Topic: 2024 & Prediction of World War III - Effect on Cryptocurrencies (Read 1145 times)

China in its political activities is always guided by its economic interests, and the concept of friends in this regard is rather conditional for China. Therefore, Russia and Iran will be friends of China as long as it is beneficial to China itself. Considering that China's trade turnover with the European Union and the United States in 2022 amounted to $1.6 trillion - 8 times more than with Russia, and this balance generally continues to be maintained, China is not going to support Russia where this support could lead to a serious conflict with Europe and the USA.

Therefore, fearing secondary sanctions, large Chinese banks actually stopped accepting payments from Russia. Problems with transactions began at the end of 2023, when the US expanded its secondary sanctions mechanism. After this, Russian companies had difficulties with transfers to China in dollars, and at the beginning of 2024, Chinese banks began to block receipts in yuan. In January, transactions in Chinese currency were limited by PingAn Bank and Bank of Nongbo (the country's 13th and 15th banks by capitalization) and several other financial institutions. However, over time, the list of banks from China that refuse to accept payments in yuan from Russia has expanded.

In March, the largest Chinese bank ICBC, as well as China Citic Bank, Industrial Bank, Bank of Taizhou and Bank of China stopped processing most transfers from the Russian Federation.

Several large Chinese banks, including Bank of China (the fourth largest in terms of assets among Chinese banks) and Great Wall West China Bank, when accepting payments from Russia, began to request information about whether they are connected with the “LPR”, “DPR”, the occupied Russia Crimea, Iran, North Korea, Cuba and Syria or with the armed forces and defense industry of Russia. Chinese banks began requesting such information around the beginning of the year, even if the payment comes not from Russia, but from third countries. The payment currency does not affect the situation.

Some Chinese banks also face the threat of being disconnected from the global financial system for helping Russia circumvent sanctions, and they are unlikely to ignore this threat in order to maintain friendly relations with Russia.

Iran is the pioneer in this Modern Warfare and the basis of it was started in the early 1980's, so the Russia/Ukraine thing is not exactly "the first". For example the highly lauded multi-purpose Mohajer-6 (the name that was heard alongside Shahed-136) is a project started back in the 80's during the full scale invasion of Iran.
1980's vs today

Once upon a time Iran was in the position where Ukraine is today but without any country supporting it! In fact the quite opposite was true, meaning 82 countries were supporting the invaders (ie. Iraq) and at least 32 countries directly participated in it (Iran had taken prisoners of war from that many nationalities). That also includes an unprecedented coalition between US and USSR against Iran!!!
As they say "necessity is the mother of invention". That's exactly what Iranians did, they invented their very own method of Warfare that was cheap but most importantly it was highly effective.

40 years later the descendants of that silly looking drone have technologically advanced and are currently flying on top of the US aircraft carrier groups while extremely hard to detect, are locked and loaded ready to sink the entire US navy in a moments notice...

This Mohajer-6 flying over the Persian Gulf monitoring every movement of USS Eisenhower from a while ago:

it proves international law is useless to them. these wars wouldn't be happening if they could just decide to have cooler heads. but they know also that things will not be easy for them when a new world is established and find out they are not the leader. as for now, we are in a multipolar world afaik.

crazy how they teamed up with their enemy in the ww2 and made war with the countries that helped them in ww2.
but we are still up to see how the new leader will operate though, while China means business everywhere. Russia is somewhat of a military force to reckon with. and they could just be no different from the old leaders. hope to be wrong.

but all i know is that we could never have peace in a multipolar world. it will always end in a war when there are 2 alphas.

The experience of the current Russian-Ukrainian war has changed the idea of future technological wars. In attacking Ukraine, Russia relied on its large number of armored vehicles, aircraft and massive Black Sea fleet. Ukraine's air and surface drones, starting with a few Turkish Bayraktars, have dramatically changed the course of this war. The relatively cheap small drones have proven to be very effective against both armored vehicles and the Russian navy. Of course, a significant contribution to the change in tactics and strategy of military operations was made by Iranian cheap “Shahed-136,” which the Russian side is massively using against Ukraine. But not only the warring parties, but the whole world learns from this war. This, one might say, is the first big technological war, and militaries around the world are watching and learning from it.

