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Topic: Will bitcoin experience a more price increase during the halving? (Read 399 times)

copper member
Activity: 2268
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Yes Bitcoin’s price definitely increases when there is scarcity of bitcoins. You need to understand that bitcoin follows the policy of supply and demand. So as we know that bitcoins or limited in number, that is no more Bitcoins can be created more. Hence, if there is scarcity or more demand to acquire the bitcoins then the price will automatically go up. So yes, sometimes then Bitcoins experience more price increase during the halving.
hero member
Activity: 1288
Merit: 504
SEC sued Binance and Coinbase, but not that the exchanges collapsed. If those two exchanges can collapse at once, bitcoin price will reach $20000 or below very soon. Bitcoin is not affected because it is an opportunity for people to buy more and for those that have not bought before to buy.
Apparently that what we get to observe due to panic and this would be much propagated due to the fud that would follow afterwards as people would begin to ask themselves, who's next?
If the giants could have been taken down,  what would be the case for the not so popular or patronised exchanges?

Its a good thing we didn't get to find out as the case didn't turn out to be something way too serious.

Come halving, records has always have it that, the bulls come in to take price to the next ATH, you won't be wrong in expecting history to repeat itself.
jr. member
Activity: 408
Merit: 3
Bitcoin halving is the session of Bitcoin to skyrocket in price, like wise other alt-coins in cryptocurrency market, base on the history during the Bitcoin having the price normally pump and money also flow into cryptocurrency market which add advantage to many other alt-coins by adding liquidity towards with a very high trading volume.
hero member
Activity: 2268
Merit: 789
Given on the price history of BTC every halving, there is a fat chance that its price would increase on the market. This is also the reason on why majority of the people consider the halving as a blessing since investments would reap, thereby benefiting everyone who has BTC at their disposal.

By basing it purely on history, BTC halving made the price of BTC higher on the market. However, it is important to understand what the halving actually means. According to this website1, bitcoin halving means:

After the network mines 210,000 blocks—roughly every four years—the block reward given to Bitcoin miners for processing transactions is cut in half. This event is called halving because it cuts the rate at which new bitcoins are released into circulation in half.

This means that the rewards that miners would receive would be cut into half due to the limited amount of supply of BTC that are yet to be mined. With this, it is naturally normal for the price of BTC to increase given the said event.


1 https://www.investopedia.com/bitcoin-halving-4843769
legendary
Activity: 3010
Merit: 1280
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And if the institution has entered, the pump should have happened, especially when it coincided with
halving in 2024. Right?
(....)
I'm more positive about the event of Bitcoin having a block halving next year because, for the past years and past Bitcoin block halving, it became an indicator over time for every Bitcoin bull market.
Every before Bitcoin block halving happens, we can see the price of Bitcoin is starting to climb. Which for me, I agree that next year is the market will favor to Bitcoin.

I also think that the next Bitcoin block halving will trigger another bull run that can record another ATH.  Since the 4-year cycle pattern of Bitcoin always happen, it is also believed that this block halving will be able to repeat its history and the market will experience a price increase after the halving.

I think Bitcoin ETF applications happen pretty regularly, but as they always end in a rejection, they aren't covered by the news a lot. The SEC suing big crypto companies can motivate some companies to try obtaining a licence from them, as they probably want to make sure they're not going to be sued.
Turning to halving, opinions vary whether it actually makes a difference, but people often cherry-pick the evidence, sometimes choosing to focus on what's before the halving or something well after the halving, and linking the price changes to it. That being said, halving will happen next spring, and I do believe in a bull run starting at some point in 2024; I just don't think it's because of halving.

The SEC cannot sue every company or institution. Therefore, it may resort to different methods. This causes different air blowing in the market constantly.

SEC has the power to do so, it is much easier for them to sue the company and institution that believes in BTC than make a move that will discredit Bitcoin.

sr. member
Activity: 1820
Merit: 436
When Binance and Coinbase were sued by the SEC
Institutions should be afraid, but why are institutions the other way around?
institutions even apply for licenses to their respective regulators, and instead open a digital asset service?

And if the institution has entered, the pump should have happened, especially when it coincided with
halving in 2024. Right?

