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Topic: [ 24 feb report ] bitcoin price theory proposal - page 4. (Read 19813 times)

legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
Could you do the same, fitting the total number of addresses as a function of time ?

What is a good fit for I(t) ?


I work on it this Week-end
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 1000
see my profile
Could you do the same, fitting the total number of addresses as a function of time ?

What is a good fit for I(t) ?
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
I love your approximation, gbianchi.

Thank Smiley
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
Chart at 21 January

legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
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block#  279387  08/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 22946359   0.00%   0.00%  90.4506%                            0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404300  38.37%   8.86%   1.5937%  16.69%                    0.00404  38.37%   8.86%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     872264  82.74%  31.07%   3.4383%  36.01%                  173.14485  74.72%  11.23%   0.0014%         0.00000
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                690255  69.81%  10.23%   2.7209%  28.49%                14451.23954  75.47%  15.29%   0.1181%         0.00000
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    234446  71.53%   9.63%   0.9241%   9.68%               110382.21162  76.54%  11.92%   0.9024%         0.00000
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       96010  69.04%   9.71%   0.3785%   3.96%               235705.85904  70.77%  10.17%   1.9270%         0.00000
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30563  72.55%   8.75%   0.1205%   1.26%               238507.74493  74.51%   8.72%   1.9499%         0.00000
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24527  70.37%   9.12%   0.0967%   1.01%               408506.47023  71.81%   9.32%   3.3396%         0.00000
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50005  92.97%  74.63%   0.1971%   2.06%              2323612.63100  94.60%  79.76%  18.9961%         0.00000
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4539  71.76%  16.79%   0.0179%   0.19%               270679.24736  71.25%  15.30%   2.2129%         0.00000
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5510  82.54%   8.33%   0.0217%   0.23%               520030.90748  83.54%   8.41%   4.2514%         0.00000
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7577  70.17%   8.75%   0.0299%   0.31%              1690146.95267  71.54%   9.41%  13.8174%         0.00000
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1461  74.54%   6.91%   0.0058%   0.06%              1127730.18084  76.57%   7.16%   9.2195%         0.00000
> 1000 BTC                              1118  66.46%  10.82%   0.0044%   0.05%              5292097.65919  68.70%   6.51%  43.2643%         0.00000
                  Total Actives      2422575  69.91%  18.73%   9.5494% 100.00%             12232024.25249  75.76%  21.42% 100.0000%         0.00000
                  Total             25368934   6.68%   1.79% 100.0000%                     12232024.25249  75.76%  21.42% 100.0000%         0.00000
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  279594  09/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 23008666   0.00%   0.00%  90.4448%              62307         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404352  38.37%   8.86%   1.5895%  16.63%         52         0.00404  38.37%   8.86%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     872337  82.72%  31.06%   3.4291%  35.89%         73       172.50867  74.59%  11.27%   0.0014%        -0.63618
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                695703  69.75%  10.15%   2.7347%  28.62%       5448     14614.66913  75.29%  15.12%   0.1194%       163.42960
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    236321  71.40%   9.55%   0.9290%   9.72%       1875    110959.86641  76.39%  11.85%   0.9067%       577.65479
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       96504  68.87%   9.66%   0.3793%   3.97%        494    236920.01426  70.59%  10.11%   1.9361%      1214.15522
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30741  72.47%   8.69%   0.1208%   1.26%        178    239909.20362  74.44%   8.66%   1.9605%      1401.45870
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24616  70.42%   9.08%   0.0968%   1.01%         89    409614.36324  71.83%   9.28%   3.3473%      1107.89301
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50012  92.95%  74.62%   0.1966%   2.06%          7   2323901.31460  94.58%  79.74%  18.9905%       288.68359
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4540  71.52%  16.76%   0.0178%   0.19%          1    270752.74717  70.97%  15.28%   2.2125%        73.49981
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5513  82.42%   8.33%   0.0217%   0.23%          3    520258.51844  83.43%   8.41%   4.2515%       227.61096
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7565  70.06%   8.75%   0.0297%   0.31%        -12   1688836.34462  71.48%   9.40%  13.8008%     -1310.60805
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1459  74.43%   6.92%   0.0057%   0.06%         -2   1126099.58592  76.46%   7.17%   9.2023%     -1630.59492
> 1000 BTC                              1121  66.37%  10.70%   0.0044%   0.05%          3   5295160.11201  68.69%   6.47%  43.2710%      3062.45282
                  Total Actives      2430784  69.86%  18.66%   9.5552% 100.00%       8209  12237199.25184  75.71%  21.40% 100.0000%      5174.99934
                  Total             25439450   6.68%   1.78% 100.0000%              70516  12237199.25184  75.71%  21.40% 100.0000%      5174.99934
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  279781  10/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 23068629   0.00%   0.00%  90.4514%              59963         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404340  38.37%   8.86%   1.5854%  16.60%        -12         0.00404  38.37%   8.86%   0.0000%        -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     873338  82.70%  31.03%   3.4243%  35.86%       1001       172.82724  74.58%  11.25%   0.0014%         0.31858
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                698128  69.72%  10.11%   2.7373%  28.67%       2425     14678.56962  75.19%  15.05%   0.1199%        63.90048
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    237223  71.37%   9.51%   0.9301%   9.74%        902    111259.02095  76.40%  11.81%   0.9088%       299.15455
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       96603  68.82%   9.64%   0.3788%   3.97%         99    236897.20903  70.59%  10.11%   1.9351%       -22.80523
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30733  72.35%   8.67%   0.1205%   1.26%         -8    239709.66334  74.32%   8.65%   1.9581%      -199.54029
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24697  70.32%   9.04%   0.0968%   1.01%         81    410940.15724  71.74%   9.24%   3.3568%      1325.79400
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50006  92.97%  74.63%   0.1961%   2.05%         -6   2323259.00229  94.60%  79.76%  18.9780%      -642.31231
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4508  71.74%  16.86%   0.0177%   0.19%        -32    269002.00317  71.22%  15.36%   2.1974%     -1750.74399
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5525  82.43%   8.31%   0.0217%   0.23%         12    521342.88506  83.44%   8.39%   4.2587%      1084.36662
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7572  70.14%   8.73%   0.0297%   0.31%          7   1689339.99950  71.61%   9.39%  13.7997%       503.65488
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1463  74.30%   6.84%   0.0057%   0.06%          4   1128883.76946  76.32%   7.10%   9.2215%      2784.18354
> 1000 BTC                              1121  65.92%  10.70%   0.0044%   0.05%          0   5296389.14006  67.99%   6.46%  43.2645%      1229.02805
                  Total Actives      2435257  69.85%  18.63%   9.5486% 100.00%       4473  12241874.25071  75.42%  21.38% 100.0000%      4674.99888
                  Total             25503886   6.67%   1.78% 100.0000%              64436  12241874.25071  75.42%  21.38% 100.0000%      4674.99888
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  279991  11/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 23129616   0.00%   0.00%  90.4623%              60987         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404299  38.38%   8.86%   1.5813%  16.58%        -41         0.00404  38.38%   8.86%   0.0000%        -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     874345  82.69%  30.99%   3.4197%  35.85%       1007       173.14948  74.57%  11.23%   0.0014%         0.32224
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                700745  69.78%  10.07%   2.7407%  28.74%       2617     14724.22022  75.18%  15.00%   0.1202%        45.65061
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    237290  71.52%   9.50%   0.9281%   9.73%         67    111083.84937  76.58%  11.83%   0.9070%      -175.17158
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       96360  69.02%   9.66%   0.3769%   3.95%       -243    236366.83658  70.80%  10.13%   1.9300%      -530.37245
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30699  72.60%   8.67%   0.1201%   1.26%        -34    239476.25170  74.56%   8.66%   1.9554%      -233.41163
