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Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation - page 1112. (Read 3314330 times)

legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1008
September 06, 2016, 11:40:58 AM
Some stats from moneroprice.i2p:

Total XMR volume: 128.6m XMR
Last 3 weeks XMR volume: 48m XMR

In last 3 weeks was 1/3 of all XMR volume. And since price is way higher now, that way lot more BTC volume.   This shows us how different trading of Monero is now  as it was in last 2 years.  We simply can't learn from past anymore since is totally new money and new people in XMR right now.

Bitsquare is a decentralized bitcoin exchange. Your funds are located on your own computer and there are no KYC/AML type of ID requirements. It's now even possible to run it on raspberry pi (albeit a bit slow).
But it's still relatively low volume, so we need more traders. Please consider checking it out. Come to #bitsquare on IRC if you have questions.


Everyone should use it more. I know changes are not what most people like and Poloniex is just cool but trading on more exchanges just help the coin. If not enough volume people will not bother trading there. Also Polo withdrawal limits. Trading here gives you none.


(bolded)  But Monero usually does this at this time of year Tongue   Grin

I checked bitsquare last week and being the idiot I am I couldn't figure out how to buy.  I will definitely avail myself of TheKoziTwo's help and buy some.  Oh good, another excuse to buy at a ludicrous price.  Last ludicrous price was 0.0143 and I blamed my gf.  Even though I gave her 2 chances to question what's going on she still hasn't.  So cute.  Those are still her coins. Kiss
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1217
September 06, 2016, 11:35:04 AM
Sorry cant really give you guys good replies. Baby asleep on arm.
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1015
September 06, 2016, 11:28:11 AM
It's always about gold. In the end. Even if you never buy any, its always about how much you could buy, if you wanted to. Gold is the the tip of the liquidity pyramid. It is timeless, immutable money. It is money as decreed by the laws of nature and the universe its self. Its always about gold. Grin

Maybe this will explain what I mean. I  bet you could buy a space faring vessel from an alien species somewhere with gold. Try doing that with monero or apartments.

Really the only universal currency for the universe is energy.

From energy matter can be created or transformed, I'd imagine a sufficiently advanced civilisation to be able to turn dirt into gold, the key ingredient here is enough energy to perform the conversion.

If energy is the baseline currency of the universe, then what comes closer, Bitcoin (or another crypto) or gold?

This just boils down to the energy requirement and abundance of that resource.

There are asteroids full of gold, remember that dying stars make a lot of gold and spread it out among the cosmos.

Gold can be converted from something else, the question is, how long until mining one bitcoin (or one bitcoin worth of transactions) is of the same energy requirement that it takes to convert a lump of dirt into a lump of gold?

That's the thing, an advanced civilisation could take a ton of water and via matter conversion/particle accelerators or advanced almost magical technologies and turn that into a ton of gold.

They can't turn the water into Bitcoin or Monero.

Of course they can try and use their immense resources to break Bitcoins keys or attack the network etc... and again if they succeed comes down to energy.

Sorry for my ramblings.

But yeah, I don't think that Gold will be the universal currency.

Bitcoin is better suited, but an alien society will have it's own crypto.

So really, it's just energy.

So go grab yourself some stars and start charging those Tesla batteries.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
September 06, 2016, 11:24:13 AM
Just as bitcoin will likely fade under the scorching light of monero, so too will monero some.

In relative terms perhaps, but I expect BTC to appreciate for decades yet.  It will fail eventually, unless the tail mining support is established.  Monero will not.  What properties would compel us to adopt an alternative?  Only state dictat, I think, and that will not suffice to displace Monero from its current niche, ever.

How do we deal with the impending and eventual CPU power hack?

If you mean the devaluation of cryptonight, that is part and parcel with post-quantum crypto, in my view.
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 1288
September 06, 2016, 11:23:13 AM
Some stats from moneroprice.i2p:

Total XMR volume: 128.6m XMR
Last 3 weeks XMR volume: 48m XMR

In last 3 weeks was 1/3 of all XMR volume. And since price is way higher now, that way lot more BTC volume.   This shows us how different trading of Monero is now  as it was in last 2 years.  We simply can't learn from past anymore since is totally new money and new people in XMR right now.