So, when institutions come in, and their bitcoins are custodied by them.
Are the bitcoins on the market becoming scarcer? plus, because there will be a halving?
and that means potentially Bitcoin will become more expensive as it becomes scarcer, and more numerous
less?


I'm sure many of the seniors in this forum know more about what happened and what will happen, therefore I beg the seniors to give a little knowledge and experience to us newbies, Really appreciate your discussion, Thanks.

I mean most of these cases did happen before and most people think that it's serious and it's different from that time, so Bitcoin might be in a bad situation at that time but most of the time it doesnt seem to change anything. Bitcoin halving is going to happen soon, but is it going to impact the market, probably yes Since it is a huge event on Bitcoin most of the time Bitcoin halving is a big hype if we're going back to the past Bitcoin halving we can see the market price skyrocket on the Halving getting from a 1000$ then gets double to 2500$ last 201, after that we already see the price skyrocket to 56k$ one year after the bitcoin halving on 2021. We notice that there was some delay on the pump after but we can notice that after one year of the Bitcoin halving the halving seems to get hype and skyrocketed, So if we're going to project that to the next Bitcoin halving in 2025 we could maybe expect the next bull run if we're going to rely on the halving timeline.
full member
Activity: 406
Merit: 188
I think Bitcoin ETF applications happen pretty regularly, but as they always end in a rejection, they aren't covered by the news a lot. The SEC suing big crypto companies can motivate some companies to try obtaining a licence from them, as they probably want to make sure they're not going to be sued.
Turning to halving, opinions vary whether it actually makes a difference, but people often cherry-pick the evidence, sometimes choosing to focus on what's before the halving or something well after the halving, and linking the price changes to it. That being said, halving will happen next spring, and I do believe in a bull run starting at some point in 2024; I just don't think it's because of halving.

The SEC cannot sue every company or institution. Therefore, it may resort to different methods. This causes different air blowing in the market constantly.

I think next year could be a bull run. The halving will have an impact on this bull, but as you say, the entire impact will not belong to the halving. There is a plan that people generally anticipate and invest in. Thanks to these plans, bitcoin will rise. I don't have a guess as to how much it will increase, but it will happen in 2024 or 2025 at prices many expect.
sr. member
Activity: 1498
Merit: 443
When Binance and Coinbase were sued by the SEC
Institutions should be afraid, but why are institutions the other way around?
institutions even apply for licenses to their respective regulators, and instead open a digital asset service?
It is not the first time Binance or Coinbase got a problem with SEC. We aren't surprised that SEC sued some top exchanges, they may have own purposes to do that. True, the institution should stay away from crypto business, on the contrary they try to have own digital services lately. We don't know what's happening with them, they may see something that can take a big advantage for them.

And if the institution has entered, the pump should have happened, especially when it coincided with
halving in 2024. Right?
The pump already happened, but it won't suddenly give a significant impact on BTC price. However, it should motivate more the investors to hold more their bitcoins. By the way, it is not the first time to see this kind of news, EL Salvador already did it first, they even makes Bitcoin to be a legal tender. So, it is not really surprising about the institution to join crypto business.

Are the bitcoins on the market becoming scarcer? plus, because there will be a halving?
and that means potentially Bitcoin will become more expensive as it becomes scarcer, and more numerous
Even if the institution don't join crypto, Bitcoin is always getting scarcer. There will be more people to lose their Bitcoin with varied reasons, that makes Bitcoin becomes scarcer. Sure, this makes Bitcoin to more expensive in the future.

hero member
Activity: 2506
Merit: 645
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Yes bitcoin will gain enhancement in price during halving but that enhancement will be temporary because people will prefer to sell bitcoin and get benefit instead of holding it more so eventually this will results in price decrease. People are waiting for havling that as halving occurs so they will reap the benefit but who knows that on which date it will occurs?