One of the latest aid packages for Ukraine included American small reconnaissance drones, the Black Hornet, and others, which indeed turned out to be too expensive and ineffective. For example, for one Black Hornet package you can purchase over 20 Mavic 3 Fly More Combo drones, which are more often used by the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

The US military admitted that its defense companies were not engaged in mass production of cheap disposable drones, the effectiveness of which has been proven in Ukraine. They relied on expensive high-precision weapons, including air defense weapons, which were supposed to be used at first and then switched to less expensive ones. Therefore, they also quickly draw conclusions and this shortcoming will be eliminated in the near future. . But it can hardly be said that Iran now has more technologically advanced weapons compared to the United States.

Nah, Iran's economy is not going to be affected any more than it already has because of US sanctions because they are repetitive. That's what happens when US sanctions a nation for 45 years, they run out of things to sanction and it becomes ineffective.

I also have to point out the hypocrisy in this move by US since Israel is supported by US, Israel commits genocide and has already murdered at least 33000 innocent people 70% of which are women and children, it is Israel that breaks international laws such as article 2 of UN Charters, ... there is 0 US sanctions on Israel
But when Iran punishes Israel according to article 51 of UN charters, it is Iran that is sanctioned

BTW this is why the Old World Order died and we are currently establishing the New World Order.

I don't think so. The initial punishment on the night of April 13, created a panic sell but that was it. The recent market activities are natural and not related to any news. We see it during each halving month. It could also remain this way (going sideways) for a couple of weeks.

well, Iran is a rich country and it appears now that they have more friends than NATO thought. because of Russia and China so their economy might not be affected by the sanctions these days. same as Russia being sanctioned, they are still strong economically. in terms of their firepower, they are the source of Russia that made Russia have the upper hand against Ukraine.

what i notice is that these skirmishes and provocations are used to manipulate BTC price, you think?

As I've already said, the rest is mainstream media games.
What happened today is not even categorized as a "drone strike". What was used is something like the picture below, a toy that can be bought from a "toy shop". It has a very low range, so basically it was some idiot who was stupid enough to buy this toy from a toyshop and fly it into a restricted airspace and get it shot down which made some noise.


The only question is whether the idiot who did this was some brainwashed kids who was paid to fly this toy around not knowing what they were doing or a hired terrorist to make some noise so that the media games can happen. It will become clear when the culprit is arrested.

But let me complete my statement from earlier, the entire NATO coalition can not face Iran militarily but they will definitely activate their terrorist cells and Takfiri groups to try to "create chaos" and weaken Iran hoping they can do something in the middle of that chaos.
The US regime's proxy known as ISIS is going to be the most possible choice which has already been activated. But there are other smaller terrorist groups like the one hiding in Western Pakistan (South East Iranian border that both countries had to deal with) that was activated weeks ago and has already tried a couple of terrorist attacks.
Color revolutions are their go to as well, although they haven't worked in the past 45 years that they've tried.

War is not fought with numbers, it is fought with firepower and technological superiority.

But if you love numbers so much lets put that $700 billion into perspective.
The Operation Truthful Promise lasted 4 hours and it cost NATO roughly $4 billion in ammunitions alone to defend against this small punishment (not counting the damage to the 6 or 7 bases that were demolished, aircraft that was lost, etc.). That is $1 billion an hour to defend against the smallest number of the lowest tier of Iranian projectiles launched with a 10 day warning and time for preparation.
That means if the entire $700 billion were spent on defense, and Iran only used teeny tiny number of its lowest tier of ammunitions that would buy US regime 700 hours of not even surviving (since majority of the projectiles went through). That is only 29 days.
This cost Iran $2 million tops

In an actual war it won't be some outdated technology at low numbers like 50 Shahed-136 and 30 Emad missiles and a handful of Paveh cruise missiles. These are jokes in Iran's highly advanced arsenal. For example Paveh is a subsonic toy used for tests in parades or Shahed-136 is an ancient tech that is too old Iran only sells it to other countries.
In a real war what will be used would be 50000 stealth Simourghs, multi-purpose Karrars, bomber Gazas, Arash loitering munitions etc. + 11000 Kheybars, Fattah and Fattah-2 raining down every day for months. That $700 billion would evaporate in matter of minutes...

