Pages:
Author

Topic: [ 24 feb report ] bitcoin price theory proposal - page 2. (Read 19813 times)

legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898

LoL at "wallet numbers".

Most of the OP theory is flawed from the onset.


You can detail your criticism so that I can understand and possibily  improve my ideas?

thank
vip
Activity: 756
Merit: 504
Man cant you see that the standard deviation is too high? stop flooding this with graphics and numbers.

Why post, no one is forcing you to come here. It's actually doing a pretty nice line for the growth pattern, obviously with the amount of people involved all having different opinions and investment amounts it's only going to fit so well. Just the raw wallet numbers are valuable info on their own!

LoL at "wallet numbers".

Most of the OP theory is flawed from the onset.
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
Man cant you see that the standard deviation is too high? stop flooding this with graphics and numbers.

Why post, no one is forcing you to come here. It's actually doing a pretty nice line for the growth pattern, obviously with the amount of people involved all having different opinions and investment amounts it's only going to fit so well. Just the raw wallet numbers are valuable info on their own!
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898


 
full member
Activity: 222
Merit: 100
Man cant you see that the standard deviation is too high? stop flooding this with graphics and numbers.
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  283285  30/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 24304459   0.00%   0.00%  90.4570%                            0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404231  38.41%   8.87%   1.5045%  15.77%                    0.00404  38.41%   8.87%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     900853  82.47%  30.07%   3.3528%  35.13%                  182.65997  74.38%  10.62%   0.0015%         0.00000
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                771830  69.82%   9.11%   2.8726%  30.10%                16234.41090  74.29%  13.55%   0.1317%         0.00000
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    258194  70.25%   8.67%   0.9610%  10.07%               117811.98469  75.42%  11.07%   0.9555%         0.00000
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                      101420  68.23%   9.10%   0.3775%   3.96%               248665.48738  70.03%   9.55%   2.0168%         0.00000
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      31678  72.46%   8.31%   0.1179%   1.24%               246937.81650  74.45%   8.30%   2.0028%         0.00000
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     25297  70.00%   8.72%   0.0942%   0.99%               420438.61890  71.48%   8.93%   3.4100%         0.00000
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50260  92.77%  74.09%   0.1871%   1.96%              2331321.29886  94.43%  79.32%  18.9085%         0.00000
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4541  71.68%  16.49%   0.0169%   0.18%               271059.01841  71.14%  15.00%   2.1985%         0.00000
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5537  82.46%   8.15%   0.0206%   0.22%               522888.82244  83.43%   8.22%   4.2410%         0.00000
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7642  70.18%   8.23%   0.0284%   0.30%              1710273.99688  71.63%   8.93%  13.8714%         0.00000
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1481  73.53%   6.75%   0.0055%   0.06%              1140497.64000  75.41%   7.03%   9.2502%         0.00000
> 1000 BTC                              1111  67.06%  10.62%   0.0041%   0.04%              5303163.00306  69.80%   6.34%  43.0121%         0.00000
                  Total Actives      2564075  69.81%  17.66%   9.5430% 100.00%             12329474.76173  76.05%  21.08% 100.0000%         0.00000
                  Total             26868534   6.66%   1.69% 100.0000%                     12329474.76173  76.05%  21.08% 100.0000%         0.00000
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  283469  31/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 24375186   0.00%   0.00%  90.4565%              70727         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404247  38.41%   8.87%   1.5002%  15.72%         16         0.00404  38.41%   8.87%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     901871  82.45%  30.04%   3.3468%  35.07%       1018       182.97061  74.38%  10.60%   0.0015%         0.31064
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                776007  69.80%   9.06%   2.8798%  30.18%       4177     16364.05592  74.08%  13.44%   0.1327%       129.64502
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    259888  70.03%   8.61%   0.9644%  10.11%       1694    118407.39113  75.21%  11.01%   0.9600%       595.40644
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                      101982  68.11%   9.05%   0.3785%   3.97%        562    249948.07298  69.92%   9.50%   2.0265%      1282.58561
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      31776  72.19%   8.28%   0.1179%   1.24%         98    247447.64311  74.21%   8.28%   2.0062%       509.82661
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     25313  69.76%   8.71%   0.0939%   0.98%         16    420626.98969  71.31%   8.93%   3.4103%       188.37078
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50299  92.74%  74.03%   0.1867%   1.96%         39   2332760.26293  94.39%  79.27%  18.9131%      1438.96407