It will takes times to recover back once the price reduces because of volatile nature but these all are just opinions and estimation but happening in future is not known yet. Now the price will increases and it will persist higher until halving as these days the demand is higher for bitcoin and demand has greater impact on Bitcoin's price.
legendary
Activity: 3248
Merit: 1402
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I think Bitcoin ETF applications happen pretty regularly, but as they always end in a rejection, they aren't covered by the news a lot. The SEC suing big crypto companies can motivate some companies to try obtaining a licence from them, as they probably want to make sure they're not going to be sued.
Turning to halving, opinions vary whether it actually makes a difference, but people often cherry-pick the evidence, sometimes choosing to focus on what's before the halving or something well after the halving, and linking the price changes to it. That being said, halving will happen next spring, and I do believe in a bull run starting at some point in 2024; I just don't think it's because of halving.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 2880
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Are the bitcoins on the market becoming scarcer? plus, because there will be a halving?
and that means potentially Bitcoin will become more expensive as it becomes scarcer, and more numerous
less?
The logic behind markets is that is there is a request for something, bitcoin in this case, and it keeps becoming scarcer and scarcer, the price will go up. If something is scarse but there is no request for it then it's totally useless, there is no market hence its value is zero. With the halving is very likable that the price will keep going up.
legendary
Activity: 2506
Merit: 1394
And if the institution has entered, the pump should have happened, especially when it coincided with
halving in 2024. Right?
(....)
I'm more positive about the event of Bitcoin having a block halving next year because, for the past years and past Bitcoin block halving, it became an indicator over time for every Bitcoin bull market.
Every before Bitcoin block halving happens, we can see the price of Bitcoin is starting to climb. Which for me, I agree that next year is the market will favor to Bitcoin.
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 673
but I think at the time of HALVING btc for sure
the price of btc has the potential to increase because currently the price of btc can still survive at the current price which is in the range of $ 30k

How does the price of Bitcoin right now show that it has the potential to increase in the near future? If you are making your assumption based on the halving that is around the corner, then I can agree with you that we might likely see a little bull run in the coming weeks and months, but the price won't be a big difference compared to where it is right now. Maybe a range of $31k–$35k could possibly be achieved, adding to the recent positive news we have been having from different institutional investors.
member
Activity: 392
Merit: 31
speculating on the price of btc is a tricky thing.
In my opinion, the increase in the price of BTC depends on market demand. If the market demand is high, when someone wants to buy BTC, the price of BTC will be high when that person buys it.

but I think at the time of HALVING btc for sure
the price of btc has the potential to increase because currently the price of btc can still survive at the current price which is in the range of $ 30k
and in my opinion, many people will also start saving btc for the next BUL RUN.
copper member
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1609
Bitcoin Bottom was at $15.4k
Bitcoin Halving has always given huge profits to the Bitcoin community, it's a great 4 year cycle. Here is a table which shows how it affected the price after a Bitcoin halving:
You can clearly see the impact Bitcoin Halving has on the price. It reduces the supply by 50% and that increases the hype and demand which the Crypto industry needs.

So, 2024 Halving will bring down the New BTC per Block to 3.125.
legendary
Activity: 3024
Merit: 2148
When Binance and Coinbase were sued by the SEC
Institutions should be afraid, but why are institutions the other way around?
institutions even apply for licenses to their respective regulators, and instead open a digital asset service?

Why should they be afraid? Bitcoin is not illegal. All companies get sued all the time, it's not a problem for them. Worst case scenario they'll have to pay a fine.

And if the institution has entered, the pump should have happened, especially when it coincided with
halving in 2024. Right?

There's no reason to have a huge pump because someone applied for an ETF. Even if they will be successful, it wouldn't be a good reason to see a huge price increase.

And historically, institutional pump is more of a hype and media narrative, rather than a real driving force. If you look at the previous bull market, only Microstrategy and Tesla made significant investments, and a few companies merely stated that they plan to adopt Bitcoin, but it was enough to create hype that institutions are adopting Bitcoin, even though it was just a few companies, and Tesla later dumped it.
legendary
Activity: 3010
Merit: 1280
Get $2100 deposit bonuses & 60 FS
So, when institutions come in, and their bitcoins are custodied by them.
Are the bitcoins on the market becoming scarcer? plus, because there will be a halving?
and that means potentially Bitcoin will become more expensive as it becomes scarcer, and more numerous
less?


I'm sure many of the seniors in this forum know more about what happened and what will happen, therefore I beg the seniors to give a little knowledge and experience to us newbies, Really appreciate your discussion, Thanks.

