To be very honest, I am considering buying-in near Spot $440
How about you mate? Adjusting accordingly or shall we both wait it out together?
Don't buy in now. Wait and see what way the market wants to go.
This is an old chart but not much has changed except we are a few days further along:
Right now, if Bitcoin were to break up above $465, then that would be a signal to suggest that a bit of upside is ahead. If it breaks down below around $430, then that would be a signal that more downside is coming. Of course, when Bitcoin breaks one of these trendlines, you will be looking for an intense push of volume much much larger than what we have seen recently, as your signal to take any given market action. You will also want to look at what other indicators are doing. Also it would be typical for Bitcoin to actually take a 'unconvincing' little dip down below a support trendline before shooting up if that is what it were to do, and also vice versa. If Bitcoin is to retest the $340 lows, then it would be totally typical for Bitcoin to creep up above resistance trendline before taking the plunge. Seen it so many times.
If Bitcoin just trends right through these trendlines, which it might, then I wouldn't see any reason to buy Bitcoin (unless the buyer had an actual use for it) until more promising indicators fall into place. Two easy indicators to look at would be MACD and RSI. On both the 4Hr and 1 day MACD, the momentum indicators are lining up to crossover to the downside, although have spend time in 'positive' territory in a very flat state.
1 Day RSI is showing signs of reversal but definitely looks like it is about to test a low before it makes another high.
My personal opinion is that Bitcoin is more likely to break down and test the recent low before it can start to rise up again, but if it does break up in the coming days I shall jump along for the ride but will be keeping a close eye on any signs of a false break out. Like I say, The Bitcoin market very often attempts to trick over eager bulls/bears into jumping into a position when they really shouldn't.