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Topic: When will October's bubble burst? - page 6. (Read 11068 times)

hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 508
October 20, 2013, 03:50:27 PM
#52
People were asking these questions back in January as the price zoomed toward $20.

"Oh look, it's overbought, better take profits."

"Oh oh, it's up so high, it'll really crash hard from $22."

Yeah it crashed hard...to $50, from $266.

I've said it time and again: if you think you're such an amazing trader that you can do better than the 1000% annual gain of just buying and holding, be my guest.
Well, I think some people, due to limited capital want to maximize gains now in bitcoin so that they can realize those year over year gains down the road. But also, how long can we sustain those kind of annual gains, do you think?
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
October 20, 2013, 03:50:09 PM
#51
IMO price won't crash before we test the 200$ walls, which will probably happen the next 2 - 3 days, if volume is good.
If volume stays low, we can linger at this level for a while, maybe drop a bit. After the peak it may take another 4 - 6 days till we crash.
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000
October 20, 2013, 03:37:49 PM
#50
People were asking these questions back in January as the price zoomed toward $20.

"Oh look, it's overbought, better take profits."

"Oh oh, it's up so high, it'll really crash hard from $22."

Yeah it crashed hard...to $50, from $266.

I've said it time and again: if you think you're such an amazing trader that you can do better than the 1000% annual gain of just buying and holding, be my guest.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
October 20, 2013, 02:18:00 PM
#49
i will say... the longer that we stay at this level, the more nervous i get not being 100% btc... not sure what to do!  Undecided

Accept your loss (of opportunity) and think how you can do better next time.

Do NOT capitulate.  

It sucks, I'm sorry.  Undecided

what are you talking about? capitulate? i took profits slightly above where we are and don't know if i should buy back. "do better"? do you already know what is going to happen in the future?

euuuuuhhm

Wauw, I'm speechless.

Guess you are looking for a different response.

Can't help you with that.


Here my opinion.

It really does not matter what your past transactions are.

The question is: is it wise to buy now? Long term, likely yes. Short term, likely no.

that was actually exactly the type of response i was looking for.  Smiley
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
This bull will try to shake you off. Hold tight!
October 20, 2013, 02:16:27 PM
#48
i will say... the longer that we stay at this level, the more nervous i get not being 100% btc... not sure what to do!  Undecided

Accept your loss (of opportunity) and think how you can do better next time.

Do NOT capitulate.  

It sucks, I'm sorry.  Undecided

what are you talking about? capitulate? i took profits slightly above where we are and don't know if i should buy back. "do better"? do you already know what is going to happen in the future?

euuuuuhhm

Wauw, I'm speechless.

Guess you are looking for a different response.

Can't help you with that.


Here my opinion.

It really does not matter what your past transactions are.

The question is: is it wise to buy now? Long term, likely yes. Short term, likely no.

We cannot know the future, we can only estimate probabilities and act accordingly.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
October 20, 2013, 02:14:33 PM
#47
i will say... the longer that we stay at this level, the more nervous i get not being 100% btc... not sure what to do!  Undecided

If you believe BTC will succeed, you should probably cut the emotion attached to the missed opportunity. It's going to be a lot harder as this thing continues to climb. Think of it as if you were brand new to bitcoin today. Would you buy some now?

As far as October's bubble: What bubble? Too much great news for real world adoption, which is what bitcoin needs to validate a value spike like this. Baidu and Softouch alone are enough for me. It's only a matter of time before other similar companies follow suit.

i have cold storage and i have a short to mid-term portfolio. we're not all buy-and-holders, and for those of us that are, i dont miss opportunity to increase my wealth. 20-30% on that news? i dunno.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
This bull will try to shake you off. Hold tight!
October 20, 2013, 02:11:31 PM
#46
i will say... the longer that we stay at this level, the more nervous i get not being 100% btc... not sure what to do!  Undecided

buy back in.   Cool

everything below 1000 $ will be viewed as awfully cheap in a few years from now.

Long term is of no importance when you are suffering from short term.

The question is how can you reduce your short term suffering of regret that you feel now?

