I just want you to say thanks for the analysis discussion.
I only have high school math, but I have some inkling of what's going on here.
Unfortunately I bought today at $77 after cries on other threads (unsubstantiated cries) that $50 is/was the bottom. Cries of guys who should know better considering how long they've been around it seems.
I know this analysis doesn't include some uncalculable factors, but I trust math and experience - so it's reassuring that I can believe when it hits the bottom of the crash I MAY only lose around half my value to the USD as it stood when I bought in.
It's an interesting experience - I always hated the premise of trading stocks - but here I am, in a very similar environment. Ultimately, personally, I'm extremely interested in this new currency and it's implications. I do wish my impatience hadn't led me to emotionally want to buy in "before it's too late" in order to store value as it increases in adoption. Wealth generation aspirations and jumping on the bandwagon aside, I want to be a part of the bitcoin community and the pioneering that the recent media coverage has enlightened us to.
Watching the price teeter down to $65ish, and reading your discussions has led me to consider that selling out now and waiting for $35-40ish might be a good idea? But at the same time maybe I don't have the patience and I've spent a week staring at charts and reading everything Bitcoin and cryptocurrency when I should be completing my degree. Perhaps I should just lock my wallet somewhere offline and come back in a month.
Anyway, I didn't mean to write so much. I guess the whole experience been a bit draining (I was also part of the Bitcoin24.com fiasco). - So a little human story for you there totally off topic
thanks