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Topic: WTH BTC Jumped 20.06%. Is this a fricking Trend? (Read 2046 times)

copper member
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1465
Clueless!
February 13, 2016, 02:23:15 AM
#28
I would just love to know where all this hashrate is coming from?!?!?!?
How is it possible to deploy multi PH farms in a matter of a week / days???
How is it possible to even build hardware this quickly?!?!

Seriously WTF?!

Its extremely disappointing!

Well, I just run a couple SP20's now for heating my place ... if you're a home miner at this point ur strictly doing it as a hobby or on stolen power rofl!
Buying any new hardware for a home miner is never gonna ROI unless price skyrockets which most likely wont happen anytime soon.... if ever...

Scrypt mining w/ an effecient ASIC is where its at now for the home miner. Theres still a really good profit margin when mining w/ either a Titan or gridseeds(forgot their new name) hardware.

Lastly, when the halving comes, many large farms are gonna see a massive rude awakening ... either price is gonna double(doubtful and it already has taken into account the last couple months price movement) or farms are gonna shut down(more likely) .... but most likely its gonna be a combination of both. Like LTC's recent halving.
Also, the reason I think the price has already adjusted(nearly) is because it doubled from the low 200's we were at for these last couple months ... which is EXACTLY what happened w/ LTC's halving, a month or 2 prior to the halving its price saw a really large bubble ( $1.50 -> $10 ) ... then the halving hit and the price eventually settled to $3(double what it was for a year or more) ... hashrate has barely budged.

Of course, I understand what happened w/ LTC doesnt predict what will happen for BTC halving, but its a very similar trend thus far.


as to your above on the titan miners its true.....BUT without some kinda price rise (BTC with LTC tagging along or something) when SUMMER or I should say 'heat' comes
I am beyond screwed....on PAPER it should work ...but it is one thing to have 2 titans at 2500 watts heating your house and a reduced winter electric rate from 13.7c kwh
to 0.0966c kwh so again ...the price better pop before such....or even us Titan owners are gonna be scratching our heads about how far to take home miners

but yeah we are killing it this winter ..but soon heat will be a problem and the increase in electric...so these prices for BTC and LTC can't hold for home miners for sure

but likely some data halls are gonna be facing the same issues at these prices (esp btc with difficulty rise) even if doing scyrpt or LTC due to same summer heat issues

just saying ...I see a cliff ahead of sorts...and no 'price bridge' in sight and still running at a full gallop ...all very exciting till the sudden stop! Smiley

Anyway just to put the above from a guy running 2 Titans as a perspective so to speak



A4 Dominator ASIC & Miner Specifications:

    A4 ASIC: 3Mhs per chip at 3.6W nominal, support DCDC less PCB
    Extreme Low Power: daisy chained ASIC running at 0.7V, only in 14nm
    Miner Performance: 600Mhs from 720W at the Wall or 850Mhs from 1020W
    PSU Requirements: common PCI-E 8Pins/6+2Pins with 12V output
    Included: Raspberry Pi running the most user friendly A2 terminator Software

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/innosilicons-a4-dominator-12wmhs-14nm-asic-and-miner-open-for-partners-1251930

well on the above (price does not matter to me because my titans are paid for) I will have 740mh (got me a cheap 100mh of titan cubes last week ..cheap in the sense i mined
the 160 LTC paid for 95c an LTC ie electric per month vs LTC coin output...got to love ROI)

anyway 740mh I can run with that pack .DEPENDING on how high and how much the difficulty for say LTC and/or scrypt goes up BUT my elec costs will be at 2x at least
the above..again my elec costs in comparison to the new equip above....but then again my equip has ROI'd so all and all ...if scrypt is not completely swamped by difficulty rise...I can run with that pack.. in that I don't have to 'buy' the above beastie (just slip in the herd and electrically 'sweat' more perhaps) Smiley

What is the assumption on price above at what I'm running next week ...about 740mh or does no one know that yet?

member
Activity: 120
Merit: 10
I see a move to 1300 then 1500 ph very fast.  I see us level off near 2000ph.

