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Topic: Who Pays What? (Read 36785 times)

hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
October 18, 2012, 05:10:09 PM
Also, I was not providing advice - the OP was a collection of information and links to save some people the time and effort of sifting through all of the rubbish that was around some months ago.  It was stated again and again that people should do their own research. 

As a related note, I read with interest a recent rating for a local mobile carrier.  The parent company was rated badly (B-), and their US370M of bonds much worse (CCC+ down to CCC).  S&P had no qualms at downgrading something they had previously rated higher.
sr. member
Activity: 272
Merit: 250
Cryptopreneur
October 18, 2012, 02:48:26 PM
Isn't every financial ratings agency in the real world giving negligent advice? How the hell does the USA have a AAA rating, with unsustainable debt? They should have an F, and by micons standards it should be a F-. People need to stop trying to find new ways to blame patrick for there own stupidity. Either accept your losses for gambling, or go after whoever actually took your money.
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
October 18, 2012, 12:53:22 PM
If the person rating had to pay a massive fine to the community for getting it wrong things might be different imo.

Seriously? You expect somebody who offer a free service to be fined if something goes wrong?

LOL yeah, things would be surely different. No-fucking-body would even risk to rate anyone else without getting paid enough.

Uhhhh yeah, that regularly happens in the real world when people give "financial advice" paid or not.  Criminal negligence is still a legal liability.

You have any examples?

USA: http://www.turnaround.org/Publications/Articles.aspx?objectID=2661
USA #2: http://manchester.patch.com/articles/glastonbury-financial-advisor-in-lawsuit-involving-former-mayor-found-liable-for-1-45-million
UK: http://www.chaselaw.co.uk/financial_advisers.html
NZ: http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/money/7498595/Adviser-liable-for-investors-Bridgecorp-loss

So it's not uncommon, nor is it just a USA thing.  There are real-world repercussions for dishing out negligent advice.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
October 17, 2012, 02:52:04 AM
no
sr. member
Activity: 275
Merit: 250
October 16, 2012, 07:00:51 PM
If the person rating had to pay a massive fine to the community for getting it wrong things might be different imo.

Seriously? You expect somebody who offer a free service to be fined if something goes wrong?

LOL yeah, things would be surely different. No-fucking-body would even risk to rate anyone else without getting paid enough.

Uhhhh yeah, that regularly happens in the real world when people give "financial advice" paid or not.  Criminal negligence is still a legal liability.

Didn't Pat McStarfish charge Ponzi operators to go through their financials in order to determine their rating?  He is as guilty as the Ponzi operators because his ratings gave many in the community confidence.
hero member
Activity: 632
Merit: 500
October 16, 2012, 03:51:25 PM
If the person rating had to pay a massive fine to the community for getting it wrong things might be different imo.

Seriously? You expect somebody who offer a free service to be fined if something goes wrong?

LOL yeah, things would be surely different. No-fucking-body would even risk to rate anyone else without getting paid enough.

Uhhhh yeah, that regularly happens in the real world when people give "financial advice" paid or not.  Criminal negligence is still a legal liability.

You have any examples?
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
October 16, 2012, 02:59:53 PM
If the person rating had to pay a massive fine to the community for getting it wrong things might be different imo.

Seriously? You expect somebody who offer a free service to be fined if something goes wrong?

LOL yeah, things would be surely different. No-fucking-body would even risk to rate anyone else without getting paid enough.

Uhhhh yeah, that regularly happens in the real world when people give "financial advice" paid or not.  Criminal negligence is still a legal liability.
sr. member
Activity: 275
Merit: 250
October 15, 2012, 07:13:02 PM
No, see you people are clearly to stupid too understand how rating works as outlined below.

I'm an eagle-eyed investor. Please change all ratings to FFF, for the sake of accuracy.

Thank you Mosrite.  However, you're also to stupid to understand the rating metrics and grades used in the real world, let alone the ones used as general guidance here.  When you can provide some reasons for your recommendation, then someone might take you more seriously.


Holy fuck.  What a piece of shit. 
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
October 15, 2012, 02:06:14 AM
If the person rating had to pay a massive fine to the community for getting it wrong things might be different imo.
newbie
Activity: 50
Merit: 0
October 15, 2012, 02:01:50 AM
However, any half-arsed attempt at looking at what their "high risk" bonds (fonds) were doing would have avoided them for their lower risk offerings

Unfortunately, ZiggiStar failed to pay his guaranteed and low risk offerings too. His high risk and guaranteed offerings turned out to be equivalent.
hero member
Activity: 952
Merit: 1009
October 13, 2012, 01:41:08 PM
No, see you people are clearly to stupid too understand how rating works as outlined below.

I'm an eagle-eyed investor. Please change all ratings to FFF, for the sake of accuracy.

Thank you Mosrite.  However, you're also to stupid to understand the rating metrics and grades used in the real world, let alone the ones used as general guidance here.  When you can provide some reasons for your recommendation, then someone might take you more seriously.
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
October 13, 2012, 01:37:20 PM
If you bothered to read the OP, you'll see that those ratings are months old.  Enron had a good rating, until they crashed and burned. 