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4546  71.47%  16.48%   0.0169%   0.18%          5    271388.36323  70.89%  14.98%   2.2003%       329.34482
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5526  82.59%   8.16%   0.0205%   0.21%        -11    522096.56931  83.53%   8.24%   4.2330%      -792.25313
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7639  70.10%   8.21%   0.0283%   0.30%         -3   1708858.92526  71.56%   8.92%  13.8548%     -1415.07162
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1478  73.14%   6.77%   0.0055%   0.06%         -3   1138682.69721  75.06%   7.04%   9.2320%     -1814.94279
> 1000 BTC                              1114  66.97%  10.59%   0.0041%   0.04%          3   5307310.81487  69.76%   6.34%  43.0297%      4147.81181
                  Total Actives      2571686  69.77%  17.60%   9.5435% 100.00%       7611  12334074.75999  75.97%  21.07% 100.0000%      4599.99826
                  Total             26946872   6.66%   1.68% 100.0000%              78338  12334074.75999  75.97%  21.07% 100.0000%      4599.99826
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  283658  01/02/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 24439225   0.00%   0.00%  90.4526%              64039         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404241  38.41%   8.87%   1.4961%  15.67%         -6         0.00404  38.41%   8.87%   0.0000%        -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     902629  82.44%  30.01%   3.3407%  34.99%        758       183.17829  74.39%  10.58%   0.0015%         0.20769
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                780088  69.76%   9.01%   2.8872%  30.24%       4081     16506.61482  73.89%  13.32%   0.1338%       142.55890
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    262369  69.86%   8.53%   0.9711%  10.17%       2481    119271.40917  75.05%  10.93%   0.9666%       864.01804
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                      102389  67.98%   9.01%   0.3790%   3.97%        407    250844.28059  69.80%   9.46%   2.0330%       896.20761
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      31865  72.03%   8.26%   0.1179%   1.24%         89    248124.53840  74.04%   8.25%   2.0109%       676.89529
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     25375  69.73%   8.69%   0.0939%   0.98%         62    421821.51428  71.27%   8.90%   3.4187%      1194.52459
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50338  92.69%  73.97%   0.1863%   1.95%         39   2334144.85032  94.36%  79.22%  18.9171%      1384.58739
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4544  71.46%  16.48%   0.0168%   0.18%         -2    271204.01367  70.88%  14.99%   2.1980%      -184.34956
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5535  82.75%   8.13%   0.0205%   0.21%          9    522869.40643  83.68%   8.20%   4.2376%       772.83712
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7630  70.03%   8.17%   0.0282%   0.30%         -9   1706987.86730  71.48%   8.88%  13.8343%     -1871.05796
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1477  73.19%   6.77%   0.0055%   0.06%         -1   1138864.48979  75.06%   7.04%   9.2299%       181.79258
> 1000 BTC                              1110  66.94%  10.63%   0.0041%   0.04%         -4   5307977.59068  69.62%   6.34%  43.0186%       666.77581
                  Total Actives      2579590  69.73%  17.55%   9.5474% 100.00%       7904  12338799.75749  75.89%  21.05% 100.0000%      4724.99750
                  Total             27018815   6.66%   1.68% 100.0000%              71943  12338799.75749  75.89%  21.05% 100.0000%      4724.99750
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  283844  02/02/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 24505190   0.00%   0.00%  90.4675%              65965         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404247  38.41%   8.87%   1.4924%  15.66%          6         0.00404  38.41%   8.87%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     903059  82.43%  30.00%   3.3339%  34.97%        430       183.45357  74.39%  10.57%   0.0015%         0.27527
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                781130  69.79%   8.99%   2.8838%  30.25%       1042     16521.25390  73.89%  13.30%   0.1338%        14.63907
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    262792  69.76%   8.51%   0.9702%  10.18%        423    119370.24939  75.00%  10.92%   0.9671%        98.84022
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                      102779  67.97%   8.97%   0.3794%   3.98%        390    251811.86068  69.79%   9.42%   2.0400%       967.58010
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      31946  72.11%   8.23%   0.1179%   1.24%         81    249003.42250  74.10%   8.21%   2.0173%       878.88410
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     25476  69.83%   8.64%   0.0941%   0.99%        101    423475.34374  71.35%   8.86%   3.4308%      1653.82946
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50362  92.71%  73.93%   0.1859%   1.95%         24   2335050.76798  94.38%  79.19%  18.9173%       905.91766
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4551  71.15%  16.44%   0.0168%   0.18%          7    271527.61163  70.60%  14.96%   2.1998%       323.59797
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5546  82.64%   8.11%   0.0205%   0.21%         11    523819.96819  83.59%   8.19%   4.2437%       950.56176