I am very negative on btc diff rise as I see it to be huge.

I hope for a price rise.

my power cost for feb mar and april will be 900 usd total minus 300 heat value so that is 600 usd out of pocket.

I positioned myself to have that power money in hand.

I am hoping for a good price jump here. In the next 90 days.



The price will jump a lot in 90 days. I think we should know the results of the block size increase before then.
DrG
legendary
Activity: 2086
Merit: 1035
Reminds me of the days when the first Avalons came out and people with massive card farms like myself were getting pushed aside by people with a few ASICs  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
I would just love to know where all this hashrate is coming from?!?!?!?
How is it possible to deploy multi PH farms in a matter of a week / days???
How is it possible to even build hardware this quickly?!?!

Seriously WTF?!

Its extremely disappointing!

Well, I just run a couple SP20's now for heating my place ... if you're a home miner at this point ur strictly doing it as a hobby or on stolen power rofl!
Buying any new hardware for a home miner is never gonna ROI unless price skyrockets which most likely wont happen anytime soon.... if ever...

Scrypt mining w/ an effecient ASIC is where its at now for the home miner. Theres still a really good profit margin when mining w/ either a Titan or gridseeds(forgot their new name) hardware.

Lastly, when the halving comes, many large farms are gonna see a massive rude awakening ... either price is gonna double(doubtful and it already has taken into account the last couple months price movement) or farms are gonna shut down(more likely) .... but most likely its gonna be a combination of both. Like LTC's recent halving.
Also, the reason I think the price has already adjusted(nearly) is because it doubled from the low 200's we were at for these last couple months ... which is EXACTLY what happened w/ LTC's halving, a month or 2 prior to the halving its price saw a really large bubble ( $1.50 -> $10 ) ... then the halving hit and the price eventually settled to $3(double what it was for a year or more) ... hashrate has barely budged.

Of course, I understand what happened w/ LTC doesnt predict what will happen for BTC halving, but its a very similar trend thus far.


as to your above on the titan miners its true.....BUT without some kinda price rise (BTC with LTC tagging along or something) when SUMMER or I should say 'heat' comes
I am beyond screwed....on PAPER it should work ...but it is one thing to have 2 titans at 2500 watts heating your house and a reduced winter electric rate from 13.7c kwh
to 0.0966c kwh so again ...the price better pop before such....or even us Titan owners are gonna be scratching our heads about how far to take home miners

but yeah we are killing it this winter ..but soon heat will be a problem and the increase in electric...so these prices for BTC and LTC can't hold for home miners for sure

but likely some data halls are gonna be facing the same issues at these prices (esp btc with difficulty rise) even if doing scyrpt or LTC due to same summer heat issues

just saying ...I see a cliff ahead of sorts...and no 'price bridge' in sight and still running at a full gallop ...all very exciting till the sudden stop! Smiley

Anyway just to put the above from a guy running 2 Titans as a perspective so to speak



A4 Dominator ASIC & Miner Specifications:

    A4 ASIC: 3Mhs per chip at 3.6W nominal, support DCDC less PCB
    Extreme Low Power: daisy chained ASIC running at 0.7V, only in 14nm
    Miner Performance: 600Mhs from 720W at the Wall or 850Mhs from 1020W
    PSU Requirements: common PCI-E 8Pins/6+2Pins with 12V output
    Included: Raspberry Pi running the most user friendly A2 terminator Software

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/innosilicons-a4-dominator-12wmhs-14nm-asic-and-miner-open-for-partners-1251930

The problem is they have these two chips with no new news.   They took a BIG task doing 2 chips at the same time instead of one.  I would have focused on A3 (btc chip) as it is biggest seller most likely and do A4 later.

We still have a lot we just don't know and Bitfury seems to have a huge jump on next gen.   Guess we will see what happens But I don't think Innsilicon is one of the companies adding hash right now, but I could be wrong.
sr. member
Activity: 453
Merit: 250
I would just love to know where all this hashrate is coming from?!?!?!?
How is it possible to deploy multi PH farms in a matter of a week / days???
How is it possible to even build hardware this quickly?!?!

Seriously WTF?!