It's your duty as a rating agency to rate REAL risk, and you've clearly failed in doing so.
newbie
Activity: 22
Merit: 0
October 12, 2012, 10:52:35 PM
If you bothered to read the OP, you'll see that those ratings are months old.  Enron had a good rating, until they crashed and burned.  So do various countries - ratings are (and always have been) a historical view at a point in time.  - and it was a simple 0-6 score, so those that want to compare RaboBank to Bitcoin are equally misguided.  Ziggy and co rated 5 out of 6 in bitcoin means they had reasonable capacity to pay at the time.  However, any half-arsed attempt at looking at what their "high risk" bonds (fonds) were doing would have avoided them for their lower risk offerings - they said they were investing in Pirate to achieve those results.

Lets look at it this way. You're just as good as those guys that gave Enron a good rating. Let's all gather and worship your mediocrity.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
October 12, 2012, 10:48:29 PM
If you bothered to read the OP, you'll see that those ratings are months old.  Enron had a good rating, until they crashed and burned.  So do various countries - ratings are (and always have been) a historical view at a point in time.  - and it was a simple 0-6 score, so those that want to compare RaboBank to Bitcoin are equally misguided.  Ziggy and co rated 5 out of 6 in bitcoin means they had reasonable capacity to pay at the time.  However, any half-arsed attempt at looking at what their "high risk" bonds (fonds) were doing would have avoided them for their lower risk offerings - they said they were investing in Pirate to achieve those results.
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
October 12, 2012, 03:13:00 AM
so... ummm... Why is Kluge still rated AAA?

It is the only rating  Grin

for that matter why is ziggy still AA?
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
October 12, 2012, 03:09:59 AM
so... ummm... Why is Kluge still rated AAA?
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1035
September 07, 2012, 08:42:12 AM
This post is a must-read and have to go in the hall of fame of great post.
It's also basically what some of us have been saying for quite some time now: Real businesses can't promise a permanent interest rate that is this good.  I guess it just had to be said by someone you hadn't already decided is stupid. Oh well, as long as you finally get a clue it's all good.

I know that. But it's not because the market rates are higher than normal that these business are necessarily "ponzi". The market is expanding at an insane speed right now, causing those insane rates. Nobody has promised those rates forever. The ones who think these rates are going to last more than 1 year are the one crying "scams" everywhere.

+1 to what DeaDTerra said.

It's not really the market expanding as just people willing to borrow. I haven't seen too much economic activity in Bitcoin to warrant a 3% /week investment rate ON TOP of the 8% a month deflation growth. If it's true that the reason people are borrowing is because they see Bitcoin going up, want to have it NOW, and prefer to borrow at 3% for a week while their money transfers instead of preying 4% to instant deposit places, then that's a pretty shaky business to be based on, since a reversal of Bitcoin growth or a new instant deposit service with lower fees will instantly kill borrowing incentive. Likewise, as I mentioned, a huge spike in Bitcoin prices will likely cause borrowers to default.
Due to all this, I would say the high rates are warranted, since high risk = high rates. This, however, does not mean that none of these HYIPs are NOT ponzis, either. We just don't know until they become more transparent. And in the end, the choice is really between a ponzi scam, and a 1980's style Savings and Trust, both of which have histories of great financial collapse.
donator
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1000
September 07, 2012, 04:03:59 AM
This post is a must-read and have to go in the hall of fame of great post.
It's also basically what some of us have been saying for quite some time now: Real businesses can't promise a permanent interest rate that is this good.  I guess it just had to be said by someone you hadn't already decided is stupid. Oh well, as long as you finally get a clue it's all good.
It is the way that it's said in that changes the meaning of it. We all agree that it's not sustainable forever but that doesn't mean it can be legit and not a ponzi right now. You might not be able to pay x% a week for ever because it's not sustainable but that doesn't meant that right now if you are doing it you are a ponzi. That's basically what 90% of the people that discuss this say, they have this weird argument that because it's not sustainable for all future it must be a ponzi, which is of course not always the case.
//DeaDTerra
legendary
Activity: 1284
Merit: 1001
September 07, 2012, 03:47:27 AM
This post is a must-read and have to go in the hall of fame of great post.
It's also basically what some of us have been saying for quite some time now: Real businesses can't promise a permanent interest rate that is this good.  I guess it just had to be said by someone you hadn't already decided is stupid. Oh well, as long as you finally get a clue it's all good.
hero member
Activity: 632
Merit: 500
September 07, 2012, 02:01:00 AM
BEST case scenario: these higher-than-normal market rates are only possible because Bitcoin is still a developing economy, akin to a rapidly growing start-up company. Eventually it will slow down to the pace of the overall global economy. Once that starts to happen, rates will start to go down. At that point, you better hope people are comfortable with rate decreases, because one too many "investors" pulling their money out to go invest with someone paying slightly higher will result in a bank run.

Only way I can think of avoiding this is
1) DO NOT promise fixed rates, and get people used to them fluctuating based on your returns (even if they vary by 0.01%). Not only will this make it easier to lower rates if you have to, but the changes in the rate will at least give "investor" some signal as to how your business is going
2) Be open about your holding as much as you can. At the least, tell people how much you have in reserves v.s. how much you have lent out. This will at least give them an idea of how risky you are should a bank run occur.

+1000

This post is a must-read and have to go in the hall of fame of great post.

Don't forget that in the last 10 months, BTC went from 7.7 millions BTC to 9.8 millions. Also, the price is around 4 to 5 times the price in last November. In a moment of crazy growth, crazy things can happen.
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