BTW for comparison in the Russian NATO war the both sides combined used about 12k missiles and less than 10k drones in 3 years (that is 10 missile/day).

If you think you can know what Iran has and how much by using Google, then you are sillier than I thought

After Iran for the first time openly and massively attacked Israeli territory on the night of April 14, it was foolish to expect that the conflict would not continue and Israel would not strike back.
This night, the Israeli army launched a drone strike on Iran. Iran's air defense systems were activated after three explosions were heard near a large military air base near the city of Isfahan. According to the Iranian FARS agency, fighter jets are there. There were also explosions in the sky over Tabriz. A spokesman for Iran's National Cyberspace Center said air defenses intercepted three drones and there were no reports of a missile attack. However, Iran did not name the source of the strike.

Your statement that the entire NATO coalition will not be able to resist Iran, either economically or in terms of firepower, sounds like a joke. Iran's armed forces are the eighth largest in the world, and Iran's defense budget in 2018 was only $13 billion, making the country the 18th largest military spender in the world. For comparison: the US defense budget alone is more than $700 billion. Iran has a ballistic missile program, but no long-range missiles capable of hitting the United States.

Iran has 509 aircraft and lags far behind - both in quantity and quality of air force - even from regional adversaries such as Saudi Arabia and Israel. These countries have 848 and 595 of the latest aircraft, respectively. The basis of the Iranian Air Force is the American F-4, F-5 and F-14 fighters created in the 1970s.

Tehran's fleet consists of six frigates, three corvettes, 34 submarines and 88 patrol ships. The submarine arsenal includes Soviet/Russian Kilo-class submarines.

Iran has about 1,634 tanks in service, but these are mostly old vehicles and completely outdated models.
https://www.svoboda.org/a/30371428.html

Even if Iran unites with the rest of the axis of evil - Russia, China and North Korea, they are unlikely to withstand the military might of NATO countries.

Let us only hope it won't be a nuclear one if ever there will be a war again because its effects are more brutal but a normal type of war might still affect the price of BTC negatively because people will worry and they can panic sell. You also said that banks are unavailable, so BTC is only the medium that people will use to buy their needs. This is one of the good thing of BTC or decentralization because nothing can stop them. Whenever there is a war, usually there are two countries are involved but some wars can work in party. Anyway, what we are talking about here is world war which could mean that countries all over the world are involved.

There was no war to enter. This was just one small and short operation of Punishment.
Besides, NATO countries have always only "enter" an armed conflict when the other side is either an unarmed or disarmed/weak country like the case with Afghanistan and Iraq respectively.

Otherwise in the face of a super power at Iran's level they will not dare to even think about getting in the way. Even less so after the show of strength and fire power superiority on April 13 when Iran used the oldest and lowest tier ammunitions in its vast and technologically advanced stash for a small "punishment attack" for about 4 hours and against the entire NATO's and Israel's most advanced defense systems, navies, air-forces and radars with the help of some Arab dictators such as Jordan and Saudi usurped Arabia.
The result was complete demolishing of 6-7 bases and it costed NATO $1 billion per hour trying to defend and failing to do so.

Bottom line is neither economically nor fire-power-wise the entire NATO coalition can not face Iran.
In other words, the tensions evaporated after Iran punished the illegitimate Zionist occupiers of Palestine on April 13. The rest is just mainstream media games.

In war conditions, bitcoin will become one of the assets that many investors are looking for because bitcoin's current status can be said to be a safe asset (safe haven). Throughout this decade, bitcoin has been recorded as strengthening and even this year bitcoin has reached a new ATH even though the world economy is currently unstable with Russia's war against Ukraine, Israel against Palestine and most recently Iran starting to attack Isreal.

Judging from history shows that bitcoin tends to strengthen during war. Likewise with gold, if there is a war the price will rise. So for me, if a third world war occurs, Bitcoin and gold will be even stronger, of course these two assets will not be affected even if there is a war.

There is no point in talking about the betrayal of Ukraine by the United States. There is the usual political struggle for the presidency between Trump and Biden. It was beneficial for Trump to sabotage arms supplies to Ukraine for some time in order to undermine the authority and trust in the current president during the election campaign. But Trump realized that delaying aid to Ukraine for too long could lead to him being accused of betraying US national interests, and after consultations between the Speaker of the House of Representatives Johnson and Trump, the situation moved from a dead point. Johnson has already announced that on Saturday, April 20, an aid package to Ukraine worth approximately $60 billion will be put to a vote and Biden has already announced that he will sign it.

