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Topic: Analysis - page 190. (Read 941582 times)

legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
June 02, 2015, 05:29:28 AM
I usually agree but I say for now this is as low as the price can go.
Too many people are willing to buy.
We will probably not see 200 again anytime soon.

you have any data to back that up? imo longs starts to squeeze after 200-215 so if that fails to hold, then we go deep, question is does it brake now or after bounce not so much if Cheesy

my guess is it bounces off $210/ $208 and we move sideways between $225 and $210 for a while, then, take on $200.
full member
Activity: 189
Merit: 100
June 02, 2015, 05:25:43 AM
I usually agree but I say for now this is as low as the price can go.
Too many people are willing to buy.
We will probably not see 200 again anytime soon.

you have any data to back that up? imo longs starts to squeeze after 200-215 so if that fails to hold, then we go deep, question is does it brake now or after bounce not so much if Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 622
Merit: 500
June 02, 2015, 05:24:25 AM
I doubt we will see another crash fractal.  Probably a slow grind lower if it happens at all.
hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 503
Legendary trader
June 02, 2015, 01:16:04 AM
I usually agree but I say for now this is as low as the price can go.
Too many people are willing to buy.
We will probably not see 200 again anytime soon.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
June 01, 2015, 11:18:12 PM

When trying to bottom fish the capitulation candle this round, what kind of volume should we be looking for? Less than January? more?
Volume compared to january will say you almost nothing.
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
June 01, 2015, 11:09:09 PM
200 (weekly lower bb). then 100 on break down.

When trying to bottom fish the capitulation candle this round, what kind of volume should we be looking for? Less than January? more?
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
June 01, 2015, 11:04:16 PM
200 (weekly lower bb). then 100 on break down.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
June 01, 2015, 02:19:18 PM
We broke the escape trend, any suggestions based on TA where it will bounce?
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
June 01, 2015, 12:15:40 PM
yep
full member
Activity: 167
Merit: 100
June 01, 2015, 08:33:59 AM
Progress in indicators

Escape trend is under attack
However this one is alive
Hidden daily bearish divergences still here


Breaking the escape trend will lead to a plummet?
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
May 30, 2015, 09:35:43 PM
Progress in indicators

Escape trend is under attack


However this one is alive


Hidden daily bearish divergences still here

legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1001
https://gliph.me/hUF
May 30, 2015, 08:54:39 PM
They say bitcoin network reaching it's transactions per block throughput...


Some sort of spam experiment?

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/a-scaled-up-spam-experiment-spamtheblockchain-as-a-service-1075590
full member
Activity: 175
Merit: 100
May 30, 2015, 08:24:28 PM
Permabulls interpret the graph through a 2012 "lens", I do through a 2014 one. Wink



Yeah. Wrongly.
Looks like every time the weighted stability goes above the price line, we go up in price.
ImI
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1019
May 30, 2015, 04:35:23 PM
Great graph. Very insightful to see this visually displaying so clearly what I was feeling.

aka boring as f
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1000
May 30, 2015, 02:09:14 PM
Permabulls interpret the graph through a 2012 "lens", I do through a 2014 one. Wink



Yeah. Wrongly.
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
May 30, 2015, 01:13:28 PM
Permabulls interpret the graph through a 2012 "lens", I do through a 2014 one. Wink

legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
May 30, 2015, 09:39:43 AM
But I still can't identify bounce stage. So probably bitcoin may continue correction...
Why the bounce couldn't be the period from 152$ to 304$?

The bounce in 2011-12 was an impulse to create the first wave off the bottom. So similarly, we need to see an impulsive rise to confirm that the bottom is in. The rise from $152-315 was a mess and can only be forced into an impulsive count, whereas it is easily and clearly countable in a corrective manner.

Also the proportions aren't working for that scenario. In 2011-12, it was a 7 week rally and the rise to $315 took only 12 days. And since that $304 high is lower than the initial $315 high (and about 3x as long as the 12 day spike to $315), it's not a properly formed impulse.
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000
Enabling the maximal migration
May 30, 2015, 06:35:11 AM

So 0.5 years of bounce stage + 1.5 years of silence stage and there we go.

Silence can include a tiny-little bubble, too. Maybe X2 or X3 and a following contraction until more silence happens.



Great graph. Very insightful to see this visually displaying so clearly what I was feeling.
legendary
Activity: 861
Merit: 1010
May 30, 2015, 04:34:46 AM
But I still can't identify bounce stage. So probably bitcoin may continue correction...
Why the bounce couldn't be the period from 152$ to 304$?
8up
hero member
Activity: 618
Merit: 500
May 30, 2015, 03:18:08 AM
Where did you get 2 years for the next bubble?

I expect silence stage is equivalent to correction stage in time (~1.5 years).
I expect correction stage is in it final phase, end is not too far ahead.
I expect bounce stage is ahead and may take up to 6 months.

So 0.5 years of bounce stage + 1.5 years of silence stage and there we go.

Silence can include a tiny-little bubble, too. Maybe X2 or X3 and a following contraction until more silence happens.

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