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24680  70.43%   9.04%   0.0965%   1.01%        -17    410751.93254  71.84%   9.25%   3.3539%      -188.22470
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     49997  92.98%  74.64%   0.1955%   2.05%         -9   2323198.82320  94.61%  79.76%  18.9693%       -60.17909
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4512  71.76%  16.84%   0.0176%   0.19%          4    269238.04194  71.26%  15.34%   2.1984%       236.03877
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5520  82.30%   8.32%   0.0216%   0.23%         -5    520916.36425  83.32%   8.40%   4.2534%      -426.52081
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7581  70.23%   8.72%   0.0297%   0.31%          9   1694008.07338  71.66%   9.36%  13.8319%      4668.07388
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1468  74.32%   6.81%   0.0057%   0.06%          5   1131061.98536  76.29%   7.09%   9.2353%      2178.21590
> 1000 BTC                              1124  65.84%  10.68%   0.0044%   0.05%          3   5296124.71793  68.00%   6.46%  43.2438%      -264.42213
                  Total Actives      2438620  69.89%  18.60%   9.5377% 100.00%       3363  12247124.24971  75.44%  21.37% 100.0000%      5249.99900
                  Total             25568236   6.67%   1.77% 100.0000%              64350  12247124.24971  75.44%  21.37% 100.0000%      5249.99900
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  280198  12/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 23180657   0.00%   0.00%  90.4599%              51041         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404308  38.38%   8.86%   1.5778%  16.54%          9         0.00404  38.38%   8.86%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     874854  82.66%  30.97%   3.4140%  35.79%        509       173.28345  74.58%  11.21%   0.0014%         0.13397
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                704113  69.72%  10.02%   2.7477%  28.80%       3368     14838.95750  74.98%  14.88%   0.1211%       114.73728
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    238876  71.37%   9.43%   0.9322%   9.77%       1586    111450.53341  76.50%  11.78%   0.9096%       366.68404
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       96767  68.99%   9.61%   0.3776%   3.96%        407    237393.50936  70.79%  10.08%   1.9375%      1026.67279
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30741  72.55%   8.65%   0.1200%   1.26%         42    239815.27307  74.51%   8.63%   1.9573%       339.02136
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24764  70.44%   9.01%   0.0966%   1.01%         84    412066.10040  71.86%   9.21%   3.3632%      1314.16786
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50032  92.94%  74.58%   0.1952%   2.05%         35   2324408.28157  94.58%  79.72%  18.9712%      1209.45837
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4528  71.69%  16.78%   0.0177%   0.19%         16    270235.88990  71.21%  15.29%   2.2056%       997.84796
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5533  82.23%   8.30%   0.0216%   0.23%         13    522102.32339  83.25%   8.38%   4.2613%      1185.95914
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7594  70.38%   8.69%   0.0296%   0.31%         13   1698531.72615  71.77%   9.32%  13.8630%      4523.65277
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1465  74.40%   6.83%   0.0057%   0.06%         -3   1128898.62015  76.39%   7.10%   9.2138%     -2163.36521
> 1000 BTC                              1121  65.83%  10.70%   0.0044%   0.05%         -3   5292384.99765  68.01%   6.47%  43.1950%     -3739.72028
                  Total Actives      2444696  69.85%  18.55%   9.5401% 100.00%       6076  12252299.49976  75.46%  21.36% 100.0000%      5175.25005
                  Total             25625353   6.66%   1.77% 100.0000%              57117  12252299.49976  75.46%  21.36% 100.0000%      5175.25005
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  280367  13/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 23237180   0.00%   0.00%  90.4368%              56523         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404302  38.38%   8.86%   1.5735%  16.45%         -6         0.00404  38.38%   8.86%   0.0000%        -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     882390  82.70%  30.71%   3.4342%  35.91%       7536       175.14690  74.67%  11.09%   0.0014%         1.86345
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                707687  69.73%   9.97%   2.7542%  28.80%       3574     14882.27525  75.01%  14.83%   0.1214%        43.31774
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    239967  71.18%   9.39%   0.9339%   9.77%       1091    111903.55331  76.35%  11.73%   0.9130%       453.01990
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       97027  68.85%   9.58%   0.3776%   3.95%        260    238049.88718  70.61%  10.04%   1.9422%       656.37782
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30821  72.42%   8.63%   0.1200%   1.25%         80    240426.20195  74.39%   8.61%   1.9616%       610.92889
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24739  70.33%   9.01%   0.0963%   1.01%        -25    411623.14501  71.74%   9.21%   3.3584%      -442.95539
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50025  92.88%  74.58%   0.1947%   2.04%         -7   2324162.89590  94.53%  79.72%  18.9627%      -245.38566
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4517  71.40%  16.83%   0.0176%   0.18%        -11    269566.92793  70.94%  15.32%   2.1994%      -668.96197
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5522  82.45%   8.31%   0.0215%   0.22%        -11    521047.40469  83.45%   8.40%   4.2512%     -1054.91870
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7597  70.01%   8.69%   0.0296%   0.31%          3   1696610.27353  71.59%   9.33%  13.8425%     -1921.45262
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1479  74.17%   6.76%   0.0058%   0.06%         14   1140368.17179  76.13%   7.03%   9.3042%     11469.55164
> 1000 BTC                              1123  66.07%  10.69%   0.0044%   0.05%          2   5287708.60907  68.12%   6.47%  43.1420%     -4676.38858
                  Total Actives      2457196  69.88%  18.45%   9.5632% 100.00%      12500  12256524.49627  75.44%  21.35% 100.0000%      4224.99651
                  Total             25694376   6.68%   1.76% 100.0000%              69023  12256524.49627  75.44%  21.35% 100.0000%      4224.99651
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  280529  14/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 23297762   0.00%   0.00%  90.4438%              60582         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404307  38.38%   8.86%   1.5696%  16.42%          5         0.00404  38.38%   8.86%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     883231  82.68%  30.68%   3.4288%  35.88%        841       175.51210  74.60%  11.07%   0.0014%         0.36520
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                711816  69.72%   9.91%   2.7633%  28.92%       4129     14955.80494  75.08%  14.76%   0.1220%        73.52969
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    239550  71.47%   9.40%   0.9300%   9.73%       -417    111782.31119  76.55%  11.74%   0.9117%      -121.24211
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       96977  68.89%   9.58%   0.3765%   3.94%        -50    237964.56694  70.69%  10.04%   1.9409%       -85.32024
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30816  72.49%   8.63%   0.1196%   1.25%         -5    240452.09852  74.49%   8.61%   1.9612%        25.89657
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24659  70.32%   9.03%   0.0957%   1.00%        -80    410358.98960  71.78%   9.23%   3.3470%     -1264.15541
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50009  92.91%  74.60%   0.1941%   2.03%        -16   2323570.00818  94.55%  79.74%  18.9516%      -592.88773
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4514  71.40%  16.81%   0.0175%   0.18%         -3    269350.85390  70.92%  15.32%   2.1969%      -216.07404
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5518  82.37%   8.32%   0.0214%   0.22%         -4    520493.66291  83.38%   8.40%   4.2453%      -553.74178
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7623  70.42%   8.64%   0.0296%   0.31%         26   1700432.43766  71.94%   9.31%  13.8691%      3822.16413
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1482  74.43%   6.75%   0.0058%   0.06%          3   1141637.34660  76.35%   7.02%   9.3115%      1269.17481
> 1000 BTC                              1126  66.70%  10.57%   0.0044%   0.05%          3   5289400.88825  68.94%   6.40%  43.1415%      1692.27918
                  Total Actives      2461628  69.91%  18.42%   9.5562% 100.00%       4432  12260574.48454  75.87%  21.31% 100.0000%      4049.98827
                  Total             25759390   6.68%   1.76% 100.0000%              65014  12260574.48454  75.87%  21.31% 100.0000%      4049.98827
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  280713  15/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 23356578   0.00%   0.00%  90.4329%              58816         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404317  38.38%   8.86%   1.5655%  16.36%         10         0.00404  38.38%   8.86%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     883978  82.68%  30.65%   3.4226%  35.78%        747       175.90399  74.59%  11.05%   0.0014%         0.39190
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                717529  69.64%   9.83%   2.7782%  29.04%       5713     15109.32805  74.77%  14.60%   0.1232%       153.52311
