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Topic: Why is bitcoin price not going up? (Read 10824 times)

hero member
Activity: 879
Merit: 1013
July 14, 2013, 03:59:23 AM
The entire world's never going to collapse all at once, but the certain parts of it will see periods of extreme turmoil from time to time.

If you happen to be located in one of those parts of the world and see the signs of impending turmoil, it's far better to move to some calmer part of the world before it's too late rather than try to shelter in place.

In this scenario gold is nearly useless, even in physical form. If you really need to leave a country quickly you can't take significant quantities of gold with you.

Bitcoins, on the other hand...

At such times, Having both is best.

+1
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
Gresham's Lawyer
July 14, 2013, 12:08:13 AM
The entire world's never going to collapse all at once, but the certain parts of it will see periods of extreme turmoil from time to time.

If you happen to be located in one of those parts of the world and see the signs of impending turmoil, it's far better to move to some calmer part of the world before it's too late rather than try to shelter in place.

In this scenario gold is nearly useless, even in physical form. If you really need to leave a country quickly you can't take significant quantities of gold with you.

Bitcoins, on the other hand...

At such times, Having both is best.
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1009
July 13, 2013, 05:45:51 PM
The entire world's never going to collapse all at once, but the certain parts of it will see periods of extreme turmoil from time to time.

If you happen to be located in one of those parts of the world and see the signs of impending turmoil, it's far better to move to some calmer part of the world before it's too late rather than try to shelter in place.

In this scenario gold is nearly useless, even in physical form. If you really need to leave a country quickly you can't take significant quantities of gold with you.

Bitcoins, on the other hand...
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1012
Democracy is vulnerable to a 51% attack.
July 13, 2013, 05:35:21 PM
Yes, if you want gold for fear the world will collapse, physical is the way to go. For most anyone else, the paper version has all the same merits and is convertible to cash without even leaving your computer.
Paper gold has a risk cost and a convenience premium relative to physical gold. For most use cases, the convenience outweighs the risk. But it is a decision you have to make, and you must always keep in mind the fact that there is counter-party risk.
hero member
Activity: 879
Merit: 1013
July 13, 2013, 04:29:15 AM

I wonder what you mean about amount of physical gold vs what's speculated?

Let's say that there are x tonnes of gold existing now in circulation in physical form. As far as I know there have been much more "paper" gold issued and speculated on. I think it's a recipe for a disaster.

I too share lucasjkr's view. It will be interesting when these issuers go bust.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
July 12, 2013, 04:59:14 PM
Have you seen how fast gold has increased the last few years? Everyone says its just going to go up. Its also a very safe investment. If you hold on to your gold for a while, your not going to lose money.

It depends when you buy. for example: http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=XAU&to=USD&view=1Y there were and will be many timeframes which are bad times to buy or hold gold, hence part of your statement is false.

Anyhow, I have some gold, I call it the armageddon fund Cheesy

If the time comes when I need to use precious metals to get something or survive then the value expressed in USD will be rather irrelevant Smiley

If someone trades frequently then paper gold is OK. if you want to hold it long or indefinitely then it's quite irresponsible to have in my opinion.
I also don't like the fact that the quantity of the actual physical gold is less than what is speculated on. But correct me if I'm wrong.




Yes, if you want gold for fear the world will collapse, physical is the way to go. For most anyone else, the paper version has all the same merits and is convertible to cash without even leaving your computer.

I wonder what you mean about amount of physical gold vs what's speculated?

No need for the world to collapse.  If your broker, or the paper gold issuer goes bust, you will be SOL.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
July 12, 2013, 04:41:38 PM
Have you seen how fast gold has increased the last few years? Everyone says its just going to go up. Its also a very safe investment. If you hold on to your gold for a while, your not going to lose money.

It depends when you buy. for example: http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=XAU&to=USD&view=1Y there were and will be many timeframes which are bad times to buy or hold gold, hence part of your statement is false.

Anyhow, I have some gold, I call it the armageddon fund Cheesy

If the time comes when I need to use precious metals to get something or survive then the value expressed in USD will be rather irrelevant Smiley

If someone trades frequently then paper gold is OK. if you want to hold it long or indefinitely then it's quite irresponsible to have in my opinion.
I also don't like the fact that the quantity of the actual physical gold is less than what is speculated on. But correct me if I'm wrong.




Yes, if you want gold for fear the world will collapse, physical is the way to go. For most anyone else, the paper version has all the same merits and is convertible to cash without even leaving your computer.

I wonder what you mean about amount of physical gold vs what's speculated?
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
It's all fun and games until somebody loses an eye
July 12, 2013, 02:00:42 PM
Well, I was wrong about price dropping to 50-60 before rising high.
The pump-up of these last 2 days is quite sharp. And no one seems to dump yet.
The attempted pump-up of the 25th June got squashed down immediately.
Question: where are those desperate sellers that on the 6th July drove the price down to 65?

