So I've been looking around on
http://dogechain.info/ in an attempt to trace back to the mining wallet.
Most of the transaction that I received my mined coins from came from wallets which were throwaway and would have 1 transaction in and 2 transactions out. An example of this is
http://dogechain.info/tx/adcf5752471bf04926b96230f242f41fcdbf41bcf28340dacf37564f65655560 Notice that 1/4 of what was sent in went to 1 address and the rest sent to another address where again ~1/4 was siphoned and the rest relayed down the transaction chain. After following back through about 10-20 wallets chained in this way I found a wallet with over 1000 transactions:
http://dogechain.info/address/DSiT8wLBsaqSDNXDTxNSdPRx5BwXAwvZQV This wallet has received and sent over 500 million DOGE. Checking the transaction in here it would appear this was a mining wallet as incoming transactions show "Generation" as the input source.
I also traced back another of these wallets (this one the originating source of my most recent deposit from Dec 26) which had about 468 million coins pass through it:
http://dogechain.info/address/DNM7LzZPxNQok9ePKfZcSQq27HGTtgpoWMBetween these 2 wallets we can account for roughly 1 billion DOGE or 1% of ALL DOGE that will be produced. Yes a lot of these did pay out, but the way the payments were scattered it appears there were a ton of wallets which have never redeemed their received coins and are likely theft wallets or possibly mining payout that the end user just hasn't synced yet.
Now we just need to find cryptsy wallets and attempt to figure out where most of the volume of coin traffic was coming from (originating from this guy's mining wallets). I doubt he's going to sit on too many coins if the price is in the process of going down. He's going to want to get rid of them while he can. Unless this guy has 100 cryptsy accounts most of the coin volume is going to concentrate through a few accounts. Might need Vern's help to figure this part out though :\
Also I know wallets with unredeemed coins wouldn't be dumped yet. I'd consider these deadends for now but should keep our eye on them as they may contain stolen coins that haven't yet been dumped.
Anyway maybe this can help as a starting point for others who would like to get involved in the investigation. We really need to figure out the current wallet people are still mining on. Because it isn't paying out it's safe to assume _everything_ in it is stolen.