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    241869  71.16%   9.31%   0.9365%   9.79%       2319    112595.98342  76.28%  11.65%   0.9180%       813.67223
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       97440  68.76%   9.53%   0.3773%   3.94%        463    238830.96971  70.56%  10.00%   1.9472%       866.40277
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30924  72.31%   8.59%   0.1197%   1.25%        108    241332.96057  74.31%   8.56%   1.9676%       880.86205
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24581  70.13%   9.04%   0.0952%   0.99%        -78    409507.85643  71.57%   9.24%   3.3388%      -851.13317
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50060  92.93%  74.52%   0.1938%   2.03%         51   2324992.16548  94.56%  79.68%  18.9560%      1422.15731
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4512  71.41%  16.82%   0.0175%   0.18%         -2    269208.14442  70.95%  15.33%   2.1949%      -142.70948
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5503  82.34%   8.34%   0.0213%   0.22%        -15    519221.58013  83.36%   8.43%   4.2333%     -1272.08278
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7616  70.35%   8.65%   0.0295%   0.31%         -7   1700776.67938  71.86%   9.31%  13.8667%       344.24172
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1477  74.61%   6.77%   0.0057%   0.06%         -5   1137315.88412  76.51%   7.05%   9.2727%     -4321.46248
> 1000 BTC                              1127  66.46%  10.56%   0.0044%   0.05%          1   5296107.01605  68.90%   6.39%  43.1800%      6706.12780
                  Total Actives      2470933  69.85%  18.35%   9.5671% 100.00%       9305  12265174.47551  75.84%  21.30% 100.0000%      4599.99097
                  Total             25827511   6.68%   1.76% 100.0000%              68121  12265174.47551  75.84%  21.30% 100.0000%      4599.99097
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  280898  16/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 23416457   0.00%   0.00%  90.4522%              59879         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404303  38.38%   8.86%   1.5617%  16.36%        -14         0.00404  38.38%   8.86%   0.0000%        -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     885315  82.64%  30.61%   3.4198%  35.82%       1337       176.49304  74.45%  11.01%   0.0014%         0.58905
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                716829  69.82%   9.84%   2.7689%  29.00%       -700     15002.54825  75.29%  14.70%   0.1223%      -106.77980
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    242243  71.18%   9.29%   0.9357%   9.80%        374    112603.44024  76.34%  11.65%   0.9177%         7.45682
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       97380  68.86%   9.53%   0.3762%   3.94%        -60    238593.64361  70.65%  10.00%   1.9446%      -237.32610
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30817  72.36%   8.61%   0.1190%   1.25%       -107    240408.01465  74.35%   8.59%   1.9593%      -924.94592
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24572  70.12%   9.03%   0.0949%   0.99%         -9    409204.98870  71.59%   9.23%   3.3351%      -302.86774
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50032  92.93%  74.56%   0.1933%   2.02%        -28   2324020.38537  94.56%  79.71%  18.9410%      -971.78012
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4508  71.65%  16.77%   0.0174%   0.18%         -4    268969.88665  71.18%  15.28%   2.1921%      -238.25777
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5512  82.18%   8.33%   0.0213%   0.22%          9    519732.95503  83.21%   8.42%   4.2359%       511.37490
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7634  70.84%   8.59%   0.0295%   0.31%         18   1703496.74556  72.25%   9.25%  13.8837%      2720.06618
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1476  74.59%   6.78%   0.0057%   0.06%         -1   1136432.77738  76.47%   7.05%   9.2620%      -883.10673
> 1000 BTC                              1126  66.16%  10.57%   0.0043%   0.05%         -1   5301157.83501  68.99%   6.38%  43.2049%      5050.81896
                  Total Actives      2471747  69.90%  18.34%   9.5478% 100.00%        814  12269799.71724  75.93%  21.28% 100.0000%      4625.24173
                  Total             25888204   6.67%   1.75% 100.0000%              60693  12269799.71724  75.93%  21.28% 100.0000%      4625.24173
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  281050  17/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 23467734   0.00%   0.00%  90.4340%              51277         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404312  38.39%   8.86%   1.5580%  16.29%          9         0.00404  38.39%   8.86%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     886271  82.63%  30.57%   3.4153%  35.70%        956       176.73390  74.46%  10.99%   0.0014%         0.24087
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                723826  69.69%   9.74%   2.7893%  29.16%       6997     15148.49092  75.05%  14.56%   0.1234%       145.94267
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    244404  70.98%   9.20%   0.9418%   9.85%       2161    113246.93577  76.14%  11.58%   0.9227%       643.49552
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       97678  68.66%   9.50%   0.3764%   3.93%        298    239334.28109  70.45%   9.97%   1.9500%       740.63748
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30888  72.29%   8.59%   0.1190%   1.24%         71    240966.00263  74.29%   8.57%   1.9633%       557.98798
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24658  70.05%   9.00%   0.0950%   0.99%         86    410699.13756  71.56%   9.20%   3.3462%      1494.14887
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50090  92.94%  74.47%   0.1930%   2.02%         58   2325727.44343  94.57%  79.65%  18.9490%      1707.05807
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4495  71.57%  16.80%   0.0173%   0.18%        -13    268094.92075  71.09%  15.31%   2.1843%      -874.96590
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5523  82.20%   8.27%   0.0213%   0.22%         11    520837.50713  83.23%   8.36%   4.2436%      1104.55209
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7648  70.66%   8.56%   0.0295%   0.31%         14   1705168.52481  72.08%   9.23%  13.8930%      1671.77925
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1473  74.54%   6.79%   0.0057%   0.06%         -3   1135704.17002  76.36%   7.06%   9.2532%      -728.60737
> 1000 BTC                              1122  66.76%  10.61%   0.0043%   0.05%         -4   5298495.55700  69.43%   6.39%  43.1699%     -2662.27801
                  Total Actives      2482388  69.84%  18.26%   9.5660% 100.00%      10641  12273599.70876  76.08%  21.27% 100.0000%      3799.99151
                  Total             25950122   6.68%   1.75% 100.0000%              61918  12273599.70876  76.08%  21.27% 100.0000%      3799.99151
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  281224  18/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of act  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 23514852   0.00%   0.00%  90.4307%              47118         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404312  38.39%   8.86%   1.5549%  16.25%          0         0.00404  38.39%   8.86%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     886869  82.60%  30.55%   3.4106%  35.64%        598       176.95828  74.42%  10.98%   0.0014%         0.22438
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                727172  69.70%   9.69%   2.7965%  29.22%       3346     15250.72224  74.92%  14.46%   0.1242%       102.23132
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    245947  70.84%   9.14%   0.9458%   9.88%       1543    113788.15782  76.08%  11.52%   0.9268%       541.22206
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       98078  68.58%   9.46%   0.3772%   3.94%        400    240217.18620  70.37%   9.93%   1.9565%       882.90511
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30908  72.21%   8.58%   0.1189%   1.24%         20    240951.40354  74.20%   8.57%   1.9625%       -14.59909
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24705  69.96%   8.99%   0.0950%   0.99%         47    411468.88705  71.48%   9.18%   3.3513%       769.74949
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50080  92.92%  74.48%   0.1926%   2.01%        -10   2325632.07964  94.55%  79.65%  18.9415%       -95.36380
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4493  71.56%  16.76%   0.0173%   0.18%         -2    267891.63258  71.06%  15.27%   2.1819%      -203.28817
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5528  82.31%   8.27%   0.0213%   0.22%          5    521398.01969  83.32%   8.35%   4.2466%       560.51257
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7622  70.62%   8.57%   0.0293%   0.31%        -26   1700607.80414  72.06%   9.23%  13.8509%     -4560.72067
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1482  74.22%   6.75%   0.0057%   0.06%          9   1142898.58759  76.01%   7.01%   9.3085%      7194.41757
> 1000 BTC                              1120  66.79%  10.62%   0.0043%   0.05%         -2   5297668.25895  69.43%   6.39%  43.1478%      -827.29805
                  Total Actives      2488316  69.82%  18.22%   9.5693% 100.00%       5928  12277949.70148  76.04%  21.26% 100.0000%      4349.99272
                  Total             26003168   6.68%   1.74% 100.0000%              53046  12277949.70148  76.04%  21.26% 100.0000%      4349.99272