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7618  69.93%   8.15%   0.0281%   0.30%        -12   1704928.35999  71.42%   8.87%  13.8124%     -2059.50730
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1475  73.29%   6.78%   0.0054%   0.06%         -2   1137088.94556  75.14%   7.05%   9.2121%     -1775.54423
> 1000 BTC                              1109  66.91%  10.64%   0.0041%   0.04%         -1   5310668.50661  69.55%   6.33%  43.0242%      2690.91593
                  Total Actives      2582090  69.73%  17.53%   9.5325% 100.00%       2500  12343449.74750  75.86%  21.04% 100.0000%      4649.99001
                  Total             27087280   6.65%   1.67% 100.0000%              68465  12343449.74750  75.86%  21.04% 100.0000%      4649.99001
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  284025  03/02/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 24577279   0.00%   0.00%  90.4642%              72089         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404246  38.41%   8.87%   1.4880%  15.60%         -1         0.00404  38.41%   8.87%   0.0000%        -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     908036  82.43%  29.83%   3.3423%  35.05%       4977       185.07908  74.51%  10.47%   0.0015%         1.62551
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                784839  69.86%   8.95%   2.8888%  30.29%       3709     16570.29165  73.97%  13.26%   0.1342%        49.03776
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    262380  69.94%   8.52%   0.9658%  10.13%       -412    119273.40534  75.17%  10.93%   0.9659%       -96.84406
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                      102991  68.08%   8.95%   0.3791%   3.98%        212    252419.53158  69.89%   9.40%   2.0442%       607.67089
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      31970  72.19%   8.21%   0.1177%   1.23%         24    249106.60370  74.20%   8.20%   2.0174%       103.18120
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     25542  69.78%   8.61%   0.0940%   0.99%         66    424563.93605  71.29%   8.83%   3.4383%      1088.59231
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50355  92.72%  73.94%   0.1853%   1.94%         -7   2334540.22741  94.38%  79.21%  18.9063%      -510.54058
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4561  71.43%  16.40%   0.0168%   0.18%         10    272240.55931  70.92%  14.92%   2.2047%       712.94767
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5557  82.67%   8.08%   0.0205%   0.21%         11    524779.97260  83.63%   8.16%   4.2499%       960.00441
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7614  70.12%   8.14%   0.0280%   0.29%         -4   1703812.48745  71.63%   8.86%  13.7983%     -1115.87254
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1478  73.34%   6.77%   0.0054%   0.06%          3   1138421.89597  75.11%   7.04%   9.2195%      1332.95041
> 1000 BTC                              1112  66.91%  10.61%   0.0041%   0.04%          3   5312060.74460  69.45%   6.33%  43.0197%      1392.23799
                  Total Actives      2590681  69.80%  17.47%   9.5358% 100.00%       8591  12347974.73848  75.85%  21.03% 100.0000%      4524.99098
                  Total             27167960   6.66%   1.67% 100.0000%              80680  12347974.73848  75.85%  21.03% 100.0000%      4524.99098
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  284197  04/02/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 24662358   0.00%   0.00%  90.4731%              85079         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404248  38.41%   8.87%   1.4830%  15.57%          2         0.00404  38.41%   8.87%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     908650  82.43%  29.81%   3.3334%  34.99%        614       185.46734  74.48%  10.45%   0.0015%         0.38826
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                789659  69.77%   8.89%   2.8968%  30.41%       4820     16687.16651  73.80%  13.16%   0.1351%       116.87486
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    262781  70.11%   8.50%   0.9640%  10.12%        401    119480.36939  75.23%  10.90%   0.9673%       206.96405
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                      103181  68.05%   8.93%   0.3785%   3.97%        190    253108.44352  69.84%   9.37%   2.0491%       688.91194
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      32093  72.08%   8.18%   0.1177%   1.24%        123    249957.58484  74.07%   8.17%   2.0236%       850.98114
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     25566  69.71%   8.59%   0.0938%   0.98%         24    424793.46828  71.23%   8.81%   3.4390%       229.53224
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50458  92.71%  73.79%   0.1851%   1.94%        103   2337893.43114  94.37%  79.09%  18.9268%      3353.20373
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4564  71.45%  16.39%   0.0167%   0.18%          3    272408.35081  70.93%  14.91%   2.2053%       167.79151
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5567  82.47%   8.07%   0.0204%   0.21%         10    525668.47464  83.44%   8.14%   4.2556%       888.50204
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7618  70.22%   8.14%   0.0279%   0.29%          4   1704828.61837  71.65%   8.86%  13.8017%      1016.13091
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1477  73.26%   6.77%   0.0054%   0.06%         -1   1139759.71347  75.11%   7.03%   9.2271%      1337.81750
> 1000 BTC                              1107  66.94%  10.66%   0.0041%   0.04%         -5   5307503.59758  69.28%   6.34%  42.9678%     -4557.14702
