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Topic: [ANN] Lykke - Trade Bitcoin, Ethereum, FX and Digital Assets - page 43. (Read 144625 times)

legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1000
Compare Lykke with Ripple and it still has a lot of potential. Don't forget you are also a shareholder in Lykke, your not just owning valueless tokens.
legendary
Activity: 1960
Merit: 1128
The (two) number 1 things are regulatory approval and user base growth. Userbase growth I'd expect to continue its upward creep (though not fast enough). However regulatory approval, in particular in US states, isn't a quick or easy thing to achieve.

I think there's a degree of realism in the market now that has replaced the early exuberance when it comes to Lykke. Lykke was a great buy at 6 cents. At 41 cents, it was substantially overvalued at some $600 million plus in marketcap. To give you perspective Coinbase was talking about raising a funding round that valued itself at $1 billion http://www.cnbc.com/2017/06/02/bitcoin-start-up-coinbase-aims-for-1-billion-valuation.html

Coinbase in conjunction with its exchange GDAX has regulatory approval all over the place, including UK, Canada, most of EU Europe, and most or all US states (probably most not all). It has insurance for both crypto, and for US folks FDIC insurance of USD deposits.

Lykke on the other hand according to its annual report has "a Vanuatu brokerage license".  https://www.lykke.com/Annual_Report_2016.pdf (see page 3 and from page 19)

It is "applying" for lots of licenses, with keys being the US and UK. Applying for a license and having one is a very different thing. Lykke really has no licenses at this point, although they'll likely get some as time goes on, and anyway they appear to be allowing transactions without a license certainly with cryptocurrency, which they can probably get away with since everyone else is doing that. Not having any US license is a massive thing, and I'm not sure with a Swiss firm in competition with US incumbent Coinbase how enthusiastically and quickly US authorities will be in granting them licenses.

Lykke's userbase according to its recently released annual report is 11,442 users as of 1 June 2017. https://www.lykke.com/Annual_Report_2016.pdf  (Page 5).

I couldn't get exact stats out there on Coinbase, but it seems like it's got anywhere from 6 to 10 million users.
https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-user-base-surges-coinbase-adds-1-mln-users-in-1-month
http://www.newsbtc.com/2017/03/01/bitcoin-exchange-coinbase-surpasses-6-million-total-users/

Lykke is sitting currently at just under $480 million in total market cap (that is marketcap including coins held by founders and not in free float, which is something like 80 to 90 per cent of them).

My point is, how could Lykke possibly be worth half of Coinbase, that has 6 to 10 million users, worldwide regulatory approval, including the key US market through approval in US states when Lykke has less than 12,000 users and no real regulatory approval? (I'm not suggesting Vanuatu is not a "real" jurisdiction, I'm saying it's not an important one for the purposes of cryptocurrency markets).

My conclusion is it can't. That's why the price is off over 10% at 36.5 cents, but I think the price correction has only just begun. Segwit 2x will activate, and, when it does, Bitcoin will go up like crazy. No one will want to miss out on the action, they'll dump lots of things to free up liquidity to ride the "Bitcoin has finally scaled" wave up, they'll dump Ether, and they will certainly dump Lykke - especially early investors who are already sitting on lovely, acceptable 7x profits. I easily see a correction down to 25 to 30 cents in the next couple of months, which is probably closer to fair value anyway.

The big upside risks are (1) US regulatory approval and (2) substantial userbase growth. The big downside risks are (1) rejection or delay of US regulatory approval (2) Bitcoin scales and everyone dumps everything including Lykke to buy it.


Good analysis! I especially agree with your last conclusions about potentials and risks, because a lot will be about regulations. At the same time: Lykke is pretty much ahead when it's about that topic and may have some advantage over competing projects with similar goals.


In general, value and how people evaluate "something" (not only Investments) is one of the most interesting topics in my opinion - and what I believe: There is nothing objective to find. Out of individual perspective it's very personal, in last consequence it's about personal and subjective interpretations of informations that have a context nobody is able to fully overlook, plus the context of an individual situation. It's about beliefs. In short: Nobody is able to have all informations and nobody is able to interpret any information he has other than subjective. Individual decisions are significantly based on 1) personal beliefs and 2) the absence of informations.  

And then there is the sum of individual views and decisions, the collective, the market(s). And that is a feedback-system: Individuals react on collective expressions (buying, selling, communicating) but the collective (part of) also reacts on individual decisions (whenever a "whale" shows his financial power the rumors start, and whenever a "VIP" communicates own opinions it has influence).

In the end it's very much about time. Moments form facts, everything else is subjective. That leads into the paradox that it would be possible to say that a price at a certain point in time is objective, because it is a fact. It's also possible to say that there is absolutely nothing objective because what has lead to it, in time, are 100% individual and subjective decisions while no participant is able to see the full picture. But many, maybe even a majority, tend to objectify collective agreements, especially if the time-frame is long enough.  