num      : number of addresses in this range of balance
%noOut   : percentage of active addresses WITHOUT out operations
%dead    : percentage of active addresses with input and output operations prior to 2012
%of tot  : percentage of the TOTAL number addresses
%of act  : percentage of the number of addresses with zero balance (active)
diff prev: number variation compared to the previous table
%noOut   : % value transactions WITHOUT output ( % value of range)
%vdead   : % operations value prev 2012 ( % value of range))
%TotVal  : % value of this range compared to the total value
diff prev: change in value compared to the previous table

donations : 1LJuCmvbzk7Xph1LQRsSzjYYQVu81N53GN

                gbianchi bitcointalk.org bitcoin-italia.org
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
Updated Chart

legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
Here the new report of bitcoin statistics.

Please take a look at my price theory in first post an give me some feedback.

Thank.

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block#  278831  05/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of att  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 22739212   0.00%   0.00%  90.4908%                            0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404309  38.37%   8.86%   1.6090%  16.92%                    0.00404  38.37%   8.86%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     852342  82.52%  31.79%   3.3919%  35.67%                  165.21654  73.88%  11.78%   0.0014%         0.00000
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                679851  70.04%  10.39%   2.7055%  28.45%                14339.32288  75.80%  15.42%   0.1174%         0.00000
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    231974  71.47%   9.75%   0.9231%   9.71%               109726.96492  76.42%  12.01%   0.8981%         0.00000
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       95847  68.84%   9.75%   0.3814%   4.01%               235624.74062  70.55%  10.20%   1.9285%         0.00000
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30524  72.53%   8.78%   0.1215%   1.28%               238352.07341  74.48%   8.75%   1.9508%         0.00000
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24519  69.98%   9.14%   0.0976%   1.03%               408407.84256  71.39%   9.34%   3.3426%         0.00000
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50000  92.96%  74.66%   0.1990%   2.09%              2323410.29452  94.59%  79.77%  19.0161%         0.00000
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4528  71.82%  16.87%   0.0180%   0.19%               270061.82610  71.33%  15.38%   2.2103%         0.00000
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5489  82.60%   8.38%   0.0218%   0.23%               518009.44498  83.60%   8.46%   4.2397%         0.00000
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7576  69.90%   8.78%   0.0301%   0.32%              1693814.56175  71.31%   9.40%  13.8631%         0.00000
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1461  74.54%   6.98%   0.0058%   0.06%              1129756.99767  76.51%   7.20%   9.2466%         0.00000
> 1000 BTC                              1114  66.61%  10.86%   0.0044%   0.05%              5276454.46010  69.35%   6.53%  43.1855%         0.00000
                  Total Actives      2389534  69.77%  18.99%   9.5092% 100.00%             12218123.74982  75.99%  21.46% 100.0000%         0.00000
                  Total             25128746   6.63%   1.81% 100.0000%                     12218123.74982  75.99%  21.46% 100.0000%         0.00000
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block#  279017  06/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of att  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 22819831   0.00%   0.00%  90.4974%              80619         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404313  38.37%   8.86%   1.6034%  16.87%          4         0.00404  38.37%   8.86%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     858189  82.51%  31.58%   3.4033%  35.81%       5847       167.21618  73.93%  11.63%   0.0014%         1.99964
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                682666  70.10%  10.35%   2.7073%  28.49%       2815     14281.53573  76.05%  15.48%   0.1168%       -57.78715
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    230719  71.65%   9.79%   0.9150%   9.63%      -1255    109205.44229  76.61%  12.05%   0.8935%      -521.52263
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       95383  69.09%   9.78%   0.3783%   3.98%       -464    234494.40363  70.84%  10.23%   1.9185%     -1130.33699
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30364  72.63%   8.82%   0.1204%   1.27%       -160    237150.14330  74.59%   8.79%   1.9402%     -1201.93012
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24491  70.23%   9.14%   0.0971%   1.02%        -28    407953.17444  71.65%   9.34%   3.3376%      -454.66812
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     49897  93.00%  74.80%   0.1979%   2.08%       -103   2319571.66391  94.62%  79.90%  18.9775%     -3838.63061
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4518  71.65%  16.87%   0.0179%   0.19%        -10    269549.20597  71.16%  15.36%   2.2053%      -512.62012
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5484  82.60%   8.39%   0.0217%   0.23%         -5    517744.23559  83.60%   8.47%   4.2359%      -265.20939
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7569  70.08%   8.79%   0.0300%   0.32%         -7   1688434.54598  71.51%   9.43%  13.8138%     -5380.01577
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1471  74.17%   6.93%   0.0058%   0.06%         10   1134289.96163  76.26%   7.17%   9.2801%      4532.96396
> 1000 BTC                              1117  66.70%  10.83%   0.0044%   0.05%          3   5289932.21672  69.41%   6.51%  43.2793%     13477.75663
                  Total Actives      2396181  69.84%  18.94%   9.5026% 100.00%       6647  12222773.74913  76.03%  21.45% 100.0000%      4649.99931
                  Total             25216012   6.64%   1.80% 100.0000%              87266  12222773.74913  76.03%  21.45% 100.0000%      4649.99931
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block#  279194  07/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of att  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
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= 0                                 22883728   0.00%   0.00%  90.4884%              63897         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404312  38.37%   8.86%   1.5988%  16.81%         -1         0.00404  38.37%   8.86%   0.0000%        -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     861318  82.55%  31.46%   3.4059%  35.81%       3129       167.80881  73.96%  11.59%   0.0014%         0.59263
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                685921  69.83%  10.30%   2.7123%  28.52%       3255     14329.98510  75.60%  15.42%   0.1172%        48.44937
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    232892  71.47%   9.70%   0.9209%   9.68%       2173    109967.51617  76.42%  11.97%   0.8994%       762.07388
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       95744  68.93%   9.74%   0.3786%   3.98%        361    235196.26991  70.65%  10.20%   1.9235%       701.86628
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30513  72.60%   8.77%   0.1207%   1.27%        149    238315.14463  74.53%   8.74%   1.9491%      1165.00133