                  Total Actives      2596969  69.79%  17.43%   9.5269% 100.00%       6288  12352274.68963  75.77%  21.02% 100.0000%      4299.95115
                  Total             27259327   6.65%   1.66% 100.0000%              91367  12352274.68963  75.77%  21.02% 100.0000%      4299.95115
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  284365  05/02/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 24735289   0.00%   0.00%  90.4794%              72931         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404253  38.41%   8.87%   1.4787%  15.53%          5         0.00404  38.41%   8.87%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     909618  82.39%  29.78%   3.3273%  34.95%        968       185.77811  74.44%  10.43%   0.0015%         0.31078
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                792465  69.83%   8.86%   2.8988%  30.45%       2806     16741.24180  73.82%  13.12%   0.1355%        54.07529
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    263919  69.94%   8.47%   0.9654%  10.14%       1138    120084.21121  75.04%  10.84%   0.9718%       603.84182
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                      103869  68.07%   8.87%   0.3799%   3.99%        688    254790.79375  69.87%   9.30%   2.0620%      1682.35023
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      32158  72.04%   8.15%   0.1176%   1.24%         65    250192.39101  74.04%   8.16%   2.0248%       234.80617
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     25647  69.82%   8.57%   0.0938%   0.99%         81    426044.15525  71.31%   8.79%   3.4479%      1250.68697
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50445  92.71%  73.81%   0.1845%   1.94%        -13   2337922.92488  94.37%  79.09%  18.9206%        29.49375
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4598  71.18%  16.27%   0.0168%   0.18%         34    274434.74912  70.67%  14.80%   2.2210%      2026.39831
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5571  82.57%   8.06%   0.0204%   0.21%          4    526151.85911  83.53%   8.13%   4.2581%       483.38446
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7621  70.17%   8.10%   0.0279%   0.29%          3   1705903.57462  71.57%   8.80%  13.8057%      1074.95626
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1469  73.32%   6.81%   0.0054%   0.06%         -8   1133202.28160  75.20%   7.07%   9.1709%     -6557.43187
> 1000 BTC                              1118  64.40%   8.59%   0.0041%   0.04%         11   5310820.71618  68.44%   4.58%  42.9801%      3317.11860
                  Total Actives      2602751  69.78%  17.39%   9.5206% 100.00%       5782  12356474.68040  75.40%  20.25% 100.0000%      4199.99077
                  Total             27338040   6.64%   1.66% 100.0000%              78713  12356474.68040  75.40%  20.25% 100.0000%      4199.99077
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  284547  06/02/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 24811111   0.00%   0.00%  90.4778%              75822         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404251  38.41%   8.87%   1.4742%  15.48%         -2         0.00404  38.41%   8.87%   0.0000%        -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     910569  82.38%  29.75%   3.3205%  34.87%        951       185.99786  74.44%  10.42%   0.0015%         0.21975
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                797889  69.78%   8.80%   2.9096%  30.56%       5424     16869.89721  73.66%  13.01%   0.1365%       128.65541
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    265397  69.85%   8.42%   0.9678%  10.16%       1478    120701.60657  75.02%  10.79%   0.9765%       617.39536
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                      104392  67.99%   8.82%   0.3807%   4.00%        523    255844.72300  69.82%   9.26%   2.0698%      1053.92925
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      32175  72.12%   8.14%   0.1173%   1.23%         17    250438.29250  74.12%   8.14%   2.0260%       245.90149
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     25617  69.72%   8.57%   0.0934%   0.98%        -30    425511.16412  71.26%   8.80%   3.4424%      -532.99113
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50479  92.64%  73.75%   0.1841%   1.93%         34   2338954.24754  94.33%  79.05%  18.9220%      1031.32266
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4621  71.15%  16.19%   0.0169%   0.18%         23    275828.12769  70.63%  14.72%   2.2314%      1393.37857
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5581  82.58%   8.03%   0.0204%   0.21%         10    527099.86698  83.54%   8.10%   4.2642%       948.00788
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7635  70.23%   8.08%   0.0278%   0.29%         14   1708068.79397  71.67%   8.79%  13.8182%      2165.21935
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1470  73.54%   6.80%   0.0054%   0.06%          1   1132703.86331  75.42%   7.08%   9.1635%      -498.41829
> 1000 BTC                              1118  64.40%   8.59%   0.0041%   0.04%          0   5308818.08469  68.57%   4.58%  42.9480%     -2002.63148
                  Total Actives      2611194  69.76%  17.33%   9.5222% 100.00%       8443  12361024.66921  75.49%  20.24% 100.0000%      4549.98881
                  Total             27422305   6.64%   1.65% 100.0000%              84265  12361024.66921  75.49%  20.24% 100.0000%      4549.98881