Its extremely disappointing!

Well, I just run a couple SP20's now for heating my place ... if you're a home miner at this point ur strictly doing it as a hobby or on stolen power rofl!
Buying any new hardware for a home miner is never gonna ROI unless price skyrockets which most likely wont happen anytime soon.... if ever...

Scrypt mining w/ an effecient ASIC is where its at now for the home miner. Theres still a really good profit margin when mining w/ either a Titan or gridseeds(forgot their new name) hardware.

Lastly, when the halving comes, many large farms are gonna see a massive rude awakening ... either price is gonna double(doubtful and it already has taken into account the last couple months price movement) or farms are gonna shut down(more likely) .... but most likely its gonna be a combination of both. Like LTC's recent halving.
Also, the reason I think the price has already adjusted(nearly) is because it doubled from the low 200's we were at for these last couple months ... which is EXACTLY what happened w/ LTC's halving, a month or 2 prior to the halving its price saw a really large bubble ( $1.50 -> $10 ) ... then the halving hit and the price eventually settled to $3(double what it was for a year or more) ... hashrate has barely budged.

Of course, I understand what happened w/ LTC doesnt predict what will happen for BTC halving, but its a very similar trend thus far.


as to your above on the titan miners its true.....BUT without some kinda price rise (BTC with LTC tagging along or something) when SUMMER or I should say 'heat' comes
I am beyond screwed....on PAPER it should work ...but it is one thing to have 2 titans at 2500 watts heating your house and a reduced winter electric rate from 13.7c kwh
to 0.0966c kwh so again ...the price better pop before such....or even us Titan owners are gonna be scratching our heads about how far to take home miners

but yeah we are killing it this winter ..but soon heat will be a problem and the increase in electric...so these prices for BTC and LTC can't hold for home miners for sure

but likely some data halls are gonna be facing the same issues at these prices (esp btc with difficulty rise) even if doing scyrpt or LTC due to same summer heat issues

just saying ...I see a cliff ahead of sorts...and no 'price bridge' in sight and still running at a full gallop ...all very exciting till the sudden stop! Smiley

Anyway just to put the above from a guy running 2 Titans as a perspective so to speak



A4 Dominator ASIC & Miner Specifications:

    A4 ASIC: 3Mhs per chip at 3.6W nominal, support DCDC less PCB
    Extreme Low Power: daisy chained ASIC running at 0.7V, only in 14nm
    Miner Performance: 600Mhs from 720W at the Wall or 850Mhs from 1020W
    PSU Requirements: common PCI-E 8Pins/6+2Pins with 12V output
    Included: Raspberry Pi running the most user friendly A2 terminator Software

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/innosilicons-a4-dominator-12wmhs-14nm-asic-and-miner-open-for-partners-1251930
copper member
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1465
Clueless!
I would just love to know where all this hashrate is coming from?!?!?!?
How is it possible to deploy multi PH farms in a matter of a week / days???
How is it possible to even build hardware this quickly?!?!

Seriously WTF?!

Its extremely disappointing!

Well, I just run a couple SP20's now for heating my place ... if you're a home miner at this point ur strictly doing it as a hobby or on stolen power rofl!
Buying any new hardware for a home miner is never gonna ROI unless price skyrockets which most likely wont happen anytime soon.... if ever...

Scrypt mining w/ an effecient ASIC is where its at now for the home miner. Theres still a really good profit margin when mining w/ either a Titan or gridseeds(forgot their new name) hardware.

Lastly, when the halving comes, many large farms are gonna see a massive rude awakening ... either price is gonna double(doubtful and it already has taken into account the last couple months price movement) or farms are gonna shut down(more likely) .... but most likely its gonna be a combination of both. Like LTC's recent halving.
Also, the reason I think the price has already adjusted(nearly) is because it doubled from the low 200's we were at for these last couple months ... which is EXACTLY what happened w/ LTC's halving, a month or 2 prior to the halving its price saw a really large bubble ( $1.50 -> $10 ) ... then the halving hit and the price eventually settled to $3(double what it was for a year or more) ... hashrate has barely budged.

