I think btc will stay at 200 dollar,so dividends are at 350 or 400,no roi anymore but some satoshi....think positive
BTC will not stay at 200 USD. BFL has more to sell on court order, resulting in more liquidity in market. Price will be disturbed till mid 2015.
Ok, I'm only going to explain this once on this thread
I am aware maths and economics is not everyone's cup of tea
Bitcoin is not going to crash in price, if you own AMhash or Gensis Mining cloudmining GHs you're simply looking at a much longer ROI of about a 1 year, instead of 6 months ROI.
The price strain on the Bitcoin network is caused by needing to fund ASIC manufacturers like, AMhash, Zeus, Bitman, etc. When valuation price is much higher then the mining cost everyone is going to go out and buy mining equipment and cloudmining? Only, those in decently paid jobs will carry on buying up coin stocks via escrow and selling websites.
This example is just to explain the price stabilization and price correction mechanisms - no accurate statistics have been used in this explanation
In fact, I think I found some of these statistics on the back of Kelloggs Cornflakes Box
2014 $600-$300 BTC price equal bumper sales of mining equipment. All manufacturers, take payments in BTC and a lot of people pay in BTC.
New coins in 2014 1314000, on average BTC price of $450 works out to be $591,300,000 on the entire year. Of course, most of these went to old miners, who tuck them away into their wallets to protect their original investment success.
Say, 10% become available to new investors who had Fiat Currency, this equals $59 million. Say, 50% of new investors turned their new BTC into payments for new mining equipment whenever they did released it was getting considerably more BTC through mining in 2014, compared to the alternative of price inflation matching Fiat Currency inflation.
This BTC went to ASIC manufacturers and other people sold of some of their old BTC to reinvest in bigger quantities of mining equipment.
Therefore, across 2014 super-sized volume had to be turned back into Fiat Currency ($40 million worth of BTC), because the ASIC manufacturers needed to pay in Fiat for for chip fabrication, raw and refined materials and a workforce.
Therefore, extra businesses like Bitstamp, BTC-E, etc appeared to re-convert this super-sized short-term Fiat Currency requirement. People (who did not have decently paid jobs) noticed this on these new exchanges (ASIC manufacturers and enlarged mining operations had to re-convert their BTC in Fiat Currency). They started short selling BTC; the quantity of their BTC balances grew and grew. Unfortunately, the ASIC manufacturers and enlarged mining operations were lazy and did not randomized or even break up their at sale quantities and ended up being easy prey for the short sellers. The BTC price went down and down throughout 2014.
Now, BTC is $210 and buying new mining equipment will only be done by older miners, who are protecting their old investment profits back in the days when BTC was $1
BTC is $210, new coins is 1,314,000, which will be worth $275,940,000.
10% is avaliable for sale in 2015 to new investors ($27 million), who will be buying for the block in halving in 2016 is when annual production drops to 657,000.
At this price, the money going to ASIC manufacturers will shrink, direct sales to old miners protecting Bitcoin will happen, but these men and women don't a care about current profitability because they got their coins before 2013
New people will not be buying mining equipment
New clouding mining operations will halt. Sales 75% lower. This is why so ASIC manufacturers have gone bust
So, the volume of BTC going into Fiat Currency Exchanges will be about 75% lower e.g. about $7 million. Obviously, short selling BTC when you haven't got the stock for more then 30 days is going to be quite funny to watch
So, the price will need to rise, to re-attract back BTC sellers, otherwise some of those exchanges will need to close.
Dudes, there are automatic price stabilization and price correction mechanisms in every POW crypto-currency
Price stabilization and correction are famous, in macro economics, for having big time-lag, which is why it has not really kicked in yet
The short seller are in for unpleasant 2015