Whats the rationale for dumping on release?
It's more a problem in smaller projects and markets. Somebody or a group accumulates a lot while price and volume is "low" - knowing that there will be a release in x weeks or so. In small markets they accumulate so much that they couldn't even sell it because of a lack of buy-support. But: Then there is the release, price and volume goes up, and they unload it all. Because if they would hold too much, there could be the risk that buy-support will decrease after the hype. And the longer they wait, maybe because of the hope that the price will go up more, the higher the risk.
It's not that much of a concern in Factom. There are some who have a lot. That's visible on Poloniex. And there are also some who like it to dump. But Factom has steady volume and support and whoever dumps into it will make the experience most of the time that the price recovers very quick.
But: It was done in the past. It's at least what I believe. Factom had certain good news about partnerships and the price always reacted but fell back. If you take their blog and look what they published the first 4 or 5 months and compare that with the chart you'll find out: There always was reaction but there also was dumping.
But I don't expect that for the future, because Factom has more attention and more volume and there is a lot of suspense. The rumor about Ernest & Young 24 hours ago - I was sure that it's bullshit. It's not enough that one speaks after the other on a conference
...but: The price reacted, because there is so much anticipation... like "soon...something will happen...they never were quiet for a long time" and so on. ;-)
Yep, I totally agree. Though I think it's also important to realize that M2 isn't "just another" crypto release. Paul Snow has called it the capstone for Factom for this year and many others to come. A lot of times "buy the rumor, sell the news" makes sense b/c "the news" frankly doesn't have much meat on the bone. Often the news is predominantly symbolic, without a lot of real-world consequence. My understand is that M2 is genuinely
substantial in a way that's rare for crypto projects today, and I think that substance will do a lot to buttress against a major dump.
Of course there will be people who see the price rise, and sell b/c they don't understand the tech or value proposition that well, just as people sold ETH when it sky-rocketed past $1. But my personal belief is that the more you know about Factom, the longer you'll be likely to hold FCT.