Buying now you have a high chance to suffer even more short term as chances for the price to correct are high.

hero member
Activity: 715
Merit: 500
October 20, 2013, 02:10:47 PM
#45
i will say... the longer that we stay at this level, the more nervous i get not being 100% btc... not sure what to do!  Undecided

If you believe BTC will succeed, you should probably cut the emotion attached to the missed opportunity. It's going to be a lot harder as this thing continues to climb. Think of it as if you were brand new to bitcoin today. Would you buy some now?

As far as October's bubble: What bubble? Too much great news for real world adoption, which is what bitcoin needs to validate a value spike like this. Baidu and Softouch alone are enough for me. It's only a matter of time before other similar companies follow suit.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
October 20, 2013, 02:07:27 PM
#44
i will say... the longer that we stay at this level, the more nervous i get not being 100% btc... not sure what to do!  Undecided

Accept your loss (of opportunity) and think how you can do better next time.

Do NOT capitulate.  

It sucks, I'm sorry.  Undecided

what are you talking about? capitulate? i took profits slightly above where we are and don't know if i should buy back. "do better"? do you already know what is going to happen in the future?
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
October 20, 2013, 01:58:36 PM
#43
i will say... the longer that we stay at this level, the more nervous i get not being 100% btc... not sure what to do!  Undecided

buy back in.   Cool

everything below 1000 $ will be viewed as awfully cheap in a few years from now.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
This bull will try to shake you off. Hold tight!
October 20, 2013, 01:53:25 PM
#42
i will say... the longer that we stay at this level, the more nervous i get not being 100% btc... not sure what to do!  Undecided

Accept your loss (of opportunity) and think how you can do better next time.

Do NOT capitulate.  

It sucks, I'm sorry.  Undecided
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
October 20, 2013, 01:45:23 PM
#41
i will say... the longer that we stay at this level, the more nervous i get not being 100% btc... not sure what to do!  Undecided
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1012
Beyond Imagination
October 20, 2013, 01:26:10 PM
#40
It's just a warm up
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Free World
October 20, 2013, 01:25:42 PM
#39
The month of Oct... made it a "LITTLE BIT MORE DECENTRALIZED"....

not that dependent on MTGOX anymore...

no longer SR... (stores are now spread)

Hopefully more decentralization... coming
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Free World
October 20, 2013, 01:23:28 PM
#38
not a bubble...

it's a correction...

hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
October 20, 2013, 01:22:17 PM
#37
If it's really a bubble, it'll take 2-4 months.

I'd contend that this period of strong growth isn't necessarily a bubble, though. Not because "this time it's different" - that's wishful thinking. More because it might level out or correct before the characteristic psychological elements of a bubble arise.
so at what general prices level or over what time frame would you say this might happen, vs. when "the characteristic psychological elements of a bubble arise"?
legendary
Activity: 960
Merit: 1028
Spurn wild goose chases. Seek that which endures.
October 20, 2013, 12:23:05 PM
#36
If it's really a bubble, it'll take 2-4 months.

I'd contend that this period of strong growth isn't necessarily a bubble, though. Not because "this time it's different" - that's wishful thinking. More because it might level out or correct before the characteristic psychological elements of a bubble arise.
sr. member
Activity: 278
Merit: 250
October 20, 2013, 10:08:52 AM
#35
I dont see any bubble here.. please show me where you see a bubble in the last months/weeks..

Here...


I agree that over the long term (as shown in your graph) it is a mere blip.  But if prices rise 21% in three days (and a maximum price change of 30%), that's got to mean something.  At the time of my original post, it showed no sign of slowing down.  Now the rise has slowed down, but it's still moving visibly upwards, unlike the usual slowly but surely rise.
legendary
Activity: 1002
Merit: 1000
Bitcoin
October 20, 2013, 07:01:11 AM
#34
I dont see any bubble here.. please show me where you see a bubble in the last months/weeks..

sr. member
Activity: 330
Merit: 252
NEIN, ICH BIN DER BITCOIN!
October 20, 2013, 06:26:06 AM
#33
Oktober 2018!!
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