Of course, I understand what happened w/ LTC doesnt predict what will happen for BTC halving, but its a very similar trend thus far.


as to your above on the titan miners its true.....BUT without some kinda price rise (BTC with LTC tagging along or something) when SUMMER or I should say 'heat' comes
I am beyond screwed....on PAPER it should work ...but it is one thing to have 2 titans at 2500 watts heating your house and a reduced winter electric rate from 13.7c kwh
to 0.0966c kwh so again ...the price better pop before such....or even us Titan owners are gonna be scratching our heads about how far to take home miners

but yeah we are killing it this winter ..but soon heat will be a problem and the increase in electric...so these prices for BTC and LTC can't hold for home miners for sure

but likely some data halls are gonna be facing the same issues at these prices (esp btc with difficulty rise) even if doing scyrpt or LTC due to same summer heat issues

just saying ...I see a cliff ahead of sorts...and no 'price bridge' in sight and still running at a full gallop ...all very exciting till the sudden stop! Smiley

Anyway just to put the above from a guy running 2 Titans as a perspective so to speak

legendary
Activity: 2450
Merit: 1002
I would just love to know where all this hashrate is coming from?!?!?!?
How is it possible to deploy multi PH farms in a matter of a week / days???
How is it possible to even build hardware this quickly?!?!

Seriously WTF?!

Its extremely disappointing!

Well, I just run a couple SP20's now for heating my place ... if you're a home miner at this point ur strictly doing it as a hobby or on stolen power rofl!
Buying any new hardware for a home miner is never gonna ROI unless price skyrockets which most likely wont happen anytime soon.... if ever...

Scrypt mining w/ an effecient ASIC is where its at now for the home miner. Theres still a really good profit margin when mining w/ either a Titan or gridseeds(forgot their new name) hardware.

Lastly, when the halving comes, many large farms are gonna see a massive rude awakening ... either price is gonna double(doubtful and it already has taken into account the last couple months price movement) or farms are gonna shut down(more likely) .... but most likely its gonna be a combination of both. Like LTC's recent halving.
Also, the reason I think the price has already adjusted(nearly) is because it doubled from the low 200's we were at for these last couple months ... which is EXACTLY what happened w/ LTC's halving, a month or 2 prior to the halving its price saw a really large bubble ( $1.50 -> $10 ) ... then the halving hit and the price eventually settled to $3(double what it was for a year or more) ... hashrate has barely budged.

Of course, I understand what happened w/ LTC doesnt predict what will happen for BTC halving, but its a very similar trend thus far.
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 101
Check this block generation time vs difficulty (second picture on page)

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Earlier Blue line Average block generation time of 2016 blocks did not cross the difficulty line during 2016 blocks time, during last 2016 blocks it crossed the blue line after ca 7 days. Now during this latest difficulty it has crossed the red line almost immediately  Shocked

What the heck. Are there some new 16nm miner on line?
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
it was expected, because...

1 antminer s7 can do 0.0164 btc daily equal to 0.5 monthly = $189

consumption of many big farm at 0.03-0.05 cent per kw/h is $45 per month, so you see still plenty of margin

the diff will increase even further at least until 200B, +50% more

Even $0.03/kWH is not low enough to make s7 miner worth buying now. Should be below $0.02. Such prices do exist, in Venezuela, parts of Russia etc.

big farms, don't have acccess to such electricity value, the lower i've heard of is 0.03, which is pretty good

that's why they are going with the new 16nm, which are coming before the halving

.03 cent's I think is on the low side for most.  But it's hard to say what most commercial operations are getting.   Were talking about a industry where most are privately owned so they don't really put out data.  They are also all over the world so it's not like one size fit's all.

How do you know most big farms don't have access to such cheap electricity? I have not found anything that really publishes their price on huge commercial operations.

i'm curious to know, if there is any mega farm out there sitting on free power, it would be terrible for the mining scene, since no value or halving will stop their mining ever

I don't know about free but I do wonder on ones like HaoBTC - https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/--1072474 .  Great read if anyone has not yet, but Eric took tons of amazing pics.

