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Topic: [ActiveMining] The Official Active Mining Discussion Thread [Self-Moderated] - page 319. (Read 771288 times)

member
Activity: 75
Merit: 10
Normally I don't think much of VE, but here he is actually talking sense. come to think of it, if eASIC are on time Ken could actually be keeping profits to himself.

Now we are getting to the point where there are no more excuses. Ken you need to start talking.

He said that he would make an announcement in November.  He also said that he would release financials on Nov 30th.  I'm going to assume he's making that announcement on the 30th as well.  Can we at least wait until Sunday before acting like clingy girlfriends here?
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1015
Normally I don't think much of VE, but here he is actually talking sense. come to think of it, if eASIC are on time Ken could actually be keeping profits to himself.

Now we are getting to the point where there are no more excuses. Ken you need to start talking.
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
It seems some of you don't pay attention to other threads, and only ActM.  At the time, we are surrounded by scams.  Ukyo is fucking us.  Labcoin fucked us.  Hashfast is pulling a BFL and already making delays.  Now I ask.. what's so special about Ken that makes you think he's not going to fuck us too?  It's no surprise to me that he's being so quiet right now -- he's expected to give us an update and he doesn't want to.  The longer he makes us wait, the more profits he can keep to himself.  You think he's just going to share his profits with us like he would if his company was on a real stock market?  With no legal liabilities he can fuck us in any direction he chooses.  To think anything different would be to assume that there isn't an ounce of greed running through this old mans bones.  Please, just let me sell my shares.  I don't want this nightmare any longer.  I realized I made a mistake when BTCT and BF shut down.  Now we are just names on a list..

My prediction for the share price if it ever gets listed:  .0001 BTC
even that seems too good to be true
 
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1015
I meant $10,000 in two years. I still think we should invest 50% at that point.

Yes Ken could easily spend many millions a month buying chips and even have multiple companies continuously designing supieor chips. If we want to be mining in 10 years we need to keep 50% at least. If we forfeit too much earnings to shareholders a competitor will destroy us. remember in a few years it's likely intel/ibm/arm start getting in on this.
sr. member
Activity: 266
Merit: 250
OK well why is 10k unrealistic?

It is unrealistic at this point in time. I'm not saying that BTC will not go to 10,000$. I'm saying for the sake of sane conversation, keep the estimates conservative. When btc was trading at $150 and you guys were buying shares, you never thought btc was going to hit $1000 in this short of time frame. We shouldn't expect it to hit $10,000 in a short time frame either. If it does, let it be a pleasant surprise.

That seems reasonable to me but we were talking about end of February. While I wouldn't bet on it being that high in 3months time it could be.
member
Activity: 88
Merit: 10
OK well why is 10k unrealistic?

It is unrealistic at this point in time. I'm not saying that BTC will not go to 10,000$. I'm saying for the sake of sane conversation, keep the estimates conservative. When btc was trading at $150 and you guys were buying shares, you never thought btc was going to hit $1000 in this short of time frame. We shouldn't expect it to hit $10,000 in a short time frame either. If it does, let it be a pleasant surprise.
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
decentralize EVERYTHING...
At one time I thought $100 was unrealistic...
full member
Activity: 221
Merit: 100
Some of you guys are starting to get delusional. Keep your estimates here on earth.

Do you have any estimates yourself then?

I don't. I am more interested in seeing estimates based in reality. DTS is talking about estimates with a btc price of $10,000. Come on. Let's be realistic. Don't let the greed get to your head.

114,425 x 0.01 = 1144.25 x $1,000 = $1,144,250  Based off reality! Grin
114,425 x 0.02 = 2288.50 x $10,000 = $22,885,000  One can hope! Shocked
sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 250
IIIIII====II====IIIIII
OK well why is 10k unrealistic?

EDIT


I'm also interested in that if we did get to 10k how Ken could spend 12Mill USD a month on reinvestment.

I think we would get the 24TH miner for around 100k cost price, maybe less.

So that would be 2880 TH/s. Anyone see a problem with that?
member
Activity: 88
Merit: 10
Some of you guys are starting to get delusional. Keep your estimates here on earth.

Do you have any estimates yourself then?

I don't. I am more interested in seeing estimates based in reality. DTS is talking about estimates with a btc price of $10,000. Come on. Let's be realistic. Don't let the greed get to your head.
sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 250
IIIIII====II====IIIIII
Some of you guys are starting to get delusional. Keep your estimates here on earth.

Do you have any estimates yourself then?
member
Activity: 88
Merit: 10
Some of you guys are starting to get delusional. Keep your estimates here on earth.
sr. member
Activity: 266
Merit: 250


Yeah why is it no one else here wants to grow our hashrate as fast as possible?



I'm not sure you've done a poll have you?

If we want to grow our hashrate as quickly as possible why don't we cancel all divs for a year and use all the mined BTC to reinvest? How much do you think your shares will be worth then?