num      : number of addresses in this range of balance
%noOut   : percentage of active addresses WITHOUT out operations
%dead    : percentage of active addresses with input and output operations prior to 2012
%of tot  : percentage of the TOTAL number addresses
%of act  : percentage of the number of addresses with zero balance (active)
diff prev: number variation compared to the previous table
%noOut   : % value transactions WITHOUT output ( % value of range)
%vdead   : % operations value prev 2012 ( % value of range))
%TotVal  : % value of this range compared to the total value
diff prev: change in value compared to the previous table

donations : 1LJuCmvbzk7Xph1LQRsSzjYYQVu81N53GN

                gbianchi bitcointalk.org bitcoin-italia.org
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898


Thanks so much for your quick responding. I am not familiar with gnuplot. You mean perl can control or call gnuplot directly?

yes this is the perl/gnuplot control class:

use Chart::Graph::Gnuplot qw(gnuplot);

i used

use Chart::Clicker

for pie chart, gnuplot do not support pie chart
(or it can but with some ugly trickery)
full member
Activity: 222
Merit: 100
Hi Gbianchi,
this is the most value creative finding I read. Congratulations!

Based on your processing, chart is generated by gnuplot, raw data is parsed by C++. Does C++ parse blockchain into CVS and then illustrated by gnuplot? What the perl's role?

c++ is a simple parse that output raw data,  I wrote it time ago and never changed.

next for raw data parsing, producing table and chard, modify layout etc
i use perl beacouse is very flexible and i need to make little change very often.

Thanks so much for your quick responding. I am not familiar with gnuplot. You mean perl can control or call gnuplot directly?

Got it under FAQ gnuplot. Thanks again.
full member
Activity: 222
Merit: 100
Hi Gbianchi,
this is the most value creative finding I read. Congratulations!

Based on your processing, chart is generated by gnuplot, raw data is parsed by C++. Does C++ parse blockchain into CVS and then illustrated by gnuplot? What the perl's role?

c++ is a simple parse that output raw data,  I wrote it time ago and never changed.

next for raw data parsing, producing table and chard, modify layout etc
i use perl beacouse is very flexible and i need to make little change very often.

Thanks so much for your quick responding. I am not familiar with gnuplot. You mean perl can control or call gnuplot directly?
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
Hi Gbianchi,
this is the most value creative finding I read. Congratulations!

Based on your processing, chart is generated by gnuplot, raw data is parsed by C++. Does C++ parse blockchain into CVS and then illustrated by gnuplot? What the perl's role?

c++ is a simple parse that output raw data,  I wrote it time ago and never changed.

next for raw data parsing, producing table and chard, modify layout etc
i use perl beacouse is very flexible and i need to make little change very often.
full member
Activity: 222
Merit: 100
Hi Gbianchi,
this is the most value creative finding I read. Congratulations!

