are you in the habit of posturing yourself at extreme angles? shoulders are even. this is bad TA
This would be better? 
Topic: Yet another analyst :) - page 109. (Read 269580 times)
I posted 1 of ~30th possible situations in my sierra chart tabs. With clear "FAIL" red font.
Avalon cashout could help to realize this ugly figure. But looks like not at this time.
Avalon cashout could help to realize this ugly figure. But looks like not at this time.
are you in the habit of posturing yourself at extreme angles? shoulders are even. this is bad TA
it's Russian.
are you in the habit of posturing yourself at extreme angles? shoulders are even. this is bad TA
H&S looked not ideal but promising...
Breakout through current mid-20th level may mean silence in this thread
Breakout through current mid-20th level may mean silence in this thread
that is the worst H&S i've ever seen.
quite simply; it's NOT and H&S.
Or it maybe that of Richard III.
Yeah, not ideal. But LS is usually in 4th wave, head in 5th and RS in B wave with subsequent C breakdown through neckline. I.e. H&S usually at top (head - 5th wave).
But it seems that 2143 wasnt 5th.
But it seems that 2143 wasnt 5th.
H&S looked not ideal but promising...
Breakout through current mid-20th level may mean silence in this thread
Breakout through current mid-20th level may mean silence in this thread
that is the worst H&S i've ever seen.
quite simply; it's NOT an H&S.
H&S looked not ideal but promising...
Breakout through current mid-20th level may mean silence in this thread
Breakout through current mid-20th level may mean silence in this thread
We've got a situation...
Everybody knows about 30-60k Avalon BTC flying around in air.
Everybody knows that such amount will not walk past the gox.
And looks like walletbit did not calculated risks and did not sold that amount instantly on receive. Either they stupid or greedy, they sold units for 75 BTC each. Its $20/BTC rate.
Now they need to return USD by that rate to avalon. But in a close estimation they may get only about $17/BTC coz everybody knows about that funds flying around.
Someone will be fucked up by 50-200k USD. Either walletbit, or avalon, or customers.
And dump looks unavoidable. So as soon they dump, as less they'll be fucked up.
500k-1m bucks. Its almost visible bid side.
Everybody knows about 30-60k Avalon BTC flying around in air.
Everybody knows that such amount will not walk past the gox.
And looks like walletbit did not calculated risks and did not sold that amount instantly on receive. Either they stupid or greedy, they sold units for 75 BTC each. Its $20/BTC rate.
Now they need to return USD by that rate to avalon. But in a close estimation they may get only about $17/BTC coz everybody knows about that funds flying around.
Someone will be fucked up by 50-200k USD. Either walletbit, or avalon, or customers.
And dump looks unavoidable. So as soon they dump, as less they'll be fucked up.
500k-1m bucks. Its almost visible bid side.
We can't assume the free market is efficient, but it should be an approximation of an efficient market. As a consequence, from the current value of 19.6, 100 is almost twice as likely to be touched before 2.
A few more stats using the efficient-market hypothesis:
A few more stats using the efficient-market hypothesis:
- The chance of touching 2 before 190 is almost exactly 50%
- The chance of touching 100 before 3.75 is almost exactly 50%
not saying i reject your analysis, but how did you come about these numbers?
Slowpoke? I argued my point of view. Drugs, Weapons, Whores, Gambling, ASICs. I have access to public insider information What economy theory will you apply to illegal market, when all exchanges will be called money laundering activities?
What economy theory will you apply to illegal market, when all exchanges will be called money laundering activities? 
And 73.12% of statistic reports are taken from sky.
1. Read up on the efficient-market hypothesis.
2. Decide if you agree with the hypothesis as a reasonable approximation of reality.
3. Use mathematics to calculate statistics.
I'm not trying to advance a particularly bullish or bearish sentiment here. But if you claim that the statistics are false, there are only three reasons why:
- You reject the efficient-market hypothesis applied to Bitcoin. That is, you believe Bitcoin is not an efficient market.
- You have access to insider information that the rest of the market does not have.
- You are mistaken.
The first is definitely more likely, and I understand if that is your viewpoint. This is where I would disagree: I believe an efficient market approximates our market quite well.
And 73.12% of statistic reports are taken from sky.
We can't assume the free market is efficient, but it should be an approximation of an efficient market. As a consequence, from the current value of 19.6, 100 is almost twice as likely to be touched before 2.
A few more stats using the efficient-market hypothesis:
A few more stats using the efficient-market hypothesis:
- The chance of touching 2 before 190 is almost exactly 50%
- The chance of touching 100 before 3.75 is almost exactly 50%
And according to ADX (pic few posts above), nice selloff should start somewhere here.
No historic precedents where rally continues after ADX reverses from 84.
No historic precedents where rally continues after ADX reverses from 84.
It's the weekend dip, by Thursday we'll break 22.
And according to ADX (pic few posts above), nice selloff should start somewhere here.
No historic precedents where rally continues after ADX reverses from 84.
No historic precedents where rally continues after ADX reverses from 84.
I also don't want spend energy in debates. This is my point of view with lots of pages with arguments behind in this topic.
Probability exists among other probabilities.
But the main argument - is people illusion of Bitcoin legitimacy. Bitpay and exchanges will be burned with fire soon. With lots of customers butthurt. Drugs, weapons and gambling are enough reasons for that.
Probability exists among other probabilities.
But the main argument - is people illusion of Bitcoin legitimacy. Bitpay and exchanges will be burned with fire soon. With lots of customers butthurt. Drugs, weapons and gambling are enough reasons for that.
I see $0.5 probability in 2014 higher than $100.
At that time, bitcoin blockchain will become totally unusable by regular user - only via centralized services like walletbit or whatever - which can be scam or shut down.
At that time, bitcoin blockchain will become totally unusable by regular user - only via centralized services like walletbit or whatever - which can be scam or shut down.
I'm not going to debate that with you again. Have you still not tried the prerelease for 0.8?Quote
By that time I also see high odds of first serious legal impact with governments which may destroy most of centralized services and cash-out points.
Let's hope so. Every other thing they have banned goes up in market value after it is illegal.
Quote
And at that time most of holded bitcoins will be sold out on market in exchange to ASICs.
I really doubt most of the bitcoins are held by miners at the point.
You seem to view bitcoin as a circle jerk. Unfortunately for your profits, you are wrong and bitcoin is more and more widely used throughout the world for a wider and wider range of uses.
I see $0.5 probability in 2014 higher than $100.
At that time, bitcoin blockchain will become totally unusable by regular user - only via centralized services like walletbit or whatever - which can be scam or shut down.
By that time I also see high odds of first serious legal impact with governments which may destroy most of centralized services and cash-out points.
And at that time most of holded bitcoins will be sold out on market in exchange to ASICs.
At that time, bitcoin blockchain will become totally unusable by regular user - only via centralized services like walletbit or whatever - which can be scam or shut down.
By that time I also see high odds of first serious legal impact with governments which may destroy most of centralized services and cash-out points.
And at that time most of holded bitcoins will be sold out on market in exchange to ASICs.
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