Bitsquare is a decentralized bitcoin exchange. Your funds are located on your own computer and there are no KYC/AML type of ID requirements. It's now even possible to run it on raspberry pi (albeit a bit slow).
But it's still relatively low volume, so we need more traders. Please consider checking it out. Come to #bitsquare on IRC if you have questions.


Everyone should use it more. I know changes are not what most people like and Poloniex is just cool but trading on more exchanges just help the coin. If not enough volume people will not bother trading there. Also Polo withdrawal limits. Trading here gives you none.
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1217
September 06, 2016, 11:16:27 AM
Serious setbacks and dumps are not happening.

There is too much buying pressure.

I remember when bitcoin rallied from 10'sh usd to 265.
Did not buy in the rally (unfortunately). However, I have pretty similar gut feeling of Monero - it has not done it yet. Too much buyers and now finally things has started to happen so selling now when things has rocking and rolling only 1 week feels pretty stupid.
I wonder who are these sellers...? How they make their decisions to sell? Probably they are just very desperate for cold cash (tax liabilities to pay?).

A lot of big (and smart) XMR holders are likely to have selling plans.
This means that they'll sell a certain percentage of their coins at a fixed price level.

Doing this eliminates emotional errors and risk.
Lots of these probably are hitting their selling targets now and sell.

I certainly did.

Those who sold sub 0.01 are complaining about selling too early.. So the selling plan will not work always in an optimal way. I bet many who sell now will regret if the price hits 100 usd/xmr.
On the other hand, the people holding only smaller amounts of coins will make the big guys even bigger in terms of size of the Monero pie. Those who sell will become poorer in Monero economy.
If I sold what shall I do with the fiat? Perhaps buy some Realty Income shares? Nah, only 4-5 % pa dividend yield. Buying gold? Probably not in large extent because Monero is better (although it doesn't glitter). Appartments? Probably... But again, I can do it also with the banker with 100 % financed so no money needed...

It's always about gold. In the end. Even if you never buy any, its always about how much you could buy, if you wanted to. Gold is the the tip of the liquidity pyramid. It is timeless, immutable money. It is money as decreed by the laws of nature and the universe its self. Its always about gold. Grin

Maybe this will explain what I mean. I  bet you could buy a space faring vessel from an alien species somewhere with gold. Try doing that with monero or apartments.

I also like some gold coins...And I even own around 10 oz.
That being said, I do not promote to go all in gold. Gold produces nothing and is good only for very short periods (and usually when you want to sell the dealers cannot give you a good rate or are closed because they do not want to buy high).
Most of the assets should be producing cash flow, not standing idle in the vaults of Switzerland. Appartments are giving me nice 10 % ROI and even higher ROE when using debt wisely.

I agree with all of that.
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
September 06, 2016, 11:10:27 AM

I'm just curious... you use the word "bagholder" a lot.  Do you know traditionally, in investing, what it means?



In Wall Street Bagholder has a little bit negative echo (usually people who are buying the pink shares from scam companies of pump and dump schemes).
However, in my terms it is refering to simple buy and hold which is the strategy of millionaires usually.

Worse really.  In the world of penny stocks it is the person who held until the paper was absolutely worthless. It's not a little negative it is all the way negative.  These are the people who the shills and evil minds behind penny stock scams live to relieve of their money.

Two points.  

Alt Coin land is pink sheets on steroids in the unregulated wild west of crypto. The virtual streets here will be three feet deep in the corpses of bagholders.

Second I have no qualms with a person who wishes to hold their entire investment to the end.  But we should not make light of the wise souls who sell to take some profits along the way.

We talk about pumps dumps and bagholders...  Sometimes the irony is to much for me to bear.
legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1008
September 06, 2016, 11:00:40 AM
Update.

Number of Monero sold = 0

What will make you do it?

Honestly I do not know. 