When it's about Lykke and Blockchain-projects: Of course one can analyze a project, also compare it with others and it's possible to find facts about the status quo. Those facts are basically the results of the decisions of those who build a project. In my opinion, when it's about value and potential, it's very much about the teams behind. The same idea wouldn't be worth $10 if I would start it with some friends. But if the team behind Lykke should be able to develop the platform how it is meant to be, and of course that will always be an ongoing process, it might become a multi-billion-dollar project.

And nobody has ever bought anything else than future potential.


Btw, the question about Bitcoin and 1) what the result of the current controversy might be in time and 2) how it will effect other markets, is also very interesting and very complex. I consider 1 as nearly totally unclear. I only believe that there will be a lot of volatility because I don't believe that there will be something like a safe status quo anytime soon. But if something like a best-case-scenario should realize, new and more potential for the whole ecosystem and the price goes up etc.: Sure, it's possible that many would sell other Crypto-assets for Bitcoin. But what also should be taken into consideration: More people would be attracted and more money would flow into the whole ecosystem. A strong Bitcoin and a rising price of Bitcoin would be helpful for Lykke, also because even if Lykke is far from being fully developed, there is one fact: It's already pretty good to buy Bitcoin.

Best article I know, about the Bitcoin-situation is this:


Countdown to SegWit: These Are the Dates to Keep an Eye On
https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/countdown-segwit-these-are-dates-keep-eye/
member
Activity: 107
Merit: 10
The (two) number 1 things are regulatory approval and user base growth. Userbase growth I'd expect to continue its upward creep (though not fast enough). However regulatory approval, in particular in US states, isn't a quick or easy thing to achieve.

I think there's a degree of realism in the market now that has replaced the early exuberance when it comes to Lykke. Lykke was a great buy at 6 cents. At 41 cents, it was substantially overvalued at some $600 million plus in marketcap. To give you perspective Coinbase was talking about raising a funding round that valued itself at $1 billion http://www.cnbc.com/2017/06/02/bitcoin-start-up-coinbase-aims-for-1-billion-valuation.html

Coinbase in conjunction with its exchange GDAX has regulatory approval all over the place, including UK, Canada, most of EU Europe, and most or all US states (probably most not all). It has insurance for both crypto, and for US folks FDIC insurance of USD deposits.

Lykke on the other hand according to its annual report has "a Vanuatu brokerage license".  https://www.lykke.com/Annual_Report_2016.pdf (see page 3 and from page 19)

It is "applying" for lots of licenses, with keys being the US and UK. Applying for a license and having one is a very different thing. Lykke really has no licenses at this point, although they'll likely get some as time goes on, and anyway they appear to be allowing transactions without a license certainly with cryptocurrency, which they can probably get away with since everyone else is doing that. Not having any US license is a massive thing, and I'm not sure with a Swiss firm in competition with US incumbent Coinbase how enthusiastically and quickly US authorities will be in granting them licenses.

Lykke's userbase according to its recently released annual report is 11,442 users as of 1 June 2017. https://www.lykke.com/Annual_Report_2016.pdf  (Page 5).

I couldn't get exact stats out there on Coinbase, but it seems like it's got anywhere from 6 to 10 million users.
https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-user-base-surges-coinbase-adds-1-mln-users-in-1-month
http://www.newsbtc.com/2017/03/01/bitcoin-exchange-coinbase-surpasses-6-million-total-users/

Lykke is sitting currently at just under $480 million in total market cap (that is marketcap including coins held by founders and not in free float, which is something like 80 to 90 per cent of them).

My point is, how could Lykke possibly be worth half of Coinbase, that has 6 to 10 million users, worldwide regulatory approval, including the key US market through approval in US states when Lykke has less than 12,000 users and no real regulatory approval? (I'm not suggesting Vanuatu is not a "real" jurisdiction, I'm saying it's not an important one for the purposes of cryptocurrency markets).

My conclusion is it can't. That's why the price is off over 10% at 36.5 cents, but I think the price correction has only just begun. Segwit 2x will activate, and, when it does, Bitcoin will go up like crazy. No one will want to miss out on the action, they'll dump lots of things to free up liquidity to ride the "Bitcoin has finally scaled" wave up, they'll dump Ether, and they will certainly dump Lykke - especially early investors who are already sitting on lovely, acceptable 7x profits. I easily see a correction down to [edit, I see a larger LKK correction in light of today's altcoin route, 10 to 15 cents] in the next couple of months, which is probably closer to fair value anyway.

The big upside risks are (1) US regulatory approval and (2) substantial userbase growth. The big downside risks are (1) rejection or delay of US regulatory approval (2) Bitcoin scales and everyone dumps everything including Lykke to buy it.
legendary
Activity: 1960
Merit: 1128
I think the #1 thing is limit orders, but I believe that requires some extra regulatory steps for approval?

Also on the roadmap it was just updated that web trading is now "near term" - hopefully soon.

They plan to publish a blogpost about limit orders, because there also have been some questions about it on Slack since it's Nr. 1 on the "wish-list".
member
Activity: 73
Merit: 13
I think the #1 thing is limit orders, but I believe that requires some extra regulatory steps for approval?