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24571  70.18%   9.10%   0.0972%   1.02%         80    409109.43684  71.61%   9.30%   3.3459%      1156.26240
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     49935  92.97%  74.74%   0.1975%   2.08%         38   2321119.37946  94.59%  79.84%  18.9832%      1547.71555
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4517  71.64%  16.87%   0.0179%   0.19%         -1    269329.17396  71.15%  15.37%   2.2027%      -220.03201
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5508  82.53%   8.33%   0.0218%   0.23%         24    519877.52968  83.55%   8.41%   4.2518%      2133.29409
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7574  70.16%   8.75%   0.0299%   0.31%          5   1686965.11640  71.59%   9.42%  13.7968%     -1469.42958
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1469  74.34%   6.94%   0.0058%   0.06%         -2   1133358.49679  76.38%   7.18%   9.2692%      -931.46484
> 1000 BTC                              1116  66.67%  10.84%   0.0044%   0.05%         -1   5289462.88790  69.18%   6.51%  43.2598%      -469.32882
                  Total Actives      2405390  69.77%  18.86%   9.5116% 100.00%       9209  12227198.74940  75.95%  21.44% 100.0000%      4425.00027
                  Total             25289118   6.64%   1.79% 100.0000%              73106  12227198.74940  75.95%  21.44% 100.0000%      4425.00027
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block#  279387  08/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of att  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 22946359   0.00%   0.00%  90.4506%              62631         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404300  38.37%   8.86%   1.5937%  16.69%        -12         0.00404  38.37%   8.86%   0.0000%        -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     872264  82.74%  31.07%   3.4383%  36.01%      10946       173.14485  74.72%  11.23%   0.0014%         5.33603
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                690255  69.81%  10.23%   2.7209%  28.49%       4334     14451.23954  75.47%  15.29%   0.1181%       121.25444
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    234446  71.53%   9.63%   0.9241%   9.68%       1554    110382.21162  76.54%  11.92%   0.9024%       414.69545
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       96010  69.04%   9.71%   0.3785%   3.96%        266    235705.85904  70.77%  10.17%   1.9270%       509.58913
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30563  72.55%   8.75%   0.1205%   1.26%         50    238507.74493  74.51%   8.72%   1.9499%       192.60030
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24527  70.37%   9.12%   0.0967%   1.01%        -44    408506.47023  71.81%   9.32%   3.3396%      -602.96661
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50005  92.97%  74.63%   0.1971%   2.06%         70   2323612.63100  94.60%  79.76%  18.9961%      2493.25155
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4539  71.76%  16.79%   0.0179%   0.19%         22    270679.24736  71.25%  15.30%   2.2129%      1350.07340
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5510  82.54%   8.33%   0.0217%   0.23%          2    520030.90748  83.54%   8.41%   4.2514%       153.37780
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7577  70.17%   8.75%   0.0299%   0.31%          3   1690146.95267  71.54%   9.41%  13.8174%      3181.83627
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1461  74.54%   6.91%   0.0058%   0.06%         -8   1127730.18084  76.57%   7.16%   9.2195%     -5628.31595
> 1000 BTC                              1118  66.46%  10.82%   0.0044%   0.05%          2   5292097.65919  68.70%   6.51%  43.2643%      2634.77129
                  Total Actives      2422575  69.91%  18.73%   9.5494% 100.00%      17185  12232024.25249  75.76%  21.42% 100.0000%      4825.50309
                  Total             25368934   6.68%   1.79% 100.0000%              79816  12232024.25249  75.76%  21.42% 100.0000%      4825.50309
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block#  279594  09/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of att  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 23008666   0.00%   0.00%  90.4448%              62307         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404352  38.37%   8.86%   1.5895%  16.63%         52         0.00404  38.37%   8.86%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     872337  82.72%  31.06%   3.4291%  35.89%         73       172.50867  74.59%  11.27%   0.0014%        -0.63618
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                695703  69.75%  10.15%   2.7347%  28.62%       5448     14614.66913  75.29%  15.12%   0.1194%       163.42960
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    236321  71.40%   9.55%   0.9290%   9.72%       1875    110959.86641  76.39%  11.85%   0.9067%       577.65479
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       96504  68.87%   9.66%   0.3793%   3.97%        494    236920.01426  70.59%  10.11%   1.9361%      1214.15522
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30741  72.47%   8.69%   0.1208%   1.26%        178    239909.20362  74.44%   8.66%   1.9605%      1401.45870
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24616  70.42%   9.08%   0.0968%   1.01%         89    409614.36324  71.83%   9.28%   3.3473%      1107.89301
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50012  92.95%  74.62%   0.1966%   2.06%          7   2323901.31460  94.58%  79.74%  18.9905%       288.68359
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4540  71.52%  16.76%   0.0178%   0.19%          1    270752.74717  70.97%  15.28%   2.2125%        73.49981
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5513  82.42%   8.33%   0.0217%   0.23%          3    520258.51844  83.43%   8.41%   4.2515%       227.61096
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7565  70.06%   8.75%   0.0297%   0.31%        -12   1688836.34462  71.48%   9.40%  13.8008%     -1310.60805
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1459  74.43%   6.92%   0.0057%   0.06%         -2   1126099.58592  76.46%   7.17%   9.2023%     -1630.59492
> 1000 BTC                              1121  66.37%  10.70%   0.0044%   0.05%          3   5295160.11201  68.69%   6.47%  43.2710%      3062.45282
                  Total Actives      2430784  69.86%  18.66%   9.5552% 100.00%       8209  12237199.25184  75.71%  21.40% 100.0000%      5174.99934
                  Total             25439450   6.68%   1.78% 100.0000%              70516  12237199.25184  75.71%  21.40% 100.0000%      5174.99934
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block#  279781  10/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of att  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 23068629   0.00%   0.00%  90.4514%              59963         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404340  38.37%   8.86%   1.5854%  16.60%        -12         0.00404  38.37%   8.86%   0.0000%        -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     873338  82.70%  31.03%   3.4243%  35.86%       1001       172.82724  74.58%  11.25%   0.0014%         0.31858
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                698128  69.72%  10.11%   2.7373%  28.67%       2425     14678.56962  75.19%  15.05%   0.1199%        63.90048