I am afraid that the current developments do not seem healthy and that's the reason we are seeing the whole crypto market in a selling pressure at the moment. The tension between Iran and Israel is not coming to an end and it seems that in the coming days we may see further developments and escalations that may be even more dangerous for the peace of the world.



If these statements are true, then believe me other countries will enter this war and this time it will be not a simple world war but a nuclear world War that will have far more long lasting severe effects on the world.  

Just imagine if the ammunition that was sent to the Zionists to murder the 15000 children had been sent to Ukraine to defend instead...
It's safe to say that the "boss" betrayed Ukraine and the Zionists terrorists were more important to them than Ukraine...

The mere fact that they've made this funny and obviously fake claim should be enough to not want any kind of assistance from them

It was easily debunked too. From their own statements and the large number of video proof that came out ever since the Day of Punishment.
For example they've already admitted that the Nevatim Airbase was demolished by at least 9 missiles. Just do some quick math and see 1% (the number they stupidly claim was not intercepted) with 9 means.... hint they also claimed Iran launched 300 projectiles (150 missiles + drones) LOL

I made an amateur complication of a handful of the videos a couple of days ago. Watching the full videos of each of these examples proves that at best they intercepted somewhere between 1% to 10% (at best) of the incoming projectiles and the rest landed successfully demolishing their designated targets.

Two example videos:
https://www.aparat.com/v/QehkR
https://www.aparat.com/v/16WzS

Yes, it is worth recognizing that in Ukraine there is now a problem with weapons to protect against Russian missiles. When a few days ago Russia launched 11 cruise missiles at one of the largest thermal power plants in Ukraine, Trypillya, the Ukrainian Armed Forces shot down seven of them. The remaining missiles hit the TEC, because in this direction the air defense had no ammunition left to shoot down these missiles. Putin’s horde takes advantage of this opportunity and, despite colossal losses, storms the Ukrainian Armed Forces along the entire front.

Ukraine does not threaten the United States that it will attack Russian oil refineries. The political leadership of Ukraine stated in response to requests from the United States not to do this that this is one of the most effective ways to stop the military invasion of the Russian army, and therefore these factories will continue to burn in Russia. After all, Ukraine does this with its own drones, but their flying power is much inferior to the power of Russian missiles.

Yes, the US, UK, France and other countries directly helped repel Iran's most massive missile and drone attack on Israel. It was revealed that 99 percent of air targets launched by Iran were shot down. Ukrainians are outraged that they do not receive such assistance from their partners. Let's see how events will develop further.

Speaking of Ukraine fighting for US, these days as the ammunition deployment (specially defensive missiles for Patriot, etc.) has come to an almost halt, the Ukrainian officials are threatening US regime that if the shipments don't come they'll attack Russian refineries

BTW did you see how NATO deployed its entire defensive forces, air force, navy destroyers, etc. to defend the illegitimate Zionist regime occupying Palestine a couple of days ago to lessen the impact of the punishment of the regime? And how they're not doing anything like that for Ukraine?...

Ukraine  did not start a war with Russia. It is Russia that attacked Ukraine and wants to destroy it as a state and kill more Ukrainians. Therefore, when defending themselves, Ukrainians primarily pursue their own interests, and not the interests of the United States or any other state. But it is in the interests of the United States and other democratic states to provide assistance to Ukraine and prevent Russia and other authoritarian states from acting according to the rule of might, neglecting the previously established rules of peaceful coexistence between states.

The topic periodically comes up that members of the US Congress or other US politicians express the idea of “fighting Russia to the last Ukrainian” and I have previously refuted this lie. So I’ll repeat it again. No Western official has ever said anything like this. The first time the phrase “wars to the last Ukrainian” was used was in a column by former American politician Ron Paul, published on his own website on March 14, 2022. But Paul did not hold any public office for almost 10 years. A similar statement was made in an article for the information portal The Gray Zone by retired American diplomat Chas Freeman, who is not a US official and expressed only his personal opinion.