Today I picked up 11 deposit containers worth 5 cents each.  Yes I did.  I remember when I could get 1 XMR for 5 of them.  Now the going rate is 270 deposit containers for 1 XMR.  Damn.  In today's value each 5 cent deposit container that I redeemed for Monero back then is worth $2.70 now.  Hot damn.
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
September 06, 2016, 10:47:55 AM
Just as bitcoin will likely fade under the scorching light of monero, so too will monero some.

In relative terms perhaps, but I expect BTC to appreciate for decades yet.  It will fail eventually, unless the tail mining support is established.  Monero will not.  What properties would compel us to adopt an alternative?  Only state dictat, I think, and that will not suffice to displace Monero from its current niche, ever.

How do we deal with the impending and eventual CPU power hack?
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
September 06, 2016, 10:47:26 AM
Serious setbacks and dumps are not happening.

There is too much buying pressure.

I remember when bitcoin rallied from 10'sh usd to 265.
Did not buy in the rally (unfortunately). However, I have pretty similar gut feeling of Monero - it has not done it yet. Too much buyers and now finally things has started to happen so selling now when things has rocking and rolling only 1 week feels pretty stupid.
I wonder who are these sellers...? How they make their decisions to sell? Probably they are just very desperate for cold cash (tax liabilities to pay?).

Venture capitalists? buy it for a pound sell it for 2 pounds




Yes we have some of those Venture capitalists also here convincing the Royal Bagholders to sell to them at low prices.

I'm just curious... you use the word "bagholder" a lot.  Do you know traditionally, in investing, what it means?



In Wall Street Bagholder has a little bit negative echo (usually people who are buying the pink shares from scam companies of pump and dump schemes).
However, in my terms it is refering to simple buy and hold which is the strategy of millionaires usually.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
September 06, 2016, 10:46:01 AM
Just as bitcoin will likely fade under the scorching light of monero, so too will monero some.

In relative terms perhaps, but I expect BTC to appreciate for decades yet.  It will fail eventually, unless the tail mining support is established.  Monero will not.  What properties would compel us to adopt an alternative?  Only state dictat, I think, and that will not suffice to displace Monero from its current niche, ever.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
September 06, 2016, 10:44:42 AM
Serious setbacks and dumps are not happening.

There is too much buying pressure.

I remember when bitcoin rallied from 10'sh usd to 265.
Did not buy in the rally (unfortunately). However, I have pretty similar gut feeling of Monero - it has not done it yet. Too much buyers and now finally things has started to happen so selling now when things has rocking and rolling only 1 week feels pretty stupid.
I wonder who are these sellers...? How they make their decisions to sell? Probably they are just very desperate for cold cash (tax liabilities to pay?).

A lot of big (and smart) XMR holders are likely to have selling plans.
This means that they'll sell a certain percentage of their coins at a fixed price level.

Doing this eliminates emotional errors and risk.
Lots of these probably are hitting their selling targets now and sell.

I certainly did.

Those who sold sub 0.01 are complaining about selling too early.. So the selling plan will not work always in an optimal way. I bet many who sell now will regret if the price hits 100 usd/xmr.
On the other hand, the people holding only smaller amounts of coins will make the big guys even bigger in terms of size of the Monero pie. Those who sell will become poorer in Monero economy.
If I sold what shall I do with the fiat? Perhaps buy some Realty Income shares? Nah, only 4-5 % pa dividend yield. Buying gold? Probably not in large extent because Monero is better (although it doesn't glitter). Appartments? Probably... But again, I can do it also with the banker with 100 % financed so no money needed...

It's always about gold. In the end. Even if you never buy any, its always about how much you could buy, if you wanted to. Gold is the the tip of the liquidity pyramid. It is timeless, immutable money. It is money as decreed by the laws of nature and the universe its self. Its always about gold. Grin

Maybe this will explain what I mean. I  bet you could buy a space faring vessel from an alien species somewhere with gold. Try doing that with monero or apartments.

I also like some gold coins...And I even own around 10 oz.
That being said, I do not promote to go all in gold. Gold produces nothing and is good only for very short periods (and usually when you want to sell the dealers cannot give you a good rate or are closed because they do not want to buy high).
Most of the assets should be producing cash flow, not standing idle in the vaults of Switzerland. Appartments are giving me nice 10 % ROI and even higher ROE when using debt wisely.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
September 06, 2016, 10:41:11 AM
Gold is the the tip of the liquidity pyramid. It is timeless, immutable money. It is money as decreed by the laws of nature and the universe its self. ...  bet you could buy a space faring vessel from an alien species somewhere with gold. Try doing that with monero or apartments.

