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Topic: Why (and when) the next bubble start. - page 2. (Read 4374 times)

full member
Activity: 141
Merit: 100
October 20, 2014, 12:51:37 PM
#33
When the ETF happens the price will rise significantly.

Why does everyone assume this will happen??

This is the last hope for perma bull.

Things might turn out quite unexpected for most of them.
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
October 20, 2014, 12:37:43 PM
#32
When the ETF happens the price will rise significantly.

Why does everyone assume this will happen??
legendary
Activity: 1330
Merit: 1000
dafar consulting
October 20, 2014, 12:02:40 PM
#31
Not for another 4-5 years AT LEAST
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
October 20, 2014, 11:17:02 AM
#30

Well first period of comments ends this week.

Should be followed by a second draft which I expect will require an additional 90 days of public feedback.

no,another 45 day-comment -period will come after the second draft tomorrow ("official" release date)
legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 4331
October 20, 2014, 10:47:29 AM
#29
I vote for something else. Bubble will start when each BTC will convert/change to 1,000,000 XBT (as implied by Bitcoin Foundation proposal), everyone will feel like a millionaire, transactions will greatly increase and it (tremendous rally) will start. When:Q1-Q2 of 2015. Destination: 1XBT=$1 in 10-15 years
We will never reach BTC=1mil via mass market if unit stays the same (psychological). How many people trade BRK-A?
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
★Bitin.io★ - Instant Exchange
October 20, 2014, 07:25:00 AM
#28
in September.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
October 20, 2014, 06:31:50 AM
#27
I Think we won't see next halving in near future
my guess : next halving, mid 2016  Grin
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 504
Bitcoin replaces central, not commercial, banks
October 20, 2014, 06:21:48 AM
#26
Whenever crypto decides to abandon its 'revolutionary' attitude and gain greater maturity.

Regulations are inevitable.

Never knew maturity meant renouncing revolutionary ambitions
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 250
October 20, 2014, 06:11:10 AM
#25
Whenever crypto decides to abandon its 'revolutionary' attitude and gain greater maturity.

Regulations are inevitable.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 504
Bitcoin replaces central, not commercial, banks
October 20, 2014, 05:46:54 AM
#24
Somewhere in 2016.
Because the BTC mined at that time is halved, which means supply to market is suddenly cut by 50%. This will bump the price significantly.

My thinking is price should rise significantly before the halving, in expectation of the reduced supply

That didn't happen at the last halving...there was a lot of FUD from the miners about how Bitcoin would die because mining would stop and everything would crash.

The infrastructure will be much more mature this time around.

The theory was that since difficulty adjusts every 2 weeks, the halving would cause most miners to turn off their rigs...if that happened at the beginning of the 2 weeks then difficulty would be so difficult for the few remaining miners that they would never be able to mine the amount of coins necessary for the difficulty to ever adjust again.

Of course, nothing close to this happened, difficulty went up and the price jumped. But Bitcoiners are so short sighted that the price only tends to go up after something has happened, not in anticipation of it. The ETF is not built into the price, the halving will not be built into the price.

The ETF cannot be built into the price, no one knows when or if it will happen.

Bitcoiners have had the experience of the price jumping after the previous halving. Best believe with the additional attention we have now there will be some front runners
legendary
Activity: 3598
Merit: 2386
Viva Ut Vivas
October 20, 2014, 05:32:42 AM
#23
Somewhere in 2016.
Because the BTC mined at that time is halved, which means supply to market is suddenly cut by 50%. This will bump the price significantly.

My thinking is price should rise significantly before the halving, in expectation of the reduced supply

That didn't happen at the last halving...there was a lot of FUD from the miners about how Bitcoin would die because mining would stop and everything would crash.

The infrastructure will be much more mature this time around.

The theory was that since difficulty adjusts every 2 weeks, the halving would cause most miners to turn off their rigs...if that happened at the beginning of the 2 weeks then difficulty would be so difficult for the few remaining miners that they would never be able to mine the amount of coins necessary for the difficulty to ever adjust again.

Of course, nothing close to this happened, difficulty went up and the price jumped. But Bitcoiners are so short sighted that the price only tends to go up after something has happened, not in anticipation of it. The ETF is not built into the price, the halving will not be built into the price.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 504
Bitcoin replaces central, not commercial, banks
October 20, 2014, 05:25:40 AM
#22
Somewhere in 2016.
Because the BTC mined at that time is halved, which means supply to market is suddenly cut by 50%. This will bump the price significantly.

My thinking is price should rise significantly before the halving, in expectation of the reduced supply

That didn't happen at the last halving...there was a lot of FUD from the miners about how Bitcoin would die because mining would stop and everything would crash.

The infrastructure will be much more mature this time around.
legendary
Activity: 3598
Merit: 2386
Viva Ut Vivas
October 20, 2014, 05:17:32 AM
#21
Somewhere in 2016.
Because the BTC mined at that time is halved, which means supply to market is suddenly cut by 50%. This will bump the price significantly.

My thinking is price should rise significantly before the halving, in expectation of the reduced supply

That didn't happen at the last halving...there was a lot of FUD from the miners about how Bitcoin would die because mining would stop and everything would crash.
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1008
Delusional crypto obsessionist
October 20, 2014, 05:11:04 AM
#20
... Random events like the winkle etf could do it,...
These events are *not* random.
They are carefully planned and all insiders made sure that they are loaded to the max before it goes public.
Which helps us plebs how?
Realizing your wealth plan:

1. Stop being a pleb
2. Huh
3. Profit!
Sure. How does one magic five digit coins into existence or enough fiat to buy same?
You should have been there in 2010.
Otherwise, stop complaining and enjoy the ride with any amount you have, just like everybody else. Wink
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
October 20, 2014, 04:49:50 AM
#19
... Random events like the winkle etf could do it,...
These events are *not* random.
They are carefully planned and all insiders made sure that they are loaded to the max before it goes public.
Which helps us plebs how?
Realizing your wealth plan:

1. Stop being a pleb
2. Huh
3. Profit!
Sure. How does one magic five digit coins into existence or enough fiat to buy same?
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1005
October 20, 2014, 04:44:32 AM
#18
... Random events like the winkle etf could do it,...
These events are *not* random.
They are carefully planned and all insiders made sure that they are loaded to the max before it goes public.
Which helps us plebs how?
Realizing your wealth plan:

1. Stop being a pleb
2. Huh
3. Profit!
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
October 20, 2014, 04:37:30 AM
#17
... Random events like the winkle etf could do it,...
These events are *not* random.
They are carefully planned and all insiders made sure that they are loaded to the max before it goes public.
Which helps us plebs how?
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1008
Delusional crypto obsessionist
October 20, 2014, 04:28:38 AM
#16
... Random events like the winkle etf could do it,...
These events are *not* random.
They are carefully planned and all insiders made sure that they are loaded to the max before it goes public.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
October 20, 2014, 04:18:00 AM
#15
Assuming I'm right that someone with far too much money is pushing the price down to buy cheap off the market, we could stay down here until the next halving at least. Why would he stop?

Other than that, the next halving obviously. Price will either have to double or a lot of miners will lose a lot of money and the network will slow down until the next adjustment. Don't think whoever is playing with the price wants to hurt the network like that, but who knows.

Random events like the winkle etf could do it, or someone deciding to keep a few billions in btc. But those are unknowns.

So I guess the next halving is my bet based on known factors.
hero member
Activity: 1666
Merit: 565
October 20, 2014, 04:11:56 AM
#14
I've voted anytime, just because i really don't know. But i don't think is random...
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