The only current official who spoke about the West’s readiness to fight to the last Ukrainian was Putin. “Ukraine’s mobilization reserve is not unlimited. It seems that Western countries are ready to fight to the last Ukrainian,” Putin once said.
https://news.obozrevatel.com/russia/do-poslednego-ukraintsa-putin-sdelal-tsinichnoe-zayavlenie-o-vojne-obviniv-vo-vsem-zapad.htm

Therefore, when talking about current politicians, you can directly point out that only Putin said such things. It is very profitable for the Kremlin and other Russian propagandists to inflate the topic of war to the last Ukrainian. After all, this seems to indicate the futility of Ukrainian resistance, and this is what they are trying to achieve. After all, in the third year of the war, Russia is reaching a dead end, unable to end it by military means.

It's a sad scene to watch a nation start a war for US interests and then wait for help to come from US while US politicians use that desperation for their own political games!!! Specially after the same politicians have said on multiple occasions that they'd happily "fight Russia to the last Ukrainian"!!!

The IDF genocide has not ended, they are actively murdering dozens to hundreds of civilians per day. The only reason why the Israeli terrorists fled Khan Yunis is because their casualties were piling on in that region and this particular branch of this terrorist organization has lost the most number of its troops. They are too tired and weak to be able to hold the occupied neighborhood specially since over the past month or two the Palestinian snipers have been picking off their officers one by one, that means these "divisions" and "brigades", etc. are left headless.

They needed to pull back, regroup, rank up some other Israeli terrorist soldiers to command their invading forces then restart the attack and continue the genocide.
They're also planning on attacking Rafah because it has a much bigger population concentration at this point and the Israeli terrorists can kill a much larger number of civilians including children with each attack compared to other regions.
But they need to prepare for that attack first. Hence the pull back.

That brigade of terrorists got shelled a couple of nights ago, not much is left of it.

LOL
Are these aid deliveries going to reach buildings and ruins if they're not allowing people to go back to their homes in the north?

If you check the direct line of wide wing planes and shipments in the sea that are being sent to occupied Palestinian territories to be used by this terrorist organization you'll realize how both necessary and mandatory those weapons and supplies are.

As I said before, I don't see that situation changing any time soon.
There is also the fact that the head of this terrorist organization Netanyahu is desperate to remain in power and for that he needs to prolong the war. He is also desperately trying to start a new theatre of war in a different geography outside the occupied Palestine, mostly he tries to start it in the North with Lebanon even though he knows the massive strength of the Lebanese Resistance/Armed Forces known as Hezbollah hash at its disposal.
If he manages to start that (ie. to for example start a land invasion of Lebanon) you can say goodbye to that little ammunition that were reaching Ukraine in the past 7 months as well.

In a few months, the situation at the front should change for the better for the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Republicans in the US House of Representatives cannot forever delay a vote on providing the necessary amount of military assistance to Ukraine. At the same time, European countries are maximizing the utilization of their defense enterprises to provide their products to Ukraine. The capacity of defense plants in Ukraine itself is also increasing. At the same time, Russia has already transferred its economy to the needs of this big war and not only will it not be able to increase its capacity, but it will also not be able to hold out for long at the current pace of weapons production due to the imposed sanctions, which only continue to intensify.

On the other hand, on April 7, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) announced that it had completed the active invasion phase of the war and had withdrawn the entire 98th Division from the city of Khan Yunis in southern Gaza, leaving only one Israeli army brigade there to provide security. corridor connecting southern Israel with the coast of the Gaza Strip. This corridor allows the IDF to carry out raids in northern and central Gaza, prevents Palestinians from returning to the northern part of the Strip, and allows humanitarian organizations to deliver aid directly to northern Gaza.
Thus, US assistance to Israel may be significantly reduced as it is unnecessary.

Therefore, the Kremlin is thinking about where else it is possible to kindle the flames of war - in Central Asia, the Baltic countries or somewhere else in order to divert the assistance provided to Ukraine.

That could be the worst case scenario in a war, each countries using their nuclear weapon and it will be bad for us.


And that's what happen to WWII isn't it, but what will be the hedge during that time? It's the old and reliable, Gold. So the question is, can Bitcoin be the digital Gold that we all have been touting about? And it could be the savior for us, hedge after the war? So I guess there will effect on crypto whether negative or positive.

Hopefully, we don't want to see this kind of scenario happening in our lifetime.