Given that gold can be synthesized with energy, and also may be found is superabundance in asteroids, I think that eventually it will lose value.  Probably not in our lifetimes, barring substantial life extension tech. But I would take the other side of that bet.  And yes, unless they wanted ongoing trade with humans, they would have no use for Monero.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
September 06, 2016, 10:38:42 AM
Serious setbacks and dumps are not happening.

There is too much buying pressure.

I remember when bitcoin rallied from 10'sh usd to 265.
Did not buy in the rally (unfortunately). However, I have pretty similar gut feeling of Monero - it has not done it yet. Too much buyers and now finally things has started to happen so selling now when things has rocking and rolling only 1 week feels pretty stupid.
I wonder who are these sellers...? How they make their decisions to sell? Probably they are just very desperate for cold cash (tax liabilities to pay?).

A lot of big (and smart) XMR holders are likely to have selling plans.
This means that they'll sell a certain percentage of their coins at a fixed price level.

Doing this eliminates emotional errors and risk.
Lots of these probably are hitting their selling targets now and sell.

I certainly did.

Those who sold sub 0.01 are complaining about selling too early.. So the selling plan will not work always in an optimal way. I bet many who sell now will regret if the price hits 100 usd/xmr.
On the other hand, the people holding only smaller amounts of coins will make the big guys even bigger in terms of size of the Monero pie. Those who sell will become poorer in Monero economy.
If I sold what shall I do with the fiat? Perhaps buy some Realty Income shares? Nah, only 4-5 % pa dividend yield. Buying gold? Probably not in large extent because Monero is better (although it doesn't glitter). Appartments? Probably... But again, I can do it also with the banker with 100 % financed so no money needed...

Having a selling plan is based on the assumption that you may not hit the top. What if the coin does not get any success?
Only liars sell at the top.


If XMR fails, I have my cash cows.
There is no need for the money, perhaps I want to buy a couple of Chinese Pandas, some Lunars and perhaps a double Eagle gold coins but those do not cost that much money. It is a similar question: what if you become a millionaire/billionaire? In many cases pretty much nothing. Perhaps you eat better lunch etc. but in the end also the wealthy people need to go to the toilet, eat and so on. There is not that much difference in living a life worth of 100 000 or 1000 000.
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1217
September 06, 2016, 10:38:24 AM
... let's see if I'll ever be able to sell..

Intergenerational wealth transfer is one of the great use cases of Monero.  Imagine if you great grandparents had thought to have a van Gogh delivered to you on your 30th birthday, how you could have improved matters, given that resource...  I plan to pass at least 1000 XMR to each of my grandchildren, should I ever have any.

These things have a life cycle aminorex. Just as bitcoin will likely fade under the scorching light of monero, so too will monero some day.
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
September 06, 2016, 10:37:13 AM
Serious setbacks and dumps are not happening.

There is too much buying pressure.

I remember when bitcoin rallied from 10'sh usd to 265.
Did not buy in the rally (unfortunately). However, I have pretty similar gut feeling of Monero - it has not done it yet. Too much buyers and now finally things has started to happen so selling now when things has rocking and rolling only 1 week feels pretty stupid.
I wonder who are these sellers...? How they make their decisions to sell? Probably they are just very desperate for cold cash (tax liabilities to pay?).

Venture capitalists? buy it for a pound sell it for 2 pounds




Yes we have some of those Venture capitalists also here convincing the Royal Bagholders to sell to them at low prices.

I'm just curious... you use the word "bagholder" a lot.  Do you know traditionally, in investing, what it means?

legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
September 06, 2016, 10:35:58 AM
... let's see if I'll ever be able to sell..

Intergenerational wealth transfer is one of the great use cases of Monero.  Imagine if you great grandparents had thought to have a van Gogh delivered to you on your 30th birthday, how you could have improved matters, given that resource...  I plan to pass at least 1000 XMR to each of my grandchildren, should I ever have any.
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1217
September 06, 2016, 10:30:35 AM
Serious setbacks and dumps are not happening.