Based on your processing, chart is generated by gnuplot, raw data is parsed by C++. Does C++ parse blockchain into CVS and then illustrated by gnuplot? What the perl's role?
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  283285  30/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 24304459   0.00%   0.00%  90.4570%                            0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404231  38.41%   8.87%   1.5045%  15.77%                    0.00404  38.41%   8.87%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     900853  82.47%  30.07%   3.3528%  35.13%                  182.65997  74.38%  10.62%   0.0015%         0.00000
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                771830  69.82%   9.11%   2.8726%  30.10%                16234.41090  74.29%  13.55%   0.1317%         0.00000
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    258194  70.25%   8.67%   0.9610%  10.07%               117811.98469  75.42%  11.07%   0.9555%         0.00000
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                      101420  68.23%   9.10%   0.3775%   3.96%               248665.48738  70.03%   9.55%   2.0168%         0.00000
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      31678  72.46%   8.31%   0.1179%   1.24%               246937.81650  74.45%   8.30%   2.0028%         0.00000
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     25297  70.00%   8.72%   0.0942%   0.99%               420438.61890  71.48%   8.93%   3.4100%         0.00000
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50260  92.77%  74.09%   0.1871%   1.96%              2331321.29886  94.43%  79.32%  18.9085%         0.00000
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4541  71.68%  16.49%   0.0169%   0.18%               271059.01841  71.14%  15.00%   2.1985%         0.00000
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5537  82.46%   8.15%   0.0206%   0.22%               522888.82244  83.43%   8.22%   4.2410%         0.00000
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7642  70.18%   8.23%   0.0284%   0.30%              1710273.99688  71.63%   8.93%  13.8714%         0.00000
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1481  73.53%   6.75%   0.0055%   0.06%              1140497.64000  75.41%   7.03%   9.2502%         0.00000
> 1000 BTC                              1111  67.06%  10.62%   0.0041%   0.04%              5303163.00306  69.80%   6.34%  43.0121%         0.00000
                  Total Actives      2564075  69.81%  17.66%   9.5430% 100.00%             12329474.76173  76.05%  21.08% 100.0000%         0.00000
                  Total             26868534   6.66%   1.69% 100.0000%                     12329474.76173  76.05%  21.08% 100.0000%         0.00000
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  283469  31/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 24375186   0.00%   0.00%  90.4565%              70727         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404247  38.41%   8.87%   1.5002%  15.72%         16         0.00404  38.41%   8.87%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     901871  82.45%  30.04%   3.3468%  35.07%       1018       182.97061  74.38%  10.60%   0.0015%         0.31064
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                776007  69.80%   9.06%   2.8798%  30.18%       4177     16364.05592  74.08%  13.44%   0.1327%       129.64502
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    259888  70.03%   8.61%   0.9644%  10.11%       1694    118407.39113  75.21%  11.01%   0.9600%       595.40644
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                      101982  68.11%   9.05%   0.3785%   3.97%        562    249948.07298  69.92%   9.50%   2.0265%      1282.58561
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      31776  72.19%   8.28%   0.1179%   1.24%         98    247447.64311  74.21%   8.28%   2.0062%       509.82661
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     25313  69.76%   8.71%   0.0939%   0.98%         16    420626.98969  71.31%   8.93%   3.4103%       188.37078
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50299  92.74%  74.03%   0.1867%   1.96%         39   2332760.26293  94.39%  79.27%  18.9131%      1438.96407
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4546  71.47%  16.48%   0.0169%   0.18%          5    271388.36323  70.89%  14.98%   2.2003%       329.34482
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5526  82.59%   8.16%   0.0205%   0.21%        -11    522096.56931  83.53%   8.24%   4.2330%      -792.25313
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7639  70.10%   8.21%   0.0283%   0.30%         -3   1708858.92526  71.56%   8.92%  13.8548%     -1415.07162
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1478  73.14%   6.77%   0.0055%   0.06%         -3   1138682.69721  75.06%   7.04%   9.2320%     -1814.94279
> 1000 BTC                              1114  66.97%  10.59%   0.0041%   0.04%          3   5307310.81487  69.76%   6.34%  43.0297%      4147.81181
                  Total Actives      2571686  69.77%  17.60%   9.5435% 100.00%       7611  12334074.75999  75.97%  21.07% 100.0000%      4599.99826
                  Total             26946872   6.66%   1.68% 100.0000%              78338  12334074.75999  75.97%  21.07% 100.0000%      4599.99826
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  283658  01/02/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 24439225   0.00%   0.00%  90.4526%              64039         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404241  38.41%   8.87%   1.4961%  15.67%         -6         0.00404  38.41%   8.87%   0.0000%        -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     902629  82.44%  30.01%   3.3407%  34.99%        758       183.17829  74.39%  10.58%   0.0015%         0.20769
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                780088  69.76%   9.01%   2.8872%  30.24%       4081     16506.61482  73.89%  13.32%   0.1338%       142.55890
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    262369  69.86%   8.53%   0.9711%  10.17%       2481    119271.40917  75.05%  10.93%   0.9666%       864.01804
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                      102389  67.98%   9.01%   0.3790%   3.97%        407    250844.28059  69.80%   9.46%   2.0330%       896.20761
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      31865  72.03%   8.26%   0.1179%   1.24%         89    248124.53840  74.04%   8.25%   2.0109%       676.89529
