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Topic: Analysis - page 197. (Read 941563 times)

member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
April 27, 2015, 06:25:20 PM
sorry to bother you again, can't remember , why  $30  ?

 Lips sealed

It's just a channel.... can you not see the blue lines in his post above explaining  Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 2101
Merit: 1061
April 27, 2015, 06:23:20 PM
sorry to bother you again, can't remember , why  $30  ?

 Lips sealed
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 1000
April 27, 2015, 06:06:14 PM
I see it falling it a bit more like $130-$140 based on fear of the market.

Usually downtrends always end up continue based on peoples mindsets. Even the newbie who joined this forum would probably sell his coin right when he got it 1 hr ago from a localbitcoin transaction.

Its based on how much risk you are willing to hold, and like most people they dont want any of it.
legendary
Activity: 1974
Merit: 1077
^ Will code for Bitcoins
April 27, 2015, 06:03:45 PM
I have to show you a very dangerous channel with bottom now around $30 and falling

Profesor bitcorn ?   :-)  $30 is simply impossible. It can go to zero (if protocol fails) but not to $30.



$30 is not impossible.

I agree with luc, things will get ugly sooner than they will get better.

Bitcoin has never endured a true bear market. We've only been in a bull market since 2009. Bitcoin is just as old as the bull market.

Hard times ahead.

$3,000 before $30

lol, it's the other way around. We will go above ATH after finding the new low.
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
April 27, 2015, 06:01:44 PM
I have to show you a very dangerous channel with bottom now around $30 and falling

Profesor bitcorn ?   :-)  $30 is simply impossible. It can go to zero (if protocol fails) but not to $30.



$30 is not impossible.

I agree with luc, things will get ugly sooner than they will get better.

Bitcoin has never endured a true bear market. We've only been in a bull market since 2009. Bitcoin is just as old as the bull market.

Hard times ahead.

$3,000 before $30
hero member
Activity: 509
Merit: 564
"In Us We Trust"
April 27, 2015, 05:40:21 PM
I have to show you a very dangerous channel with bottom now around $30 and falling

Profesor bitcorn ?   :-)  $30 is simply impossible. It can go to zero (if protocol fails) but not to $30.



$30 is not impossible.

I agree with luc, things will get ugly sooner than they will get better.

Bitcoin has never endured a true bear market. We've only been in a bull market since 2009. Bitcoin is just as old as the bull market.

Hard times ahead.
legendary
Activity: 2101
Merit: 1061
April 27, 2015, 05:20:00 PM

Oops yes I forgot the script sorry. Its all bearish from here, down to $30

 Wink
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
April 27, 2015, 04:43:06 PM
I didn't say it goes to 30, just showed the chanel. Bottom could be anywhere from here down to 110 or even 30. And risk/reward ratio very bad on my 180 bids.
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
April 27, 2015, 04:38:45 PM
I have to show you a very dangerous channel with bottom now around $30 and falling

Profesor bitcorn ?   :-)  $30 is simply impossible. It can go to zero (if protocol fails) but not to $30.

legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
April 27, 2015, 01:21:51 PM
That level must show some resistance, but when I look at the empty space below in chanel - I shit my pants to leave bids there.
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1002
April 27, 2015, 01:18:04 PM
I cancel my bids at 170-190 hehe  Grin some shit probably comming

yeay! so did I!  thx lucif! Grin
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
April 27, 2015, 12:59:55 PM
I cancel my bids at 170-190 hehe  Grin some shit probably comming
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
April 27, 2015, 12:58:32 PM
Looks to me like a bullish divergence between price and momentum at the moment..
did you discover price reactions in past on such divs? Need confirmation from another oscillator.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
April 27, 2015, 12:44:31 PM
I have to show you a very dangerous channel with bottom now around $30 and falling



The longer term log channel has higher bottom, now is around $110

legendary
Activity: 2101
Merit: 1061
April 26, 2015, 07:37:34 PM
Looks to me like a bullish divergence between price and momentum at the moment..

legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000
Enabling the maximal migration
April 24, 2015, 05:27:46 PM
Unfortunately those graphs are not really very useful anymore due to the increasing fragmentation of exchanges as well as the fact that bitstamp was hacked and is continually losing market share. The only way to draw a meaningful conclusion based on volume would be to aggregate the data from all available sources (and somehow be sure that the chinese data is accurate).
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1002
April 24, 2015, 04:19:03 PM
Solid analysis of volume+bid/ask, Wandererfromthenorth.


My reply was for the bolded parts of your reply.

Imo you read luc posts with a bit too strong bull classes. Luc could comment, but my interpretation from example H&S pattern that luc has showed also, is that luc thinks that new LL <166 is likely.

We could see capitulation <100 then upper weekly BB then "very fucking long silent phase" at middle weekly BB.

Hehe, I'm hardly bullish at the moment. The point I was trying to make was simply that luc's "big picture" analysis was first and foremost about saying "prepare yourself for a long period of stagnation", and less about another crash (so: not ruling that one out, but not stressing it either) - but maybe I misunderstood luc. Anyway, I see it the way like damiano said above: the really painful part could be the stagnation to come, not further sharp price decline. /shrug

medium term stagnation would mechanically imply more dumps tho. patience is not market compatible. especially this one.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
April 24, 2015, 12:47:35 PM
Solid analysis of volume+bid/ask, Wandererfromthenorth.


My reply was for the bolded parts of your reply.

Imo you read luc posts with a bit too strong bull classes. Luc could comment, but my interpretation from example H&S pattern that luc has showed also, is that luc thinks that new LL <166 is likely.

We could see capitulation <100 then upper weekly BB then "very fucking long silent phase" at middle weekly BB.

Hehe, I'm hardly bullish at the moment. The point I was trying to make was simply that luc's "big picture" analysis was first and foremost about saying "prepare yourself for a long period of stagnation", and less about another crash (so: not ruling that one out, but not stressing it either) - but maybe I misunderstood luc. Anyway, I see it the way like damiano said above: the really painful part could be the stagnation to come, not further sharp price decline. /shrug
hero member
Activity: 544
Merit: 500
April 24, 2015, 11:15:58 AM
In short, If it was the actual bottom EW predicts an subsequent increase in trading volume, which hasn't transpired.

Thanks. Cool
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
April 24, 2015, 11:06:46 AM
Volume:

2011: Increasing Volume





2013: Increasing volume
2015: Decreasing volume





Bid Sum:


2013: Increasing Bid Sum




2015: Decreasing Bid Sum:







Unfortunately I can't find info on the increasing/decreasing Bid Sum in 2011 on gox  Undecided
The depth charts I found don't show data before 2012




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