To your point, I've been selling bitcoin this week and buying gold and silver (am I going to get ridiculed for admitting that on this board?) because I think the price has just gotten nuts (while gold and silver are at or near their points of maximum pessimism).
Absolutely not! I also sold some portion of my coins yesterday (just in time, not at the very top but close to it). So currently I don't care where the price will go, though I think we've topped already, at least for the nearest future...
By the way, your feedback on BTC transactions was one of the most valuable in the thread
Thank you, it's interesting you said that because we were coming at it from opposed views on Gresham's Law (although your response gave me pause, like that awkward moment when you realize "I've got it backwards again" kind of pause)
Don't get me wrong, anybody who knows me or followed my writings on bitcoin on wealth.net knows I'm a huge advocate of crypto-currencies, I think they are a true game-changer in terms of re-asserting liberty and free-market principles into an increasingly centrally planned economy.
In that sense, I'm a Believer.
But you also have to look at what's actually happening, and being a businessman who accepts bitcoin in a non-bitcoin business (meaning I'm not an exchange, I'm not selling mining rigs, etc) you get a certain vantage point on the market - how are the participants actually voting?
It's been quite interesting to watch. My biggest surprise was how many of my existing customers were already involved in bitcoin and using it to pay vs how many new customers came in because of bitcoin. Back in 2003-2004 when we were accepting e-gold, it was 0% former, 100% latter (I saw the problems inherent with e-gold and made it a point to out-exchange into physical coins as fast as it came in).
With bitcoin, it started out as nearly 80% former, 20% the latter and has only lately begun to reverse trend (only in the sense that word is getting out that we accept bitcoin, bringing in new customers who want to use it to pay)