We might end up testing $220... Planning on buying a min of 3 BTC at $250 usd.
Not going to happen, if anything we will settle were we where in late Nov, just below $600. Although i guess you might be being sarcastic, i hope so
Alas.. I am not being sarcastic :S.. Fear could push people to sell to cover potentially losing everything.
I will profit off of that fear.
I honestly don't think that it will never drop to that level - I imagine even the black market users would be buying like crazy at any price below $400-500, and that would keep the price from dropping as low as the 200s.
But you never know, if it
does go that low I will be buying like crazy, (even though most of my coins were bought at roughly 10% of that price). I haven't been buying many recently, I think I bought a single coin at around $500 during that May 2014 bulltrap, just because I had some spare cash and felt the market was on it's way up. I don't have any cash to buy more now, and it seems like a silly idea to increase my dollar average price by risking a lot of money for a small percentage of 1 BTC, when I have a few tucked away for when I need them.
Just wish I'd saved and bought more when they were $20 each. Hindsight's a bitch, but at least I have some tucked away on a trezor for when I need them!
My guess is a consolidation around this area for a week or so, the mid 700s, and then either a pullback into the 800s or a drop to around 680ish, with a longer consolidation before another increase in price. I'd put the odds at around 50%/30% respectively for the two scenarios.
I'd say the odds of going below $600 are low, 20% perhaps. But if it does, then it could go a lot lower and there will be blood in the streets (and my credit card limit will be withdrawn and spent on the cheap coins!)