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Topic: Which is your strategy on dice sites? - page 17. (Read 23133 times)

member
Activity: 112
Merit: 10
www.secondstrade.com - 190% return Binary option
January 10, 2015, 06:48:18 PM
My strategy is playing good old martingale, but make sure you start with enough cash.

I make sure to play that I can lose 20 times in a row, which never happened to me so far.


On what sites are you playing?
20 loss streak isn't so unprobable.


uki
legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1000
cryptojunk bag holder
January 10, 2015, 06:36:23 PM
at one point, i tried a few variations of martingale, with varying levels of success. but anytime i got ahead by a few bets, i took profit and tried to run it again. take the good luck and move on. against a house edge, you're going to lose either way if you keep pushing.
that is the whole point of running any of these sites: in the long run the house has to have the advantage, in order to assure the business.
sr. member
Activity: 479
Merit: 500
January 10, 2015, 06:31:14 PM
at one point, i tried a few variations of martingale, with varying levels of success. but anytime i got ahead by a few bets, i took profit and tried to run it again. take the good luck and move on. against a house edge, you're going to lose either way if you keep pushing.
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1001
January 10, 2015, 12:19:09 PM
On average, you should get a x9900 win in a total of 10000 bets. So if you make 100 bets a day, it takes you on average a bit more than 3 months.

I guess that depends on what you mean by average.  If you roll that many times you roughly have a 66.67% chance of hitting it.   I would say that is slightly above average. 

I was talking about the mean, while you was talking about the median.
BTW, the chance of getting 10000 losing bets in a row is (1-0.01%)^10000 = 36.79% and the chance of getting at least 1 winning bet is 1-36.79% = 63.21%
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
January 09, 2015, 02:06:44 PM
On average, you should get a x9900 win in a total of 10000 bets. So if you make 100 bets a day, it takes you on average a bit more than 3 months.

I guess that depends on what you mean by average.  If you roll that many times you roughly have a 66.67% chance of hitting it.   I would say that is slightly above average.  
member
Activity: 94
Merit: 10
January 09, 2015, 02:06:37 PM
I think the only important rule to keep track of when playing a pure luck based game and you want to maximize your playing time is the Kelly criterion - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion

Know that the odds are always against you though, so over time you will lose. Perhaps the best bet is to bet everything you own on one single bet hehe  Grin

The Kelly formula is used when you are going to play games with positive EV, like when you are investing in the bankroll of a site.
For negative EV games, the Kelly formula tells you not to play at all.

yep this is true. Kelly stake is percentage of bankroll = edge / (odds -1)
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
January 09, 2015, 02:02:53 PM
my strategy is placing the principal to be small, and stay small so you dont have to lose a significant amount and start over.
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1001
January 09, 2015, 01:54:13 PM
my strategy is use pd faucet, set multiplier to x9900, and pray that you will hit it..

Yeah, but how long does that usually take to even hit it once lolol.

like 3 months?

On average, you should get a x9900 win in a total of 10000 bets. So if you make 100 bets a day, it takes you on average a bit more than 3 months.
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1001
January 09, 2015, 01:51:34 PM
I think the only important rule to keep track of when playing a pure luck based game and you want to maximize your playing time is the Kelly criterion - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion

Know that the odds are always against you though, so over time you will lose. Perhaps the best bet is to bet everything you own on one single bet hehe  Grin

The Kelly formula is used when you are going to play games with positive EV, like when you are investing in the bankroll of a site.
For negative EV games, the Kelly formula tells you not to play at all.
member
Activity: 94
Merit: 10
January 09, 2015, 01:43:20 PM
some guy rolled 0.0 a few days ago. Cant remember the thread I saw it in. He had x9900
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 100
January 09, 2015, 01:08:51 PM
my strategy is use pd faucet, set multiplier to x9900, and pray that you will hit it..

Yeah, but how long does that usually take to even hit it once lolol.

like 3 months?
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
January 09, 2015, 09:34:05 AM
my strategy is use pd faucet, set multiplier to x9900, and pray that you will hit it..

Lol nice strat!  Have you hit at all yet?  I think I have rolled 1 0 since I started there, and of course I didn't have the multiplier set correctly.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
January 08, 2015, 07:30:52 PM
my strategy is use pd faucet, set multiplier to x9900, and pray that you will hit it..
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
January 08, 2015, 06:44:33 PM
25x (odd)
increase on loss by 11%
and wish that it wont kill me in first rolls Cheesy haha
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
January 08, 2015, 06:43:36 PM
Just consider the hours to get that hard earned money, before you place your bet lol.

Also the risk tolerance is based on the individual, but if you win more then you lose then go for it. But just know you lose some times, even if you are good.
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
January 08, 2015, 05:52:37 PM
Never do YOLO rolls. Just consider using what you can afford to lose and if you lose at least you can walk away with a smile.

And then go buy some food its what I usually do.
sr. member
Activity: 256
Merit: 250
CSGOBetGuide.com - Esports Gambling List
January 08, 2015, 05:30:14 PM
Try not to lose too much, try win a lot, usually doesn't work though.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1248
January 08, 2015, 04:41:33 PM
keep cool.

if not, report playing for another time
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
January 08, 2015, 03:22:39 PM

Which is your strategy?? Let's share it  Grin

I think you have not a large amount - about 10,000 Satoshi put the multiplier on x9900 and bet 1 Satoshi ... sooner or later, but this should work, if it works twice you will double your initial money ...
something like this ...

legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1002
January 08, 2015, 09:20:24 AM
I think the only important rule to keep track of when playing a pure luck based game and you want to maximize your playing time is the Kelly criterion - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion

Know that the odds are always against you though, so over time you will lose. Perhaps the best bet is to bet everything you own on one single bet hehe  Grin

I am pretty sure it is proven that the best odds you will ever have is to YOLO.  The more and more you play the more and more the odds are stacked up against you.

Exactly House edge is against you. Longer time you play the mathematics is working .... you are loosing. Also if you play for a long time you are going to be a gambler and I found that I tent to loos my control - just focusing to recover and win!!! This is worst scenario.
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