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     25375  69.73%   8.69%   0.0939%   0.98%         62    421821.51428  71.27%   8.90%   3.4187%      1194.52459
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50338  92.69%  73.97%   0.1863%   1.95%         39   2334144.85032  94.36%  79.22%  18.9171%      1384.58739
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4544  71.46%  16.48%   0.0168%   0.18%         -2    271204.01367  70.88%  14.99%   2.1980%      -184.34956
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5535  82.75%   8.13%   0.0205%   0.21%          9    522869.40643  83.68%   8.20%   4.2376%       772.83712
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7630  70.03%   8.17%   0.0282%   0.30%         -9   1706987.86730  71.48%   8.88%  13.8343%     -1871.05796
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1477  73.19%   6.77%   0.0055%   0.06%         -1   1138864.48979  75.06%   7.04%   9.2299%       181.79258
> 1000 BTC                              1110  66.94%  10.63%   0.0041%   0.04%         -4   5307977.59068  69.62%   6.34%  43.0186%       666.77581
                  Total Actives      2579590  69.73%  17.55%   9.5474% 100.00%       7904  12338799.75749  75.89%  21.05% 100.0000%      4724.99750
                  Total             27018815   6.66%   1.68% 100.0000%              71943  12338799.75749  75.89%  21.05% 100.0000%      4724.99750
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  283844  02/02/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 24505190   0.00%   0.00%  90.4675%              65965         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404247  38.41%   8.87%   1.4924%  15.66%          6         0.00404  38.41%   8.87%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     903059  82.43%  30.00%   3.3339%  34.97%        430       183.45357  74.39%  10.57%   0.0015%         0.27527
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                781130  69.79%   8.99%   2.8838%  30.25%       1042     16521.25390  73.89%  13.30%   0.1338%        14.63907
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    262792  69.76%   8.51%   0.9702%  10.18%        423    119370.24939  75.00%  10.92%   0.9671%        98.84022
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                      102779  67.97%   8.97%   0.3794%   3.98%        390    251811.86068  69.79%   9.42%   2.0400%       967.58010
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      31946  72.11%   8.23%   0.1179%   1.24%         81    249003.42250  74.10%   8.21%   2.0173%       878.88410
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     25476  69.83%   8.64%   0.0941%   0.99%        101    423475.34374  71.35%   8.86%   3.4308%      1653.82946
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50362  92.71%  73.93%   0.1859%   1.95%         24   2335050.76798  94.38%  79.19%  18.9173%       905.91766
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4551  71.15%  16.44%   0.0168%   0.18%          7    271527.61163  70.60%  14.96%   2.1998%       323.59797
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5546  82.64%   8.11%   0.0205%   0.21%         11    523819.96819  83.59%   8.19%   4.2437%       950.56176
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7618  69.93%   8.15%   0.0281%   0.30%        -12   1704928.35999  71.42%   8.87%  13.8124%     -2059.50730
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1475  73.29%   6.78%   0.0054%   0.06%         -2   1137088.94556  75.14%   7.05%   9.2121%     -1775.54423
> 1000 BTC                              1109  66.91%  10.64%   0.0041%   0.04%         -1   5310668.50661  69.55%   6.33%  43.0242%      2690.91593
                  Total Actives      2582090  69.73%  17.53%   9.5325% 100.00%       2500  12343449.74750  75.86%  21.04% 100.0000%      4649.99001
                  Total             27087280   6.65%   1.67% 100.0000%              68465  12343449.74750  75.86%  21.04% 100.0000%      4649.99001
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  284025  03/02/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 24577279   0.00%   0.00%  90.4642%              72089         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404246  38.41%   8.87%   1.4880%  15.60%         -1         0.00404  38.41%   8.87%   0.0000%        -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     908036  82.43%  29.83%   3.3423%  35.05%       4977       185.07908  74.51%  10.47%   0.0015%         1.62551
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                784839  69.86%   8.95%   2.8888%  30.29%       3709     16570.29165  73.97%  13.26%   0.1342%        49.03776
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    262380  69.94%   8.52%   0.9658%  10.13%       -412    119273.40534  75.17%  10.93%   0.9659%       -96.84406
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                      102991  68.08%   8.95%   0.3791%   3.98%        212    252419.53158  69.89%   9.40%   2.0442%       607.67089
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      31970  72.19%   8.21%   0.1177%   1.23%         24    249106.60370  74.20%   8.20%   2.0174%       103.18120
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     25542  69.78%   8.61%   0.0940%   0.99%         66    424563.93605  71.29%   8.83%   3.4383%      1088.59231
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50355  92.72%  73.94%   0.1853%   1.94%         -7   2334540.22741  94.38%  79.21%  18.9063%      -510.54058
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4561  71.43%  16.40%   0.0168%   0.18%         10    272240.55931  70.92%  14.92%   2.2047%       712.94767
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5557  82.67%   8.08%   0.0205%   0.21%         11    524779.97260  83.63%   8.16%   4.2499%       960.00441
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7614  70.12%   8.14%   0.0280%   0.29%         -4   1703812.48745  71.63%   8.86%  13.7983%     -1115.87254
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1478  73.34%   6.77%   0.0054%   0.06%          3   1138421.89597  75.11%   7.04%   9.2195%      1332.95041
> 1000 BTC                              1112  66.91%  10.61%   0.0041%   0.04%          3   5312060.74460  69.45%   6.33%  43.0197%      1392.23799
                  Total Actives      2590681  69.80%  17.47%   9.5358% 100.00%       8591  12347974.73848  75.85%  21.03% 100.0000%      4524.99098
                  Total             27167960   6.66%   1.67% 100.0000%              80680  12347974.73848  75.85%  21.03% 100.0000%      4524.99098