They are still waiting for the price to get down to 50 so they can buy back in. They might be waiting a while.
hero member
Activity: 879
Merit: 1013
July 12, 2013, 01:38:46 PM
Have you seen how fast gold has increased the last few years? Everyone says its just going to go up. Its also a very safe investment. If you hold on to your gold for a while, your not going to lose money.

It depends when you buy. for example: http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=XAU&to=USD&view=1Y there were and will be many timeframes which are bad times to buy or hold gold, hence part of your statement is false.

Anyhow, I have some gold, I call it the armageddon fund Cheesy

If the time comes when I need to use precious metals to get something or survive then the value expressed in USD will be rather irrelevant Smiley

If someone trades frequently then paper gold is OK. if you want to hold it long or indefinitely then it's quite irresponsible to have in my opinion.
I also don't like the fact that the quantity of the actual physical gold is less than what is speculated on. But correct me if I'm wrong.


full member
Activity: 133
Merit: 100
July 12, 2013, 10:45:52 AM
Have you seen how fast gold has increased the last few years? Everyone says its just going to go up. Its also a very safe investment. If you hold on to your gold for a while, your not going to lose money.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
July 12, 2013, 08:42:09 AM
To date, none of the "paper gold" etf's have experienced any issues. There's ishares, SPDR, the sprott physical ETF, no problems with any of them. They have acted just as gold has on the markets, and the advantage is that you can buy and sell them by paying just a trade commission, not 2% or more dealer mark up.

I think the fear of paper gold is vastly unfounded, myself.... still don't like gold much as an investment, but if people are enamored by it, i don't see the downfall of buying the paper version... Lots of people smarter than us have no issues holding those shares.
hero member
Activity: 879
Merit: 1013
July 12, 2013, 08:34:50 AM
Just buy gold with Bitcoin, end of story.

Maybe the worst advice anyone can give.

Diversify instead. I wouldn't put more than 5% of my wealth in gold. Also, I would steer away from "paper gold".
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1074
July 12, 2013, 07:57:15 AM
Well, I was wrong about price dropping to 50-60 before rising high.
The pump-up of these last 2 days is quite sharp. And no one seems to dump yet.
The attempted pump-up of the 25th June got squashed down immediately.
Question: where are those desperate sellers that on the 6th July drove the price down to 65?
full member
Activity: 185
Merit: 100
July 12, 2013, 02:31:57 AM
the bitcoin price is going up o.o? what charts are you looking at. Tongue
hero member
Activity: 752
Merit: 500
July 11, 2013, 09:54:26 PM
Just buy gold with Bitcoin, end of story.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
July 11, 2013, 09:11:54 PM
From an investment point of view, there are 3 types of investors in mining industry:

1. Investors who bought ASIC devices using bitcoin
These investors are pure bitcoin only, they will never cash out to fiat since they believe the bitcoin is the way to go, they will not affect the market price

2. Investors who pre-ordered ASIC devices last year using fiat money
For them, they might want to get the invested fiat money back, since currently the ASIC devices are very efficient, they only need to sale small amount of coin to break even, and then they can keep it running risk free

3. Investors who pre-ordered ASIC devices recently using fiat money
They will get delivery in autumn, by that time, to return on investment is not that easy, they might need to continuously sell the coins until they reach break even, they will put a pressure on the price

We might see much more sell presure on the market when difficulty went enough high this autumn



ROI in fiat terms has historically been easier if you don't sell immediately.
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1012
Beyond Imagination
July 09, 2013, 01:52:57 PM
From an investment point of view, there are 3 types of investors in mining industry:

1. Investors who bought ASIC devices using bitcoin
These investors are pure bitcoin only, they will never cash out to fiat since they believe the bitcoin is the way to go, they will not affect the market price

2. Investors who pre-ordered ASIC devices last year using fiat money
For them, they might want to get the invested fiat money back, since currently the ASIC devices are very efficient, they only need to sale small amount of coin to break even, and then they can keep it running risk free

3. Investors who pre-ordered ASIC devices recently using fiat money
They will get delivery in autumn, by that time, to return on investment is not that easy, they might need to continuously sell the coins until they reach break even, they will put a pressure on the price

We might see much more sell presure on the market when difficulty went enough high this autumn

hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
It's all fun and games until somebody loses an eye
July 09, 2013, 09:53:24 AM
The rich are the people who made money. They know how to make money, so that is what they do, they make more money. The poor do not know how to make money, so they don't or else they would be rich.
The first part is true, but the second one is a bit off.
The "know" is never enough, you also need the "opportunity".


Maybe knowing how to spot an opportunity or create your own is the first thing you need to know?
newbie
Activity: 41
Merit: 0
July 09, 2013, 09:31:19 AM
Because it is a currency based upon speculation. You can't expect infinite rises. The price is supposed to go up and down.
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Bitgoblin
July 09, 2013, 06:40:57 AM
The rich are the people who made money. They know how to make money, so that is what they do, they make more money. The poor do not know how to make money, so they don't or else they would be rich.
The first part is true, but the second one is a bit off.
The "know" is never enough, you also need the "opportunity".
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