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    237223  71.37%   9.51%   0.9301%   9.74%        902    111259.02095  76.40%  11.81%   0.9088%       299.15455
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       96603  68.82%   9.64%   0.3788%   3.97%         99    236897.20903  70.59%  10.11%   1.9351%       -22.80523
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30733  72.35%   8.67%   0.1205%   1.26%         -8    239709.66334  74.32%   8.65%   1.9581%      -199.54029
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24697  70.32%   9.04%   0.0968%   1.01%         81    410940.15724  71.74%   9.24%   3.3568%      1325.79400
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50006  92.97%  74.63%   0.1961%   2.05%         -6   2323259.00229  94.60%  79.76%  18.9780%      -642.31231
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4508  71.74%  16.86%   0.0177%   0.19%        -32    269002.00317  71.22%  15.36%   2.1974%     -1750.74399
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5525  82.43%   8.31%   0.0217%   0.23%         12    521342.88506  83.44%   8.39%   4.2587%      1084.36662
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7572  70.14%   8.73%   0.0297%   0.31%          7   1689339.99950  71.61%   9.39%  13.7997%       503.65488
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1463  74.30%   6.84%   0.0057%   0.06%          4   1128883.76946  76.32%   7.10%   9.2215%      2784.18354
> 1000 BTC                              1121  65.92%  10.70%   0.0044%   0.05%          0   5296389.14006  67.99%   6.46%  43.2645%      1229.02805
                  Total Actives      2435257  69.85%  18.63%   9.5486% 100.00%       4473  12241874.25071  75.42%  21.38% 100.0000%      4674.99888
                  Total             25503886   6.67%   1.78% 100.0000%              64436  12241874.25071  75.42%  21.38% 100.0000%      4674.99888
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  279991  11/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of att  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 23129616   0.00%   0.00%  90.4623%              60987         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404299  38.38%   8.86%   1.5813%  16.58%        -41         0.00404  38.38%   8.86%   0.0000%        -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     874345  82.69%  30.99%   3.4197%  35.85%       1007       173.14948  74.57%  11.23%   0.0014%         0.32224
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                700745  69.78%  10.07%   2.7407%  28.74%       2617     14724.22022  75.18%  15.00%   0.1202%        45.65061
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    237290  71.52%   9.50%   0.9281%   9.73%         67    111083.84937  76.58%  11.83%   0.9070%      -175.17158
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       96360  69.02%   9.66%   0.3769%   3.95%       -243    236366.83658  70.80%  10.13%   1.9300%      -530.37245
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30699  72.60%   8.67%   0.1201%   1.26%        -34    239476.25170  74.56%   8.66%   1.9554%      -233.41163
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24680  70.43%   9.04%   0.0965%   1.01%        -17    410751.93254  71.84%   9.25%   3.3539%      -188.22470
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     49997  92.98%  74.64%   0.1955%   2.05%         -9   2323198.82320  94.61%  79.76%  18.9693%       -60.17909
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4512  71.76%  16.84%   0.0176%   0.19%          4    269238.04194  71.26%  15.34%   2.1984%       236.03877
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5520  82.30%   8.32%   0.0216%   0.23%         -5    520916.36425  83.32%   8.40%   4.2534%      -426.52081
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7581  70.23%   8.72%   0.0297%   0.31%          9   1694008.07338  71.66%   9.36%  13.8319%      4668.07388
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1468  74.32%   6.81%   0.0057%   0.06%          5   1131061.98536  76.29%   7.09%   9.2353%      2178.21590
> 1000 BTC                              1124  65.84%  10.68%   0.0044%   0.05%          3   5296124.71793  68.00%   6.46%  43.2438%      -264.42213
                  Total Actives      2438620  69.89%  18.60%   9.5377% 100.00%       3363  12247124.24971  75.44%  21.37% 100.0000%      5249.99900
                  Total             25568236   6.67%   1.77% 100.0000%              64350  12247124.24971  75.44%  21.37% 100.0000%      5249.99900
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  280198  12/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of att  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 23180657   0.00%   0.00%  90.4599%              51041         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404308  38.38%   8.86%   1.5778%  16.54%          9         0.00404  38.38%   8.86%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     874854  82.66%  30.97%   3.4140%  35.79%        509       173.28345  74.58%  11.21%   0.0014%         0.13397
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                704113  69.72%  10.02%   2.7477%  28.80%       3368     14838.95750  74.98%  14.88%   0.1211%       114.73728
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    238876  71.37%   9.43%   0.9322%   9.77%       1586    111450.53341  76.50%  11.78%   0.9096%       366.68404
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       96767  68.99%   9.61%   0.3776%   3.96%        407    237393.50936  70.79%  10.08%   1.9375%      1026.67279
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30741  72.55%   8.65%   0.1200%   1.26%         42    239815.27307  74.51%   8.63%   1.9573%       339.02136
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24764  70.44%   9.01%   0.0966%   1.01%         84    412066.10040  71.86%   9.21%   3.3632%      1314.16786
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50032  92.94%  74.58%   0.1952%   2.05%         35   2324408.28157  94.58%  79.72%  18.9712%      1209.45837
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4528  71.69%  16.78%   0.0177%   0.19%         16    270235.88990  71.21%  15.29%   2.2056%       997.84796
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5533  82.23%   8.30%   0.0216%   0.23%         13    522102.32339  83.25%   8.38%   4.2613%      1185.95914
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7594  70.38%   8.69%   0.0296%   0.31%         13   1698531.72615  71.77%   9.32%  13.8630%      4523.65277
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1465  74.40%   6.83%   0.0057%   0.06%         -3   1128898.62015  76.39%   7.10%   9.2138%     -2163.36521
> 1000 BTC                              1121  65.83%  10.70%   0.0044%   0.05%         -3   5292384.99765  68.01%   6.47%  43.1950%     -3739.72028
                  Total Actives      2444696  69.85%  18.55%   9.5401% 100.00%       6076  12252299.49976  75.46%  21.36% 100.0000%      5175.25005
                  Total             25625353   6.66%   1.77% 100.0000%              57117  12252299.49976  75.46%  21.36% 100.0000%      5175.25005
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  280367  13/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of att  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 23237180   0.00%   0.00%  90.4368%              56523         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404302  38.38%   8.86%   1.5735%  16.45%         -6         0.00404  38.38%   8.86%   0.0000%        -0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     882390  82.70%  30.71%   3.4342%  35.91%       7536       175.14690  74.67%  11.09%   0.0014%         1.86345
