Yes, first of all, I consider options that allow a team to get to the championship without looking at the results of other teams, and in this situation it is difficult for me to say which of the 10 teams that took second places will be better. As for Norway, in order to "protect" at least the second place, they must beat Turkey, and this task seems to me quite solvable, especially considering that Turkey is at the bottom both in terms of results and in terms of play.
The last time when Norway played against Turkey (27th March 2021), the latter thrashed the former by a margin of 3-0. And this was a home match for Norway (although played in Malaga since travel ban was in place within Norway). And on 8th October, the two teams will be facing each other once more, and this time the match will be played in Turkey (Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium, Istanbul). I am expecting Turkey to win this match, which would see them getting elevated to the second spot. Now whether they can qualify for the world cup or not is difficult to say at this point.
Yes, formally Turkey will be the favorite in this confrontation, but we have already seen a lot of unexpected results over the last weekend and I think we can see something similar here. I've checked a couple of bookmakers right now and still don't see a odds for this match. I think it is quite difficult for bookmakers to find the odds for this event now, since in many ways it looks random.