But they built it very close to a dam with hydro.  It's operations like this I wonder what they pay.  It would not be free, but if the company had that much extra unused electricity I would think they would get a sweet deal on electricity.   
legendary
Activity: 3248
Merit: 1070
it was expected, because...

1 antminer s7 can do 0.0164 btc daily equal to 0.5 monthly = $189

consumption of many big farm at 0.03-0.05 cent per kw/h is $45 per month, so you see still plenty of margin

the diff will increase even further at least until 200B, +50% more

Even $0.03/kWH is not low enough to make s7 miner worth buying now. Should be below $0.02. Such prices do exist, in Venezuela, parts of Russia etc.

big farms, don't have acccess to such electricity value, the lower i've heard of is 0.03, which is pretty good

that's why they are going with the new 16nm, which are coming before the halving

.03 cent's I think is on the low side for most.  But it's hard to say what most commercial operations are getting.   Were talking about a industry where most are privately owned so they don't really put out data.  They are also all over the world so it's not like one size fit's all.

How do you know most big farms don't have access to such cheap electricity? I have not found anything that really publishes their price on huge commercial operations.

i'm curious to know, if there is any mega farm out there sitting on free power, it would be terrible for the mining scene, since no value or halving will stop their mining ever
copper member
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1465
Clueless!
I see a move to 1300 then 1500 ph very fast.  I see us level off near 2000ph.

I am very negative on btc diff rise as I see it to be huge.

I hope for a price rise.

my power cost for feb mar and april will be 900 usd total minus 300 heat value so that is 600 usd out of pocket.

I positioned myself to have that power money in hand.

I am hoping for a good price jump here. In the next 90 days.





Not sure about the rest of you but these guys claim 8c kwh price or thereabouts on hosting....only thing I
know is they reply promptly..in that I have 13.7c kwh coming after my winter reduced rate of 0.0966c kwh goes away

I may have to look into this...so yeah the price better pop in the next 90 days like stated above by philipma1957......

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.13819443



or all screwed...(I too have been also cleaning up $$$ on the heat benifit of 2 titans...but that will bite me in the butt this summer) Sad


anyway the folk that I was pointed to in Canada

http://www.greatnorthdata.com/


again just tossing it out there ..don't know much more then they reply to email promptly ..perhaps others will know more and again

they may have a 'time limit' you have to host your units for

but only thing that comes to mind for you folk still mining BTC ....me I have Titan Scrypt Miners and such so not in such 'dire' straights yet (ltc to btc when the spirit moves me) Smiley

anyway am building a messed up titan cube unit of 3 or 4 cubes prob will mine at 3/4 rate of regular Titan at best..I MAY at the end of spring have to

do something like this then.....trying this 'ugly' unit hosting with them to see how it all works (have never hosted before)


...from what I gather on here NOW with the BTC asic miners on this thread you are 'already' doing so or should have done so yesterday me thinks...hosting that is

hope it helps..again all I know is a few said to try these guys and they reply promptly to email...and last I got an email it came out to about 8c kwh with fees etc included

on ONE TITAN ..your own equip you'd have to email them

good luck w/o  a price rise in 90 days (or less) this could be moot for me/us by the middle of summer Sad

legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
I see a move to 1300 then 1500 ph very fast.  I see us level off near 2000ph.

I am very negative on btc diff rise as I see it to be huge.

I hope for a price rise.

my power cost for feb mar and april will be 900 usd total minus 300 heat value so that is 600 usd out of pocket.

I positioned myself to have that power money in hand.

I am hoping for a good price jump here. In the next 90 days.




I keep hoping we will see a rise in bitcoin prices.  It would be great if we do.   But hard to say what will happen.  I think a lot of BTC will be mined and go straight to fiat to pay for this extra hashing that we now have.

If these big operations do trade daily to fiat... that is a lot of push downwards on value at least I see it that way.
legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'
I see a move to 1300 then 1500 ph very fast.  I see us level off near 2000ph.

I am very negative on btc diff rise as I see it to be huge.

I hope for a price rise.

my power cost for feb mar and april will be 900 usd total minus 300 heat value so that is 600 usd out of pocket.

