Analysis - page 190. | Bitcointalksearch.org

Afrikoin

legendary

Activity: 1540

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alan watts is all you need

Quote from: h3speros on June 02, 2015, 06:25:43 AM

Quote from: Morecoin Freeman on June 02, 2015, 02:16:04 AM

I usually agree but I say for now this is as low as the price can go.
Too many people are willing to buy.
We will probably not see 200 again anytime soon.

you have any data to back that up? imo longs starts to squeeze after 200-215 so if that fails to hold, then we go deep, question is does it brake now or after bounce not so much if Cheesy

my guess is it bounces off $210/ $208 and we move sideways between $225 and $210 for a while, then, take on $200.

h3speros

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Quote from: Morecoin Freeman on June 02, 2015, 02:16:04 AM

I usually agree but I say for now this is as low as the price can go.
Too many people are willing to buy.
We will probably not see 200 again anytime soon.

you have any data to back that up? imo longs starts to squeeze after 200-215 so if that fails to hold, then we go deep, question is does it brake now or after bounce not so much if Cheesy

HeliKopterBen

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I doubt we will see another crash fractal. Probably a slow grind lower if it happens at all.

Morecoin Freeman

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Legendary trader

I usually agree but I say for now this is as low as the price can go.
Too many people are willing to buy.
We will probably not see 200 again anytime soon.

masterluc

legendary

Activity: 938

Merit: 1013

Quote from: Cconvert2G36 on June 02, 2015, 12:09:09 AM

When trying to bottom fish the capitulation candle this round, what kind of volume should we be looking for? Less than January? more?

Volume compared to january will say you almost nothing.

Cconvert2G36

sr. member

Activity: 392

Merit: 250

Quote from: masterluc on June 02, 2015, 12:04:16 AM

200 (weekly lower bb). then 100 on break down.

When trying to bottom fish the capitulation candle this round, what kind of volume should we be looking for? Less than January? more?

masterluc

legendary

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200 (weekly lower bb). then 100 on break down.

wpalczynski

legendary

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We broke the escape trend, any suggestions based on TA where it will bounce?

masterluc

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yep

realdos

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Quote from: masterluc on May 30, 2015, 10:35:43 PM

Progress in indicators

Escape trend is under attack
However this one is alive
Hidden daily bearish divergences still here

Breaking the escape trend will lead to a plummet?

masterluc

legendary

Activity: 938

Merit: 1013

Progress in indicators

Escape trend is under attack

However this one is alive

Hidden daily bearish divergences still here

Newar

legendary

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https://gliph.me/hUF

Quote from: masterluc on May 30, 2015, 03:32:39 AM

They say bitcoin network reaching it's transactions per block throughput...

Some sort of spam experiment?

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/a-scaled-up-spam-experiment-spamtheblockchain-as-a-service-1075590

nicked

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Quote from: inca on May 30, 2015, 03:09:14 PM

Quote from: Tzupy on May 30, 2015, 02:13:28 PM

Permabulls interpret the graph through a 2012 "lens", I do through a 2014 one. Wink

Yeah. Wrongly.

Looks like every time the weighted stability goes above the price line, we go up in price.

ImI

legendary

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Quote from: lebing on May 30, 2015, 07:35:11 AM

Great graph. Very insightful to see this visually displaying so clearly what I was feeling.

aka boring as f

inca

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Quote from: Tzupy on May 30, 2015, 02:13:28 PM

Permabulls interpret the graph through a 2012 "lens", I do through a 2014 one. Wink

Yeah. Wrongly.

Tzupy

legendary

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Permabulls interpret the graph through a 2012 "lens", I do through a 2014 one. Wink

RyNinDaCleM

legendary

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Legen -wait for it- dary

Quote from: BldSwtTrs on May 30, 2015, 05:34:46 AM

Quote from: masterluc on May 29, 2015, 10:33:26 PM

But I still can't identify bounce stage. So probably bitcoin may continue correction...

Why the bounce couldn't be the period from 152$ to 304$?

The bounce in 2011-12 was an impulse to create the first wave off the bottom. So similarly, we need to see an impulsive rise to confirm that the bottom is in. The rise from $152-315 was a mess and can only be forced into an impulsive count, whereas it is easily and clearly countable in a corrective manner.

Also the proportions aren't working for that scenario. In 2011-12, it was a 7 week rally and the rise to $315 took only 12 days. And since that $304 high is lower than the initial $315 high (and about 3x as long as the 12 day spike to $315), it's not a properly formed impulse.

lebing

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Enabling the maximal migration

Quote from: 8up on May 30, 2015, 04:18:08 AM

Quote from: masterluc on May 30, 2015, 01:07:23 AM

So 0.5 years of bounce stage + 1.5 years of silence stage and there we go.

Silence can include a tiny-little bubble, too. Maybe X2 or X3 and a following contraction until more silence happens.

Great graph. Very insightful to see this visually displaying so clearly what I was feeling.

BldSwtTrs

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Activity: 861

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Quote from: masterluc on May 29, 2015, 10:33:26 PM

But I still can't identify bounce stage. So probably bitcoin may continue correction...

Why the bounce couldn't be the period from 152$ to 304$?

8up

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Quote from: masterluc on May 30, 2015, 01:07:23 AM

Quote from: lebing on May 30, 2015, 12:29:59 AM

Where did you get 2 years for the next bubble?

I expect silence stage is equivalent to correction stage in time (~1.5 years).
I expect correction stage is in it final phase, end is not too far ahead.
I expect bounce stage is ahead and may take up to 6 months.

So 0.5 years of bounce stage + 1.5 years of silence stage and there we go.

Silence can include a tiny-little bubble, too. Maybe X2 or X3 and a following contraction until more silence happens.

Topic: Analysis - page 190. (Read 941563 times)