Also on the roadmap it was just updated that web trading is now "near term" - hopefully soon.
legendary
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1001
Lykke needs to support tezos when it trades in about 4 months.
legendary
Activity: 1960
Merit: 1128
Who may have missed it, the Share-holder meeting in which the team replied on questions can be watched here:

Lykke Annual Coinholder Meeting
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ELG8HpRCHu8
legendary
Activity: 1960
Merit: 1128





Lykke Annual Report approved by 99.898% of voting coins. Thank you for your support!
 https://twitter.com/LykkeCity/status/880922561869172737
legendary
Activity: 1568
Merit: 1000
A reminder for all Lykke coinholders that there's still time to vote until 7 pm CEST today!

https://report2016.lykke.com/
legendary
Activity: 1960
Merit: 1128
full member
Activity: 191
Merit: 100
I dont mind the pain


Lykke has published the Financial report


LKK-Investors also should have gotten a mail with links to the (online) Coinholder-meeting.

wow, the paper very impressive, wonderful in fact. The Finantial statement really sucks,

Why is so expensive for Lykke to trade?

You can ask that again. LKK trading income of 5.88 mln vs LKK trading expenses of 4.93 mln is not impressive at all. Looks like the organization is overvalued at $60 mln?

I dont think is overvaluated because the potential market is the same as IB, Saxo or E*Trade. The interface is very friendly and the plans of expansion concrete and factible. Is by far the best already working project of the cryptocoin world.
newbie
Activity: 52
Merit: 0


Lykke has published the Financial report


LKK-Investors also should have gotten a mail with links to the (online) Coinholder-meeting.

wow, the paper very impressive, wonderful in fact. The Finantial statement really sucks,

Why is so expensive for Lykke to trade?

You can ask that again. LKK trading income of 5.88 mln vs LKK trading expenses of 4.93 mln is not impressive at all. Looks like the organization is overvalued at $60 mln?
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 10
Interesting project, I'm very keen to see where this one goes. Despite the technical challenges of using coloured coin technology over the ethereum network I belive only the Bitcoin blockchain will ever stand a chance of hosting the decentralised financial services of the future because of it's massive network hashrate compared to any other blockchain, which in turn leads to much much greater security. After all Bitcoin is the father of cryptos.

Quick question though, is there a desktop wallet avaliable? Or at least a service where I can generate my own public and private keys? I'm hesitant to use any wallet generated by someone other than myself.

Or can Lykke be sent to a traditional Bitcoin address and stored there using the omni protocol just as others do? For example Synereo?

Like I said I'm very interested in this project! Got my eye on it!


Hi crypto33!

It's possible to use coinprism with LKK: https://www.coinprism.com

And it also should be possible to use it in combination with amory for cold storage:
https://coinprism.desk.com/customer/en/portal/articles/1774709-how-can-i-use-cold-storage-with-coinprism-

Seems similar to Omni but I haven't tried that yet. I would recommend to test it first before using with larger amounts.


Desktop version: A web-based-terminal is in development but not released yet.

Thanks for the info! Great article on using amory for cold storage. I will also test out the omni protocol and report with here with the results. It would be handy if it works as generating a Bitcoin wallet offline using bitaddress is a lot easier and takes 2 seconds.

Thanks again
legendary
Activity: 1568
Merit: 1000
Lykke Wins FinTech of the Year Award in Digital Championship Cyprus 2016–2017
Lykke, a Swiss Fintech company building a global marketplace on the Blockchain, has won the first-place Fintech Company of the Year award in the Digital Championship Cyprus 2016–2017 contest, by participating through its Cyprus entity.

https://www.lykke.com/company/news/lykke_wins_fintech_of_the_year_award

full member
Activity: 191
Merit: 100
I dont mind the pain
Anyone willing to youtube stream the coinholders meeting?

Let's see what is about. I've never been in a shareholders meeting .

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ELG8HpRCHu8
full member
Activity: 191
Merit: 100
I dont mind the pain


Lykke has published the Financial report


LKK-Investors also should have gotten a mail with links to the (online) Coinholder-meeting.

wow, the paper very impressive, wonderful in fact. The Finantial statement really sucks,

Why is so expensive for Lykke to trade?
newbie
Activity: 7
Merit: 0
Anyone willing to youtube stream the coinholders meeting?
legendary
Activity: 1960
Merit: 1128


Lykke has published the Financial report


LKK-Investors also should have gotten a mail with links to the (online) Coinholder-meeting.
full member
Activity: 191
Merit: 100
I dont mind the pain
limit orders, market orders, pc wallet. make faster orders without the need of finger print or nip. In this market 2 seconds can cost you several pips. Just today i was selling some eth/lkk and just had to wait to the buy button become red. Three times my order was denied because the prices change in 1 or 2 seconds. Eventually i did it. But was a little bit frustrating.
legendary
Activity: 1960
Merit: 1128

Voting on Facebook: Feature-Suggestions & Improvements for the Lykke-App
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