Bitcoin maximum coins are still the same regardless of how many institutions jump in the industry but the ever increasing of Bitcoin demand will out perform the incoming supply of Bitcoin creating a more scarce image of the coin. 

It is obvious that if the scarce image of Bitcoin is created by the sudden inflow of demand, the price will definitely increase.

The lost Bitcoin and the idle ones won't help the price surge if the demand keep on losing since we all know the one that will push the price of Bitcoin is not because of its mining supply  getting less but because of the demand and money being injected to the market.
hero member
Activity: 2926
Merit: 657
No dream is too big and no dreamer is too small
When Binance and Coinbase were sued by the SEC
Institutions should be afraid, but why are institutions the other way around?
institutions even apply for licenses to their respective regulators, and instead open a digital asset service?

And if the institution has entered, the pump should have happened, especially when it coincided with
halving in 2024. Right?

So, when institutions come in, and their bitcoins are custodied by them.
Are the bitcoins on the market becoming scarcer? plus, because there will be a halving?
and that means potentially Bitcoin will become more expensive as it becomes scarcer, and more numerous
less?


I'm sure many of the seniors in this forum know more about what happened and what will happen, therefore I beg the seniors to give a little knowledge and experience to us newbies, Really appreciate your discussion, Thanks.
Yes. History proves it and it keeps repeating every after 4 years. That’s why when bitcoin halving is fast approaching, experienced investors will make it sure to prepare everything before halving, that is acquiring maximum amount of bitcoin at its cheapest price, knowing when halving comes, the market will eventually become bullish as expected. So if it happened from the last halving, so might as well the same scenario will take place with this upcoming bitcoin halving. Also, big institutions have been investing and promoting bitcoin so far, so that when halving finally takes place, everything will paid off, hence reaping their massive profits will always be possible. Once bitcoin supply will start to be scarce, the price will gradually increase until it eventually reaches at its peak.
hero member
Activity: 2660
Merit: 651
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When Binance and Coinbase were sued by the SEC
Institutions should be afraid, but why are institutions the other way around?
I believe the institution is the other way around when they ought to be afraid because the US SEC lawsuit about Coinbase, Kraken, and Binance was a political game played to cause FUD in the market so that some institutions can come in. Mind you, they have access to the first information ahead of us and I believe they are already aware of the BlackRock and Fidelity investment group's move toward Bitcoin ETF.

institutions even apply for licenses to their respective regulators, and instead open a digital asset service?
I think that's exactly what they wanted to do but in other, for them to maximize their chances they want to cause panic in the market, the IMF have advised them and the government not to ban crypto cause it's impossible that they should regulate the market instead.

And if the institution has entered, the pump should have happened, especially when it coincided with
halving in 2024. Right?
With or without the institution, the pump will happen based on the structure Satoshi used to create Bitcoin. It is just that the market traffic will be high if institutional investors enter the market.

So, when institutions come in, and their bitcoins are custodied by them.
Are the bitcoins on the market becoming scarcer? plus, because there will be a halving?
and that means potentially Bitcoin will become more expensive as it becomes scarcer, and more numerous
less?
Bitcoin halving is to reduce the miner's reward and it technically makes BTC to be scared in the market. The institutional investors won't be the reason for the scare of BTC. Their existence in the market will create increase in demand of BTC.
legendary
Activity: 1554
Merit: 1139
So, when institutions come in, and their bitcoins are custodied by them.
Are the bitcoins on the market becoming scarcer? plus, because there will be a halving?
Bitcoin can have demand grow against supply which increases at a fixed rate but we will not have scarcity in Bitcoin where there is not enough to meet up with the demand. Institutional investors will not be able to take away majorrt of Bitcoin from circulation.
I don’t really follow through when you say demand growing against supply happens in a fixed rate. Can you add more details to it?

My ideas leaves me with the impression that these could only happen differently and at an unprecedented rate since, there isn’t a fixed time for any of the activities to happen in the market and you don’t have same turn out of investors or traders on the market at a particular period.

This makes me a bit hesitant or perhaps I don’t understand when you say, the “demand grows against supply at a fixed rate”.
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