There is too much buying pressure.

I remember when bitcoin rallied from 10'sh usd to 265.
Did not buy in the rally (unfortunately). However, I have pretty similar gut feeling of Monero - it has not done it yet. Too much buyers and now finally things has started to happen so selling now when things has rocking and rolling only 1 week feels pretty stupid.
I wonder who are these sellers...? How they make their decisions to sell? Probably they are just very desperate for cold cash (tax liabilities to pay?).

A lot of big (and smart) XMR holders are likely to have selling plans.
This means that they'll sell a certain percentage of their coins at a fixed price level.

Doing this eliminates emotional errors and risk.
Lots of these probably are hitting their selling targets now and sell.

I certainly did.

Those who sold sub 0.01 are complaining about selling too early.. So the selling plan will not work always in an optimal way. I bet many who sell now will regret if the price hits 100 usd/xmr.
On the other hand, the people holding only smaller amounts of coins will make the big guys even bigger in terms of size of the Monero pie. Those who sell will become poorer in Monero economy.
If I sold what shall I do with the fiat? Perhaps buy some Realty Income shares? Nah, only 4-5 % pa dividend yield. Buying gold? Probably not in large extent because Monero is better (although it doesn't glitter). Appartments? Probably... But again, I can do it also with the banker with 100 % financed so no money needed...

It's always about gold. In the end. Even if you never buy any, its always about how much you could buy, if you wanted to. Gold is the the tip of the liquidity pyramid. It is timeless, immutable money. It is money as decreed by the laws of nature and the universe its self. Its always about gold. Grin

Maybe this will explain what I mean. I  bet you could buy a space faring vessel from an alien species somewhere with gold. Try doing that with monero or apartments.
sr. member
Activity: 358
Merit: 250
September 06, 2016, 10:29:27 AM
Serious setbacks and dumps are not happening.

There is too much buying pressure.

I remember when bitcoin rallied from 10'sh usd to 265.
Did not buy in the rally (unfortunately). However, I have pretty similar gut feeling of Monero - it has not done it yet. Too much buyers and now finally things has started to happen so selling now when things has rocking and rolling only 1 week feels pretty stupid.
I wonder who are these sellers...? How they make their decisions to sell? Probably they are just very desperate for cold cash (tax liabilities to pay?).

A lot of big (and smart) XMR holders are likely to have selling plans.
This means that they'll sell a certain percentage of their coins at a fixed price level.

Doing this eliminates emotional errors and risk.
Lots of these probably are hitting their selling targets now and sell.

I certainly did.

Those who sold sub 0.01 are complaining about selling too early.. So the selling plan will not work always in an optimal way. I bet many who sell now will regret if the price hits 100 usd/xmr.
On the other hand, the people holding only smaller amounts of coins will make the big guys even bigger in terms of size of the Monero pie. Those who sell will become poorer in Monero economy.
If I sold what shall I do with the fiat? Perhaps buy some Realty Income shares? Nah, only 4-5 % pa dividend yield. Buying gold? Probably not in large extent because Monero is better (although it doesn't glitter). Appartments? Probably... But again, I can do it also with the banker with 100 % financed so no money needed...

Having a selling plan is based on the assumption that you may not hit the top. What if the coin does not get any success?
Only liars sell at the top.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
September 06, 2016, 10:29:07 AM
Serious setbacks and dumps are not happening.

There is too much buying pressure.

I remember when bitcoin rallied from 10'sh usd to 265.
Did not buy in the rally (unfortunately). However, I have pretty similar gut feeling of Monero - it has not done it yet. Too much buyers and now finally things has started to happen so selling now when things has rocking and rolling only 1 week feels pretty stupid.
I wonder who are these sellers...? How they make their decisions to sell? Probably they are just very desperate for cold cash (tax liabilities to pay?).

Venture capitalists? buy it for a pound sell it for 2 pounds




Yes we have some of those Venture capitalists also here convincing the Royal Bagholders to sell to them at low prices.
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