As I said there is a complex formula to work out with many variables.
legendary
Activity: 1025
Merit: 1000
When I look at what happened with litecoin, I see that Active Mining still has a great shot. Massive money will flow wherever the opportunity is. I thought now that BTC is so high people might be more stingy, but clearly not.
full member
Activity: 221
Merit: 100
The main goal should be taking a large percentage of the hashing power, by any means necessary.

Yeah why is it no one else here wants to grow our hashrate as fast as possible?

I want to be god damn millionaire, and keeping reinvestment at a flat fiat rate robs me of that.

The percentage has to be maintain, do the math please.

Ofcourse. 25 x 6 x 24 = 3600 Bitcoin at $1000 each = $3,600,000 A DAY UP FOR GRABS!!
at $10,000 = $36,000,000 A DAY! Whoever can control this will be very wealthy.






legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1015
How many shares do you have?!

Only 114,425

So I need 0.01 - 0.02

If bitcoin rises to $10,000 a coin, we really need to be reinvesting at 50% still, we must grow the hashrate.
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1015
The main goal should be taking a large percentage of the hashing power, by any means necessary.

Yeah why is it no one else here wants to grow our hashrate as fast as possible?

I want to be god damn millionaire, and keeping reinvestment at a flat fiat rate robs me of that.

The percentage has to be maintained, do the math please.
full member
Activity: 221
Merit: 100
I'm sorry DTS but you are talking nonsense. Nothing there gives us any stats which we can work off. You are just stating your personal belief - based on what?



More fiat to reinvest each month grows our hashrate faster, by setting a limit for fiat reinvestment we are stuck at the same TH/s increase for every reinvestment, each TH/s becomes more and more shit after each diff change, so to keep our % we need to reinvest more fiat.

In the first year we want to grow our percentage a lot.

If we set a fixed fiat reinvestment, we cannot maintain that %

Please get a calculator out and plug in even the best case variables and see that limiting reinvestment to a fixed fiat value decreases our hashrate. Because each THs is not pulling in the same amount of Bitcoin.

This is very very simple math.

Minerpart, I want between $1,000,000 and $2,000,000 out of this. I know for certain this will never happen if you convince Ken to drop our percentage of reinvestment to keep fiat reinvestment flat.

How many shares do you have?!
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1015
I'm sorry DTS but you are talking nonsense. Nothing there gives us any stats which we can work off. You are just stating your personal belief - based on what?



More fiat to reinvest each month grows our hashrate faster, by setting a limit for fiat reinvestment we are stuck at the same TH/s increase for every reinvestment, each TH/s becomes more and more shit after each diff change, so to keep our % we need to reinvest more fiat.

In the first year we want to grow our percentage a lot.

If we set a fixed fiat reinvestment, we cannot maintain that %

Please get a calculator out and plug in even the best case variables and see that limiting reinvestment to a fixed fiat value decreases our hashrate. Because each THs is not pulling in the same amount of Bitcoin.

This is very very simple math.

Minerpart, I want between $1,000,000 and $2,000,000 out of this. I know for certain this will never happen if you convince Ken to drop our percentage of reinvestment to keep fiat reinvestment flat.
full member
Activity: 221
Merit: 100
2) You have kept the reinvest percentage at 50 - but it is likely to fall. Our costs are in FIAT so if BTC doubles we would only need 25% of mined BTC instead of 50% to keep the reinvest fund at the same level (in USD terms). So If BTC goes to 3k by end of February we would only need a third as much BTC to keep the reinvest fund on course. So the time to full 0.0025 div payout per share should be less than 5.5months as a result.

We must keep reinvestment at least 50% no matter the bitcoin price.

The matlab model I posted had an ever increasing bitcoin price with reinvestment still at 50% and showed that we are going to be very much on the edge of maintaining our hashrate.

If bitcoin goes higher and higher, it is in our best interest to keep on investing 50% no matter what, because we need to expand our mining ability as much as possible.

In the long run we make more money keeping reinvestment at 50% and above, if we ever drop below 50% the competition will destroy us.

The good news is that we will make a lot of dividend, but I urge shareholders to encourage Ken to never drop the 50% reinvestment even if Bitcoins are $500,000 each. We must keep reinvesting.

Please do not drop below 50%, please.

You mention keeping the reinvest fund on course with the same amount of fiat if bitcoin increases, unfortunately this will ruin our company in just a couple of months. If bitcoin price increases we have to take advantage and keep 50%.

Get out a calculator or write a program to do the modelling yourself. You will see that if we do what you say, drop the percent of reinvest to keep the fiat amount the same when the bitcoin price rises, we will fall behind fast.

Please see the matlab model I made, it really shows all of this.

(Even reinvesting 50% when bitcoins are growing up to $10,000 over a year or two still does not guarantee we maintain our percent of the network.)

TL:DR

My model shows in the long run we make more dividend keeping reinvestment at 50% even if bitcoin prices keep rising. If we opt for more bitcoin dividend now whilst rising bitcoin prices we fall behind fast

The main goal should be taking a large percentage of the hashing power, by any means necessary.
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