warren's just following his old philosophy when many are still euphoric after Trump's winner in US election, then he took advantage to sell his asset at peak.

As for the recession impact to the Bitcoin, the recession will cause bitcoin's price to slip. It's obvious. I meant, during a recession, people will do anything for money. The best way is to sell bitcoin, their most liquid asset. It took a few seconds to exchange your bitcoin to cash.

He is often right, but whatever he chooses to do is his choice. It was said he had already cashed out his stock holdings, but I don't think he has piles of cash at home or in his home vault. For someone who has been making money in trading, I think he already is into Bitcoin he can't just make it public.

A rich guy like him would probably fly somewhere else if the recession comes, maybe he would turn his money to gold or invest in China stocks.

In my opinion, you have formulated a very important question. It is very difficult to give a clear answer to this question.

If the US recession is in 2025, when exactly will it start? In the middle of the year? Somewhere in May 2025? What will the price of Bitcoin be at that time? There are still six months until May 2025. During this time, the price of Bitcoin can double. From these levels, there can theoretically be a correction. At the same time, we cannot clearly answer whether a recession in the US will lead to an increase in the price of Bitcoin or to its fall. A recession in the US will definitely lead to a fall in oil prices and an economic catastrophe in countries such as Russia and other peripheral countries. The US will most likely suffer less than others. At the same time, the price of Bitcoin, as a rule, has an inverse correlation with the price of oil.

Therefore, in the medium term, it may even grow (although short-term panic falls in the price of the first cryptocurrency are also possible).

The opposite might happen seeing Bitcoin as their source of income.  People losing jobs may redirect them to trading, and get more engaged with Bitcoin activities.  Rich people might find Bitcoin as safe haven for their declining US dollar purchasing power and might put their funds into Bitcoin just to preserve their wealth.

Since the dollar purchasing power is declining, Bitcoin price might reach its new height since it will become more expensive as the dollars weaken.

Well, that’s how Warren Buffet point of view about having US recession and for me, everyone’s point of view is reasonable. But I believe seeing bitcoin’s high volatility, one thing is certain, bitcoin will definitely undergo price fluctuations based on its macroeconomic conditions or let’s say even the condition of the asset itself. It could go on an upward or downward position, but rest assured the effect will only be temporary.

Am happy Trump won to begin with and if it is going to affect the prices of things or cause a recession, it remains to be seen. The Russia- Ukraine war and the Israel -Hamas war ceased upon his winning and that's a good sign that shows that the economy may get better with time.
There's of course a bull run for cryptocurrencies because Trump's son also has a coin he is to launch with the support of his repentant father who now has renewed hope for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies in general.

As far as I know, Trump never claimed that he will get rid off immigrants, and instead illegal immigrants and there's a huge difference between those two.


Never heard that one, but big difference between Europe and US is that if for example you are born in Europe by illegal immigrant parents, you don't automatically get citizenship (many never get it), while in US you will automatically get it once you are born there.

If Trump choose to deport immigrants, America is no longer America that people know.

I've heard something like this, if non Europe live in Europe, you're an immigrant, but if non American live in America, you're an American.

The crisis happened in 2007-2009 and 2019-2020, in early days, there's no way to know if US recession affect Bitcoin price, but in 2019-2020, corona virus did affect Bitcoin price, but it was happened not in bull run season, if covid happened in 2021, we can draw the conclusion.

It will only help your pay rate if you work in very specific industries, doing very specific things, like lower-end construction workers. Construction companies, as a whole, will do much worse since they will have to drastically raise prices, which will reduce demand, meaning they will sell fewer new homes.

And fewer new homes means less sales of all kind of other goods that come with new home formation, etc. etc.

And immigrant labor in the US also deeply affects the food industry, so grocery store prices will rise, and the hospitality industry, so restaurants and hotels will rise in price, which will affect the travel industry.

In the longer run, the US will be a less friendly place to do business since our labor costs will be much higher.

In short, like any government protectionism movement, this will be a positive thing for a small number of workers for a short period of time, but it will hurt everybody else immediately and weaken our economy in the long run.


Um, the whales will get out long before ordinary people do  . Unlike ordinary people, they have a staff of economists to help them time the market.

For an average American citizen, massive deportations will be good in terms that they'll have higher pay rate, better working conditions and more available jobs because migrants work like slaves but at the same time, there is a high chance that their deportation will increase the price on everything, so maybe the life of an average American citizen won't change for better but it's debatable.

That's true, if millions of people lose their jobs, they'll be forced to sell their Bitcoin and altcoins because they need to eat something and if they don't have cash, then they need to convert their assets. Btw during bull run, even if you lose job, it's still hard to sell coins when you see how your asset's value increases. I think that whales will play a major role in Bitcoin's price again because from my understanding, average person would live a poor style instead of selling an asset that they see how it grows every day.

Buffett's stock sales this year, including huge sales of Apple and Bank of America, would appear more related to caution and grasping future opportunities rather than outright panic. Currently, he has loads of money in his pocket, which he could use when the prices go down during economic turmoil. Some have painted that as a warning sign of recession, but certainly not a promise of recession, it is complicated and associated with a number of factors that influence the markets.

The impact of this recession on Bitcoin could happen in some very odd ways, of course, out of work people may liquidate a portion of their assets, including Bitcoin, which could drive down the price of the cryptocurrency in the coming months. However, Bitcoin is increasingly being framed as a hedge against inflation and a financial meltdown. If there is less confidence in traditional markets, demand for decentralized assets could grow. The relation between crypto and economic downturns isn't directly proportional, instead, it's an idea of safety during turmoil. This is to say that while moves from Buffett and economic shifts will not go unnoticed, Bitcoin might actually be resilient or thrive in the face of global sentiment and adoption trends.

That is the thing, he could be right or wrong, we will never know what is going to happen, so he is betting on himself, so be it.


We have seen it all, and yet Bitcoin holds it's own against this recession buy having it's bull run no matter what.


Just suck it in, right now we are in the bull run, till next year. But after that, in 2026, Bitcoin will have to rest and start all over again, meaning we will be in the bear market. So the price is going down, very hard, so most likely there will be investors who will shift to stocks and any other assets.

But it doesn't mean that it will cause the downfall of the US economic other Trump, that's how Bitcoin works, we have a 4 year cycle.

Bitcoin has potential and can be used as a store of value but I don't see it reaching that stage yet . I mean, with the current volatility , it's still not a perfect store of value and if we accept the reality , most people are just using it as a speculative asset.

Remember the 2022 inflation period 1 year ago ? Bitcoin dumped when inflation peaked , showing it's not the store of value we once thought it was.
Bitcoin is only used as an investment these days so a recession won't be good for it, I think bitcoin will get dumped if recession happens.

The opposite could also happen if the new US administration turns it into a national reserve, but as we all know ,  Trump's idea is not easy to implement.