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Topic: Where do you think we are in the bubble? - page 5. (Read 10071 times)

sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
January 31, 2013, 03:44:46 PM
#15
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
January 31, 2013, 03:39:44 PM
#14


after this bitcoin did one last dip under 1$ and then things got nuts.

will the same happen with 20$? Stay tune! Grin

Just saying you are missing an important detail in this chart. I'll not tell you what it is so to not to ruin the surprise. Tongue
hero member
Activity: 763
Merit: 500
January 31, 2013, 02:29:54 PM
#13
I think we are a little bit left of "takeoff".
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
January 31, 2013, 02:23:48 PM
#12


after this bitcoin did one last dip under 1$ and then things got nuts.

will the same happen with 20$? Stay tune! Grin
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1015
Strength in numbers
January 31, 2013, 02:10:08 PM
#11
I think the bubble began when we broke double digits.  I also think the stagnancy at $5 happened for a reason, and we will be back there by the years end.

Would you be interested in a deal where you buy the right to sell coins to me for $8 each at the end of the year? I'm willing to denominate this in gold too and we can settle with coin if we both want or I can ship.
hero member
Activity: 501
Merit: 500
January 31, 2013, 01:59:03 PM
#10
"Media attention" phase methinks. Not sure but I think the overall sentiment is very similar to what it was around late April/early May 2011. Many people were still expecting the return back to sub-$1 prices.

This time, I think highest we might go could be bit over $100, likely much lower though. The correction will be huge, of course.
hero member
Activity: 634
Merit: 500
January 31, 2013, 01:34:13 PM
#9
I don't care where we are in the bubble anymore.

I have neutralized my initial investment, and I can hold my Bitcoins through whatever comes.
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1010
Borsche
January 31, 2013, 01:31:07 PM
#8
Sorry we already passed that chart two years ago. Wandering into uncharted territory to the right now...
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1015
Strength in numbers
January 31, 2013, 01:29:15 PM
#7
Inflation rate in jan was 1.7%  (which is low)


It only measures at 1.7% because the excess isn't going in to food much yet. Is there a bitcoin in their basket?
legendary
Activity: 960
Merit: 1028
Spurn wild goose chases. Seek that which endures.
January 31, 2013, 01:25:25 PM
#6
If this is a bubble, I think the farthest we are is just past the "media attention" elbow. That happened a few days ago (the Chart of the Day article - our Forbes blogger doesn't count).

Then again, this might just be a rally - in which case, sure, there'll be a correction, but it probably won't follow your chart.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 251
January 31, 2013, 01:12:20 PM
#5
We are getting close to the transition between Stealth phase and Awareness phase. Ready for take off Wink
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
daytrader/superhero
January 31, 2013, 12:48:05 PM
#4
Inflation rate in jan was 1.7%  (which is low)

Mining is only done by a subsection of the community (and increasingly less as the arms race builds with asics and beyond) so block rewards have negligible effect on the price IMO. (as a speculator, the block reward has no bearing on how I trade)


I think the bubble began when we broke double digits.  I also think the stagnancy at $5 happened for a reason, and we will be back there by the years end.
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1021
January 31, 2013, 12:39:42 PM
#3
-Bernanke doubled down on money printing last December
-the block reward dropped to 25 BTC per coin

The value of coins was ~11-12 USD in December - based on that we'll need to get to ~$40 before a new bubble even starts.
legendary
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
January 31, 2013, 12:13:55 PM
#2
Well we just had media attention a couple days ago hahah.
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
daytrader/superhero
January 31, 2013, 12:03:26 PM
#1


I'm thinking somewhere between "greed" and "delusion"....
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