I positioned myself to have that power money in hand.

I am hoping for a good price jump here. In the next 90 days.

legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1091
I just wonder where this massive increase is comming from. Is it one pool that is gaining a massive amount of hash power or is it spreaded over several pools?
legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 1422
Quote
I am in Venezuela where power is almost free and these diff jumps sure have me very worried, we have a small mine with about 200 TH my forecast even with free power are not good....

what tools do you guys use to calculate ROI? i'm currently using https://coinplorer.com/Hardware/Simulate/ which seems very good, but doesn't seem to take into account halving....

i sure hope this is NOT a trend

man your return on investment depends on the btc price. you can't rely on those simulation simply because the price variable is the most important
one day you have 100, the next day you have 70
legendary
Activity: 2506
Merit: 1714
Electrical engineer. Mining since 2014.
Estimated Next Difficulty:   174,201,188,435 (+20.88%)    Shocked

source: bitcoinwisdom.com
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
it was expected, because...

1 antminer s7 can do 0.0164 btc daily equal to 0.5 monthly = $189

consumption of many big farm at 0.03-0.05 cent per kw/h is $45 per month, so you see still plenty of margin

the diff will increase even further at least until 200B, +50% more

Even $0.03/kWH is not low enough to make s7 miner worth buying now. Should be below $0.02. Such prices do exist, in Venezuela, parts of Russia etc.

big farms, don't have acccess to such electricity value, the lower i've heard of is 0.03, which is pretty good

that's why they are going with the new 16nm, which are coming before the halving

.03 cent's I think is on the low side for most.  But it's hard to say what most commercial operations are getting.   Were talking about a industry where most are privately owned so they don't really put out data.  They are also all over the world so it's not like one size fit's all.

How do you know most big farms don't have access to such cheap electricity? I have not found anything that really publishes their price on huge commercial operations.
copper member
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1465
Clueless!
Those costs per power unfortunately means it is next to impossible for any home miner to ever make a profit any more. Atleast I pay more than 0.2 per kw/h, which means that it is about break even before write-off of the equipment.

If you dont find the heat generated usefull, then yes its impossible for home miner to make a profit. About the break-even before write-off of the equipment, it is all based on future difficulty which is hard to predict, there were long periods with constant difficulty, so dont expect such difficulty increases forever.


to your point I have large scrypt miners..the heat help (heating house 2 titans 2500w) and the reduced by 1/3 about elec rate for winter ..it kinda works

if folk are correct an 650 usd btc is coming this year at current 0.008 ltc to btc that is 5.20 per LTC say...so hell i may even make it thru next winter into

spring of 2017.....but hell of a way to run a crypto home miner setup Sad

if you are doing ltc to btc say and already have the scrypt equip this kinda/sorta floats (badly)

just to clarify...i see no way a home miner direct btc as a btc miner could do the above anymore ..even with the above angles


so sad....when these titans brick themselves......i really had the home miner bug bad Sad

legendary
Activity: 3248
Merit: 1070
it was expected, because...

1 antminer s7 can do 0.0164 btc daily equal to 0.5 monthly = $189

consumption of many big farm at 0.03-0.05 cent per kw/h is $45 per month, so you see still plenty of margin

the diff will increase even further at least until 200B, +50% more

Even $0.03/kWH is not low enough to make s7 miner worth buying now. Should be below $0.02. Such prices do exist, in Venezuela, parts of Russia etc.

big farms, don't have acccess to such electricity value, the lower i've heard of is 0.03, which is pretty good

that's why they are going with the new 16nm, which are coming before the halving
sr. member
Activity: 306
Merit: 257
it was expected, because...

1 antminer s7 can do 0.0164 btc daily equal to 0.5 monthly = $189

consumption of many big farm at 0.03-0.05 cent per kw/h is $45 per month, so you see still plenty of margin

the diff will increase even further at least until 200B, +50% more

Even $0.03/kWH is not low enough to make s7 miner worth buying now. Should be below $0.02. Such prices do exist, in Venezuela, parts of Russia etc.
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