num      : number of addresses in this range of balance
%noOut   : percentage of active addresses WITHOUT out operations
%dead    : percentage of active addresses with input and output operations prior to 2012
%of tot  : percentage of the TOTAL number addresses
%of act  : percentage of the number of addresses with zero balance (active)
diff prev: number variation compared to the previous table
%noOut   : % value transactions WITHOUT output ( % value of range)
%vdead   : % operations value prev 2012 ( % value of range))
%TotVal  : % value of this range compared to the total value
diff prev: change in value compared to the previous table

donations : 1LJuCmvbzk7Xph1LQRsSzjYYQVu81N53GN

                gbianchi bitcointalk.org bitcoin-italia.org
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
I added in the chart the value of volatility.

I used the classic formula of volatility, namely:
standard deviation of daily percentage changes.

Every day calculating the volatility based on the price up to 30 days ago.

It shows very clearly the regularyty of periods "pump",
which are the peaks in the volatility chart.

legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
Very interesting. It would be useful to know the best way of getting at data in the blockchain; are there tools for that, is it in a standard format?

I'm surprised the blockchain holds so many zero balance addresses. Does a wallet creating new addresses broadcast all those just for the record? I don't understand why blockchain doesn't just hold transactions that have been actioned against addresses and then from that obviously would follow a minority of balances at zero.

I used a c++ program for extract data from blockchain,
all other language was too slow.

for chart and tables I used perl and gnuplot.

No, there are not broadcast address creation.... simply a lot of wallet used as "temporary" storage,
and this is a good reason for use the zero addresses as a measure of network effect.
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
Thanks for your work, gbianchi, very interesting!

I made reference to it in my latest article, it is helpful to investors to have a formula like this to calculate fair value.

Thank !


sr. member
Activity: 323
Merit: 250
The lion roars!
Thanks for your work, gbianchi, very interesting!

I made reference to it in my latest article, it is helpful to investors to have a formula like this to calculate fair value.
sr. member
Activity: 531
Merit: 260
Vires in Numeris
A lot of work but would be interesting to see the data on the maximum value addresses have ever held.
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 1060
No there should be no 0 addresses that never had a balance. Addresses are never broadcast.

That does make zero balance addresses very interesting then!

Yes they could have had a million btc
sr. member
Activity: 531
Merit: 260
Vires in Numeris
No there should be no 0 addresses that never had a balance. Addresses are never broadcast.

That does make zero balance addresses very interesting then!
Pages:
Jump to: