XMR exchange rate has stabilized, which means that historical volatility is down, and implied volatility is also down a lot.
Options have become much cheaper as a result!
Sell Buyback Contract full name Maturity Type Strike B.E Lev Imp vol Open interest
0,00010 0,00005 140930-CALL-0.0200 30.9.2014 CALL 0,02000 0,02008 5055 % 400 %
0,00012 0,00006 140930-CALL-0.0150 30.9.2014 CALL 0,01500 0,01509 4273 % 360 %
0,00015 0,00009 140930-CALL-0.0100 30.9.2014 CALL 0,01000 0,01012 3203 % 300 %
0,00022 0,00013 140930-CALL-0.0080 30.9.2014 CALL 0,00800 0,00818 2156 % 280 %
0,00036 0,00023 140930-CALL-0.0060 30.9.2014 CALL 0,00600 0,00629 1313 % 250 %
0,00053 0,00035 140930-CALL-0.0050 30.9.2014 CALL 0,00500 0,00544 878 % 240 % 8000
0,00086 0,00060 140930-CALL-0.0040 30.9.2014 CALL 0,00400 0,00473 528 % 240 %
0,00142 0,00103 140930-CALL-0.0030 30.9.2014 CALL 0,00300 0,00423 314 % 250 %
0,00155 0,00113 140930-PUT-0.0050 30.9.2014 PUT 0,00500 0,00366 286 % 160 %
0,00111 0,00079 140930-PUT-0.0045 30.9.2014 PUT 0,00450 0,00355 404 % 160 %
0,00071 0,00049 140930-PUT-0.0040 30.9.2014 PUT 0,00400 0,00340 642 % 155 %
0,00046 0,00030 140930-PUT-0.0035 30.9.2014 PUT 0,00350 0,00312 1020 % 170 %
0,00026 0,00016 140930-PUT-0.0030 30.9.2014 PUT 0,00300 0,00279 1872 % 180 %
0,00016 0,00009 140930-PUT-0.0025 30.9.2014 PUT 0,00250 0,00237 3055 % 210 %
0,00022 0,00013 141031-CALL-0.0200 31.10.2014 CALL 0,02000 0,02018 2158 % 280 %
0,00032 0,00020 141031-CALL-0.0150 31.10.2014 CALL 0,01500 0,01526 1498 % 270 %
0,00048 0,00032 141031-CALL-0.0100 31.10.2014 CALL 0,01000 0,01040 971 % 250 % 5000
0,00061 0,00041 141031-CALL-0.0080 31.10.2014 CALL 0,00800 0,00851 754 % 240 %
0,00085 0,00059 141031-CALL-0.0060 31.10.2014 CALL 0,00600 0,00672 534 % 230 %
0,00101 0,00072 141031-CALL-0.0050 31.10.2014 CALL 0,00500 0,00587 445 % 220 %
0,00133 0,00096 141031-CALL-0.0040 31.10.2014 CALL 0,00400 0,00514 337 % 220 %
0,00182 0,00134 141031-CALL-0.0030 31.10.2014 CALL 0,00300 0,00458 244 % 230 %
0,00181 0,00134 141031-PUT-0.0050 31.10.2014 PUT 0,00500 0,00343 245 % 140 %
0,00139 0,00101 141031-PUT-0.0045 31.10.2014 PUT 0,00450 0,00330 321 % 140 %
0,00101 0,00072 141031-PUT-0.0040 31.10.2014 PUT 0,00400 0,00314 446 % 140 %
0,00074 0,00051 141031-PUT-0.0035 31.10.2014 PUT 0,00350 0,00288 616 % 150 %
0,00051 0,00034 141031-PUT-0.0030 31.10.2014 PUT 0,00300 0,00257 905 % 160 %
0,00033 0,00021 141031-PUT-0.0025 31.10.2014 PUT 0,00250 0,00223 1448 % 170 %
0,00038 0,00024 141130-CALL-0.0200 30.11.2014 CALL 0,02000 0,02031 1234 % 250 %
0,00049 0,00032 141130-CALL-0.0150 30.11.2014 CALL 0,01500 0,01540 952 % 240 %
0,00072 0,00050 141130-CALL-0.0100 30.11.2014 CALL 0,01000 0,01061 631 % 230 %
0,00085 0,00060 141130-CALL-0.0080 30.11.2014 CALL 0,00800 0,00873 531 % 220 %
0,00113 0,00080 141130-CALL-0.0060 30.11.2014 CALL 0,00600 0,00697 399 % 215 %
0,00131 0,00095 141130-CALL-0.0050 30.11.2014 CALL 0,00500 0,00613 341 % 210 %
0,00160 0,00117 141130-CALL-0.0040 30.11.2014 CALL 0,00400 0,00539 277 % 210 %
0,00206 0,00153 141130-CALL-0.0030 30.11.2014 CALL 0,00300 0,00479 215 % 220 %
0,00205 0,00152 141130-PUT-0.0050 30.11.2014 PUT 0,00500 0,00322 216 % 140 %
0,00163 0,00120 141130-PUT-0.0045 30.11.2014 PUT 0,00450 0,00309 272 % 140 %
0,00125 0,00090 141130-PUT-0.0040 30.11.2014 PUT 0,00400 0,00293 359 % 140 %
0,00090 0,00063 141130-PUT-0.0035 30.11.2014 PUT 0,00350 0,00273 502 % 140 %
0,00067 0,00046 141130-PUT-0.0030 30.11.2014 PUT 0,00300 0,00244 687 % 150 %
0,00046 0,00030 141130-PUT-0.0025 30.11.2014 PUT 0,00250 0,00212 1005 % 160 %
Especially I'd like to pick the following suggestions for different strategies:
I think MEW is right away lifting XMR significantly, or at least 0.006 by the end of the month0,00086 0,00060 140930-CALL-0.0040 30.9.2014 CALL 0,00400 0,00473 528 % 240 %
If price rises to 0.006, you are already well in the black (
2.33x). If it rises to 0.008, you win
4.65x. In this case you have more than double the leverage compared to buying XMR directly (4.65x versus 2x), and it is not worthless as long as the price is higher than 0.004.
I think Bitcoin is about to explode, leaving alts in the dust0,00033 0,00021 141031-PUT-0.0025 31.10.2014 PUT 0,00250 0,00223 1448 % 170 %
If Bitcoin goes up 10x in 48 days (quite typical of Bitcoin..), but XMR goes up only 2x, it means that XMR/BTC goes to 0.0008 and your option strategy pays back
5.15x. You are also covered against all negative happenings in XMR, which also reduce rate.
I believe that in 3-months, XMR has a 20% possibility of a real moonshot, to about 0.050.0,00049 0,00032 141130-CALL-0.0150 30.11.2014 CALL 0,01500 0,01540 952 % 240 %
You get a cool
71x return for the investment if the moonshot happens. After taking the probability into account, it is still
14x. This is a good strategy if you think there is a big chance that XMR falls unless it achieves the moonshot. You only participate in the gains.
I think that XMR gains steadily and is likely anything between 0.004-0.006 in the end of November.You should buy XMR. This way you help the distribution of the coin, support the price, retain better liquidity, and don't lose out on the time value that is inherent on options.