We cannot tell everyone that El Salvador has failed yet in their plans for bitcoin's adoption in their country. However, what we are witnessing is that it is very difficult to adopt as a medium of exchange because of volatility.
I am aware that it is arguable. But Bukele's excuse of not losing $50 million because he did not sell is a funny one because it appears he did with where the market price presently is. This is also the same excuse we say when we hold an asset below the purchase price. He has become one of us heheheheh.
Bukele's government has been buying Bitcoin regardless of its price in Fiat terms. Not a single coin has been sold so far, so El Salvador hasn't lost anything yet. I'd say this is a good strategy, because it could make the Latin-American country one of the richest (if not the richest) ones in the world after the crypto market turns bullish again. Bitcoin has been shown to reach a new All-time-high in price after every halving event, so it's likely the same will happen by 2024.
If Bitcoin becomes a huge success in El Salvador, then other countries won't think twice by making Bitcoin legal tender. Who knows if there's a very bright future ahead for long-time Bitcoin "hodlers" like us? Just my thoughts
My reply was supossed to be a joke if anyone did not get it. I was only laughing at Bukele's reasoning on
why he did not lose money because it is very much a similar reaction to those retail investors who are losing money in their investments when the market is dumping hehehehe.
It's not funny - because markets move against long-term investors all the time, and many times, they do not get out of the investment merely because their overall investment is in the negative. Many times, so long as the investment is solid, then sooner or later their investment will end up going back in the green (black), even if they do not do anything, but an even smarter move (so long as the investment is truly a good one), is to continue to add to the seemingly losing position while it is in the negative.
Of course, there are not any guarantees that in the long run the investment will end up coming back out of the negative - but many time investments with decently strong fundamentals (such as bitcoin) will end up coming out of their negative period, and continuing to invest in them (either by merely HODLing or buying more) will end up being a very wise decision that might not seem wise and/or prudent during the period that the investment is in the negative.
Again, your supposed "joke" is not funny because you are striving to make Bukele, El Salvador and/or any other investor appear as if they are dumb when they are down in their investment - as if they should have known in advance what you happen to have found out in retrospect when the BTC price ended up going down.
Your supposed "joke" is also not funny because it may well end up either not being taken as a joke and to suggest that folks should be able to know the price in advance and some people may well end up getting scared from investing into bitcoin for fear of ending up in a similar position as being the proclaimed "fool" - when more likely the better course of action would likely be for people who have cash to be taking prudent attempts to be investing in bitcoin during times like this.. and prudence might even mean that they should either be attempting to be aggressive in their bitcoin investment and even lump sum investing into bitcoin, rather than either a less aggressive DCA strategy or even a wait and see strategy - which might be something that supposed "jokes" like yours mislead people into such wrong financial and mental frameworks.
even though bitcoin is in its 13th year and it's dying at $20k now.
Well more specifically, bitcoin has nearly gotten through 13 years, and on January 3, 2023 it will be beginning its 14 years of existence and pumping out blocks every 10 minutes. Tick tock, next block. Bitcoin is amazing in the sense that it continues to run, and surely in its earliest of years, not very many people were paying attention to it because it hardly had any monetary value but also the circles of people who were hearing about it were likely either very technical or they were in cypherpunk circles - so in some sense bitcoin was not getting too much publicity - except through various word of mouth - and surely even though the internet can spread information - the ideas of bitcoin were not really reaching or sinking in for regular people.
It seems quite likely that even currently people are not really understanding bitcoin very well because there is a lot of confusion about money, assets and value, so bitcoin seems like a kind of fantasy money that makes little sense to many people in terms of taking it seriously and the fact that there are so many pump and dump "crypto" scams that likely cause reasonable areas of confusion for regular people to really start to understand what bitcoin is and what it is providing, attempting to provide and likely to provide into the future.
We should not be too distracted by bitcoin's unit price either, even though it does show stupendous financial appreciation in the past nearly 14 years, and maybe we can suggest that bitcoin did not really start to develop too much financial value until about 2013 or so. Accordingly, maybe bitcoin's financial growth might ONLY be measured from a time in which it started to take off in value.. but then again, if we actually look at bitcoin's value in terms of its price and it's market cap, currently, bitcoin's market cap is around $360 Billion, which continues to be a pretty small market cap, relatively speaking - even though it had gotten up to around $1.2 trillion in market cap in it's latest 2021 top (when BTC prices were in the upper $60ks).
So yeah, right now, if we look at bitcoin and we compare it to gold, we can see that bitcoin's market cap is about 1/20th the size of gold, but it is quite likely that if bitcoin continues to do what it is doing with success, then bitcoin has about 1,000x the value of gold, yet it could take 30 to 200 years for bitcoin to reach such fair value in the market - which would require continued adoption and even ongoing development to continue to make software tools that people know how to use and are able to use and are available to people if bitcoin's adoption were to continue to increase more than 5,000x from it's current price in order to reach something closer to what it's actual value is likely to be based on various current addressable market considerations in the various ways that bitcoin is much more efficient to store the value of currencies and other assets in which value is currently being stored... so surely we still seem to be in very early days, and there are some folks who seem to be able to see the vision and to see through some of the ongoing price battles in recent times (if we might want to consider that the current price might be a bit depressed from where it should be in terms of where bitcoin is going... Don't get me wrong, merely because I am suggesting that BTC prices are currently suppressed, I would not consider that bitcoin prices could not continue to be suppressed for way longer into the future than any of us might speculate to be reasonable - given bitcoins seemingly ongoing strong fundamentals and strong use cases that substantiate its continued ongoing strong investment thesis).
Bitcoin adoption won't make El Salvador a superpower or get rich quickly, but it proves they have a vision for bitcoin. They are the people who know how to seize the opportunity and have the opportunity to rise to become a developed country, it is better to continue using the US dollar and be dominated by the major powers.
I agree both with the idea that continued investment in bitcoin remains a good idea, and surely they have not gotten rid of the dollar, but instead bitcoin gives them options above and beyond merely being locked into ONLY the dollar which likely would have continued to have been oppressive on them, as it has historically done to a lot of countries who have been trying to advance their own world status.. and to become more developed. Adopting Bitcoin seems to give more options, even if it also seems to cause El Salvador to be targeted for ridiculing and seemingly bullying attempts by the dollar-based dominant systems.