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                707687  69.73%   9.97%   2.7542%  28.80%       3574     14882.27525  75.01%  14.83%   0.1214%        43.31774
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    239967  71.18%   9.39%   0.9339%   9.77%       1091    111903.55331  76.35%  11.73%   0.9130%       453.01990
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       97027  68.85%   9.58%   0.3776%   3.95%        260    238049.88718  70.61%  10.04%   1.9422%       656.37782
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30821  72.42%   8.63%   0.1200%   1.25%         80    240426.20195  74.39%   8.61%   1.9616%       610.92889
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24739  70.33%   9.01%   0.0963%   1.01%        -25    411623.14501  71.74%   9.21%   3.3584%      -442.95539
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50025  92.88%  74.58%   0.1947%   2.04%         -7   2324162.89590  94.53%  79.72%  18.9627%      -245.38566
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4517  71.40%  16.83%   0.0176%   0.18%        -11    269566.92793  70.94%  15.32%   2.1994%      -668.96197
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5522  82.45%   8.31%   0.0215%   0.22%        -11    521047.40469  83.45%   8.40%   4.2512%     -1054.91870
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7597  70.01%   8.69%   0.0296%   0.31%          3   1696610.27353  71.59%   9.33%  13.8425%     -1921.45262
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1479  74.17%   6.76%   0.0058%   0.06%         14   1140368.17179  76.13%   7.03%   9.3042%     11469.55164
> 1000 BTC                              1123  66.07%  10.69%   0.0044%   0.05%          2   5287708.60907  68.12%   6.47%  43.1420%     -4676.38858
                  Total Actives      2457196  69.88%  18.45%   9.5632% 100.00%      12500  12256524.49627  75.44%  21.35% 100.0000%      4224.99651
                  Total             25694376   6.68%   1.76% 100.0000%              69023  12256524.49627  75.44%  21.35% 100.0000%      4224.99651
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  280529  14/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of att  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 23297762   0.00%   0.00%  90.4438%              60582         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404307  38.38%   8.86%   1.5696%  16.42%          5         0.00404  38.38%   8.86%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     883231  82.68%  30.68%   3.4288%  35.88%        841       175.51210  74.60%  11.07%   0.0014%         0.36520
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                711816  69.72%   9.91%   2.7633%  28.92%       4129     14955.80494  75.08%  14.76%   0.1220%        73.52969
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    239550  71.47%   9.40%   0.9300%   9.73%       -417    111782.31119  76.55%  11.74%   0.9117%      -121.24211
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       96977  68.89%   9.58%   0.3765%   3.94%        -50    237964.56694  70.69%  10.04%   1.9409%       -85.32024
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30816  72.49%   8.63%   0.1196%   1.25%         -5    240452.09852  74.49%   8.61%   1.9612%        25.89657
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24659  70.32%   9.03%   0.0957%   1.00%        -80    410358.98960  71.78%   9.23%   3.3470%     -1264.15541
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50009  92.91%  74.60%   0.1941%   2.03%        -16   2323570.00818  94.55%  79.74%  18.9516%      -592.88773
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4514  71.40%  16.81%   0.0175%   0.18%         -3    269350.85390  70.92%  15.32%   2.1969%      -216.07404
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5518  82.37%   8.32%   0.0214%   0.22%         -4    520493.66291  83.38%   8.40%   4.2453%      -553.74178
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7623  70.42%   8.64%   0.0296%   0.31%         26   1700432.43766  71.94%   9.31%  13.8691%      3822.16413
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1482  74.43%   6.75%   0.0058%   0.06%          3   1141637.34660  76.35%   7.02%   9.3115%      1269.17481
> 1000 BTC                              1126  66.70%  10.57%   0.0044%   0.05%          3   5289400.88825  68.94%   6.40%  43.1415%      1692.27918
                  Total Actives      2461628  69.91%  18.42%   9.5562% 100.00%       4432  12260574.48454  75.87%  21.31% 100.0000%      4049.98827
                  Total             25759390   6.68%   1.76% 100.0000%              65014  12260574.48454  75.87%  21.31% 100.0000%      4049.98827
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
block#  280713  15/01/2014               num  %noOut   %dead   %of tot %of att  diff prev           value  %noOut  %vdead   %TotVal       diff prev
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
= 0                                 23356578   0.00%   0.00%  90.4329%              58816         0.00000   0.00%   0.00%   0.0000%         0.00000
= 1 satoshi (0.00000001 BTC)          404317  38.38%   8.86%   1.5655%  16.36%         10         0.00404  38.38%   8.86%   0.0000%         0.00000
> 1 satoshi <= 0.001 BTC  ( ~1$ )     883978  82.68%  30.65%   3.4226%  35.78%        747       175.90399  74.59%  11.05%   0.0014%         0.39190
> 0.001 BTC <= 0.1 BTC                717529  69.64%   9.83%   2.7782%  29.04%       5713     15109.32805  74.77%  14.60%   0.1232%       153.52311
> 0.1 BTC <= 1 BTC                    241869  71.16%   9.31%   0.9365%   9.79%       2319    112595.98342  76.28%  11.65%   0.9180%       813.67223
> 1 BTC <= 5 BTC                       97440  68.76%   9.53%   0.3773%   3.94%        463    238830.96971  70.56%  10.00%   1.9472%       866.40277
> 5 BTC <= 10 BTC                      30924  72.31%   8.59%   0.1197%   1.25%        108    241332.96057  74.31%   8.56%   1.9676%       880.86205
> 10 BTC <= 25 BTC                     24581  70.13%   9.04%   0.0952%   0.99%        -78    409507.85643  71.57%   9.24%   3.3388%      -851.13317
> 25 BTC <= 50 BTC                     50060  92.93%  74.52%   0.1938%   2.03%         51   2324992.16548  94.56%  79.68%  18.9560%      1422.15731
> 50 BTC <= 75 BTC                      4512  71.41%  16.82%   0.0175%   0.18%         -2    269208.14442  70.95%  15.33%   2.1949%      -142.70948
> 75 BTC <= 100 BTC                     5503  82.34%   8.34%   0.0213%   0.22%        -15    519221.58013  83.36%   8.43%   4.2333%     -1272.08278
> 100 BTC <= 500 BTC                    7616  70.35%   8.65%   0.0295%   0.31%         -7   1700776.67938  71.86%   9.31%  13.8667%       344.24172
> 500 btc <= 1000 BTC                   1477  74.61%   6.77%   0.0057%   0.06%         -5   1137315.88412  76.51%   7.05%   9.2727%     -4321.46248
> 1000 BTC                              1127  66.46%  10.56%   0.0044%   0.05%          1   5296107.01605  68.90%   6.39%  43.1800%      6706.12780
                  Total Actives      2470933  69.85%  18.35%   9.5671% 100.00%       9305  12265174.47551  75.84%  21.30% 100.0000%      4599.99097
                  Total             25827511   6.68%   1.76% 100.0000%              68121  12265174.47551  75.84%  21.30% 100.0000%      4599.99097

num      : number of addresses in this range of balance
%noOut   : percentage of active addresses WITHOUT out operations
%dead    : percentage of active addresses with input and output operations prior to 2012
%of tot  : percentage of the TOTAL number addresses
%of act  : percentage of the number of addresses with zero balance (active)
diff prev: number variation compared to the previous table
%noOut   : % value transactions WITHOUT output ( % value of range)
%vdead   : % operations value prev 2012 ( % value of range))
%TotVal  : % value of this range compared to the total value
diff prev: change in value compared to the previous table

donations : 1LJuCmvbzk7Xph1LQRsSzjYYQVu81N53GN

                gbianchi bitcointalk.org bitcoin-italia.org
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898

As for Metcalfe law, I am afraid I don't believe this or any other theory can be used to determine the price.
What I believe is that the final price of a bitcoin will be at least equal to 5% of the total available cash on this planet, divided by total bitcoin supply.
Say, roughly 5%*(50*10^12)/(21*10^6).  How it will get there and by when, I have no clue.  But that's just me.


You belive your theory Smiley

I can give you a little hit for your theory:  about 2.5 M of BTC are lost (as you can see on my reports)
so the  denominator is  about 18.5*10^6  (if nobody  lost other BTC ...)
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 1000
see my profile
Simplified/alternative: Price=5.16033*e^(0.0067*NbDays)
yes... a guy proposed too (very very approximative): Price = 6 * Exp (0.2 * months since 1/1/2012 )

That was me :-)

I tried to come up with a version that is easier to remember, and still not too far off.
and "6" and "1/5" are possible to remember. Just had to jump from days to months.


I have another question:
Could you do the same, fitting the total number of addresses as a function of time ?

Because that could give us some grip on a stagnation estimate ( = when will the growth saturate).



Are there any statistics/estimates/guesses anywhere how many addresses per participating human ?

newbie
Activity: 36
Merit: 0
Simplified/alternative: Price=5.16033*e^(0.0067*NbDays)

yes... a guy proposed too (very very approximative): Price = 6 * Exp (0.2 * months since 1/1/2012 )

But I am interested in comment about my Bitcoin Price Theory about Metcalfe law....
in the first post.

The simplified/alternative formula is an exact reformulation.
As for Metcalfe law, I am afraid I don't believe this or any other theory can be used to determine the price.
What I believe is that the final price of a bitcoin will be at least equal to 5% of the total available cash on this planet, divided by total bitcoin supply.
Say, roughly 5%*(50*10^12)/(21*10^6).  How it will get there and by when, I have no clue.  But that's just me.
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
Simplified/alternative: Price=5.16033*e^(0.0067*NbDays)

yes... a guy proposed too (very very approximative): Price = 6 * Exp (0.2 * months since 1/1/2012 )

But I am interested in comment about my Bitcoin Price Theory about Metcalfe law....
in the first post.
newbie
Activity: 36
Merit: 0
Simplified/alternative: Price=5.16033*e^(0.0067*NbDays)
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
I added in the first post a theory proposal for the bitcoin price.


legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1006
100 satoshis -> ISO code
I believe that the most accurate price series would be mtgox until end of June 2013 and Bitstamp from July onward.
newbie
Activity: 17
Merit: 0
In the stats module, and in the charts module of blockchain.info,
it seems that they use mtgox price,
even if it's not mentioned explicitly.
Usually, bitstamp is about 100$ less than mtgox, so it is not negligeable.
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
Thank you very  much, you're the king of bitcoins !!!
By the way, the red line, is it the price on Mtgox or on Bitstamp ?

For all my analysis I used price data  from blockchain.info
newbie
Activity: 17
Merit: 0
Thank you very  much, you're the king of bitcoins !!!
By the way, the red line, is it the price on Mtgox or on Bitstamp ?
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
You're a star, gbianchi!

Please fit us a function for the price dependent on time
   P(t) = function (time-offset)
Thanks.

here the function you request:
P = e^(((days from 01/01/2012) * 0.0067) + 1.641))

example: price at 31/12/2014 =
days  from 01/01/2012 to 31/12/2014 = 366 + 365 + 365 = 1096
P = e^((1096*0.0067)  + 1.641) =  7976.06132258175

So mas o menos, roughly speaking, approximately, rule of thumb:

Price = 6 * Exp (0.2 * months since 1/1/2012 )


Correcto?

Example new years eve 2014 --> 2015
could be 8000 ~ 6 * Exp (0.2 * 36)

and NOW
was: 729 ~ 6 * Exp (0.2 * 24)



really approximative ... but a sort of Smiley

hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 1000
see my profile
You're a star, gbianchi!

Please fit us a function for the price dependent on time
   P(t) = function (time-offset)
Thanks.

here the function you request:
P = e^(((days from 01/01/2012) * 0.0067) + 1.641))

example: price at 31/12/2014 =
days  from 01/01/2012 to 31/12/2014 = 366 + 365 + 365 = 1096
P = e^((1096*0.0067)  + 1.641) =  7976.06132258175

So mas o menos, roughly speaking, approximately, rule of thumb:

Price = 6 * Exp (0.2 * months since 1/1/2012 )


Correcto?

Example new years eve 2014 --> 2015
could be 8000 ~ 6 * Exp (0.2 * 36)

and NOW
was: 729 ~ 6 * Exp (0.2 * 24)

legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2898
Please fit us a function for the price dependent on time
   P(t) = function (time-offset)
Thanks.


here the function you request:

P = e^(((days from 01/01/2012) * 0.0067) + 1.641))

example: price at 31/12/2014 =

days  from 01/01/2012 to 31/12/2014 = 366 + 365 + 365 = 1096

P = e^((1096*0.0067)  + 1.641) =  7976.06132258175

This can be a "good" price for bitcoin  at end 2014
IF MY ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO WORK OVER THE TIME !!!!


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